Evidence · NZ Election 2026

Every question, every answer, every source

Everything the study collected, as it was collected on 5 October 2026. Read any answer in full, or download the tables behind every figure in the study.

questions
174
voters the questions were written as
32
answers collected, of 820 planned
815
answers compared like for like
800
pairs of national and town answers
124
answers with sources recorded
774
answers that showed a link
304

01

Every question, with its answers

Each question was written as a voter would ask it and went to all four assistants. Some were also asked from a town. Open a question to read every answer to it in full.

Showing 20 of 174 questions

02

The tables behind the study

Every figure on the study page comes from these tables. They are CSV files, which open in any spreadsheet.

  • Questions

    nz-election-2026-questions.csv

    One row per question.

    Question id, report reference, question, voter, issue, towns it was also asked from, answers per assistant

  • Answers

    nz-election-2026-answers.csv

    One row per answer, with its full text.

    Answer id, question id, assistant, town, words, parties named, showed a link, websites recorded as sources, compared like for like, full text

  • Sources by answer

    nz-election-2026-sources.csv

    One row for each website recorded as a source of an answer.

    Answer id, question id, assistant, town, website, publisher type

  • Checks against official sources

    nz-election-2026-checks.csv

    One row per statement checked.

    Check, answer id, assistant, what the answer said, verdict, what the source says, source, date

  • Who to vote for: coding

    nz-election-2026-guidance.csv

    One row per answer to the eight questions that asked who to vote for.

    Answer id, question id, assistant, what the answer did, the words that show it

  • Location and national answers

    nz-election-2026-towns.csv

    One row per question asked both nationally and from a location, for each assistant.

    Question, town, assistant, both answer ids, parties named nationally and from the town, same parties

Use these tables to trace findings back to the original questions and answers. The full text of each answer is also on this page, under its question.

03

Read in full and checked

Some answers were read in detail or checked against official sources. Those appear on the study page, beside the findings they support.

ChatGPT · No location

My partner and I rent, have steady jobs and are trying to save a deposit for our first home. We worry that the target keeps moving. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. What policies might leave a renting couple with more money to save, and what trade-offs would they involve?

If your main question is “which policies could leave a working renting couple with more cash each month, while also improving our chances of buying?”, I’d separate the issue into two different levers:

  1. Put more money in your pockets now — tax, transport, health, groceries, energy, student-loan costs.
  2. Stop the deposit target moving away from you — rents, house prices, housing supply and access to lower-deposit lending.

Those don't always point to the same party.

The policies most relevant to you

Policy approach How it could help a renting couple Main trade-off
National: wider 5% First Home Loan access Potentially the biggest immediate change to your deposit problem. National proposes raising the First Home Loan income cap to $300,000 for all applicants, rather than the current $150k combined limit for most couples. That could turn a 20% deposit target into 5% if you qualify for the scheme. National is backing first home buyers | National Party You still need to service the mortgage, and a smaller deposit means more debt, interest and vulnerability if house prices fall. It could also increase demand for entry-level homes, potentially bidding prices up.
National/ACT: no new taxes If you're middle-income and working, avoiding new taxes leaves more of your existing income available for saving. National has explicitly pledged no new taxes; ACT is also campaigning on no new taxes. No new taxes under National | National Party Less additional government revenue means fewer resources for public services or housing programmes unless spending is reduced elsewhere.
National: lower student-loan repayments If either of you has a student loan, National proposes cutting compulsory repayments from 12% to 10%, directly increasing take-home pay. Nicola's News - September 2026 | National Party This isn't useful if you don't have student debt, and it slows repayment of the loan.
Labour: cheaper transport + healthcare Labour proposes a $20 weekly public-transport fare cap, three free GP visits and free prescriptions. For a couple who regularly uses public transport or has healthcare costs, those are genuine reductions in household expenditure that could become deposit savings. Labour's 2026 Election Policies The benefit depends heavily on what you currently spend. These aren't necessarily extra cash in your pay packet; they're avoided expenses.
Labour: more housing + investment-property CGT Labour proposes more Kāinga Ora construction and a 28% capital-gains tax on investment-property gains. Its argument is that taxing property investment and building more homes could reduce the advantage investors have over first-home buyers and improve affordability. Start Work Now - NZ Labour The CGT doesn't put cash in your pocket today. Its effect on house prices and rents is uncertain, and Labour's own policy leaves the family home exempt.
Greens: $10,000 tax-free threshold If you're ordinary wage/salary earners, this could increase take-home pay. The Greens propose making the first $10,000 of income tax-free, while raising the top rate for income over $160k. Greens commit to tax the super-rich and large corporates fairly, cut income tax for 96% - Green Party of Aotearoa New Zealand The overall package includes substantially higher taxes on wealth, large companies and landlords, so the effect on the economy, investment and potentially housing/rents is contested.
Greens: 2% rent-increase cap This directly attacks the “moving target” problem: if your rent could only rise by 2% a year, more of your income could reliably go towards your deposit. The Greens also propose stronger rental-quality and security rules. Greens announce plan to end homelessness & fix housing crisis - Green Party of Aotearoa New Zealand A hard rent cap can discourage new rental supply or cause landlords to exit if rents can't cover costs. Whether it ultimately helps renters depends heavily on how housing supply responds.
NZ First: tax-free first $14,000 NZ First has proposed making the lowest $14,000 of income tax-free, which it says would provide about $28.27 a week to workers. It also supports restoring landlord interest deductibility. 2023 Election Policies - NZ First Restoring landlord deductions is intended to support rental supply and rents, but it also gives a tax advantage to property investors rather than directly to first-home buyers.

For your particular situation, I'd focus on three things

1. The deposit hurdle may matter more than a tax cut

Suppose you were looking at a $700,000 home.

  • 20% deposit = $140,000
  • 10% = $70,000
  • 5% = $35,000

So National's proposed expansion of the First Home Loan scheme is potentially enormous for someone who can afford the mortgage but is stuck renting because accumulating $140k takes years. The current scheme requires only 5% for eligible buyers; the proposal is principally about making many more higher-earning couples eligible. National is backing first home buyers | National Party

But there's an important catch: it changes the financing constraint rather than making the house cheaper. You're exchanging a smaller deposit for a larger mortgage.

That's why I'd distinguish “we can't save the deposit” from “we can't afford the mortgage.” The former is exactly what the National proposal targets; the latter isn't solved by it.

2. Rent control could help your savings rate — but supply matters

The Greens' proposed 2% rent cap is probably the most direct policy for someone who says “our target keeps moving.” Greens announce plan to end homelessness & fix housing crisis - Green Party of Aotearoa New Zealand

If your rent is $650/week, for example, a 2% ceiling would limit the annual increase to $13/week, assuming the policy applied as described. That's potentially hundreds of dollars a year that could stay in your savings account.

The trade-off is that rent controls don't create houses. If landlords respond by selling rental properties or developers build fewer rentals, the shortage can worsen. Conversely, stronger renter protections can have substantial value even if they don't reduce the headline rent.

3. Don't overlook boring cost-of-living policies

For a couple with steady jobs, policies such as cheaper public transport, cheaper prescriptions, lower student-loan deductions, electricity costs and grocery competition can be surprisingly important.

If a policy saves you $100 a week, that's $5,200 a year towards a deposit. You don't necessarily need a policy labelled “first-home buyers” to get there.

Labour, for example, is proposing the $20 weekly public-transport cap, free prescriptions and GP visits, while National is proposing lower student-loan repayments and a home-energy fund. 2026 Election Policy | National Party

One particularly important trade-off: taxing landlords

This is probably the most consequential disagreement for someone in your position.

The Greens want to reverse the current landlord tax advantages, including interest deductibility, while Labour has proposed a capital-gains tax on investment property. A tax system for all of us - Green Party of Aotearoa New Zealand

The theory is:

less attractive property investment → less investor demand → less competition for first homes → potentially lower house prices.

The opposing theory is:

higher landlord costs → landlords pass costs to tenants or leave the rental market → rents rise / rental supply falls.

And this isn't just theoretical political rhetoric. Labour has now explicitly ruled out reversing interest deductibility, despite previously attacking the policy, so you shouldn't assume a Labour vote means a return to the previous landlord-tax regime. Labour rules out interest deductibility changes for landlords

That makes the 2026 choice considerably more nuanced than simply “left parties tax landlords, right parties don't.”

My bottom line

For a working renting couple trying to buy their first home, I'd rank the policy questions roughly like this:

  1. Can we qualify for a smaller-deposit mortgage?
    National's proposed $300k First Home Loan threshold is unusually relevant if you're above the existing income cap but genuinely struggling to accumulate 20%. National is backing first home buyers | National Party

  2. How much of our income disappears into rent?
    The Greens' rent-cap proposal is the most direct response, but carries the greatest rental-supply question. Greens announce plan to end homelessness & fix housing crisis - Green Party of Aotearoa New Zealand

  3. Which policies reduce our recurring bills?
    Labour has a particularly broad package here — transport, healthcare, groceries and jobs — while National emphasises tax restraint and individual take-home income. Labour's 2026 Election Policies

  4. Will the policy make houses themselves more affordable?
    This is ultimately more important than whether you save an extra $50–$100 a week. Policies that increase housing supply or reduce speculative demand may affect the denominator — the house price you're trying to reach — rather than merely helping you chase it.

  5. How much risk are you comfortable taking?
    A 5% deposit gets you into the market much sooner, but with substantially more leverage. A policy that makes the deposit easier isn't automatically a policy that makes home ownership financially safer.

One final point: don't evaluate the election solely through the lens of your next year's savings balance. MMP means coalition bargaining matters, and several of the more dramatic policies may be negotiated or diluted. How does New Zealand's electoral system work and does it favour coalitions?

If you tell me roughly your combined gross income, current weekly rent, approximate savings, and the price range of the homes you're targeting, I can turn this into a much more concrete comparison — e.g. “under policy A you'd potentially reach a $50k deposit X months sooner; under policy B your ongoing costs might fall by roughly Y.”

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Gemini · No location

My partner and I rent, have steady jobs and are trying to save a deposit for our first home. We worry that the target keeps moving. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. What policies might leave a renting couple with more money to save, and what trade-offs would they involve?

For renting couples trying to save a first-home deposit, the feeling that the "target keeps moving" is a familiar and frustrating reality. Property prices, high rents, and the cost of living can make it feel like your savings goal is perpetually out of reach.

Different political parties approach this dilemma through contrasting philosophies—some focus on cooling house prices and supporting buyers directly, while others emphasize boosting supply, lowering taxes, or shifting investor dynamics.

The policy approaches relevant to your situation, along with their associated trade-offs, generally fall into a few key areas:


1. Housing Supply and Resource Management Act (RMA) Reform

  • The Policy Direction (Favored strongly by National, ACT, and generally supported in varying degrees across Parliament): Streamlining planning laws, freeing up land for urban expansion, and incentivizing infrastructure development to aggressively increase the supply of both standalone homes and medium-density housing.
  • How it helps you save: The core idea is that a steady or over-supplied housing market dampens runaway house price inflation, stabilizing the "moving target" so your deposit requirements stop outpacing your savings rate.
  • The Trade-Offs: Infrastructure-heavy development can take years to translate into actual bricks and mortar. Furthermore, aggressive urban sprawl or intensive infill housing can spark local opposition regarding community character, environmental impacts, and strains on local infrastructure (like water and transport).

2. Tax Settings on Property Investment

  • The Policy Direction: Parties on the left (such as the Green Party and Te Pāti Māori) propose structural taxes like capital gains taxes, wealth taxes, or land-banking penalties, alongside removing interest deductibility for landlords. Conversely, parties on the right (like ACT and National) favor maintaining or reinstating landlord-friendly tax settings to keep private rental market incentives intact.
  • How it helps you save: Proponents of investor-restricting tax policies argue that cooling speculative demand levels the playing field for first-home buyers, reducing intense competition at the entry-level tier. On the flip side, policies that encourage private landlords can boost rental supply, which theoretically helps keep rent increases manageable so you can save more out of your current wages.
  • The Trade-Offs: If policies heavily penalize private landlords, some may exit the market. While this can reduce competition for buyers, a contraction in rental supply can simultaneously drive up rental costs for tenants who are still trying to save, leaving you with less discretionary income each week to put toward your deposit.

3. Direct Demand-Side Assistance (KiwiSaver and First-Home Grants)

  • The Policy Direction: Adjusting thresholds for first-home buyer assistance, loosening or tightening lending restrictions (like Loan-to-Value Ratios or Debt-to-Income rules), or altering KiwiSaver frameworks.
  • How it helps you save: Direct injections or lowered barriers—such as expanded KiwiSaver withdrawals or government-backed schemes—can bridge the gap to a deposit faster, allowing you to cross the threshold sooner.
  • The Trade-Offs: Economists often warn that pumping demand-side money (like grants or relaxed lending rules) directly into a constrained housing market can backfire. If more buyers suddenly have access to extra purchasing power without a matching increase in physical homes, sellers simply raise prices, inflating the market further and making the target move faster.

4. Tenancy Regulations and Rent Controls

  • The Policy Direction: The Labour and Green parties typically lean toward stronger renter protections and stabilization measures (such as limiting the frequency or size of rent increases), whereas parties like ACT advocate for fewer regulations to encourage market flexibility.
  • How it helps you save: Rent caps or stringent controls directly protect your weekly budget, ensuring a larger chunk of your steady income remains available for your savings account rather than going toward landlord increases.
  • The Trade-Offs: Critics of rigid rent controls argue that they can disincentivize maintenance or cause landlords to leave the sector entirely, leading to lower housing quality and reduced rental availability over time.

Summary: The Core Dilemma

When casting your vote, the fundamental tension comes down to a balancing act:

  • Do you favor policies that aggressively curb property investor demand and attempt to lower or stabilize house prices directly (risking potential friction in rental supply and rent costs)?
  • Or do you favor policies focused primarily on market-led supply and incentives for private property investment (which support rental choice, but may keep purchase prices higher or more competitive)?

As you weigh these options against your household budget, are you finding that high weekly rent or the speed of house price growth is the heavier anchor on your ability to save?

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Captured 5 October 2026 · shown as Gemini gave it, not a verified account

Google AI Mode · No location

My partner and I rent, have steady jobs and are trying to save a deposit for our first home. We worry that the target keeps moving. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. What policies might leave a renting couple with more money to save, and what trade-offs would they involve?

Saving for a first home while renting in New Zealand can feel like chasing a constantly shifting finish line. Ahead of the 2026 New Zealand general election, political parties are proposing various interventions across taxation, rental regulations, and first-home buyer support.

Different approaches aim to leave a dual-income renting couple with more savings, but each strategy comes with distinct economic trade-offs.


1. Direct Rental Cost Controls (Rent Caps)

  • The Policy Idea: Capping annual rent increases (e.g., limiting increases to a low percentage like 2% or tying them strictly to inflation).

  • How it helps you save: Puts a hard ceiling on your single biggest weekly expense, giving you predictable budgeting and preventing landlords from raising rent faster than your wages grow.

  • The Trade-offs:

  • Supply contraction: Critics and economists argue that strict rent controls can disincentivise property investment, leading landlords to sell up or hold back on maintenance, which can reduce overall rental supply and drive up competition for homes.

  • Quality issues: With restricted revenue, property upgrades or necessary renovations may be delayed.

2. Tax Tweaks and Property Speculation Brakes

  • The Policy Idea: Implementing capital gains taxes (CGTs), extending bright-line tests (e.g., back out to 10 years), removing interest deductibility for landlords, or introducing land/wealth taxes.

  • How it helps you save: These policies aim to cool investor demand, level the playing field against owner-occupiers, and moderate runaway house price inflation so your deposit target stops moving away as fast.

  • The Trade-offs:

  • Rent passthrough: Landlords may attempt to pass the cost of lost interest deductions or new taxes directly onto tenants through higher weekly rent, squeezing your short-term savings capacity.

  • Broader economic impacts: Depending on how broad tax shifts are structured, changes to income tax thresholds (like tax-free thresholds) could increase your take-home pay, but might be counterbalanced by new asset or wealth levies elsewhere in the economy. [Nexia NZ]

3. Expanding First-Home Buyer Support & Low-Deposit Schemes

  • The Policy Idea: Raising income caps and thresholds for government-backed low-deposit schemes (e.g., expanding access to Kainga Ora or First Home Loans for combined incomes up to or exceeding $300,000) or modifying KiwiSaver withdrawal criteria.

  • How it helps you save: It lowers the absolute barrier to entry, meaning you might not need to save a full 20% deposit to cross the threshold into homeownership sooner.

  • The Trade-offs:

  • Demand-driven inflation: Injecting more purchasing power into the buyer pool without proportionately increasing the supply of houses can simply inflate house prices further, worsening the "moving target" phenomenon.

  • Higher mortgage debt: Buying with a smaller deposit means taking on a larger mortgage, higher weekly mortgage servicing costs, and exposure to interest rate volatility, which eats into post-purchase disposable income.

4. Supply-Side Zoning and Construction Boosting

  • The Policy Idea: Comprehensive urban zoning overhauls to free up land, paired with targeted public or private construction support to accelerate building.

  • How it helps you save: Long-term, a massive influx of housing supply is the primary mechanism to moderate or drop real house prices, making the deposit target genuinely more achievable.

  • The Trade-offs:

  • Long implementation lag: Supply-side fixes take years to design, consent, and build. They won't provide immediate relief to your bank account this month or next.

  • Infrastructure strain: Rapid development requires massive local and central government spending on infrastructure (water, transport, schools), which can influence broader fiscal policy and taxation.


You can explore comprehensive and up-to-date comparisons of individual party platforms on platforms like RNZ's Housing Policy Guide or Policy.nz to see how specific parties balance these short-term savings relief vs. long-term market stability equations.

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Captured 5 October 2026 · shown as Google AI Mode gave it, not a verified account

AI Overviews · No location

My partner and I rent, have steady jobs and are trying to save a deposit for our first home. We worry that the target keeps moving. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. What policies might leave a renting couple with more money to save, and what trade-offs would they involve?

AI Overview

Political parties for the 2026 New Zealand general election propose vastly different pathways to address housing affordability. Depending on your income level and financial priorities, different party policies could alter your ability to save a deposit or change your strategy for entering the property market.


1. Policies Designed to Put More Money in Your Pocket Right Now

These policies aim to reduce your current living costs, leaving you with more disposable income to put directly into your deposit savings.

Policy Approach Party Examples Direct Benefits for a Renting Couple Key Financial & Practical Trade-offs
Rent Increase Caps Green Party Capping rent increases at 2% annually provides immediate cost predictability, protecting your savings rate from sudden rent hikes. Reduced rental supply: Landlords may exit the market or underinvest in maintenance due to fixed returns. It can make finding a new rental harder if you need to move.
Direct Cost-of-Living Relief Labour Party Policies like a $20 weekly public transport cap and free GP visits via a "Medicard" lower daily expenses, freeing up operational cash flow. Broad public spending: These programs rely on tax revenue (like a proposed Capital Gains Tax) and don't structurally change the underlying cost of housing itself.
No New Taxes & Lower Electricity Bills National Party A commitment to no new taxes combined with an energy sector overhaul to lower household power bills protects your take-home pay. Less structural support for renters: This framework focuses on market-led solutions, meaning it does not shield renters from market-driven rent increases.

2. Policies Aimed at Helping You Buy Sooner (Lowering the Bar)

Instead of forcing you to save a massive 20% deposit while house prices move, some policies change the rules of entry so you can buy with what you already have.

  • Expanding the First Home Loan Scheme (National Party): National proposes lifting the income ceiling for the Kāinga Ora First Home Loan program to a flat $300,000 for all applicants. This allows couples earning a combined income up to that amount to purchase a home with just a 5% deposit instead of 20%.

  • The Trade-off: Entering the market with a 5% deposit means borrowing a significantly larger amount of money. You will face higher monthly mortgage repayments and pay substantially more total interest over the life of the loan.

  • Massive Social & Non-Profit Rental Supply (Labour & Greens): Both parties plan billions in funding to build tens of thousands of state and community-backed affordable rental homes.

  • The Trade-off: This shifts the country's economic focus toward public housing infrastructure, which requires high government capital expenditure and takes years to construct.


3. Tax and Supply Policies (Slowing Down the Moving Target)

These macro-level policies try to cool the property market or increase overall house supply so the "target deposit" stops climbing so fast.

  • Capital Gains Tax (Labour): Labour has proposed a 28% Capital Gains Tax (CGT) on residential investment properties (excluding the family home), taking effect from July 2027. This aims to disincentivize property speculation, potentially cooling rapid house price growth.

  • The Trade-off: Landlords who keep their properties may pass the cost of the tax framework onto tenants by increasing rents where possible, or they may choose to hold onto properties long-term to defer the tax, reducing the pool of existing homes available for sale. I Ranked Every Party's Property Policy [NZ Election 2026]NZ Election 2026 and Your Money: What Investors Should KnowWhere NZ political parties stand on housing ahead of the

  • Resource Management Act (RMA) Overhaul (National/Coalition): Moving forward with a massive planning overhaul to standardize zoning and cut consenting delays. The goal is a highly competitive, abundant housing supply that brings down house prices organically.

  • The Trade-off: Flooding the market with supply takes years to impact prices, and critics warn that rapid, deregulated development can strain local council infrastructure and environmental protections.


To help tailor this breakdown to your situation, are you more focused on lowering your current day-to-day costs to save faster, or are you looking for policies that lower the upfront deposit size required by banks? Sharing your approximate current combined income bracket could also help pinpoint which thresholds affect you.

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