Evidence · NZ Election 2026

Every question, every answer, every source

Everything the study collected, as it was collected on 5 October 2026. Read any answer in full, or download the tables behind every figure in the study.

questions
174
voters the questions were written as
32
answers collected, of 820 planned
815
answers compared like for like
800
pairs of national and town answers
124
answers with sources recorded
774
answers that showed a link
304

01

Every question, with its answers

Each question was written as a voter would ask it and went to all four assistants. Some were also asked from a town. Open a question to read every answer to it in full.

Showing 20 of 174 questions

02

The tables behind the study

Every figure on the study page comes from these tables. They are CSV files, which open in any spreadsheet.

  • Questions

    nz-election-2026-questions.csv

    One row per question.

    Question id, report reference, question, voter, issue, towns it was also asked from, answers per assistant

  • Answers

    nz-election-2026-answers.csv

    One row per answer, with its full text.

    Answer id, question id, assistant, town, words, parties named, showed a link, websites recorded as sources, compared like for like, full text

  • Sources by answer

    nz-election-2026-sources.csv

    One row for each website recorded as a source of an answer.

    Answer id, question id, assistant, town, website, publisher type

  • Checks against official sources

    nz-election-2026-checks.csv

    One row per statement checked.

    Check, answer id, assistant, what the answer said, verdict, what the source says, source, date

  • Who to vote for: coding

    nz-election-2026-guidance.csv

    One row per answer to the eight questions that asked who to vote for.

    Answer id, question id, assistant, what the answer did, the words that show it

  • Location and national answers

    nz-election-2026-towns.csv

    One row per question asked both nationally and from a location, for each assistant.

    Question, town, assistant, both answer ids, parties named nationally and from the town, same parties

Use these tables to trace findings back to the original questions and answers. The full text of each answer is also on this page, under its question.

03

Read in full and checked

Some answers were read in detail or checked against official sources. Those appear on the study page, beside the findings they support.

ChatGPT · No location

I run a café with a small team. Food and power costs are squeezing margins, customers are spending less, and we've experienced a break-in. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. What do parties propose about retail and small-business crime, prevention and policing?

For your situation as a café owner, the key divide in the 2026 election is not simply “tough vs soft on crime.” The parties differ over how much to rely on Police and tougher penalties, how much responsibility to give private security/businesses, and how much to invest in prevention and the causes of offending.

The election is 7 November 2026, and Parliament was dissolved on 1 October. New Zealand Parliament dissolved ahead of tight November vote

What the main parties are proposing

Party Retail/small-business crime Prevention & policing
National Stronger enforcement, expanded powers for businesses/security, longer trespass provisions, infringement fines and stronger consequences for retail offending. More frontline Police, move-on orders for disorder, dedicated Auckland public-transport Police, and tougher sentencing.
ACT Give trained/licensed private security additional powers to protect businesses and public spaces; tougher treatment of repeat burglars and offenders. More intervention against antisocial behaviour, expanded security role and tougher sentencing, including its proposed three-strikes rule for burglary.
NZ First Tougher trespass powers and infringement fines; particular focus on organised crime and stolen goods entering the black market. More Police/frontline enforcement, gang disruption and stronger border/customs capability.
Labour Has opposed expanded citizen-arrest powers for retail workers; its 2026 platform is much more focused on small-business costs than on a new retail-crime programme. Fewer specifically announced retail-crime measures; Labour's emphasis is on prevention/social and economic policy alongside conventional policing.
Green Opposes expanded citizen-arrest, trespass and move-on powers, arguing they can increase risk to workers and customers. Prevention, rehabilitation, housing, income and community interventions; less reliance on imprisonment and punitive enforcement.
Te Pāti Māori Opposes the current expansion of punitive retail/criminal-justice powers. A much more fundamental shift toward Māori-led/community justice, prevention and rehabilitation, with a stated goal of abolishing prisons by 2040.
Opportunity Does not centre its policy on giving retailers more enforcement powers. “Smart on Crime”: evidence-based early intervention, specialist courts, restorative justice and post-prison rehabilitation.

National

National is continuing the law-and-order approach it has pursued in government. It says it has funded 500 additional Police, supported stronger retail-crime laws and introduced measures including move-on orders. Its 2026 policy platform also includes a dedicated Auckland Transport Police Team for buses and trains. 2026 Election Policy | National Party

For a café or shop, two measures are particularly relevant:

  • Move-on orders: Police have new powers to require people engaging in disorderly behaviour in public places to leave. The Government explicitly links this to problems affecting town centres and businesses. Move-on orders to target disorderly behaviour | National Party
  • Citizen's arrest: legislation passed in August 2026 expands the ability of businesses and others to detain/arrest people suspected of offending. National presents this as empowering retailers; Retail NZ, along with the Police Association and BusinessNZ, has warned that untrained staff trying to restrain offenders could increase the risk of serious injury. Enhanced citizens’ arrest powers pass into law | National Party

National therefore puts relatively substantial weight on deterrence, enforcement and giving Police/businesses more tools.

ACT

ACT goes further in putting some responsibility for immediate protection onto the private sector.

Its July 2026 policy proposes a new licence for trained security professionals that would give them additional authority to protect businesses and shared public spaces, including retailers and shopping strips. ACT argues Police cannot respond immediately to every incident. ACT New Zealand

ACT is also proposing:

  • tougher measures against repeat offenders;
  • three years' minimum imprisonment without parole for someone convicted of burglary three times;
  • greater ability to intervene against antisocial behaviour; and
  • broader use of private security as a complement to Police. ACT New Zealand

For a small café, the distinctive ACT question is therefore: would you rather have more Police-led intervention, or more legally empowered security available to businesses?

New Zealand First

NZ First's approach is also enforcement-heavy, but it puts particular emphasis on organised and transnational crime.

The party says retail crime is harming retail workers, small-business owners and customers, and supports stronger trespass powers and infringement fines. It also highlights its work against criminal networks supplying stolen retail goods and illicit tobacco. Making New Zealand and New Zealanders Safer - New Zealand First

NZ First's 2026 Budget priorities include $50 million for frontline policing and $70.7 million for border security/customs equipment to combat organised crime and illicit drugs. Budget 2026: Common sense wins for NZ First - New Zealand First

So its model is broadly more frontline enforcement + stronger borders + disruption of organised criminal supply chains.

Labour

Labour's 2026 campaign is much more dominated by cost of living and small-business economics than by announcing a new retail-crime package.

Its Small Business Action Plan includes:

  • raising the low-value asset write-off from $1,000 to $10,000 for businesses under $10 million annual revenue;
  • raising the compulsory GST-registration threshold from $60,000 to $80,000;
  • measures intended to improve business cash flow. Labour's Small Business Action Plan

On crime, Labour has opposed the Government's expanded citizen-arrest approach, arguing that asking ordinary retail workers to physically detain suspected shoplifters can put them in danger. Retail NZ's election comparison says Labour had not announced a specific new retail-crime policy as of its September review. Retail Crime - Retail NZ

That matters for you because Labour's approach effectively puts more emphasis on Police handling offenders rather than expecting café/shop staff to become part of the enforcement mechanism.

Green Party

The Greens take the clearest opposing position to the Government's retail-crime enforcement changes.

They oppose expanded citizen's arrest, trespass and move-on powers, arguing that these measures don't address the causes of retail offending and can increase risks for workers. In Parliament's consideration of the trespass legislation, the Greens specifically argued for tackling housing, incomes and youth disadvantage instead. Trespass (Specified Retail Premises and Other Matters) Amendment Bill | New Zealand Legislation

Their 2026 manifesto frames community safety around prevention and rehabilitation, with policies aimed at the drivers of crime. Manifesto 2026 - Green Party of Aotearoa New Zealand

The Greens are also proposing measures that could affect the commercial environment around a café: for example, allowing commercial rents to fall when market rents fall and allowing councils to auction long-vacant retail premises, with the stated aim of making town centres more vibrant and safer. Green Party announce plan for city centre vibrancy - Green Party of Aotearoa New Zealand

So their theory is closer to make places economically and socially healthier → reduce the conditions associated with offending, rather than primarily increasing punishment.

Te Pāti Māori

Te Pāti Māori proposes the most substantial change to the justice system.

Its justice policy calls for:

  • Māori-led justice authorities and community solutions;
  • moving away from mass imprisonment;
  • repealing a number of recent punitive justice measures;
  • greater investment in kaupapa Māori mental-health, addiction and restorative-justice services;
  • Police body cameras; and
  • ultimately abolishing prisons by 2040. Justice - Te Pāti Māori New (Not live)

Its central argument is that poverty, trauma, unemployment, homelessness and other structural factors contribute to offending, so resources should move from prisons toward prevention and community-led responses. Election 2026: Te Pāti Māori to campaign on abolishing prisons, Labour dead-set against it – Te Ao Māori News

This is a very different conception of retail crime from National/ACT/NZ First: less emphasis on punishment and incarceration, considerably more on changing the conditions that produce repeat offending.

Opportunity

Opportunity's “Smart on Crime” policy sits somewhat between the two approaches.

It wants evidence-based early intervention, including youth mentoring, parenting and trauma programmes, specialist courts and addiction treatment. It also proposes restorative justice and substantially better support after prison—housing, employment, vocational training and mentoring—to reduce reoffending. Smart on Crime - The Opportunity Party

Its premise is explicitly that reducing crime requires evaluating which interventions actually reduce offending, rather than simply adopting measures because they sound tougher. Smart on Crime - The Opportunity Party

What this means specifically for a café

There are actually four separate issues hidden inside “crime” that are worth considering when you compare manifestos:

  1. Someone breaks into your premises at night.
    National, ACT and NZ First place greater emphasis on punishment, Police powers and deterrence. ACT additionally wants private security to have greater powers.

  2. Someone shoplifts, threatens staff or behaves aggressively during opening hours.
    National/ACT/NZ First favour stronger immediate enforcement tools. Labour, Greens and Te Pāti Māori are more resistant to having ordinary workers physically intervene. Retail NZ itself has warned about the safety implications of expanded citizen-arrest powers. Alarm bells ring as citizen’s arrest laws pass - Retail NZ

  3. Your neighbourhood becomes disorderly or loses customers because people feel unsafe.
    National/ACT favour Police powers such as move-on orders. The Greens put greater emphasis on making town centres economically vibrant, filling vacant premises and addressing underlying social problems. Move-on orders to target disorderly behaviour | National Party

  4. Your margins are being squeezed even when crime isn't involved.
    This is where the parties' small-business policies become quite important. Labour has a specific small-business package; the Greens have small-business and town-centre measures; National emphasises lower taxes, energy and regulatory changes; NZ First is proposing competition measures affecting groceries and energy. Retail NZ's own 2026 manifesto identifies crime, energy costs, card fees, tax thresholds and town-centre investment as interconnected retail concerns. Retail NZ calls on bold action from next government - Retail NZ

A useful way to compare them

Rather than asking “which party is toughest on crime?”, you could ask yourself these five concrete questions:

  • Who should physically deal with an offender—Police, trained security, or nobody except trained authorities?
  • Do tougher sentences actually matter more to me than reducing repeat offending?
  • How much weight do I put on prevention—youth services, addiction treatment, housing and employment?
  • How much should government spend on visible Police presence in commercial areas?
  • Given my café's margins, how important are energy, tax, rent, consumer spending and small-business policies relative to crime policy?

That last question is significant: Retail NZ's 2026 election work treats retail crime as only one part of the sector's problem, alongside high energy costs, card fees, weak consumer demand and town-centre conditions. Retail NZ calls on bold action from next government - Retail NZ

If you want, I can next turn this into a café-owner-focused comparison of National vs Labour vs ACT vs NZ First vs Greens, covering crime + power prices + food costs + tax/GST + wages + small-business regulation, without telling you which way to vote.

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Gemini · No location

I run a café with a small team. Food and power costs are squeezing margins, customers are spending less, and we've experienced a break-in. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. What do parties propose about retail and small-business crime, prevention and policing?

Navigating squeezed margins, rising overheads, falling consumer spending, and the violation of a break-in is an immense amount of pressure for a small hospitality team to shoulder. Ahead of the 2026 general election, retail crime, small-business support, and law and order are major political battlegrounds.

The primary policy directions proposed by New Zealand's political parties regarding retail crime, prevention, policing, and small-business relief outline distinct approaches:


1. National Party (Current Government)

  • Law and Order Approach: National anchors its retail crime strategy around a "back-to-basics" law and order agenda. This includes utilizing Ministerial Advisory Groups for Victims of Retail Crime to fast-track operational solutions, increasing police foot patrols, and implementing stricter sentencing guidelines (such as capping sentence discounts and restoring "Three Strikes" legislation).
  • Prevention & Powers: They have introduced legislative tools targeting public disorder, including "move-on" orders for police to deal with disorderly behavior in public spaces, alongside wider crackdowns on gangs and aggravated offending.
  • Small Business Context: While their main economic focus centers on inflation control and business compliance relief rather than direct crime subsidies, their law-and-order platform directly pitches itself toward retail security and deterrence.

2. Labour Party

  • Small Business & Cost Relief: Labour has rolled out a specific Small Business Action Plan aimed at easing cash flow and cost pressures. Key policies include a "Paid on Time" law requiring large companies to pay small business invoices (under $25,000) within 15 days, an immediate asset write-up threshold of up to $10,000 for equipment investment, and lifting the compulsory GST registration threshold to $80,000 (from July 2028) to reduce compliance costs.
  • Justice & Crime: Labour generally favors a blend of targeted social intervention alongside operational police support, criticizing policies they view as overly punitive while emphasizing resources directed into community-level crime prevention and support systems.

3. ACT New Zealand

  • Tougher Sentencing & Consequences: ACT advocates for strict consequences for repeat property and retail offenders. Notable proposals include a mandatory minimum sentence of three years for third-time burglars.
  • Rehabilitation Incentives: They have also floated alternative corrections approaches, such as incentivizing early prison release for inmates who successfully learn a trade, achieve qualifications, or improve literacy.

4. Green Party

  • Community-Led Prevention: The Greens focus heavily on socio-economic root causes of crime. They caution against policies like extended trespass or citizen-arrest powers—arguing they risk racial profiling—and instead advocate for funding community-led prevention, mental health, and early intervention programs to drive down crime.
  • Cost of Living: For cafes struggling with food costs, the Greens have historically campaigned to remove GST off fresh food and tackle supplier costs by addressing market competition.

5. New Zealand First

  • Frontline Policing & Public Safety: NZ First prioritizes law and order as a foundational economic issue, advocating for increased police presence, harsher penalties for anti-social behavior and retail theft, and tighter controls to ensure community safety.

Summary Checklist for a Café Owner

  • If you want harder penalties and police tools: Parties like National, ACT, and NZ First are campaigning heavily on stricter sentencing, move-on powers, and increased frontline visibility.
  • If you want relief from operational/cash-flow squeezes: Parties like Labour are targeting cash flow directly via 15-day invoice rules for big businesses and higher GST thresholds.

Given how demanding running a hospitality business is right now, are you more focused on finding immediate relief for your cash-flow and operating costs, or are policy solutions around security and local policing your top priority for this election?

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Google AI Mode · No location

I run a café with a small team. Food and power costs are squeezing margins, customers are spending less, and we've experienced a break-in. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. What do parties propose about retail and small-business crime, prevention and policing?

Running a small café under these pressures is tough, and dealing with a break-in on top of margin squeezes and softer consumer spending is a heavy load. As you weigh your vote in the 2026 general election, New Zealand's political parties have laid out distinct approaches to retail crime, law and order, and small business support.


National (Incumbent / Governing Party)

  • Core Approach: Grounded heavily in the Ministerial Advisory Group (MAG) for Victims of Retail Crime.

  • Action & Legislation: Passed the Crimes Act Amendment Bill in mid-2026, which expanded retail powers (including provisions around mechanical restraints for detaining shoplifters), increased maximum trespass notice durations from two to three years, and introduced stricter penalties for assaulting frontline workers and first responders.

  • Policing & Prevention: Highlighted delivery on frontline police numbers (pledging and deploying hundreds more police) and emphasized dropping overall stats for ram-raids and serious retail incidents compared to the previous term.

ACT New Zealand

  • Core Approach: Focuses on harsher deterrents for repeat offenders and expanding practical powers for private security/retail workers.

  • Action & Policies: Pitched a specific retail and property crime package featuring a "three strikes" regime specifically targeted at repeat burglary (carrying a minimum three-year sentence with no parole on a third conviction).

  • Other Measures: Proposes stricter deportation rules for resident visa holders convicted of serious crimes and advocates for regulatory/security empowerments that Retail NZ has welcomed to protect shop staff, though critics question worker safety risks.

New Zealand First

  • Core Approach: Targeting the organized, upstream networks and black markets that profit from retail theft rather than just street-level shoplifting.

  • Action & Focus: Through Associate Police and Customs Minister Casey Costello, NZ First has focused this term on dismantling transnational criminal syndicates fencing stolen goods and illicit tobacco, backing this with targeted funding and equipment for Customs and border/police enforcement. [Retail NZ]

New Zealand Labour Party

  • Core Approach: Focuses on systemic support and caution around physical interventions, emphasizing cost-of-living and consumer/fair-trading relief for small businesses.

  • Crime & Policing Position: Expresses strong opposition to expanding citizen’s arrest and aggressive detention powers for retail workers, arguing that putting untrained staff in physical confrontations escalates safety risks on the shop floor. Labour highlights frontline police resourcing while prioritizing early intervention and community-based solutions over physical escalation.

  • Broader Business/Cost Pressures: Proposing a "fair go law" to crack down on unfair supplier/subscription fees and hidden corporate costs that squeeze small operators.

Green Party

  • Core Approach: Community-led prevention and strong opposition to expanded enforcement powers.

  • Crime & Policing Position: Strongly opposes the expansion of citizen’s arrest, move-on orders, and extended trespass powers. The Greens argue these measures increase the risk of physical violence on the shop floor and carry risks of racial profiling. They advocate for redirecting justice funding into community-led social interventions and localized prevention. [Retail NZ]

Te Pāti Māori

  • Core Approach: Systemic decarceration and resource reallocation.

  • Crime & Policing Position: Opposes expanded citizen’s arrest and trespass laws, expressing concern that they disproportionately impact Māori and Pasifika communities. They advocate shifting state resources away from traditional punitive justice and prisons toward community-led, holistic rehabilitation and local economic sovereignty. [Retail NZ]


You can review a full breakdown of sector advocacy and specific manifestos via the Retail NZ Election Hub or compare broad economic platforms on the RNZ Election Policy Guide. RNZ Election Policy Guide 2026

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AI Overviews · No location

I run a café with a small team. Food and power costs are squeezing margins, customers are spending less, and we've experienced a break-in. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. What do parties propose about retail and small-business crime, prevention and policing?

AI Overview

In the lead-up to the 2026 New Zealand general election , political parties have drawn distinct battle lines over how to handle retail and small-business crime, prevention, and policing. Dealing with a break-in while managing tight cafe margins is incredibly stressful, and the political responses reflect competing ideas on how to keep your team and business safe.

The primary debate divides parties between introducing empowered detention rules and tougher legislative penalties versus focusing on state-funded physical security and community-led intervention.


Comparison of Party Approaches

Political Party Primary Crime & Retail Focus Key Stance on Retail Prevention & Action
National Police Expansion & Legislation Recently overhauled the Crimes Act to expand citizen’s arrest powers and introduce a shoplifting infringement regime. Focuses heavily on expanding police numbers.
ACT Smarter & Tougher Enforcement Advocating for a five-policy law and order package, which includes expanded powers for security guards and reinforcing "three strikes" rules to stop repeat offenders before crime escalates.
Labour Target Overhaul & State Prevention Strongly opposes expanding citizen’s arrest powers due to safety risks for untrained staff. Prioritizes funding for anti-crime infrastructure (e.g., fog cannons) and targeting structural costs.
Green Party Prevention & Social De-escalation Strongly opposes citizen’s arrests and expanded trespass/move-on rules. Advocates for addressing root causes through community-led prevention and safety via de-escalation.

Detailed Positions by Party

National & ACT (The Governing Coalition Approach)

  • Expanded Powers to Detain: The National-led government recently passed a major Crimes Act overhaul. This introduces a new shoplifting infringement regime and widens citizen’s arrest powers , legally allowing retail workers or store owners to physically detain shoplifters if they feel comfortable doing so while immediately calling the police.

  • Empowering Security Personnel: The ACT Party has consolidated its crime platform to advocate for giving security guards greater practical tools and legal powers to intervene in local businesses, aiming to deter repeat property offenders before things turn violent.

  • Increased Policing: National remains committed to expanding the frontline police presence to improve response times for commercial break-ins.

Labour & The Greens (The Opposition Approach)

  • Opposition to Worker Intervention: Both Labour and the Green Party strongly reject the expansion of citizen’s arrest powers. Citing warnings from the Police Association and ShopCare , they argue that asking untrained café or retail workers to physically detain thieves dramatically increases the risk of violence and puts your team in harm's way.

  • State-Funded Defenses: Labour pushes for direct government funding for physical anti-crime infrastructure , highlighting their history of subsidizing security measures like fog cannons and bollards for small businesses.

  • Social and Strategic Focus: The Green Party argues that store safety is best achieved by investing in community-led intervention programs to stop crime at its source rather than expanding trespass or move-on orders, which they caution can lead to racial profiling.

(Note: While you mentioned being squeezed by food and power costs, please note that Labour, National, and NZ First have all proposed varying forms of supermarket duopoly intervention—ranging from forced brand splits to wholesale decoupling—in an effort to address supply-chain food costs).


To help look at how this impacts your café's specific setup, would you like to know more about:

  • The specific criteria for the government's current small business security subsidies?

  • How the different parties plan to tackle commercial power prices and energy grid reforms?

  • The specific retail worker safety guidelines recommended by industry bodies?

Ask anything

Captured 5 October 2026 · shown as AI Overviews gave it, not a verified account