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Evidence · NZ Election 2026

Every question, every answer, every source

Everything the study collected, as it was collected on 5 October 2026. Read any answer in full, or download the tables behind every figure in the study.

questions
174
voters the questions were written as
32
answers collected, of 820 planned
815
answers compared like for like
800
pairs of national and town answers
124
answers with sources recorded
774
answers that showed a link
304

01

Every question, with its answers

Each question was written as a voter would ask it and went to all four assistants. Some were also asked from a town. Open a question to read every answer to it in full.

Showing 20 of 174 questions

Show all 174

02

The tables behind the study

Every figure on the study page comes from these tables. They are CSV files, which open in any spreadsheet.

  • Questions

    nz-election-2026-questions.csv

    One row per question.

    Question id, report reference, question, voter, issue, towns it was also asked from, answers per assistant

    174rows

    Download questions (CSV)

  • Answers

    nz-election-2026-answers.csv

    One row per answer, with its full text.

    Answer id, question id, assistant, town, words, parties named, showed a link, websites recorded as sources, compared like for like, full text

    815rows

    Download answers (CSV)

  • Sources by answer

    nz-election-2026-sources.csv

    One row for each website recorded as a source of an answer.

    Answer id, question id, assistant, town, website, publisher type

    4,216rows

    Download sources by answer (CSV)

  • Checks against official sources

    nz-election-2026-checks.csv

    One row per statement checked.

    Check, answer id, assistant, what the answer said, verdict, what the source says, source, date

    17rows

    Download checks against official sources (CSV)

  • Who to vote for: coding

    nz-election-2026-guidance.csv

    One row per answer to the eight questions that asked who to vote for.

    Answer id, question id, assistant, what the answer did, the words that show it

    32rows

    Download who to vote for: coding (CSV)

  • Location and national answers

    nz-election-2026-towns.csv

    One row per question asked both nationally and from a location, for each assistant.

    Question, town, assistant, both answer ids, parties named nationally and from the town, same parties

    124rows

    Download location and national answers (CSV)

Use these tables to trace findings back to the original questions and answers. The full text of each answer is also on this page, under its question.

03

Read in full and checked

Some answers were read in detail or checked against official sources. Those appear on the study page, beside the findings they support.

ChatGPT · No location

I run a café with a small team. Food and power costs are squeezing margins, customers are spending less, and we've experienced a break-in. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. If I want to keep the business viable and treat my staff fairly, which party would you recommend, and where might those priorities conflict?

I can’t recommend a party for you or tell you how to vote, but I can help you compare how your priorities — keeping a café viable, reducing cost pressures, improving security, and treating staff fairly — line up with the main political trade-offs. Policies can change during a campaign, so it is worth checking final manifestos before voting. Policies for Party vote - NZ Election 2026 - Policy.nz

For a café owner, the tension is usually this:

  • Lower costs and fewer business burdens can protect your margins.
  • Higher wages, stronger worker protections, and public services can improve staff wellbeing and household spending power, but may raise your operating costs.

Here is how the major blocs tend to approach those competing goals.

National / centre-right approach

Potential fit if your priority is:

  • reducing regulatory burden,
  • keeping taxes and compliance costs down,
  • encouraging investment and business activity,
  • emphasising law-and-order responses.

National’s 2026 policies include a focus on lower taxes, reducing barriers for businesses, and increasing competition in areas such as groceries. 2026 Election Policy | National Party

Possible benefits for a small café:

  • A stronger “business growth” focus may appeal if your biggest problem is thin margins and uncertainty.
  • Policies aimed at competition could help if food supply chains and input costs are squeezing you. 2026 Election Policy | National Party

Possible conflicts:

  • If cost relief comes mainly through lower government spending or fewer interventions, you may still face pressure from customers who cannot afford to spend.
  • A more employer-friendly labour approach may not go as far on wage growth or worker protections.

Labour / centre-left approach

Potential fit if your priority is:

  • supporting workers,
  • boosting household purchasing power,
  • making small business systems easier,
  • addressing cost pressures through intervention.

Labour has proposed a small business package including faster payment of invoices, investment write-offs for equipment, a higher GST registration threshold, and a “small business test” for new rules. Labour's Small Business Action Plan

Potential benefits for a café:

  • Easier administration and investment support could directly help a small operator.
  • If customers have more disposable income, hospitality businesses may benefit.

Possible conflicts:

  • Some worker-focused policies can increase your costs (for example, wage, leave, or employment-standard changes).
  • More intervention in markets may create compliance obligations, even if aimed mainly at larger firms. Labour's 2026 Election Policies

ACT / NZ First / Greens (depending on which issues matter most)

These parties may matter because coalition partners can significantly shape government policy under MMP. Tighter New Zealand election race stokes investor fears on policy backflips

Your specific café concerns

Concern Policies that might help Possible downside
Food costs More competition in supply chains; market reforms Reforms may take time to affect prices
Power bills Energy policy, infrastructure, competition Transition costs may fall on businesses
Customers spending less Cost-of-living relief, economic growth Different parties disagree on how to achieve it
Break-ins / safety More policing and justice measures Prevention also depends on community and social policy
Fair staff treatment Wage growth, employment protections, training Higher labour costs

A useful way to decide may be to rank your priorities:

  1. “My café must survive first; government should minimise costs on employers.”
    You may find centre-right parties more aligned.

  2. “My staff and customers need stronger incomes; that will ultimately support my business.”
    You may find centre-left parties more aligned.

  3. “I want a middle path: a viable business plus fair employment.”
    You may want to compare the specific small-business and employment policies rather than choosing purely by left/right labels. Policies for Party vote - NZ Election 2026 - Policy.nz

If you want, I can also make a “café owner’s voting matrix” comparing National, Labour, ACT, NZ First, and Greens across wages, tax, power costs, crime, and small-business impact.

Ask anything

ChatGPT can make mistakes. Check important info.

Captured 5 October 2026 · shown as ChatGPT gave it, not a verified account

Gemini · No location

I run a café with a small team. Food and power costs are squeezing margins, customers are spending less, and we've experienced a break-in. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. If I want to keep the business viable and treat my staff fairly, which party would you recommend, and where might those priorities conflict?

Running a hospitality business under current economic pressures is an immense balancing act. Managing squeezed margins from high food and power costs, dealing with a drop in consumer discretionary spending, and coping with the stress of a break-in creates a multi-layered challenge.

Because New Zealand operates under MMP, no single party holds a monopoly on solutions, and choosing a party involves navigating distinct trade-offs between business viability and staff fairness.

Party Landscape & Alignment for a Café Owner

Depending on which pain point you prioritize, different political blocs offer contrasting approaches:

  • National and ACT (Centre-Right / Right):
    • Viability & Costs: Focus heavily on reducing compliance costs, freezing or slowing minimum wage growth, and curbing government spending to tame inflation and interest rates. ACT and other right-of-centre parties generally advocate for pro-business tax environments and fewer workplace regulations.
    • Crime & Security: Strongly emphasize law-and-order policies, harsher penalties for repeat offenders and burglars, and increased police powers/visibility, which aligns directly with addressing the security concerns of a break-in.
    • Staff Fairness: Their frameworks lean toward flexibility for employers rather than mandated wage increases, arguing that keeping businesses afloat protects jobs overall.
  • Labour, The Greens, and Te Pāti Māori (Centre-Left / Left):
    • Viability & Costs: Focus more on consumer-facing cost-of-living relief, market competition (such as targeting grocery and energy duopolies), and supporting lower-income households so they have more disposable income to spend at local hospitality spots.
    • Staff Fairness: Strongly advocate for higher minimum standards, robust protections for workers, and pay equity. They argue that fair treatment and livable wages for staff are non-negotiable for a just society.
  • NZ First (Centre / Populist):
    • Viability & Costs: Have targeted small-to-medium enterprises specifically, proposing direct tax relief (such as a reduced company tax rate for businesses under certain turnover thresholds) alongside strict anti-crime measures.

Where the Priorities Conflict

If your goal is to simultaneously keep the business viable and treat your staff fairly, you will likely encounter these inherent political and economic conflicts:

  1. Lower Operating Costs vs. Fair Wages:
    • The Conflict: Parties that promise to ease your immediate financial squeeze by freezing minimum wage growth, rolling back workplace laws, or cutting compliance costs often do so at the expense of higher wage growth or expanded benefits for employees. Conversely, parties that champion robust staff compensation and protections can inadvertently drive up your labor costs—one of a café's highest fixed overheads—making it harder to survive a downturn when customer spending is already soft.
  2. Consumer Spending Power vs. Business Tax/Compliance Relief:
    • The Conflict: To get customers spending again, households need money in their pockets. Left-leaning policies aim to achieve this through social support and higher wages, but these are often funded by taxes or regulations that trickle down to increase business costs (like energy, compliance, or employer levies). Right-leaning policies focus on cutting taxes and government spending to stimulate the economy macro-economically, but they may offer less immediate targeted relief to low-income consumers who make up your local customer base.
  3. Law and Order vs. Underlying Social Spending:
    • The Conflict: Dealing with retail crime and break-ins requires robust policing and tougher sentencing (favored by the right), but long-term community safety and reduced crime rates are often argued by the left to require addressing poverty, mental health, and social equity. Balancing a vote based on immediate security versus broader social infrastructure is a core tension.

Recommendation Framework

  • If your immediate survival relies on cutting overheads, securing immediate tax relief, and cracking down on retail crime, a centre-right configuration (National/ACT/NZ First) tends to align closer with those operational levers.
  • If your business model depends on a resurgent local customer base with higher disposable incomes and you view fair, well-compensated staff as your primary asset for maintaining quality, a centre-left approach aligns closer with boosting consumer-side spending power.

Are you leaning more toward cutting your immediate overhead and security costs, or boosting local customer spending power to solve your margin squeeze?

Ask Gemini

Gemini is AI and can make mistakes.

Captured 5 October 2026 · shown as Gemini gave it, not a verified account

Google AI Mode · No location

I run a café with a small team. Food and power costs are squeezing margins, customers are spending less, and we've experienced a break-in. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. If I want to keep the business viable and treat my staff fairly, which party would you recommend, and where might those priorities conflict?

Navigating the pressures of running a café in New Zealand—balancing soaring food and power overheads, cautious consumer spending, and the toll of retail crime—presents a complex puzzle. Deciding how to vote under the MMP system means weighing how different parties prioritize economic relief for businesses against worker welfare and social policy.

Rather than recommending a single party, the political landscape breaks down across key alignments and where your dual priorities—business viability versus fair treatment of staff—inevitably conflict. You can also explore tools like Vote Compass 2026 or Policy.nz to map your specific values against current party manifestos.

Where the Parties Generally Stand

  • Centre-Right / Right (e.g., National, ACT):

  • Business Viability Focus: Emphasize reducing regulatory and employment costs, streamlining personal grievance processes to lower risk for small employers, and cutting red tape. Their approach to crime generally centers on tougher penalties, police resourcing, and retail security support.

  • Staff/Social Impact: Policies lean toward market flexibility rather than mandated wage floors or expanded worker entitlements, arguing that keeping the business profitable is the best way to secure employment.

  • Centre-Left / Left (e.g., Labour, Green Party, Te Pāti Māori):

  • Staff/Welfare Focus: Prioritize strengthening worker rights, lifting minimum and living wage trajectories, and enhancing collective bargaining support. They pitch cost-of-living relief largely through public services, income support for lower-earning households (which aims to boost consumer spending power at local businesses), and progressive taxation.

  • Business Viability Impact: While they often propose targeted small-business support or energy/supermarket market interventions to crack down on high supplier costs, their regulatory frameworks and mandated labor costs can add direct operational expenses.

Where Your Priorities Might Conflict

Balancing the survival of your café against fair treatment for your team creates direct tension points depending on which legislative levers a government pulls:

  1. Labor Costs vs. Fair Compensation
  • The Conflict: Treating staff fairly means paying sustainable wages, offering secure hours, and absorbing costs like sick leave or training. However, if a party pushes for accelerated minimum wage increases or stricter labor mandates without offsetting relief, your immediate cash flow suffers. Conversely, voting for deregulation to lower your labor overhead can directly conflict with providing the robust wages or benefits your staff expect during a cost-of-living crisis.
  1. Regulatory Flexibility vs. Worker Security
  • The Conflict: Parties favoring small businesses often propose making it easier and less costly to manage staffing changes or handle disputes. While this protects a small owner from crippling legal costs during a downturn, it can weaken the formal job security and grievance recourse that proponents of fair treatment view as essential for workers. [ACT NZ]
  1. Targeted Market Interventions vs. Free Market Pricing
  • The Conflict: High food and power bills are driven by upstream corporate pricing. Left-leaning parties often propose heavier market regulations or price controls on essential utilities and duopolies, which aim to lower your wholesale costs. However, right-leaning parties argue that such interventions undermine market confidence or fail to deliver practical relief, favoring broader economic management instead. [NZ Herald]

Summary for Your Ballot Box Decision

If your primary calculus is that business survival comes first —because an insolvent café protects no jobs—you may lean toward parties emphasizing regulatory relief and lower compliance costs for employers. If your primary calculus is that fair treatment and boosting customer purchasing power via broader economic and wage redistribution is paramount, you may lean toward parties focusing on worker incomes and social support. Finding the sweet spot involves deciding which of these interdependent pressures represents the most critical bottleneck for your shop right now. [ACT NZ]

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Captured 5 October 2026 · shown as Google AI Mode gave it, not a verified account

AI Overviews · No location

I run a café with a small team. Food and power costs are squeezing margins, customers are spending less, and we've experienced a break-in. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. If I want to keep the business viable and treat my staff fairly, which party would you recommend, and where might those priorities conflict?

AI Overview

A specific political party cannot be recommended, but you can evaluate how different parties in New Zealand balance business costs and worker fairness.

Balancing Business Viability and Staff Fairness

  • Operational Costs: Lowering overhead like power and food costs is vital for survival.

  • Fair Wages: Staff need fair pay to cope with living costs.

  • Security: Preventing break-ins protects your property and staff safety.

Right-Leaning Approaches (ACT, National)

  • Cost Relief: Parties like ACT propose freezing minimum wage increases and cutting red tape to lower immediate business expenses.

  • Law and Order: These parties emphasize tougher sentencing and security measures to combat retail crime and break-ins.

  • The Trade-Off: Lower wage growth helps your cash flow, but it may not feel fair to staff facing high inflation.

Left-Leaning Approaches (Labour, Greens)

  • Worker Support: Parties like the Green Party support raising the minimum wage toward the living wage, while Labour offers targeted small business tax relief, asset write-offs, and prompt payment rules.

  • Social Focus: They focus on addressing root causes of crime rather than only harsher penalties.

  • The Trade-Off: Higher mandated wages improve staff fairness, but they squeeze your tight profit margins further.

Where Priorities Conflict

  • Wages vs. Margins: Raising wages treats staff fairly, but higher payroll costs risk business survival when customer spending is low.

  • Compliance vs. Protection: Reducing employment rules makes managing staff easier for you, but it removes legal safeguards for your workers.

If you share what your biggest monthly expense is right now, I can help you look at operational strategies to manage those specific costs.

Ask anything

Captured 5 October 2026 · shown as AI Overviews gave it, not a verified account