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Evidence · NZ Election 2026

Every question, every answer, every source

Everything the study collected, as it was collected on 5 October 2026. Read any answer in full, or download the tables behind every figure in the study.

questions
174
voters the questions were written as
32
answers collected, of 820 planned
815
answers compared like for like
800
pairs of national and town answers
124
answers with sources recorded
774
answers that showed a link
304

01

Every question, with its answers

Each question was written as a voter would ask it and went to all four assistants. Some were also asked from a town. Open a question to read every answer to it in full.

Showing 20 of 174 questions

Show all 174

02

The tables behind the study

Every figure on the study page comes from these tables. They are CSV files, which open in any spreadsheet.

  • Questions

    nz-election-2026-questions.csv

    One row per question.

    Question id, report reference, question, voter, issue, towns it was also asked from, answers per assistant

    174rows

    Download questions (CSV)

  • Answers

    nz-election-2026-answers.csv

    One row per answer, with its full text.

    Answer id, question id, assistant, town, words, parties named, showed a link, websites recorded as sources, compared like for like, full text

    815rows

    Download answers (CSV)

  • Sources by answer

    nz-election-2026-sources.csv

    One row for each website recorded as a source of an answer.

    Answer id, question id, assistant, town, website, publisher type

    4,216rows

    Download sources by answer (CSV)

  • Checks against official sources

    nz-election-2026-checks.csv

    One row per statement checked.

    Check, answer id, assistant, what the answer said, verdict, what the source says, source, date

    17rows

    Download checks against official sources (CSV)

  • Who to vote for: coding

    nz-election-2026-guidance.csv

    One row per answer to the eight questions that asked who to vote for.

    Answer id, question id, assistant, what the answer did, the words that show it

    32rows

    Download who to vote for: coding (CSV)

  • Location and national answers

    nz-election-2026-towns.csv

    One row per question asked both nationally and from a location, for each assistant.

    Question, town, assistant, both answer ids, parties named nationally and from the town, same parties

    124rows

    Download location and national answers (CSV)

Use these tables to trace findings back to the original questions and answers. The full text of each answer is also on this page, under its question.

03

Read in full and checked

Some answers were read in detail or checked against official sources. Those appear on the study page, beside the findings they support.

ChatGPT · No location

We own a home with a mortgage, have school-age children and rely on two wages. After mortgage payments, rates, power and groceries, there is little buffer. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. What would national party policies change about local rates and water costs, and what remains a council decision?

For a household like yours — mortgage, children, two incomes, and little room after essentials — the key distinction is that a National-led government could influence the rules around council costs, but it would not directly set your council’s rates bill or water charge. Local councils would still make many of the decisions that appear on your household budget. 2026 Election Policy | National Party

Here is the practical breakdown.

Cost on your household budget What a National government policy could change What would remain a council decision
General council rates National has proposed measures to constrain rates increases, including a rates-capping framework with a target range and limits on increases unless councils obtain approval. Getting rates under control for ratepayers | National Party Your council would still set its annual rates requirement, decide spending priorities, and determine the mix of rates, fees, and services. A cap would limit the growth rate rather than set your exact bill. Getting rates under control for ratepayers | National Party
Water charges (drinking water, wastewater, stormwater) National’s “Local Water Done Well” policy replaces Labour’s Three Waters model with locally controlled water services, but with stronger central oversight, financial sustainability requirements, and infrastructure investment rules. Local water done well | National Party Councils (or council-owned water organisations they establish) would still determine how costs are recovered — for example, through rates, targeted charges, user charges, borrowing, and investment decisions — within the national framework. Local water done well | National Party
Council spending generally National says it wants councils focused on core services and has policies aimed at reducing cost pressures on ratepayers. 2026 Election Policy | National Party Local elected members decide things such as transport projects, parks, libraries, community facilities, local economic development, and service levels.

A few implications for a mortgage-holding family:

  • A rates cap would not necessarily mean lower rates. It is mainly about limiting how quickly rates can rise. Councils facing large infrastructure needs may still seek higher increases or adjust services. Getting rates under control for ratepayers | National Party
  • Water bills are a separate pressure point. National’s water policy is aimed at changing governance and funding arrangements rather than promising a particular dollar reduction in household water charges. It explicitly requires water services to be financially sustainable, meaning money must come from somewhere — rates, user charges, or borrowing repaid over time. Local water done well | National Party
  • Your local council vote still matters. Even under national rules, councillors influence spending levels, infrastructure timing, debt decisions, and how costs are allocated between households and other ratepayers.

For deciding how much the policy matters to your household, the most useful questions to ask are likely:

  1. How much of your rates bill is general rates versus water/wastewater/stormwater charges?
  2. Is your council planning major infrastructure spending that could increase costs?
  3. Does the proposed national framework reduce uncertainty for your council, or restrict choices your community might otherwise make?

The 2026 election is taking place in a context where cost of living and public services are prominent campaign issues, but the effect on an individual household will depend heavily on your local council’s finances and plans. New Zealand Parliament dissolved ahead of tight November vote

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Gemini · No location

We own a home with a mortgage, have school-age children and rely on two wages. After mortgage payments, rates, power and groceries, there is little buffer. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. What would national party policies change about local rates and water costs, and what remains a council decision?

When managing a tight household budget with a mortgage and dependent children, understanding how central government policy interacts with local costs is vital.

The National Party's approach to local government, rates, and water costs is shaped by its overarching economic plan and the coalition government's Local Water Done Well framework.

What National Party Policies Would Change

  • Focus on Core Services and Rates Restraint: National emphasizes keeping rates affordable by pushing local councils to refocus tightly on delivering "core services" rather than non-essential spending, aiming to reduce upward pressure on household bills.
  • Water Service Delivery Reform (Local Water Done Well): Rather than mandating large, centralized mega-entities, National’s policy enables councils to establish alternative service delivery models (such as council-controlled organizations or regional joint arrangements).
  • Independent Borrowing for Infrastructure: Under this water framework, water organizations are designed to borrow independently of local councils (from banks or capital markets) based on their own financial track records. This is intended to stop massive water upgrade costs from directly blowing out council debt limits and triggering sharp local rates spikes.
  • Economic Regulation and Consumer Protection: The policy introduces economic regulation overseen by the Commerce Commission to monitor water service suppliers and protect consumers against unfair pricing. Strict statutory protections ensure that water assets remain entirely in public ownership.

What Remains a Council Decision

Despite central government frameworks, local authorities retain significant autonomy over their financial planning and service delivery:

  • Setting Rates and Spreading Costs: Individual local councils retain the ultimate authority to set general and targeted rates, evaluate property valuations, and determine how much of the local tax burden falls on residential ratepayers versus other sectors.
  • Choosing Water Delivery Models: Councils decide how their drinking water, wastewater, and stormwater services are structured—whether they partner regionally, handle them via a council-controlled organization, or keep them entirely in-house (though they are legally required to meet financial sustainability and water quality standards).
  • Operational Spending and Community Priorities: Decisions on local amenities, libraries, parks, and regional projects remain with elected council members through their Long-Term Plans (LTPs) and Annual Plans.

In summary, while National’s policies aim to create alternative financing pathways for heavy infrastructure like water—taking some pressure off local council balance sheets—the actual size of your rates bill and local water charges still heavily depends on the spending choices and efficiency of your local council.

How do you feel your local council is currently balancing the cost of core infrastructure upgrades against household affordability?

Ask Gemini

Gemini is AI and can make mistakes.

Captured 5 October 2026 · shown as Gemini gave it, not a verified account

Google AI Mode · No location

We own a home with a mortgage, have school-age children and rely on two wages. After mortgage payments, rates, power and groceries, there is little buffer. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. What would national party policies change about local rates and water costs, and what remains a council decision?

For a household balancing a tight budget with a mortgage and children, council rates and infrastructure costs are a significant pressure point.

The National Party’s policy approach—framed around initiatives like the Local Government (Rates Capping Amendment Bill) and the "Local Water Done Well" reforms (enacted via the Local Government (Water Services) Act 2025)—draws a distinct line between central government market intervention and local council autonomy.

What National’s Policies Change (Central Government Control)

  1. Capping Annual Rates Increases
  • The Policy: National has introduced and advanced the Local Government (Rates Capping Amendment Bill) , which sets an initial target range limiting annual local authority rates increases to 𝟐 % to 𝟒% per capita.
  • The Impact on You: The intention is to give households predictability and curb runaway rates hikes. It forces councils to prioritize core spending rather than expanding into non-essential services.
  • The Exceptions: A council can only legally exceed the 4% cap under strict, time-bound regulatory exemptions approved by an independent regulator—such as recovering from severe natural disasters or demonstrating a critical, justified infrastructure underinvestment backlog.
  1. Restoring Local Water Ownership and Directing Delivery
  • The Policy: Scrapping the previous government's "Three Waters" entity model, National’s Local Water Done Well framework returns water assets and service delivery back to local councils or dedicated council-controlled/consumer-owned water organisations.
  • The Financial Mandate: Under the Local Government (Water Services) Act 2025, water service providers are legally required to manage water finances independently and transparently. Water revenue must strictly fund water services and long-term infrastructure investment.
  • The Rates Exemption: Crucially, water services charges are explicitly excluded from the national rates capping system and will continue to be regulated and funded separately (whether through targeted water rates or volumetric/metered charges).

What Remains a Council Decision (Local Autonomy)

  1. Setting the Exact Rates within the Target Range
  • While the government sets the 2%

-- 4% target framework, individual councils still decide the exact layout of their general rates, targeted rates, and uniform annual general charges within that boundary.

  • Councils also retain the authority to run local community consultations to determine how the rates burden is shared between residential and commercial properties.
  1. Deciding How to Deliver and Price Water Services
  • Councils choose the legal vehicle for their local water infrastructure—retaining it in-house as a council department, or moving it into a council-controlled organization (CCO) or a consumer trust.
  • How your household pays for water (e.g., via a fixed targeted rate on your property bill versus a metered usage charge) remains a local decision, provided the chosen structure meets the financial sustainability and transparency principles mandated by the new water legislation.
  1. Prioritizing Local Spending and Service Levels
  • Councils still decide the baseline level of service for local amenities (such as parks, local roading maintenance, libraries, and community facilities).
  • If a council wants to spend more on non-capped local projects, they must find savings elsewhere within their budget to stay compliant with the national rates cap, rather than simply passing the cost onto ratepayers.
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AI Overviews · No location

We own a home with a mortgage, have school-age children and rely on two wages. After mortgage payments, rates, power and groceries, there is little buffer. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. What would national party policies change about local rates and water costs, and what remains a council decision?

AI Overview

National Party policies introduce structural caps on general council rates while shifting the massive cost of upgrading water infrastructure directly onto dedicated water bills. For a dual-income household with a tight budget, these changes alter how local costs appear on your bills, though the overall financial pressure remains significant.

Here is what National's current framework changes at the national level and what stays in the hands of your local council:

What National Party Policies Change

  • A Cap on Local Rates: National introduced a mandatory rates cap to control local council spending. Starting with a transition period, the full framework restricts annual council rate increases to a target range of 2% to 4% per capita. Councils cannot exceed this cap unless they receive explicit regulatory approval for exceptional circumstances (like natural disasters) or severe historical underinvestment.

  • Separating Water from General Rates: Under the Local Water Done Well framework, water infrastructure costs are entirely excluded from the general rates cap. Water assets remain locally owned but are moved into Council-Controlled Organisations (CCOs) like Tiaki Wai or Southern Water. This allows these water entities to borrow heavily to fix pipes without impacting the council's main debt limits, but it means water charges are separated from your standard rates bill.

  • New Consumer and Economic Oversight: The Commerce Commission now regulates these new water entities to ensure they act efficiently and protect consumers.

What Remains a Council Decision

  • Setting the Baseline Rates: Your local council still decides exactly how much to charge for general rates, uniform annual general charges, and targeted rates (e.g., for libraries, transport, or parks), provided the total increase stays under the 4% national cap.

  • How Water is Billed: While National dictates that water must be financially ring-fenced, your council chooses how you pay for it. Depending on your specific council's approved Water Services Delivery Plan, they can opt for a flat user fee , include a distinct line item on your bill, or install water meters to charge strictly by volume of use.

  • Infrastructure Prioritisation: Councils retain local democratic ownership of their assets. They decide which local amenities, roads, and community projects get funded within their restricted budgets.

The Impact on a Tight Household Budget

While the 2% to 4% rates cap protects you from sudden, double-digit spikes in your general council rates bill, it does not mean your overall living costs go down. Because New Zealand's aging water infrastructure requires an estimated $48 billion investment over the next decade , the cost of repairing pipes is being shifted onto your separate water bill. Most councils are implementing these distinct water charges alongside general rate adjustments, meaning the combined out-of-pocket total for households is still rising across the country.

To help evaluate how this might affect your household buffer, would it be helpful to look at how other political parties propose managing local infrastructure costs, or are you interested in National's policies regarding other cost-of-living areas like school costs or power bills?

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