Evidence · NZ Election 2026

Every question, every answer, every source

Everything the study collected, as it was collected on 5 October 2026. Read any answer in full, or download the tables behind every figure in the study.

questions
174
voters the questions were written as
32
answers collected, of 820 planned
815
answers compared like for like
800
pairs of national and town answers
124
answers with sources recorded
774
answers that showed a link
304

01

Every question, with its answers

Each question was written as a voter would ask it and went to all four assistants. Some were also asked from a town. Open a question to read every answer to it in full.

Showing 20 of 174 questions

02

The tables behind the study

Every figure on the study page comes from these tables. They are CSV files, which open in any spreadsheet.

  • Questions

    nz-election-2026-questions.csv

    One row per question.

    Question id, report reference, question, voter, issue, towns it was also asked from, answers per assistant

  • Answers

    nz-election-2026-answers.csv

    One row per answer, with its full text.

    Answer id, question id, assistant, town, words, parties named, showed a link, websites recorded as sources, compared like for like, full text

  • Sources by answer

    nz-election-2026-sources.csv

    One row for each website recorded as a source of an answer.

    Answer id, question id, assistant, town, website, publisher type

  • Checks against official sources

    nz-election-2026-checks.csv

    One row per statement checked.

    Check, answer id, assistant, what the answer said, verdict, what the source says, source, date

  • Who to vote for: coding

    nz-election-2026-guidance.csv

    One row per answer to the eight questions that asked who to vote for.

    Answer id, question id, assistant, what the answer did, the words that show it

  • Location and national answers

    nz-election-2026-towns.csv

    One row per question asked both nationally and from a location, for each assistant.

    Question, town, assistant, both answer ids, parties named nationally and from the town, same parties

Use these tables to trace findings back to the original questions and answers. The full text of each answer is also on this page, under its question.

03

Read in full and checked

Some answers were read in detail or checked against official sources. Those appear on the study page, beside the findings they support.

ChatGPT · No location

I run a small manufacturing business that exports and employs staff. We are considering new equipment but worry about demand, freight costs and finding skilled workers. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. How do parties' energy and fuel policies affect businesses making and moving goods?

For a goods manufacturer/exporter, the important point is that energy policy affects you through three different cost channels: electricity at the factory, fuel and road/rail costs for moving inputs and exports, and the investment climate for equipment and energy-intensive production.

The 2026 general election is on 7 November 2026, so the positions below are the parties' published policies as of 4 October. Key election milestone reached | Elections NZ

At a glance

Party Electricity Petrol/diesel & freight What it could mean for a manufacturer
National More generation, transmission and competition; further deregulation/streamlining of energy projects Has cancelled the planned 2027 fuel-excise increase; fuel-response plan prioritises food/freight during shortages Emphasis on keeping energy/freight costs down and encouraging private investment
Labour Accelerate renewable generation, storage and grid investment; home solar/low-cost electrification Freeze fuel tax for three years Lower near-term fuel-tax risk, while greater public investment aims at cheaper/reliable electricity
Greens Rapid renewable build-out, electrification and greater public/community role in energy Strong shift away from fossil fuels; investment in electrified transport and freight Potentially higher transition/investment requirements for fossil-fuel-dependent operations, but potentially less exposure to imported fuel prices over time
NZ First More domestic gas/oil exploration alongside geothermal and other energy; proposed changes to electricity ownership/competition Strategic fuel reserves; major rail investment; support for energy-intensive manufacturing Strong emphasis on energy security and keeping manufacturing operating, including through domestic gas
ACT More private investment, competition and generation; private transmission investment; reopen oil/gas development Focus on road productivity and using road-user revenue for roads; lower carbon-price settings Fewer regulatory constraints on conventional energy and freight, with market-led investment
Te Pāti Māori $1bn Energy Sovereignty Fund for Māori/community-owned renewable assets Broader electrification and energy-independence approach More community/Māori ownership and renewable investment; potentially new financing and partnership opportunities

National

National's 2026 platform is particularly relevant if your concern is energy supply plus capital investment. Its Electrify NZ 2.0 proposal includes new energy-development zones, cheaper/faster electricity connections and allowing businesses with solar or batteries to sell power to whichever retailer offers the best price. National explicitly links lower wholesale electricity prices with the competitiveness of manufacturers and exporters. Affordable power Kiwis can rely on | National Party

On liquid fuels, National has just cancelled the scheduled 12-cent-per-litre fuel-excise increase for January 2027, replacing it with a 5c increase from January 2028. Government cancels fuel tax hike | National Party It has also developed a fuel-shortage response under which food and freight receive protected access to fuel, subject to fuel-saving requirements, during a severe disruption. Flexibility, adaptability key to Fuel Response Plan | National Party

For your business: the relevant question is whether you value predictable, relatively low conventional fuel costs and faster private-sector energy investment, versus other parties' more interventionist approaches.

Labour

Labour has made a particularly direct commitment on your freight-cost concern: it says it will freeze fuel tax for three years. Its fiscal plan says this is fully funded. Labour's Fiscal Plan 2026 - NZ Labour

For electricity, Labour's proposed New Zealand Future Fund would focus partly on clean, affordable energy, accelerating generation and storage and upgrading the grid. It also proposes support for small businesses investing in equipment: from July 2027, eligible small businesses could immediately write off up to $10,000 of new equipment. Labour's New Zealand Future Fund

That latter policy isn't an energy policy, but it is unusually relevant to your question about buying machinery.

For your business: Labour's combination is relatively straightforward to model: three years without higher fuel tax, more public investment in energy infrastructure, and a specific small-business equipment incentive. The uncertainty is how quickly additional generation/grid investment translates into industrial electricity prices.

Greens

The Greens have the most explicit electrification strategy. They want a National Electrification Plan covering homes, transport and industry, with the stated aim of reducing dependence on imported fossil fuels. They specifically describe an industrial strategy for electrifying freight and production. Greens’ State of the Planet calls for National Electrification Plan - Green Party of Aotearoa New Zealand

Their 2026 manifesto calls for rapid fossil-fuel phase-out, more renewable generation, and an energy system oriented toward affordable renewable energy and public benefit. Manifesto 2026 - Green Party of Aotearoa New Zealand

For a manufacturer, that creates two quite different effects:

  • If your factory can economically switch boilers, forklifts, vehicles or process heat to electricity, the policy direction could eventually reduce exposure to oil-price shocks.
  • If you have equipment that depends on diesel, gas or other fossil fuels, the transition could mean earlier capital expenditure and changing compliance/cost assumptions.

The Greens also oppose simply freezing fuel excise because they argue doing so weakens funding for roads and transport infrastructure. News - Services and Systems - Green Party of Aotearoa New Zealand

New Zealand First

NZ First puts unusually strong emphasis on energy security and domestic production. Its 2026 programme includes $150m for additional strategic fuel reserves, $1.2bn to help businesses transition from gas, and $1.075bn for KiwiRail's planned network. Budget 2026: Common sense wins for NZ First - New Zealand First

It has also proposed breaking up the large electricity generators/retailers and creating long-term contracts for new generation, arguing this would increase competition and supply. "Power to the People" - Winston Peters - State of the Nation 2026 - New Zealand First

Separately, NZ First has been advocating substantial investment in domestic oil and gas exploration and storage, alongside geothermal development. Hansard - New Zealand Parliament

For an exporter: the strategic-fuel-reserve and rail policies are directly relevant to logistics resilience. Its domestic-energy approach is also designed to support energy-intensive manufacturing rather than rapidly moving away from fossil fuels.

ACT

ACT's approach is heavily centred on market competition and removing regulatory barriers. Its 2026 energy policy proposes more private investment in generation and transmission, allowing businesses/households to sell their own electricity to the buyer of their choice, and greater competition in electricity networks. ACT New Zealand

ACT also supports continued oil and gas development and has campaigned for a lower carbon price, arguing that carbon costs flow through into power, freight and other goods. ACT New Zealand

For freight, ACT's policy focuses on getting more value from fuel taxes and road-user charges and building/maintaining roads. The party says its objective is to ensure transport revenue is actually spent on transport infrastructure. ACT New Zealand

For your business: this is the most market-led approach of the group. The intended benefit is lower regulatory friction and greater private investment; the trade-off is less reliance on government-directed investment or subsidies.

Te Pāti Māori

Te Pāti Māori's new Energy Sovereignty policy proposes a $1 billion fund for Māori and community ownership of renewable-energy assets, alongside stronger regulatory powers over excessive energy pricing and a long-term national energy plan. We Want Cheaper Power And We Want Our People To Own It. - Te Pāti Māori

Its broader proposal includes community batteries, renewable generation, workforce development and rural energy capability. Te Pāti Māori proposes $1 billion fund to shift energy ownership | Te Arawa FM

For a conventional manufacturer, the immediate impact is less obvious than under National, Labour or NZ First. But if your business is located near community/iwi energy projects—or could participate in distributed generation, storage or workforce development—it could create opportunities.

What matters specifically for your three concerns

1. "Should I buy the equipment?"

Don't look only at today's power bill. For a capital-intensive machine, I'd stress-test your decision against:

  • electricity price over 5–10 years;
  • diesel/gas price and any applicable carbon/fuel taxes;
  • whether the machine can be electrified;
  • availability and cost of connection capacity;
  • depreciation/immediate-write-off rules;
  • export demand;
  • and whether your machinery would become obsolete under a faster electrification pathway.

The biggest policy difference is transition speed: Greens and, to a lesser extent, Labour envisage a much faster shift toward electrification, whereas National, ACT and NZ First put more weight on expanding the energy supply mix, including gas.

2. "What happens to freight costs?"

This is where fuel tax versus infrastructure spending matters.

A lower fuel tax directly reduces your trucking bill, but freight also depends on road quality, congestion, bridges, rail capacity and the ability to move heavier loads efficiently. National, Labour and ACT have different answers to that trade-off; the Greens explicitly argue that freezing fuel excise undermines future transport funding. News - Services and Systems - Green Party of Aotearoa New Zealand

National has also already made changes allowing heavier zero-emission vehicles and removing some HPMV/50MAX permitting requirements, which could reduce compliance and trip costs for some operators. Regulatory changes to help Kiwis during fuel uncertainty | National Party

3. "Can I find skilled workers?"

Energy policy won't solve your skills shortage by itself. But there are indirect differences.

Labour's Future Fund explicitly includes apprenticeships, mid-career upskilling and technology adoption, while NZ First points to expanded Trades Academy places. Labour's New Zealand Future Fund Te Pāti Māori's energy policy also includes workforce development around renewable energy. Te Pāti Māori proposes $1 billion fund to shift energy ownership | Te Arawa FM

So if your future equipment requires electricians, automation technicians, engineers or other specialist trades, the skills pipeline associated with the energy transition may actually matter almost as much as the price of electricity.

The business question I'd put to each party

Rather than asking "Which party is best for business?", you could ask each campaign five very concrete questions:

  1. What will industrial electricity cost and reliability look like over the next 5–10 years?
  2. What happens to diesel, RUC and carbon costs for freight operators?
  3. How quickly can a manufacturer obtain additional electricity connection capacity?
  4. What financial incentive exists for a small manufacturer buying $100k–$1m of productive equipment?
  5. What is the plan for training enough electricians, automation technicians and skilled tradespeople?

Those questions get much closer to your actual investment decision than the parties' broader arguments about "energy security" or "climate action."

One important caveat: election promises aren't guaranteed outcomes, particularly under MMP. Parties may need coalition agreements, and the final policy mix can differ substantially from a manifesto. What happens in a general election? | Elections NZ

If you tell me roughly what you manufacture, whether your plant uses electricity/gas/diesel heavily, and whether your freight is mainly road, rail, sea or air, I can turn this into a more specific business-impact comparison of National vs Labour vs Greens vs NZ First vs ACT, without telling you how to vote.

Ask anything

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Gemini · No location

I run a small manufacturing business that exports and employs staff. We are considering new equipment but worry about demand, freight costs and finding skilled workers. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. How do parties' energy and fuel policies affect businesses making and moving goods?

Navigating a small manufacturing and exporting business involves managing tight margins, and your concerns about freight, energy overheads, and demand are central to the economic debates in the 2026 New Zealand general election.

Political parties take distinctly different philosophical approaches to energy, fuel, and transport infrastructure. How these policies affect your bottom line depends on whether you rely more heavily on heavy road freight, stationary electricity for manufacturing, or fossil fuel inputs.


1. Freight and Fuel Costs (Moving Goods)

Freight costs are heavily impacted by road user charges (RUC), fuel excise taxes, and global shipping resilience. Parties divide sharply on how to manage these costs:

  • National and ACT: Generally favor lower or delayed increases on fuel taxes and RUC to ease immediate cost-of-living and business overhead pressures, prioritizing road transport network expansions (like roads of national significance) to cut transit times. However, critics argue that freezing these funds can create tradeoffs in long-term road maintenance quality.
  • Labour: Has proposed specific relief measures, such as freezing or deferring fuel tax increases for set periods to insulate transport operators and exporters from sudden price shocks.
  • New Zealand First: Emphasizes national supply chain and fuel security, pushing for regional infrastructure integration (such as strategic economic zones and robust domestic transport links via road, rail, and coastal shipping) to protect against international shipping volatility.
  • Green Party / The Opportunities Party (TOP): Generally support user-pays principles and carbon pricing mechanisms that reflect the true environmental cost of fossil fuels. They favor shifting freight toward rail and coastal shipping and incentivizing electric commercial vehicles (EVs) through business tax depreciation or grants to insulate fleets from global oil shocks over the long term.

2. Energy and Electricity Policies (Making Goods)

For a manufacturer, grid reliability and the cost of electricity or gas are critical to keeping factory lines running without pricing you out of export markets.

  • Fossil Fuel & Gas Access (NZ First, National, ACT): Parties on the center-and-right place a strong emphasis on energy security and lowering industrial barriers. For instance, proposals include surveying domestic gas and energy resources or supporting traditional baseload energy to prevent the sharp price spikes that manufacturers face during dry-hydro years. NZ First and others have also backed transition support funds to help heavy users manage gas changes.
  • Electrification & Renewables (Labour, Greens, TOP): Center-and-left parties focus heavily on accelerating industrial electrification, offering co-funding, low-interest clean energy loans, or targeted subsidies for businesses transitioning away from fossil fuels to renewable electricity. While this reduces long-term exposure to global coal and gas pricing, it places high demands on local electricity distribution networks.
  • Market Structure: Proposals also target the electricity market itself—ranging from National's focus on grid-efficiency and data-center rules to New Zealand First's recurring proposals to reform power companies by separating generation from retail to increase wholesale market competition for heavy commercial users.

Summary for Your Business

  • If your primary anxiety is immediate cash flow and high daily fuel/RUC bills, policies from National, ACT, or Labour offering tax freezes or deferrals provide short-term relief.
  • If you are looking to future-proof against long-term energy volatility, left-leaning or centrist policies focused on industrial electrification co-funding and renewable transition loans may help insulate your manufacturing plant from overseas energy shocks—though they require upfront capital.
  • If supply chain predictability and domestic freight resilience are your main bottlenecks, regional infrastructure and domestic maritime/rail investments championed by parties like NZ First aim to streamline how goods travel from factory floor to port.

Are you more concerned about managing short-term operational expenses like fuel taxes, or investing in long-term energy transitions for your plant?

Ask Gemini

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Google AI Mode · No location

I run a small manufacturing business that exports and employs staff. We are considering new equipment but worry about demand, freight costs and finding skilled workers. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. How do parties' energy and fuel policies affect businesses making and moving goods?

For a small New Zealand manufacturing, exporting, and employing business, energy and fuel policies directly dictate your overheads, your supply chain/freight velocity, and indirectly, your workforce availability (via cost of living and transport affordability).

Political parties approach these intersections differently in the 2026 general election landscape, dividing largely on how to balance market intervention, carbon reduction, and energy security.


1. Freight Costs & Moving Goods

Road freight carries roughly 93% of New Zealand’s freight by tonnage, making fuel excise taxes, Road User Charges (RUC), and supply chain infrastructure core to your delivery margins.

  • Centre-Right / National & ACT: Tend to focus heavily on roading infrastructure investment, opposing new broad fuel taxes, and cutting red tape for transport operators. Their approach prioritises keeping heavy-vehicle operating costs (like RUC and diesel taxes) down or stable to support supply chain competitiveness, though they support transitioning fleets through market-led technology rather than heavy mandates. [WhichParty NZ]

  • Centre-Left / Labour & Greens: Emphasise lower-emission freight corridors, rail investment, and transitioning commercial transport fleets to lower-carbon alternatives. While they offer incentives or transition support for green logistics, their climate mitigation frameworks can sometimes carry higher compliance or transitional fuel pricing costs if carbon pricing mechanisms increase.

  • Populist / New Zealand First: Often focuses on regional supply chain resilience, road network quality, and pushing back against high fuel costs/taxes that hurt provincial manufacturing transport.

2. Energy Costs & Making Goods (Manufacturing Input)

Electricity and gas pricing for industrial manufacturing depends heavily on the national grid's security and generation market structure. The debate over whether to split or restructure the major "gentailer" (generation and retail) power companies is a major 2026 election flashpoint. [WhichParty NZ]

  • New Zealand First & The Greens: Have pushed for structural interventions (like a Telecom-style split of the major power generation and retail companies) to lower spot prices and tame corporate power. Greens and left-leaning parties argue this prevents generators from profiting excessively off high spot prices, potentially benefiting heavy energy-using manufacturers. [WhichParty NZ]

  • National & ACT: Generally reject structural breakups of gentailers. ACT and National prefer deregulation, encouraging new private investment, and—in ACT's case—repealing bans like oil and gas exploration to secure abundant baseload energy supply and drive down costs through open market competition rather than state intervention. [WhichParty NZ]

  • Labour: Leaves the door open to market structure adjustments without fully committing to aggressive structural splits, balancing industrial consumer protections with renewable transition goals. [WhichParty NZ]

3. Finding Skilled Workers & Living Costs

Your ability to attract and retain staff relies on their cost of living, which is tightly bound to household energy (power bills) and local transport costs.

  • Left-Bloc Parties (Labour, Greens, Te Pāti Māori): Focus on direct relief for household energy bills through targeted interventions, promoting energy-efficient housing/retrofits, and subsidised active/public transport options to ease the cost-of-living burden on workers.

  • Right-Bloc Parties (National, ACT): Focus on income tax relief, cutting regulatory barriers to general economic activity, and reducing inflation through fiscal restraint. They argue that lowering the overall cost of doing business creates a more robust job market and higher real wages for skilled employees.


To help narrow down which party platform aligns best with your specific operation, could you share:

  • Whether your manufacturing process is heavily electricity-reliant or gas/fuel-dependent?

  • Whether your freight is predominantly local/regional road transport or international export shipping?

Ask anything

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AI Overviews · No location

I run a small manufacturing business that exports and employs staff. We are considering new equipment but worry about demand, freight costs and finding skilled workers. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. How do parties' energy and fuel policies affect businesses making and moving goods?

AI Overview

Evaluating party policies for the 2026 New Zealand General Election requires analyzing how energy costs, fuel prices, and infrastructure strategies directly impact your small manufacturing business's operational overheads and export competitiveness.

Energy and fuel policies serve as critical variables for your business's primary operational levers:


🏭 Manufacturing Overhead & Equipment Decisions

The cost and stability of electricity directly impact your decision to invest in new manufacturing machinery.

  • National Party: Focuses on deregulation and supply expansion via its Electrify NZ 2.0 framework. Key mechanics include rewriting the law to make "affordability" a core mandate for the Electricity Authority, fast-tracking renewable consents, and forcing large AI data centres to supply their own firmed power to prevent grid drain. They also support a procurement process for an LNG import terminal to mitigate dry-year price spikes.

  • Labour Party: Centers its strategy on accelerating state-backed renewable partnerships (e.g., supporting Genesis Energy renewable projects). Their SolarSaver program ($160m over 4 years) focuses primarily on residential and community battery rollouts, aiming to take overall pressure off the national grid to stabilize commercial pricing.

  • Green Party: Proposes radical structural change by establishing Kiwipower , a $980 million publicly owned generation and retail company. This model aims to aggressively build state-owned renewable assets to eliminate gentailer profit margins and artificially drive down long-term wholesale power bills.

  • NZ First: Strongly campaigns to break up the "Big Four" gentailers by legally separating electricity generation from retail operations to curb market concentration and corporate pricing power. Budget 2026 measures also included a $1.2 billion fund to help businesses transition away from gas dependency.


🚢 Moving Goods: Freight & Logistics Costs

For an exporter, fuel and freight regulations dictate your margins to global markets.

Political Group Key Fuel & Freight Policies Practical Impact on Your Logistics
National / ACT Coalition Focus on traditional highway infrastructure, reducing transport red tape, and managing global price shocks through targeted fuel-crisis support. Seeks to streamline road freight efficiency, though leaves businesses exposed to volatile global oil markets.
Labour Party Focuses heavily on public transit subsidies and lowering commuter transport pressures (e.g., regional fare caps) to indirectly free up transport corridors for commercial freight. Lowers cost-of-living transport pressures for staff, but relies on broader international supply chains to dictate heavy commercial diesel costs.
Green Party Prioritizes a comprehensive inter-city passenger and freight rail network expansion to shift domestic freight off the roads and insulate logistics from fossil-fuel crises. Lowers carbon footprints for export compliance, but introduces long transition timelines for small business shipping.
NZ First Campaigns for an initial $1 billion national subsurface energy resource survey (oil, gas, minerals) alongside a dedicated Marsden Point Special Economic Zone to bolster domestic fuel refining, distribution, and strategic fuel reserves ($150m). Explicitly designed to shield domestic manufacturers and transport fleets from external global fuel supply shocks.

👥 The "Hidden Ask": Workforce Allocation & Margins

Energy policies also indirectly pressure your ability to hire and retain skilled staff. High domestic energy and fuel costs effectively function as a tax on worker wages. If a party's policy successfully reduces household power and commuting bills (such as the Greens' zero-interest solar loans or Labour's public transport caps), it reduces the cost-of-living burden on your employees. Conversely, business-centric deregulation (like National's RMA reforms) aims to stimulate macro-economic growth, making it easier for you to directly fund competitive wages to attract skilled technicians.

If you would like to analyze further, feel free to share:

  • Whether your machinery relies primarily on gas or electricity

  • Your primary domestic freight method (road vs. rail)

  • The specific skills gap you are currently facing in your workforce

This will help isolate which policy mechanism has the most direct impact on your bottom line.

Ask anything

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