Evidence · NZ Election 2026

Every question, every answer, every source

Everything the study collected, as it was collected on 5 October 2026. Read any answer in full, or download the tables behind every figure in the study.

questions
174
voters the questions were written as
32
answers collected, of 820 planned
815
answers compared like for like
800
pairs of national and town answers
124
answers with sources recorded
774
answers that showed a link
304

01

Every question, with its answers

Each question was written as a voter would ask it and went to all four assistants. Some were also asked from a town. Open a question to read every answer to it in full.

Showing 20 of 174 questions

02

The tables behind the study

Every figure on the study page comes from these tables. They are CSV files, which open in any spreadsheet.

  • Questions

    nz-election-2026-questions.csv

    One row per question.

    Question id, report reference, question, voter, issue, towns it was also asked from, answers per assistant

  • Answers

    nz-election-2026-answers.csv

    One row per answer, with its full text.

    Answer id, question id, assistant, town, words, parties named, showed a link, websites recorded as sources, compared like for like, full text

  • Sources by answer

    nz-election-2026-sources.csv

    One row for each website recorded as a source of an answer.

    Answer id, question id, assistant, town, website, publisher type

  • Checks against official sources

    nz-election-2026-checks.csv

    One row per statement checked.

    Check, answer id, assistant, what the answer said, verdict, what the source says, source, date

  • Who to vote for: coding

    nz-election-2026-guidance.csv

    One row per answer to the eight questions that asked who to vote for.

    Answer id, question id, assistant, what the answer did, the words that show it

  • Location and national answers

    nz-election-2026-towns.csv

    One row per question asked both nationally and from a location, for each assistant.

    Question, town, assistant, both answer ids, parties named nationally and from the town, same parties

Use these tables to trace findings back to the original questions and answers. The full text of each answer is also on this page, under its question.

03

Read in full and checked

Some answers were read in detail or checked against official sources. Those appear on the study page, beside the findings they support.

ChatGPT · No location

My partner and I rent, have steady jobs and are trying to save a deposit for our first home. We worry that the target keeps moving. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. Which parties propose changes to taxes on property or capital gains, and what could those changes mean for people trying to buy?

If the main question for you is “which tax policies could change the size of the deposit I need, how quickly I can save it, or the price of the home I’m trying to buy?”, the 2026 parties are offering quite different approaches.

The election is on 7 November 2026, and the tax debate broadly divides between parties proposing to tax property/wealth more heavily and parties proposing to keep or reduce those taxes. New Zealand Parliament dissolved ahead of tight November vote

The main proposals

Party Property/capital tax proposal What it could mean for a prospective first-home buyer
Labour 28% capital-gains tax on investment residential and commercial property, excluding the family home, farms, shares and KiwiSaver. Applies to gains accruing after 1 July 2027. Capital Gains Tax to Level the Playing Field for Businesses, Create Jobs and Fix New Zealand's Health System Could reduce the tax advantage of investment property relative to owner-occupation. If it reduced investor demand, that could put downward pressure on house prices, potentially helping buyers. But the effect on prices and rents isn't certain.
Greens 2.5% annual tax on net assets above $10m, excluding the family home; 33% tax on gifts/inheritances over $1m, with family homes/farms exempt. Also proposes reversing recent landlord tax cuts and restoring a 10-year bright-line period. Greens commit to tax the super-rich and large corporates fairly, cut income tax for 96% - Green Party of Aotearoa New Zealand The wealth tax itself is unlikely to affect a normal first-home buyer directly. The landlord-tax changes could affect investment-property returns and therefore investor demand, rents and prices; the direction and size of those effects are contested.
Opportunity 1.75% annual Land Value Tax on urban land (0.5% rural), alongside a Citizen's Income. The tax is on the value of the land, not the building. Tax Reset - Opportunity Party This is potentially much more consequential for ordinary homeowners: you would pay an annual land tax even on your own home. Opportunity argues it would reduce land prices and make housing more affordable, but you'd trade some of the lower purchase price for an ongoing annual tax.
Te Pāti Māori Proposes a 33% land-banking tax, 2% vacant-house tax and 5% stamp duty on residential sales, with an exemption for first-home buyers buying homes under $1m. Tax Tips: 2026 General Election - Tax Policy Update The first-home exemption would directly protect qualifying buyers from the stamp duty. Taxes on vacant/land-banked property are intended to discourage holding housing out of use.
National No new taxes. It is instead proposing to expand access to the First Home Loan scheme so buyers earning up to $300,000 could qualify for a 5% deposit rather than the usual 20%. 2026 Election Policy | National Party This is the most direct response to your particular problem: it doesn't make the deposit smaller in dollars, but potentially reduces the amount you need to save before getting a mortgage.
ACT Opposes new broad property/capital-gains taxes and has supported restoring landlord tax deductibility and removing/reducing bright-line-style taxation. ACT New Zealand The argument is that lower taxes on landlords encourage rental supply and investment. For you, that could mean less pressure on rents while saving, although it doesn't directly lower the deposit requirement.
NZ First Opposes a comprehensive capital-gains tax and supports property-investment tax deductibility; its published policy also supports a tax-free income threshold. 2023 Election Policies - NZ First Similar broad direction to National/ACT on property taxation: fewer taxes on property investors, with the potential benefit of supporting rental supply but no direct deposit reduction.

KPMG and PwC's independent tax-policy summaries broadly confirm this split: Labour, the Greens, Te Pāti Māori and Opportunity propose substantially greater taxation of property, land or wealth, while National and ACT favour lower-tax settings; NZ First opposes a comprehensive CGT. Summary of 2026 election tax policies | KPMG NZ

What does this mean for someone in your position?

There are three different levers, and it's useful not to lump them together.

1. The size of the deposit

This is where National's proposal is unusually direct.

The existing First Home Loan scheme allows qualifying buyers to purchase with a 5% deposit, but income caps currently restrict access. National proposes raising the cap to $300,000 for all applicants. National is backing first home buyers | National Party

For example, on a hypothetical $800,000 house:

  • 20% deposit = $160,000
  • 10% deposit = $80,000
  • 5% deposit = $40,000

That's potentially a much bigger change to your timeline than a modest change in your weekly tax bill.

It doesn't, however, make the house itself cheaper, and a low-deposit mortgage can mean higher borrowing, greater exposure to interest rates and potentially additional lending constraints.

2. The price of the house you're trying to buy

This is where Labour, the Greens and Opportunity are pursuing a different theory.

The underlying argument is that New Zealand's tax system has historically made property investment relatively attractive. Taxing investment property or land more heavily could make some investors less willing to bid for housing, potentially shifting the balance towards owner-occupiers.

Labour explicitly argues that its CGT would mean fewer investors competing with first-home buyers. Capital Gains Tax to Level the Playing Field for Businesses, Create Jobs and Fix New Zealand's Health System

But that's an economic mechanism, not a guaranteed outcome. House prices depend heavily on construction, planning, credit conditions, interest rates, population growth and the overall supply of land and homes. A tax change could also be reflected partly in the prices investors are willing to pay rather than producing an equivalent fall in sale prices.

3. Your rent while you're saving

This is especially important in your case because you're effectively trying to save a deposit while paying someone else's mortgage/rent.

Here the parties disagree quite sharply.

Labour says its CGT would not materially increase rents because rents are determined principally by supply and demand, and says the tax is paid when an investment property is sold. Capital Gains Tax to Level the Playing Field for Businesses, Create Jobs and Fix New Zealand's Health System

ACT argues the opposite risk from landlord taxation: it says previous restrictions on mortgage-interest deductibility increased landlords' costs and contributed to higher rents. ACT New Zealand

Neither claim should be treated as a certainty for your particular rental market. The practical question is how landlords respond to tax changes and how many rental properties are supplied, sold or newly built.

The unusual case: Opportunity's land tax

Opportunity's proposal deserves separate attention if you're thinking specifically about the long-term economics of owning a home.

It proposes a 1.75% annual tax on urban land value, while simultaneously reducing other taxes and paying a Citizen's Income. The party's stated objective is explicitly to make homes more affordable by shifting taxation away from work and onto land. Tax Reset - Opportunity Party

Suppose, purely illustratively, you bought a home where the land component was valued at $400,000. A 1.75% land-value tax would be $7,000 per year before any applicable exemption or deferral.

The theory is that because land can't be created or moved, taxing it should be reflected in a lower purchase price for land rather than simply producing higher prices. But that means the comparison isn't simply "cheap house versus expensive house": you'd need to compare the up-front purchase price + mortgage + annual land tax against the alternatives.

That's probably the proposal where I'd pay closest attention to the detailed modelling if you're trying to work out your household's long-term position.

One important distinction

A capital-gains tax is not a tax on your first home under Labour's proposal.

If you buy a house and it remains your family home, Labour says its 28% CGT would not apply when you eventually sell it. Capital Gains Tax to Level the Playing Field for Businesses, Create Jobs and Fix New Zealand's Health System

Likewise, the Greens' proposed wealth tax explicitly exempts the family home. A tax system for all of us - Green Party of Aotearoa New Zealand

So the more immediate question for you isn't “will I have to pay CGT when I sell my first home?” Under these proposals, no. The more relevant question is whether taxing investment property changes the price and availability of the home you are trying to buy today, and what happens to your rent while you're saving.

A useful way to compare the policies

For your circumstances, I'd put the parties' proposals into four columns:

  1. How much do we have to save before we can buy?
  2. What happens to rents while we're saving?
  3. What happens to the price of a typical first home?
  4. What ongoing taxes would we pay after buying?

That avoids the trap of assuming that a policy described as a "tax cut" or "capital-gains tax" automatically makes a first home more or less affordable. The effects can occur at quite different points in your journey.

And because this is an election, these are party proposals, not guaranteed future law; coalition negotiations could materially change them. Summary of 2026 election tax policies | KPMG NZ

If you tell me roughly your combined income, current savings and the price range you're targeting (even rounded figures), I can turn this into a concrete comparison—for example, how each approach could affect the number of years it might take you to reach a deposit, without telling you which party to vote for.

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Gemini · No location

My partner and I rent, have steady jobs and are trying to save a deposit for our first home. We worry that the target keeps moving. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. Which parties propose changes to taxes on property or capital gains, and what could those changes mean for people trying to buy?

For renters trying to save a first-home deposit, watching housing targets continually shift can feel exhausting. Tax policy on property and capital is a central battleground in the 2026 New Zealand general election, with parties offering very different visions for the housing market.


Parties Proposing Tax Changes on Property and Capital

  • The Labour Party: Proposes a 28% Capital Gains Tax (CGT) targeted strictly at residential investment properties and commercial property, taking effect from 1 July 2027. It explicitly excludes the family home and working farms. Gains made prior to July 2027 will not be taxed, and the revenue raised is ring-fenced to fund healthcare initiatives (such as three free GP visits).
  • The Green Party: Proposes a multi-layered tax package that includes a 2.5% annual wealth tax on net assets above $10 million (with the family home exempt), a 33% capital acquisitions tax on large lifetime inheritances and gifts over $1 million, and housing-specific measures like reversing landlord interest deductibility and reinstating a 10-year bright-line test.
  • The Opportunities Party (TOP): Proposes a broad Land Value Tax (LVT) (phasing in up to 1.75% annually on urban land value, excluding buildings) to replace other taxes and fund a universal citizen's income. This applies to land holdings broadly, including residential land and rental properties.
  • Te Pāti Māori: Proposes a tiered wealth tax starting at 1.5% for net wealth over $2 million (which does not exempt the family home once the threshold is crossed), a 5% stamp duty on residential property purchases (with first-home buyers under $1 million exempt), and taxes on land-banking and vacant houses.
  • National, ACT, and New Zealand First: Generally oppose a capital gains tax or wealth tax, with National campaigning on a "no new taxes" pledge and focusing instead on supply-side zoning reforms and maintaining current property tax settings.

What These Changes Could Mean for First-Home Buyers

If you are trying to step off the rental treadmill and buy your first home, these proposals carry distinct arguments regarding their potential impact:

1. Leveling the Playing Field Against Investors

  • The Argument for Change: Parties pushing for a CGT or land/wealth taxes (like Labour, the Greens, and TOP) argue that New Zealand's tax system has historically favored property speculators over productive work, driving up prices beyond the reach of first-home buyers. By introducing a CGT on investment properties, Labour argues it will shift capital away from speculative residential housing and into the productive economy, theoretically cooling runaway price growth and reducing the competition you face at auctions.
  • The Counter-Perspective: Opponents (such as National and ACT) argue that adding new taxes on property or landlords restricts rental supply, can create market uncertainty, and that the best way to help first-home buyers is through aggressive supply expansion and infrastructure funding rather than tax interventions.

2. Impact on Deposit Saving and Purchasing Power

  • The Slower Price Growth Effect: If property speculation becomes less lucrative due to a capital gains tax or land taxes, home price inflation could moderate over the medium term. For savers, a stabilizing or slower-moving market means the "moving target" of a 20% deposit might finally slow down enough for your savings rate to catch up.
  • Direct First-Home Buyer Protections: Policies like Te Pāti Māori’s proposed stamp duty specifically include exemptions for first-home buyers purchasing under $1 million, shielding you from transaction taxes that would otherwise add to upfront costs. Similarly, Labour's CGT explicitly carves out primary residences, ensuring that any home you successfully buy will remain tax-free when you eventually sell it.

3. Potential Ripple Effects on Rents

A common concern for renters is whether taxes on landlords (such as a CGT or removing interest deductibility) will be passed directly onto tenants via higher rents, making it harder to save that weekly deposit.

  • Proponents of a CGT argue that rents are driven by local supply and demand (what the market can bear) rather than a future tax paid upon selling.
  • Conversely, property industry groups frequently argue that increased holding costs for landlords can squeeze rental supply further, keeping rental inflation high and indirectly limiting how much money households can put aside each month for a deposit.

Are you looking closely at how these policies might affect your specific savings timeline, or would you like to explore how different parties approach housing supply and first-home buyer grant assistance?

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Captured 5 October 2026 · shown as Gemini gave it, not a verified account

Google AI Mode · No location

My partner and I rent, have steady jobs and are trying to save a deposit for our first home. We worry that the target keeps moving. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. Which parties propose changes to taxes on property or capital gains, and what could those changes mean for people trying to buy?

Navigating the property market as a first-home buyer while feeling like the deposit target keeps moving is a common and stressful experience in New Zealand. As the 2026 General Election approaches, political parties have staked out distinct positions on property and capital taxation.

Here is how the major and minor parties approach property taxes and capital gains, and what those policies could mean for first-home buyers trying to get on the ladder.


Parties Proposing Changes to Property Taxes or Capital Gains

  • The Labour Party
  • The Proposal: Proposes a targeted 28% capital gains tax (CGT) on residential investment and commercial property (excluding the family home), set to apply to gains arising on or after 1 July 2027. Revenue from this is pitched to support primary healthcare.
  • The Green Party
  • The Proposal: Proposes a 33% capital acquisitions tax (applied to large inheritances/gifts over $1 million, with exemptions for standard family homes and farms) alongside a net wealth tax for individuals/couples with high net worths (above $20 million). They also back broader income-tax threshold adjustments.
  • The Opportunity Party (TOP)
  • The Proposal: Proposes replacing parts of the current system with a comprehensive land value tax (a localized or broad tax on the unimproved value of land), paired with a universal basic income/citizen’s income, while avoiding a traditional capital gains or inheritance tax.
  • Te Pāti Māori
  • The Proposal: Proposes comprehensive wealth taxes, land-banking taxes, vacant house taxes, and stamp duties on certain property transactions.
  • National and ACT
  • The Proposal: Oppose the introduction of any new capital gains taxes, wealth taxes, or broad property taxes, focusing instead on maintaining current settings or adjusting personal income tax thresholds/incentives to boost general investment.
  • New Zealand First
  • The Proposal: Generally holds firm against broad new capital gains or wealth taxes, focusing its policy framework on specific cost-of-living and targeted support for lower-to-middle income earners rather than systemic tax overhauls.

What These Proposals Could Mean for First-Home Buyers

Depending on which economic theory you follow, changes to capital gains or land taxes change the incentives for property investors versus owner-occupiers:

  1. Leveling the Playing Field Against Investors (Labour / Greens / Te Pāti Māori / TOP)
  • The Argument for Buyers: Proponents of capital gains or land taxes argue that removing the tax-free advantage on residential investment properties makes property a less speculative asset compared to productive business investment. This is intended to cool runaway house price inflation, slow down the "moving target" of a deposit, and reduce competition from multi-property landlords bidding against first-home buyers at auctions.
  • The Counter-Argument/Risk: Critics warn that taxes like a CGT or land tax could be passed on in part by landlords through higher weekly rents, making it harder for renting first-home buyers to save that initial cash deposit while paying rent. Others argue it might suppress the supply of new rental builds if investor appetite drops sharply.
  1. Maintaining Status Quo / Encouraging Private Supply (National / ACT)
  • The Argument for Buyers: Parties opposing a CGT argue that keeping investment channels open encourages private capital to fund housing supply. Their focus is typically on cutting red tape, freeing up land for development, and boosting overall housing supply so prices stabilize naturally through abundance.
  • The Counter-Argument/Risk: Critics argue that without structural tax deterrents, residential real estate remains a favored tax-advantaged shelter for domestic capital, meaning first-home buyers may continue to face heavy competition from leveraged investors who have greater purchasing power.

Deciding Your Vote

When weighing your options, consider whether you believe dampening investor demand via capital/land taxation is the key to slowing price growth, or if stimulating supply and keeping tax settings untouched is a safer route to housing affordability. Reviewing detailed party frameworks directly on platforms like the KPMG 2026 Election Tax Policy Summary or Deloitte Tax Alert can give you a deeper look into the fiscal mechanics each party is putting forward.

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AI Overviews · No location

My partner and I rent, have steady jobs and are trying to save a deposit for our first home. We worry that the target keeps moving. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. Which parties propose changes to taxes on property or capital gains, and what could those changes mean for people trying to buy?

AI Overview

Property and wealth taxation is a major dividing line for the 2026 New Zealand general election. For first-home buyers trying to save a deposit, the competing proposals aim to affect the housing market in very different ways.

Parties Proposing New Property or Capital Taxes

The left-of-centre and minor progressive parties propose various capital gains, wealth, or land taxes:

  • Labour Party: Proposes a flat 28% Capital Gains Tax (CGT) on profits from selling residential investment properties and commercial property, starting July 1, 2027. Crucially, your family home would be fully exempt. Labour has confirmed they will not change current mortgage interest deductibility rules for landlords, opting for the targeted CGT instead.

  • Green Party: Rather than a broad CGT, the Greens propose to reinstate a 10-year bright-line test and remove mortgage interest deductibility for landlords. They also propose a 33% capital acquisitions (inheritance) tax on estates/gifts over $1 million, though family homes remain exempt.

  • Te Pāti Māori: Supports a net wealth tax, alongside specific property interventions like a land banking tax , a vacant house tax , and stamp duty on certain transactions.

  • The Opportunity Party (TOP): Proposes a Land Value Tax (LVT) which functions as an annual tax on the value of land itself, rather than a tax triggered when a property is sold.

Parties Opposing New Property Taxes

The current right-of-centre coalition parties campaign heavily against these measures:

  • National & ACT: Both are campaigning on a "no new taxes" platform. They prefer lower-tax settings and maintain the current rules—which include full mortgage interest deductibility for landlords and a short 2-year bright-line test.

  • New Zealand First: Does not support a broad capital gains or wealth tax, focusing instead on targeted tax adjustments for low-income earners and maintaining stable retirement policies.


Direct Comparison: Key Tax Rules by Party

Party Proposed Capital Gains / Property Tax Treatment of Landlords Exemption for First/Family Homes?
Labour 28% CGT on investment property sales (from July 2027) Landlords keep full interest deductibility Yes , completely exempt
Greens 10-year bright-line test; 33% tax on inheritances over $1M Removes landlord interest deductibility Yes , completely exempt
Te Pāti Māori Vacant house tax, land banking tax & stamp duty Strongly regulates investors Yes (focuses on wealth/investors)
TOP Annual Land Value Tax (LVT) Shifts tax burden to land values Varies based on land value
National / ACT / NZ First None. Retains current 2-year bright-line test Maintains full interest deductibility Yes , no change to status quo

What does this mean for you as a First-Home Buyer?

If policies from Labour, the Greens, or Te Pāti Māori are enacted, the goal is to disincentivise property speculation. By making property investment less profitable via taxes or removing deductions, these parties intend to reduce competition from cashed-up landlords at auctions, potentially cooling house price growth and giving you a fairer shot at securing a property. However, critics argue these rules could lead some landlords to increase rents to cover new costs or pass tax burdens on to tenants while you save.

If the National/ACT/NZ First platform maintains the status quo, the market operates under current conditions. Proponents argue that keeping landlord taxes low ensures a healthy supply of rental properties—keeping your current rent more stable while you save. Critics argue that without structural tax changes, housing remains an incredibly attractive untaxed investment for wealthy buyers, which could keep pushing the "moving target" of house prices out of your reach.

To help tailor this, would you like to explore how the parties plan to help with deposits (like KiwiSaver or First Home Grants), or are you more interested in looking at projections for interest rates under these different fiscal plans?

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