Evidence · NZ Election 2026

Every question, every answer, every source

Everything the study collected, as it was collected on 5 October 2026. Read any answer in full, or download the tables behind every figure in the study.

questions
174
voters the questions were written as
32
answers collected, of 820 planned
815
answers compared like for like
800
pairs of national and town answers
124
answers with sources recorded
774
answers that showed a link
304

01

Every question, with its answers

Each question was written as a voter would ask it and went to all four assistants. Some were also asked from a town. Open a question to read every answer to it in full.

Showing 20 of 174 questions

02

The tables behind the study

Every figure on the study page comes from these tables. They are CSV files, which open in any spreadsheet.

  • Questions

    nz-election-2026-questions.csv

    One row per question.

    Question id, report reference, question, voter, issue, towns it was also asked from, answers per assistant

  • Answers

    nz-election-2026-answers.csv

    One row per answer, with its full text.

    Answer id, question id, assistant, town, words, parties named, showed a link, websites recorded as sources, compared like for like, full text

  • Sources by answer

    nz-election-2026-sources.csv

    One row for each website recorded as a source of an answer.

    Answer id, question id, assistant, town, website, publisher type

  • Checks against official sources

    nz-election-2026-checks.csv

    One row per statement checked.

    Check, answer id, assistant, what the answer said, verdict, what the source says, source, date

  • Who to vote for: coding

    nz-election-2026-guidance.csv

    One row per answer to the eight questions that asked who to vote for.

    Answer id, question id, assistant, what the answer did, the words that show it

  • Location and national answers

    nz-election-2026-towns.csv

    One row per question asked both nationally and from a location, for each assistant.

    Question, town, assistant, both answer ids, parties named nationally and from the town, same parties

Use these tables to trace findings back to the original questions and answers. The full text of each answer is also on this page, under its question.

03

Read in full and checked

Some answers were read in detail or checked against official sources. Those appear on the study page, beside the findings they support.

ChatGPT · No location

I run a small manufacturing business that exports and employs staff. We are considering new equipment but worry about demand, freight costs and finding skilled workers. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. What plans do parties have for vocational skills, training and the availability of skilled workers?

For a manufacturing exporter, the useful distinction is not just “who supports apprenticeships?” but how each party proposes to create a reliable pipeline of workers, whether training is industry-led, and whether employers get help with the cost of training.

The 2026 election is on 7 November 2026. The vocational system itself is also in transition: from 2026, Industry Skills Boards have taken over much of the work-based-learning function during the transition away from the former Te Pūkenga model, with programmes ultimately moving to polytechnics, PTEs and wānanga by 2028. Redesign of Vocational Education and Training System - Ministry of Education

Party comparison

Party Main approach to vocational skills/workers What it could mean for a manufacturer
National Expand trades pathways starting at school; double Trades Academy places from about 10,000 to 20,000 by 2030; develop industry-led senior-secondary subjects including Next-Gen Manufacturing, Engineering Technology and Construction; expand manufacturing-specific paid training. Vanessa's Voice – May 2026 | National Party Strong emphasis on creating an earlier pipeline into manufacturing and technical occupations. The government's Earn as You Learn programme is particularly relevant: paid workplace learning plus formal training and mentoring, with new cohorts planned for Auckland, Christchurch, Bay of Plenty and Hutt Valley in 2027. Earn as You Learn programme expands | National Party
Labour Expand Apprenticeship Boost: employers receive $500/month for two years, rather than one; a $1,000 toolbox grant for apprentices; five additional trade areas; and structured mentoring through Industry Skills Boards/providers. Also proposes Māori-led trades training and broader mid-career upskilling. Labour's Apprenticeship Boost Expansion More direct financial assistance to a business that takes on apprentices. The two-year employer subsidy is especially relevant if your concern is the upfront productivity/training cost of hiring inexperienced workers.
ACT Emphasises employer flexibility, lower regulatory costs and incentives to employ/train inexperienced people. Its 2026 small-business package proposes a Training Wage at 60% of the adult minimum wage for under-20s for their first 12 months with an employer, alongside changes intended to reduce employment costs. ACT New Zealand Rather than principally subsidising formal apprenticeships, ACT's approach tries to make it cheaper and less risky for a small manufacturer to hire someone inexperienced and train them on the job. That could matter if wage cost is your main barrier to developing your own workforce.
NZ First Strong emphasis on training New Zealanders before relying on immigration. Its current policy direction includes doubling Trades Academy places, 1,000 additional Youth Guarantee places, and support for apprenticeships/on-job learning. Its established policy platform also calls for targeted apprenticeship support, workforce planning around skill shortages and immigration targeted at genuine skill gaps. Budget 2026: Common sense wins for NZ First - New Zealand First Particularly relevant if your concern is long-term domestic labour supply. It combines vocational training with a more restrictive/targeted approach to importing overseas labour, so employers may be expected to rely more heavily on domestic training over time.
Green Party Places greater emphasis on properly funding the public vocational-education infrastructure. The Greens have campaigned against cuts to polytechnics and called for properly funded regional polytechnics so people can upskill and retrain. They opposed the government's vocational-education restructuring legislation. Green Party launches petition to Save our Polytechs - Green Party of Aotearoa New Zealand The emphasis is more on maintaining accessible public training capacity—including regional provision—rather than a particular employer subsidy. For a manufacturer outside the biggest centres, the availability and stability of a local polytechnic could be significant.
Te Pāti Māori Its vocational approach is particularly focused on Māori participation and Māori-led training. Labour has also adopted a $21m/year Māori-led vocational-training programme, illustrating the broader political emphasis on increasing participation among groups under-represented in skilled work. Election policy tracker: what the parties are promising Potentially relevant if widening recruitment beyond the traditional manufacturing workforce is part of your strategy, although the policy is more about participation and training pathways than a general employer subsidy.

The biggest differences for your situation

1. Who pays for the training period?

This is probably the most immediately relevant distinction for a small manufacturer.

  • Labour: explicit employer subsidy—$500/month for two years per apprentice, plus the apprentice's $1,000 toolbox grant. Labour's Apprenticeship Boost Expansion
  • ACT: seeks to lower the cost of employing and training young/inexperienced workers through its proposed Training Wage and broader employment-law changes. ACT New Zealand
  • National: more emphasis on increasing the supply of people entering vocational pathways, including manufacturing-specific paid training, rather than Labour's proposed across-the-board Apprenticeship Boost expansion. Earn as You Learn programme expands | National Party
  • NZ First: favours targeted apprenticeship support and domestic workforce planning, with less reliance on imported labour. 2023 Election Policies - NZ First

2. How quickly could this help your business?

There is an important timing difference. National's Trades Academy expansion is already funded and is intended to reach 20,000 places by 2030, while its manufacturing Earn as You Learn expansion has 2027 cohorts planned. Vanessa's Voice – May 2026 | National Party

Labour's new apprenticeship measures mostly begin 1 July 2027, with the two-year employer payment beginning in 2028. Labour's Apprenticeship Boost Expansion

So if you're deciding whether to buy equipment within the next 12–24 months, I'd distinguish between policies that increase the future pipeline and policies that directly reduce your cost of taking on a trainee.

3. Can you find workers locally rather than compete for experienced workers?

This is where the parties have notably different philosophies.

National is building industry-linked pathways earlier in the education system—including manufacturing, engineering, energy and infrastructure subjects. New subjects bring industry and the classroom closer together | National Party

Labour is concentrating more heavily on apprenticeships, employer subsidies, mentoring and getting unemployed/under-employed people into trades. Start Work Now - NZ Labour

NZ First explicitly links vocational training, workforce planning and immigration: its stated objective is to train New Zealanders for identified shortages and use immigration primarily to address remaining critical gaps. 2023 Election Policies - NZ First

ACT's approach is more employer-led: make it economically easier for businesses to give inexperienced people their first job and acquire skills at work. ACT New Zealand

One issue I'd watch particularly closely

The restructuring of vocational education may matter as much as the election promises.

Manufacturing and engineering training is currently being handled through the Manufacturing and Engineering Industry Skills Board, while the government transitions work-based learning into a more distributed system. The Ministry says Industry Skills Boards will eventually become standards-setting bodies, with polytechnics, PTEs and wānanga able to provide work-based learning from 2028. Redesign of Vocational Education and Training System - Ministry of Education

That creates a practical question for your business: will there actually be a nearby provider capable of delivering the particular machining, fabrication, automation, electrical, maintenance or engineering skills you need? A headline commitment to “more apprentices” doesn't necessarily answer that.

There is some independent evidence that this is a genuine business concern. Deloitte's 2026 election survey says BusinessNZ respondents rank access to skills and talent as their most important employment issue, with technical skills, apprenticeships and literacy/numeracy among the leading priorities. Another shift in the dial? | Election Survey 2026 | Deloitte New Zealand

For an equipment-investment decision

I'd therefore separate the political policies into four questions:

  1. Recruitment: Which policies increase the number of young people entering manufacturing/engineering?
  2. Training cost: Which policies actually reduce the cost to your company of putting an inexperienced person on the factory floor?
  3. Training availability: Will the relevant training provider and qualification exist in your region?
  4. Experienced-worker supply: If domestic training doesn't solve the shortage, what are the parties proposing on skilled migration?

That last point is particularly important for an exporter considering capital equipment: training policy can improve your labour supply, but it won't necessarily solve a shortage of experienced CNC programmers, automation technicians, toolmakers, maintenance engineers or specialist fabricators in the short term.

Also, vocational skills aren't the only election policies worth putting beside your equipment business case. National is explicitly pairing its skills agenda with investment, trade and export-growth measures, while Labour's Future Fund proposes investment in productive businesses and specifically mentions skills, technology adoption and helping small firms adopt proven technology. National’s Economic Plan backs Kiwis to get ahead | National Party

So I would not treat the skills policies in isolation from equipment investment incentives, electricity/energy costs, export policy, immigration, employment law and infrastructure.

If you want, I can next make this much more practical by comparing National vs Labour vs ACT vs NZ First specifically for a small New Zealand manufacturing exporter—covering apprentice costs, skilled migration, employment law, tax/equipment investment, energy, freight/export policy and small-business measures in one neutral table.

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Gemini · No location

I run a small manufacturing business that exports and employs staff. We are considering new equipment but worry about demand, freight costs and finding skilled workers. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. What plans do parties have for vocational skills, training and the availability of skilled workers?

Navigating decisions around new capital investment, freight, and skilled labor while weighing your vote in the 2026 general election involves looking closely at how the major political parties approach vocational education, workforce development, and economic settings for manufacturing and exporting businesses.

The vocational training landscape has recently undergone structural changes, with the transition to Industry Skills Boards (ISBs) and regional polytechnics. Parties approach how to feed talent into this system—and how to manage business costs, demand, and immigration—through distinct ideological lenses.


Key Party Approaches to Vocational Skills and Workforce Availability

1. National and the Current Coalition Parties (ACT, NZ First)

  • Focus on Industry-Led Alignment and Work Readiness: The current administration's vocational strategy emphasizes close alignment with employer needs through the newly established Industry Skills Boards (such as the Manufacturing and Engineering ISB) and regional polytechnics.
  • Welfare and Participation: Their approach to labor shortages heavily emphasizes activating the domestic workforce through welfare reform. Policies like "Welfare that Works" aim to move benefit recipients into work through stricter obligations and sanctions for turning down suitable employment, which they argue can help ease entry-level staffing pressures for small businesses.
  • Economic and Small Business Support: While not broad-brush company tax cuts across the board, parties like ACT and NZ First campaign heavily on regulatory reduction, lower compliance costs, and targeted business tax adjustments (such as NZ First's proposal for a lower company tax tier for smaller firms) to help manufacturers absorb freight and capital equipment costs.

2. The Labour Party

  • Targeted Pathways and Training Support: Labour frames vocational training around robust public support and structured pathways. Recent policy commitments focus on creating clearer school-to-work pipelines (such as promoting vocational pathways starting from age 14 and structured apprenticeships), alongside targeted funding for regional and Māori-led training initiatives to lift regional workforce participation.
  • Cost-of-Living and Demand Focus: Labour’s economic pitch for manufacturing centers on boosting domestic consumer demand and supporting worker retention through industrial relations settings, training incentives, and student loan adjustments (such as retention-based incentives for graduates to stay in New Zealand).

3. The Green Party and Te Pāti Māori

  • Green Transition and Targeted Industries: The Greens and Te Pāti Māori emphasize training geared toward a green economy, sustainable manufacturing, and localized regional development. They generally favor strengthening public tertiary institutions and polytechnics rather than market-driven models, alongside robust protections and fair wages for workers to combat retention issues.
  • Funding Models: They propose progressive taxation structures (such as wealth or higher corporate tax brackets for major entities) to fund public services and education infrastructure, contrasting with the center-right's preference for leaner public spending.

Connecting Policies to Your Business Decisions

When evaluating your vote against your specific concerns as a manufacturing exporter:

  • For Skilled Worker Availability: Look at how parties propose to balance immigration settings (critical for filling specialized engineering or technical gaps immediately) versus domestic training incentives (subsidies for apprenticeships and support for polytechnics/ISBs). Center-right parties lean toward strict demand-led immigration coupled with domestic benefit-to-work activation, whereas center-left parties focus more heavily on state-backed training schemes, industry partnerships, and worker retention incentives.
  • For Demand and Freight Costs: Consider broader macroeconomic policies. Parties differ on how they plan to stimulate regional and export growth, manage infrastructure and freight logistics (roads, rail, and ports), and ease inflation or interest rate pressures that affect capital expenditure on new equipment.
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Google AI Mode · No location

I run a small manufacturing business that exports and employs staff. We are considering new equipment but worry about demand, freight costs and finding skilled workers. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. What plans do parties have for vocational skills, training and the availability of skilled workers?

Navigating workforce constraints, freight costs, and capital investment in manufacturing is a balancing act, and your perspective as an exporter and employer is central to the upcoming 2026 New Zealand general election.

The vocational education and training (VET) landscape is currently undergoing a major structural shift. Following legislation passed in late 2025, the system became operational on January 1, 2026, breaking up the old Te Pūkenga mega-polytechnic model to re-establish regional polytechnics and transition work-based learning to eight Industry Skills Boards (ISBs). Political parties are positioning their skills and small-business policies against this backdrop.

Overview of party approaches and proposals relevant to manufacturing, vocational training, and skilled labor:

  • National-led Government / Coalition Approach: Focuses heavily on the ongoing implementation of the decentralized vocational education model—returning autonomy to regional polytechnics and shifting standard-setting and industry training oversight to the new Industry Skills Boards. Their economic strategy leans on streamlining business compliance, addressing infrastructure and freight bottlenecks, and supporting industry-led apprenticeships through market-driven demand rather than centralized steering.

  • Labour Party: Proposes targeted interventions aimed directly at manufacturing, exporting, and small businesses. Their platform includes a tax write-off for new equipment purchases up to $10,000, initiatives for faster government and commercial invoice payments, and a 15% target for government procurement going to local small-to-medium enterprises. For apprenticeships and skills, Labour has pledged extended employer payments, a $1,000 toolbox grant for apprentices, and the addition of five new core trades covered under targeted support.

  • Other Parties (Green, ACT, NZ First): Bring distinct lenses to the skills shortage—ACT typically emphasizes flexible immigration settings alongside regulatory and tax relief to lower business costs, while the Green Party focuses on green-tech transitions, sustainable manufacturing support, and funding public tertiary and vocational infrastructure.

To help narrow down how these policies align with your specific business outlook, let me know:

  • Are you looking more for direct financial incentives (like equipment write-offs or grants) or broader economic management of skills and immigration?

  • Would you like to explore how the new Industry Skills Boards affect training in your specific manufacturing sector?

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AI Overviews · No location

I run a small manufacturing business that exports and employs staff. We are considering new equipment but worry about demand, freight costs and finding skilled workers. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. What plans do parties have for vocational skills, training and the availability of skilled workers?

AI Overview

For a small manufacturing business looking to invest in new equipment, the availability of skilled operators and technicians is critical to managing capital risk. Ahead of the 2026 New Zealand general election , the major political parties have laid out distinct paths for structural vocational training and immigration to address the domestic skills shortage.

National Party (Current Lead Coalition)

The National Party's approach relies heavily on decentralizing the vocational system and providing structured pathways for foreign-trained tradespeople to supplement the domestic workforce.

  • Vocational Restructuring: Following the disestablishment of Te Pūkenga, National implemented a redesigned system active from January 1, 2026. It has resurrected regional polytechnics and formed eight industry-led Industry Skills Boards (ISBs) to set standards and oversee work-based training.

  • Targeted Skilled Migration: National has introduced structured residence pathways tailored for businesses investing in machinery. Their Trades and Technician Pathway requires a Level 4 qualification, four years of post-qualification experience, and a specific period working in New Zealand at or above the median wage.

  • Training Academies: The government has expanded trades academy places to capture younger workers prior to entering the workforce.

Labour Party (Opposition)

The Labour Party focuses on heavily subsidizing employers who train staff domestically and extending financial security to those in apprenticeships.

  • Apprenticeship Boost Expansion: Labour's central election pillar is expanding the Apprenticeship Boost program starting July 1, 2028. They promise to restore the $500 monthly employer subsidy for a full two years (up from the current one-year limit).

  • Direct Apprentice Support: To improve retention and training completion rates, Labour pledges a $1,000 "toolbox grant" directly to new apprentices for equipment, alongside dedicated mentoring funds distributed via the ISBs.

  • Targeted Programs: Labour intends to invest $21 million annually into Māori-led trades training through marae and iwi trusts to pull non-traditional demographics into the skilled workforce.

ACT and New Zealand First (Coalition Partners)

The smaller governing parties focus heavily on deregulation, tighter immigration restrictions, and tying employment tightly to immediate market needs.

  • ACT: Promotes a highly market-driven approach, proposing that the skilled jobs shortage list be reviewed annually to respond immediately to precise commercial gaps. ACT has driven recent employment law changes—including the Employment Relations Amendment Act 2026 —aimed at cutting regulatory compliance burdens for small business owners. They also propose a lower training wage for workers under 20.

  • New Zealand First: Explicitly advocates for a "New Zealanders first" employment priority. They are campaigning on strict immigration caps—proposing a referendum to limit resident visas to 20,000 annually—and removing automatic work rights for international student visa holders to protect local entry-level jobs.

Policy Trade-offs for Your Business

Policy Angle Potential Benefit Potential Hurdle
National / ACT Less workplace regulation; structural pathways to bring in pre-trained global technicians. Slower domestic training pipeline stabilization due to ongoing polytechnic transitions.
Labour Generous long-term direct financial subsidies ($500/mo) to offset the cost of training staff on your new equipment. Potential return of centralized, multi-employer bargaining frameworks.
NZ First Strong emphasis on driving locals into industry. Tight immigration caps could severely limit your options if a specialized machine operator cannot be found locally.

If you want to look at how these platforms impact your wider business costs, let me know if you would like details on:

  • Small business tax relief plans or proposed asset write-offs
  • Parties' positions on freight infrastructure funding and supply chains
Ask anything

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