Evidence · NZ Election 2026

Every question, every answer, every source

Everything the study collected, as it was collected on 5 October 2026. Read any answer in full, or download the tables behind every figure in the study.

questions
174
voters the questions were written as
32
answers collected, of 820 planned
815
answers compared like for like
800
pairs of national and town answers
124
answers with sources recorded
774
answers that showed a link
304

01

Every question, with its answers

Each question was written as a voter would ask it and went to all four assistants. Some were also asked from a town. Open a question to read every answer to it in full.

Showing 20 of 174 questions

02

The tables behind the study

Every figure on the study page comes from these tables. They are CSV files, which open in any spreadsheet.

  • Questions

    nz-election-2026-questions.csv

    One row per question.

    Question id, report reference, question, voter, issue, towns it was also asked from, answers per assistant

  • Answers

    nz-election-2026-answers.csv

    One row per answer, with its full text.

    Answer id, question id, assistant, town, words, parties named, showed a link, websites recorded as sources, compared like for like, full text

  • Sources by answer

    nz-election-2026-sources.csv

    One row for each website recorded as a source of an answer.

    Answer id, question id, assistant, town, website, publisher type

  • Checks against official sources

    nz-election-2026-checks.csv

    One row per statement checked.

    Check, answer id, assistant, what the answer said, verdict, what the source says, source, date

  • Who to vote for: coding

    nz-election-2026-guidance.csv

    One row per answer to the eight questions that asked who to vote for.

    Answer id, question id, assistant, what the answer did, the words that show it

  • Location and national answers

    nz-election-2026-towns.csv

    One row per question asked both nationally and from a location, for each assistant.

    Question, town, assistant, both answer ids, parties named nationally and from the town, same parties

Use these tables to trace findings back to the original questions and answers. The full text of each answer is also on this page, under its question.

03

Read in full and checked

Some answers were read in detail or checked against official sources. Those appear on the study page, beside the findings they support.

ChatGPT · No location

For the 2026 New Zealand general election: What would the parties change about electricity prices, fuel costs and the security of energy supply?

As of 5 October 2026, the election is on 7 November 2026, and energy has become a major dividing line. New Zealand Parliament dissolved ahead of tight November vote

The simplest way to understand the parties is:

  • National/ACT: increase supply, rely mainly on competition and private investment, and retain gas/LNG as insurance.
  • Labour/Greens/Te Pāti Māori: accelerate renewable electricity and electrification, reducing exposure to imported fossil-fuel prices.
  • NZ First: intervene much more heavily in the electricity market and pursue domestic oil/gas resources for energy sovereignty.

At a glance

Party Electricity prices Petrol/diesel costs Security of supply
National More generation, competition, solar and batteries; reform lines charges No fuel-tax rise in 2027; 5c/L rise starts 2028; strategic fuel reserves Renewables + gas/LNG + fuel reserves
ACT More private investment and competition; let consumers sell their own power Mainly market-led; less reliance on petrol through electrification LNG in near term, plus batteries, renewables and more generation
Labour Renewable build-out, solar/batteries, public investment; tougher action on excessive pricing Freeze fuel tax for 3 years Renewable energy, storage and grid investment; no LNG terminal
Greens Publicly backed renewable generation, solar, batteries and Kiwipower Reduce dependence on petrol through EVs/public transport Renewable firming/storage; oppose LNG
NZ First Break up the big gentailers and change the wholesale market Develop domestic oil/gas and investigate greater fuel sovereignty Domestic oil/gas + reserves + electricity reform; Marsden Point emphasis
Te Pāti Māori Community-owned renewable energy, solar, batteries and microgrids Reduce dependence on imported fossil fuels “Energy sovereignty”: local renewable generation/storage rather than LNG

National

National's central argument is that high electricity prices are fundamentally a supply problem. Its 2026 Electrify NZ 2.0 plan would make it easier to build wind, solar, hydro and batteries, allow private investment in transmission, make household solar exports more competitive, tackle lines charges and establish a Home Energy Fund offering low-interest loans for electrification. It also wants new AI data centres to bring additional firmed electricity supply. Affordable power Kiwis can rely on | National Party

For reliability, National is particularly concerned about dry years, when hydro generation is constrained. It proposes standardised backup-power contracts and auctions to encourage investment in backup generation. Affordable power Kiwis can rely on | National Party

On transport fuel, the position has actually changed during 2026: National cancelled the planned 12c/L fuel-excise increase for 2027. Instead, a 5c/L increase begins in January 2028, followed by further 5c increases. Government cancels fuel tax hike | National Party

For fuel security, the Government has added diesel storage at Marsden Point and secured an additional 90 million litres of diesel, equivalent to about nine days of supply. Flexibility, adaptability key to Fuel Response Plan | National Party

Bottom line: National expects prices to fall as more generation comes online, while keeping gas/LNG available as insurance against electricity shortages and maintaining imported-fuel contingency measures.


ACT

ACT is even more explicitly market-led.

It argues that the answer to expensive electricity is more generation, investment and competition rather than breaking up the gentailers or imposing price controls. Its September policy would:

  • allow households to sell surplus solar power to whichever retailer offers the best price;
  • open transmission to private investment;
  • strengthen competition rules;
  • make monopoly lines companies demonstrate value for money;
  • encourage more generation and investment. ACT New Zealand

ACT also sees gas as necessary insurance while New Zealand builds enough renewable generation and storage. It has argued that an LNG terminal is the best short-term replacement for declining domestic gas, particularly for dry-year electricity security. ACT New Zealand

It wants faster development of batteries and simpler rules for installing household solar. ACT New Zealand

Bottom line: ACT's prescription is essentially “build much more electricity and let competition sort out prices”, with LNG/gas providing insurance when renewable generation isn't sufficient.


Labour

Labour's approach is much more interventionist on the energy transition.

It says New Zealand should rapidly build home-grown renewable electricity—hydro, wind, solar and geothermal—and use electrification to reduce exposure to global oil and gas shocks. Labour says it would put money through its Future Fund into new generation, storage and grid upgrades. Speech: Electrify Queenstown

For households, Labour's SolarSaver programme would provide government-backed long-term low-interest finance for solar and batteries, plus $3,000 subsidies for low- and middle-income households. It also proposes a $30m community-battery fund. Election 2026: Political polarisation on energy and climate, except solar | PHCC

Labour has also made a significant fuel-price commitment: it will freeze fuel excise for three years. Release: No increase in fuel taxes under Labour

It proposes making price gouging illegal, covering essential goods and services including energy and fuel, with the Commerce Commission able to investigate companies with significant market power. Labour's 2026 Election Policies

On supply security, Labour says it would reinstate the ban on new oil and gas exploration and not proceed with the LNG import terminal. Its argument is that relying on imported LNG simply replaces one form of international fossil-fuel exposure with another. Speech: Electrify Queenstown

Bottom line: Labour's strategy is electrify the economy and build enough renewable generation/storage that global fossil-fuel shocks matter less.


Greens

The Greens go furthest in shifting electricity away from the existing market model.

Their 2026 energy plan proposes Kiwipower, a publicly owned generation company intended particularly to solve the dry-year/firming problem where the market has struggled to provide sufficient reliable renewable capacity. News - Services and Systems - Green Party of Aotearoa New Zealand

They also propose:

The Greens' broader strategy is to get households and transport off fossil fuels. That includes more EV charging, incentives for EV uptake, public transport investment and eventually a phase-out date for importing fossil-fuel-powered vehicles. Election 2026: Political polarisation on energy and climate, except solar | PHCC

They strongly oppose the planned LNG import facility, arguing that it would expose consumers to volatile international gas prices rather than delivering genuine energy independence. Methanex closing eliminates any arguable case for LNG Terminal - Green Party of Aotearoa New Zealand

Bottom line: the Greens' answer is renewables + storage + public ownership + electrification, rather than more fossil-fuel infrastructure.


New Zealand First

NZ First has arguably the most radical electricity-market reform.

It proposes breaking up the large vertically integrated electricity companies—the “gentailers”—so that generation and retail are separated. It says this would prevent the large companies from controlling both the production and retailing of electricity and increase competition. "Power to the People" - Winston Peters - State of the Nation 2026 - New Zealand First

It also proposes:

On fuel security, NZ First is much more willing than Labour or the Greens to pursue domestic oil and gas. Its latest proposal commits $1 billion over the next term to survey New Zealand's offshore/subsurface energy resources, with the aim of developing domestic oil and gas resources if commercially viable. Future Proofing our Fuel Security - New Zealand First

The party says domestic resources could eventually lower fuel and electricity costs and reduce reliance on overseas supply chains. It also favours strategic fuel reserves and a special economic zone around Marsden Point. Budget 2026: Common sense wins for NZ First - New Zealand First

Bottom line: NZ First combines strong government intervention in electricity markets with much greater use of domestic fossil-fuel resources for energy sovereignty.


Te Pāti Māori

Te Pāti Māori's central concept is “energy sovereignty”.

Its proposed direction is to invest in rooftop solar, batteries, community microgrids and community-owned renewable generation, particularly for rural communities, marae and Māori housing. It argues that producing energy locally keeps money in New Zealand and makes households less exposed to international oil and gas shocks. We Must Act Now On Energy Sovereignty- Every Household Is Paying The Price | Scoop News

It has specifically opposed dependence on an LNG solution and favours storage and flexible electricity demand as part of security of supply. NZ Political Party Energy Policies — 2026 | Electrification NZ

The party has been less specific than the Greens or National about the exact dollar amounts and mechanisms it would use, with some detailed energy policies still to be announced. Election 2026: Political polarisation on energy and climate, except solar | PHCC

Bottom line: Te Pāti Māori's model is locally owned renewable energy + batteries + community generation, aimed at both lowering bills and reducing dependence on imported fuel.

The real choice for voters

There are really three competing theories behind these policies:

1. National/ACT — “Build more, let markets work.”
More wind, solar, hydro and batteries, fewer regulatory barriers, private investment, and gas/LNG to cover the gaps. They expect increased supply to bring electricity prices down.

2. Labour/Greens/TPM — “Electrify out of the problem.”
Invest heavily in renewable generation, solar, batteries, grids, EVs and public transport. The idea is that electricity is a domestic resource whereas oil and gas prices are set by volatile international markets.

3. NZ First — “Take control of the energy system.”
Break up the gentailers, intervene more directly in electricity pricing and generation, and simultaneously develop New Zealand's own oil and gas resources to reduce dependence on imports.

One important distinction: none of the parties can guarantee a particular petrol or electricity price. International oil prices, rainfall/hydro conditions, interest rates, construction costs and the cost of capital will still matter. The policies mainly differ over how much government should intervene and whether New Zealand's long-term answer is more fossil-fuel supply, more renewable supply, or a combination.

If your priority is specifically “Which party is most likely to reduce an average household's total energy bill over the next 3–5 years?”, I can compare the parties on that question separately, including estimated effects on an Auckland household's electricity bill and petrol costs.

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Gemini · No location

For the 2026 New Zealand general election: What would the parties change about electricity prices, fuel costs and the security of energy supply?

For the 2026 New Zealand general election, energy policy, living costs, and supply security have emerged as major focal points. Political parties propose distinct approaches to managing electricity prices, fuel and transport costs, and dry-year security.


1. Electricity Prices & Household Costs

  • National Party: Focuses on market efficiency and encouraging household generation. Policies include the Home Energy Fund, offering low-interest, property-linked loans (repaid through council rates) to help households install solar panels, batteries, and insulation. They have also targeted new requirements for data centres to bring their own firmed generation so they do not drive up consumer prices.
  • Labour Party: Proposes the SolarSaver program, featuring zero-interest loans covering up to 90% of installation costs, targeted grants for low- and middle-income households, plug-in solar options for renters, and a $30 million community battery fund. They also support energy performance standards for commercial buildings to lower business power bills.
  • New Zealand First: Advocates for structural market interventions, specifically breaking up vertically integrated gentailers (separating power generation from retail arms) to increase competition and lower power prices.
  • ACT New Zealand: Favors a market-led approach without direct consumer subsidies. ACT argues that if solar or new tech is economically viable, the market will adopt it organically; instead, they focus on cutting red tape and resource-management regulations to free up supply.
  • Green Party / The Opportunities Party (TOP): Propose aggressive government-backed financing (such as interest-free loans) for rooftop solar, community-scale generation, and state housing energy upgrades to drive down power bills for vulnerable households.

2. Fuel Costs & Transport

  • National & ACT: Generally favor roading infrastructure investment and oppose broad-based fuel tax hikes, leaning into market-led transitions for vehicle fleets.
  • Labour Party: Proposes targeted transport cost relief, including a weekly public transport fare cap ($20 weekly in Auckland, Wellington, and Christchurch, and $10 elsewhere) to reduce household transport expenditure.
  • New Zealand First: Backs initiatives like strategic fuel reserves and localized economic zones (such as a proposed special economic zone around Marsden Point for energy generation and distribution) to protect against international fuel shocks.
  • Green Party: Focuses heavily on moving away from fossil fuels by reintroducing EV uptake incentives, expanding public and active transport infrastructure (such as bike lanes and interregional rural buses), and establishing e-bike sharing schemes.
  • The Opportunities Party (TOP): Proposes targeted business EV incentives, such as immediate depreciation and fringe-benefit tax exemptions on light commercial and business EVs to accelerate fleet turnover.

3. Security of Energy Supply & Generation

  • National / Current Coalition Actions: Focused on shoring up firming capacity, investing through mechanisms like Budget support for Genesis Energy to accelerate renewable transition, and tightening rules around electricity-market hedge contracts to prevent anti-competitive behavior by major gentailers.
  • ACT New Zealand: Emphasizes near-term security via market-led generation, supporting the use of Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) backup solutions to cover dry-year thermal gaps, and removing bottlenecks in transmission and distribution connections.
  • New Zealand First: Prioritizes "energy independence" by proposing a major national subsurface energy survey ($1 billion) to explore domestic oil, gas basins, geothermal energy, and carbon-storage sites, alongside funding for strategic fuel reserves.
  • Green Party / Left Bloc: Emphasize 100% renewable-focused solutions (such as public "Kiwipower" style entities or state-backed grid firming) to close generation gaps without relying on new fossil fuel exploration.

What specific aspect of these energy policies (e.g., household solar schemes or regional fuel security) would you like to explore further?

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Google AI Mode · No location

For the 2026 New Zealand general election: What would the parties change about electricity prices, fuel costs and the security of energy supply?

For the November 2026 New Zealand general election, political parties diverge sharply on how to address rising power bills, transport fuel pressures, and energy reliability, with theNational Party focusing on line charges, market competition, and dry-year back-up infrastructure, while opposition and minor parties emphasize breaking up dominant gentailers, accelerating rooftop solar, and reducing fossil fuel reliance.


National Party Policies (Electrify NZ 2.0)

The National package released in October 2026 targets multiple components of household and business power bills beyond wholesale electricity generation:

  • Lines and Network Charges: Proposes reviewing the Commerce Commission's capital expenditure caps on lines companies to pass down savings when interest rates drop, and amending the Electricity Industry Act to allow private transmission infrastructure.

  • Regulatory Focus on Affordability: Pledges to legally write "affordability" as a core mandatory objective for the Electricity Authority, putting household and business costs on equal footing with competition and reliability. [NZ Herald]

  • Dry-Year Security and Auctions: Requires the Electricity Authority to regularly publish independent assessments of dry-year back-up needs and mandates standardized back-up power contracts auctioned openly, reducing market concentration by major gentailers. [NZ Herald]

  • Consumer Choice and Distributed Solar: Proposes allowing households and businesses with solar panels or batteries to sell surplus energy to any retailer rather than being locked into their current provider. It also includes the Home Energy Fund to provide low-interest loans for home solar installations.

  • Data Center Rules: Requires new high-demand AI data centres to fund and provide their own firmed power generation. [RNZ]

  • LNG Import Terminal: Supports investigating a liquefied natural gas (LNG) import terminal to manage dry-year hydro shortfalls, though coalition consensus on this procurement remains sensitive. [NZ Herald]

Labour Party & Opposition Proposals

The Labour Party and center-left alignment approach power prices and energy security through structural market reform and public infrastructure: [Public Health Communication Centre]

  • Breaking Up Gentailers: Advocates for splitting vertically integrated generation and retail (gentailer) companies to foster harsher market competition and drive down wholesale prices for consumers.

  • Public and Regional Infrastructure: Focuses on funding regional and national public transport networks, heavy rail, and active transport corridors to give regional communities viable alternatives to private vehicle use and insulate households from volatile international transport fuel costs.

  • State Ownership: Places emphasis on retaining and increasing national ownership and control over core generation and distribution assets. [Public Health Communication Centre]

Green Party & Climate-Focused Strategies

The Green Party highlights a rapid, managed transition away from fossil-fuel dependencies: [Public Health Communication Centre]

  • 100% Renewable Target: Prioritizes moving to complete renewable generation while blocking new fossil gas exploration or LNG infrastructure.

  • Community and Distributed Energy: Supports nationwide funding for community-owned solar and localized microgrids to lower household bills and build local resilience against national grid failures.

  • Transport and Fuel Costs: Promotes large-scale electrification of the public transport fleet and financial support for active transport to completely phase out petrol and diesel price vulnerability.

Security of Energy Supply & Fuel Stances Across the Spectrum

  • Dry-Year Risk Management: While National and its coalition partners look toward market-driven back-up auctions and gas/LNG supply solutions, the Green and Labour blocs argue that over-reliance on fossil back-ups increases long-term risk and emissions, favoring battery storage and demand-response mechanisms instead.

  • Transport Fuels: Fuel costs remain tied to global oil markets and local fuel excise adjustments. Left-leaning parties propose mitigating this via public transport alternatives and EV transitions, while right-leaning and conservative perspectives focus on roading network maintenance and minimizing regulatory costs on commercial transport operators.

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