Evidence · NZ Election 2026 · Edition 4

Every question, every answer, every source

All 174 questions and the 776 answers produced on 19 October 2026. For the other 44 planned combinations, Google produced no AI Overview or AI Mode answer.

questions
174
answers saved
776
collected
19 October 2026

01

Every question, with its answers

Each question was written as a voter would ask it and went to all four assistants. Some were also asked from a town. Open a question to read every answer to it in full.

Showing 20 of 174 questions

02

The tables behind the study

Every figure on the study page comes from these tables. They are CSV files, which open in any spreadsheet.

  • Questions

    questions.csv

    One row per question, unchanged since 5 October.

    id, text, reference, axes, collectionSettings, enabled

  • Answers

    answers.csv

    One row per saved answer, with its complete original text.

    id, questionId, assistant, collectionSetting, askedFrom, text, words

  • Sources by answer

    source-associations.csv

    One row per website associated with an answer; repeated citations count once.

    answer id, question id, assistant, domain, publisher

  • Checks against official sources

    checks.csv

    One row per selected statement and assistant, including those where the statement was not made.

    checkId, claimToTest, category, answerId, questionId, assistant, assertionPresent, assertion, paragraphs, verdict, evidence, whatTheSourceSays, checkedOn, assessment

  • Who to vote for: what each answer did

    behaviour-coding.csv

    One row per voting-guidance answer read in full, with each behaviour marked. Behaviours overlap; the original answers supply the evidence.

    prompt_id, draft_id, platform, region, explicit_choice_boundary, conditional_party_or_bloc_alignment, prioritised_shortlist, elicits_additional_user_information, unconditional_single_party_vote_instruction, excerpts, rationale, reviewer, reviewed_on, answerId

  • Location and national answers

    place-pairs.csv

    One row per national and location pair in this edition.

    question id, assistant, place, national answer id, place answer id, national entities, place entities, same entities

  • Changes between editions

    party-change-tables.csv

    One row per answer and earlier edition, with the parties named then and now.

    earlier_edition, earlier_result_id, current_result_id, prompt_id, platform, region, draft_id, block, scenario_id, scenario, issue, priority, same_text, same_party_set, earlier_parties, current_parties, added, removed

  • Changes across editions

    trajectory-tables.csv

    One row per pair of editions, with how many of the same 776 answers changed their party line-up.

    earlier_edition, current_edition, denominator, changed_all17, changed_seven

  • Party counts by edition

    party-count-tables.csv

    One row per comparison, edition, assistant and party, with the answers naming the party.

    panel, edition, platform, entity_id, party, numerator, denominator

  • Parties entering and leaving answers

    party-mention-flows.csv

    One row per party and assistant: answers that gained, lost or kept the party since 16 October.

    entity_id, platform, denominator, earlier, current, gained, lost, retained

  • Parties named by issue

    topic-presence-tables.csv

    One row per issue and party, with the answers naming the party.

    issue, entity_id, numerator, denominator

  • Location comparisons by edition

    regional-tables.csv

    One row per national and location pair, comparison and edition.

    panel, edition, prompt_id, platform, region, draft_id, block, scenario_id, scenario, issue, priority, complete, national_result_id, location_result_id, same_party_set

  • Answer length by assistant

    platform-tables.csv

    One row per comparison, edition and assistant, with answer length and the answers naming all six parties in Parliament.

    panel, edition, platform, answers, median_words, all_six_parliamentary

  • Voting guidance changes between editions

    guidance-change-tables.csv

    One row per voting-guidance answer and behaviour, on 16 and 19 October.

    draft_id, platform, measure, earlier_result_id, result_id, earlier, current, changed

  • What changed for each voter

    case-assessments.csv

    One row per voter: what changed in the answer to their main question.

    case, transition, earlier_quote, quote, assessment

  • Statements selected for checking

    check-register.csv

    One row per statement selected for checking, with why it was chosen and its primary source.

    checkId, claimToTest, category, whyChecked, primarySourceUrl, answerId

  • Answers paired with Edition 3

    pairs.csv

    One row per answer, with the 16 October answer to the same question, assistant and location.

    earlierAnswerId, answerId, questionId, assistant, collectionSetting, askedFrom

  • Source capture by answer

    sources.csv

    One row per answer, with whether its sources were captured and the websites recorded.

    answerId, capture, domains, urls, literalUrls, scope

  • Websites by reach

    source-reach-tables.csv

    One row per website, with the answers associated with it.

    domain, answers, denominator

  • Websites by issue

    topic-source-tables.csv

    One row per issue and website, with the answers associated with it.

    issue, domain, answers, denominator

  • Party matches reviewed in context

    party-identity-decisions.csv

    One row per possible party match read in context, with whether it counted and why.

    result_id, party, include, state, reason, reviewer, reviewed_on, review_basis, contexts

  • Parties found in each answer

    codings.csv

    One row per answer, party and comparison, with whether the party counted and the passage that shows it.

    comparisonId, answerId, entityId, kind, measure, counted, quote, reason, evidence

  • Comparisons each answer is in

    memberships.csv

    One row per answer and comparison.

    comparisonId, answerId, rowKey, included

  • Claims Onsomble recorded

    raw-native-claims.csv

    One row per claim, with the parties it is about and its stance on each.

    claimId, claimText, quote, stance, platform, region, promptId, brands, sources, drivers, sourceResultId

  • Answers read in full

    semantic-review-ledger.csv

    One row per answer and question a reviewer read in full, with the decision and the passage.

    result_id, dimension, state, decision, rationale, excerpt, reviewer, reviewed_on

  • Passages quoted in the analysis

    report-evidence.csv

    One row per answer passage the analysis quotes, with its reading.

    key, answerId, interpretation, text

  • Analysis findings

    findings.csv

    One row per finding in the analysis, with its figure and the table it comes from.

    id, value, denominator, statement, summary, caveat, evidence, reportFile

Use these tables to trace findings back to the original questions and answers. The full text of each answer is also on this page, under its question.

03

Read in full and checked

Some answers were read in detail or checked against official sources. Those appear on the study page, beside the findings they support.

ChatGPT · No location

I work in a small town rather than farming. My family drives long distances for services, and local jobs and healthcare are limited. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. What would parties do about fuel costs for people who have few public transport alternatives?

New Zealand's 2026 election: fuel costs for small-town families

If you live in a small town, work locally rather than farm, and need to drive long distances for healthcare, shopping, education or other services, fuel prices affect much more than your commute. When public transport is limited, driving is often a necessity rather than a choice.

For the 2026 New Zealand general election, the key question is not simply which party promises cheaper petrol. It is how each party would reduce the total cost of getting your family where it needs to go, particularly if you cannot switch to public transport or work from home.

There are several different approaches to compare:

  • Lowering the price at the pump: changing fuel taxes, road-user charges or other levies.
  • Helping households with essential travel: providing targeted financial support or changing tax and benefit settings.
  • Reducing dependence on petrol and diesel: supporting more affordable electric vehicles and charging infrastructure.
  • Bringing services closer to home: improving regional healthcare, local employment, and transport connections so fewer long journeys are necessary.

These policies have different costs, eligibility rules and timelines. A tax reduction might help quickly, for example, while better local healthcare could reduce the number of journeys a family needs to make over the longer term.

What the main parties are proposing

The following reflects published policies and announcements available as of 18 October 2026. It separates measures that directly affect petrol prices from those that might reduce your family's overall transport costs.

South Island Election Conference 2026

Labour

Direct fuel-tax relief and price regulation

Labour promises to freeze fuel excise tax for three years, estimating an average family would save $520 annually by 2030. It also proposes making fuel-company price gouging illegal, with refunds for customers who have been overcharged. Its separate public-transport fare cap is $10 a week outside Auckland, Wellington and Christchurch, from July 2027. Labour's Cost of Living Plan

For your situation: the fuel-tax freeze is the most directly relevant measure if your family has to keep driving. The fare cap may be less useful if there is no practical service where you live.

Labour's cost-of-living policies

Will National Party Finish 2nd in New Zealand's 2026 Election?

National

Slower tax increases, targeted support and road investment

National's government has cancelled the planned 12-cent-per-litre fuel-excise increase for January 2027. Under its revised schedule, the next increase is 5 cents per litre from January 2028, with equivalent changes to road-user charges. The government has also provided temporary extra in-work tax credits to eligible working families with children facing higher fuel costs. Government cancels fuel tax hikeTax changes passed to provide fuel price relief

National is also progressing a transition from petrol tax to electronic road-user charges, where road contributions would increasingly depend on distance travelled and vehicle weight. The timing and final design for all light vehicles are not yet settled. Next steps on replacing petrol tax with electronic road user chargesReplacing fuel tax with road user charges

For your situation: delaying tax increases helps motorists avoid a scheduled price rise, while targeted family support depends on eligibility. A distance-based charge could change how your family pays for road use, so the final rates and treatment of high-mileage households matter.

National's 2026 policies

Green Party NZ (@NZGreens) on X

Green Party

Affordable alternatives to driving

The Greens propose free bus and train travel for children, teenagers, students, apprentices, Community Services Card holders and Total Mobility users, with adult fares capped at $2. They also propose funding better public transport in smaller towns, more frequent inter-regional buses, and new or improved passenger rail services. Green Party launches the transport plan to combat fossil fuel crisistransport-problem-col1

For your situation: the crucial promise is the commitment to improve services in smaller towns, not just major cities. But these measures would only reduce your petrol bill if a useful service actually connected your town with the places your family needs to visit. They do not directly lower the price of petrol for trips that still require a car.

Greens' transport plan

New Zealand Legislative Election Winner 2026 Odds | Polymarket

ACT

Road spending and infrastructure efficiency

ACT's published transport position emphasises getting more infrastructure built for the money collected from fuel taxes, road-user charges, tolls and rates, with greater emphasis on road maintenance and value for money. ACT New Zealand

For your situation: this approach is relevant if road condition, reliability and long-distance driving are your biggest concerns. The cited announcement does not set out a specific reduction in the petrol price for households that must drive long distances.

ACT's transport announcement

New Zealand legislative election winner? Predictions & Od... 2026 | Polymarket

New Zealand First

Fuel security and regional connectivity

New Zealand First has highlighted the risk of relying on imported fuel and announced plans to invest in exploring New Zealand's oil and gas resources. Its earlier published policies also support affordable public transport in urban and rural areas and include proposals to improve regional transport links. Winston Peters: “Hope, And A Better Tomorrow”2023 Election Policies

For your situation: the focus on fuel security addresses the risk of supply disruption, while regional transport and energy policies could have longer-term implications. Domestic oil exploration would not, by itself, guarantee cheaper petrol at your local station, and I could not verify a current 2026 commitment to a specific household fuel-price reduction.

New Zealand First's policy announcements

What would the policies mean for your household?

Your priority Policies to examine closely
Lower petrol costs now Labour's fuel-tax freeze; National's delayed tax increases
Help with the household budget Eligibility for National's targeted family support; Labour's proposed fuel-price regulation
Affordable trips to larger centres Greens' proposed regional bus and rail improvements; Labour's fare caps where services exist
Reliable roads for long trips National's road programme; ACT's road-maintenance and infrastructure priorities
Less vulnerability to fuel shocks New Zealand First's fuel-security proposals

This is a comparison of policy mechanisms, not a ranking of parties. Actual savings depend on implementation, your driving distance, fuel consumption, household eligibility and whether policies survive coalition negotiations.

Three questions worth asking candidates

For someone in your position, broad campaign promises may not tell the whole story. These are useful questions to put to candidates in your electorate:

  1. Will you offer any direct relief to people who must drive for work and essential services? Ask whether it would be a tax reduction, a payment, or something else, and who would qualify.
  2. What will you do for small towns without viable public transport? Ask about connections to hospitals, specialist appointments, schools and regional employment centres, rather than just urban bus fares.
  3. How will you fund the policy without compromising road maintenance or local services? Fuel taxes also contribute to the transport system, so changes to them can have consequences for future funding.

For checking party-by-party announcements as the campaign develops, Policy.nz's 2026 election comparison is a useful starting point. You can also check the parties' own policy pages linked above.

One final distinction: a policy that lowers the price per litre is not necessarily the same as one that leaves a high-mileage household better off overall. For your family, it is worth comparing both the cost of fuel itself and the cost of reaching essential services when there is no realistic alternative to driving.

Ask anything

ChatGPT can make mistakes. Check important info.

Captured 19 October 2026 · shown as ChatGPT gave it, not a verified account

Gemini · No location

I work in a small town rather than farming. My family drives long distances for services, and local jobs and healthcare are limited. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. What would parties do about fuel costs for people who have few public transport alternatives?

For people living in small towns and regional New Zealand who rely heavily on private vehicles due to long distances and a lack of viable public transport alternatives, transport and fuel costs are a central issue.

The major political parties approach the intersection of road funding, fuel costs, and regional accessibility through different philosophies:

1. National and ACT (User-Pays, Road Investment, and RUC Reform)

  • Roads and Infrastructure Focus: The National-led approach prioritizes funding for state highway maintenance, resilience, and major roading projects (such as Roads of National Significance) to ensure regional connectivity.
  • User-Pays & Funding Models: ACT and National lean toward user-pays principles, moving toward electronic Road User Charges (RUC) (expanding RUC to all vehicles over time) and exploring tools like tolling and time-of-use charging to fund infrastructure.
  • Impact on Rural/Small Town Drivers: While these parties focus on maintaining and upgrading rural road networks and state highways, policies that rely more heavily on user-pays mechanisms or distance-based charges mean that households driving long distances may face direct costs tied to their mileage.

2. Labour (Household Cost Relief and Regional Fares)

  • Cost of Living Focus: Labour places heavier emphasis on household cost pressures and the direct impact of fuel charges.
  • Public Transport vs. Regional Reality: Labour has promoted nationwide public transport initiatives (such as capped weekly fares—e.g., $10 outside the major main centers). However, for residents of small towns where scheduled bus or rail services do not exist, urban-centric fare caps offer limited direct relief, shifting the debate back to fuel tax relief and regional road maintenance support.

3. The Green Party and Te Pāti Māori (Targeted Support and Alternative Regional Transit)

  • Reducing Car Dependence: The Greens emphasize moving away from car dependence through expanded regional, rural, and interregional bus services, on-demand public transport, and rail investments.
  • Targeted Relief: Their policies often include free or heavily discounted travel for specific groups (such as students, youth, and Community Services Card holders), which aims to assist lower-income households in regions, alongside proposals to phase in electric vehicle incentives to lower long-term running costs. However, critics argue that these alternatives are difficult to deploy effectively in low-density rural or small-town environments where fixed routes are economically unviable.

Summary of the Choice for Regional Voters

When considering your vote, the fundamental divergence between the parties comes down to a choice of strategy:

  • Road-Centric & User-Pays Models focus on keeping regional state highways and local roads functional for cars and freight, but rely on mechanisms where frequent drivers bear the direct cost of infrastructure.
  • Alternative-Transit & Subsidy Models focus on lowering public transport costs or expanding regional bus/rail connectivity, though their practical impact can be minimal for small-town residents who have no local services at their doorstep and must rely entirely on private vehicles for healthcare, work, and errands.
Ask Gemini

Gemini is AI and can make mistakes.

Captured 19 October 2026 · shown as Gemini gave it, not a verified account

Google AI Mode · No location

I work in a small town rather than farming. My family drives long distances for services, and local jobs and healthcare are limited. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. What would parties do about fuel costs for people who have few public transport alternatives?

For voters living in regional or small-town New Zealand who rely heavily on private vehicles due to limited public transport and distance to services, the major political parties approach the pain at the pump through different lenses—focusing variously on road maintenance, temporary fuel tax relief, EV/evc incentives, or broader cost-of-living interventions.

The general policy directions from the major parties regarding fuel costs, transport, and regional access highlight distinct approaches:

  • National Party / Governing Coalition perspective: Focuses heavily on upgrading and maintaining the core roading network via the National Land Transport Fund to ensure regional transport corridors are resilient and efficient. Rather than broad ongoing subsidies for petrol, their policy emphasis leans toward infrastructure reliability, freight efficiency, and transitioning the vehicle fleet over time, while balancing the wider taxation and road-user charge (RUC) frameworks.
  • Labour Party: Proposes direct cost-of-living relief targeting everyday essentials. For transport and fuel, Labour's platform includes freezing or deferring fuel tax increases to give drivers immediate relief at the pump, alongside capping public transport fares where available and supporting regional healthcare/services access.
  • Green Party: Concentrates on lowering overall reliance on fossil fuels and providing relief through subsidized public transport systems, active transport options, and rapid transit in larger hubs. While they push for systemic shifts away from fossil fuels, their policies for rural and small-town areas typically emphasize localized clean-energy transitions, EV incentives, and community-level solutions rather than cutting fuel excise duties.
  • ACT New Zealand / New Zealand First: Generally lean into skepticism of high fuel excise taxes and compliance costs on motorists, advocating for cost-conscious regulation, road-user equity, and ensuring that funds collected from motorists at the pump are strictly redirected back into road infrastructure rather than general government revenue.

You can explore individual party manifestos and compare specific line items using tools like the Policy.nz Transport and Infrastructure Overview.

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AI Overviews · No location

I work in a small town rather than farming. My family drives long distances for services, and local jobs and healthcare are limited. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. What would parties do about fuel costs for people who have few public transport alternatives?

AI Overview

For the 2026 New Zealand general election , political parties are offering distinctly different strategies regarding fuel costs and taxes , which directly impacts families in small towns who rely heavily on vehicles and have limited access to public transport.

The main political positions on fuel costs for motorists include:

📊 Direct Policy Comparison

Political Party Primary Fuel Tax Policy for 2026–2029 Long-Term / Structural Approach to Fuel Costs
Labour Party Freeze all fuel tax increases for a full three-year term. Claims the freeze shields motorists from immediate pressure; proposes a general public transport fare cap ($20/week).
National Party Deferred the 12c/L tax hike from Jan 2027; replacing it with smaller 5c/L hikes every six months starting 2028. Argues phased increases give households recovery time while continuing to fund the National Land Transport Fund for roads.
ACT New Zealand Deferred the immediate tax hike for one year alongside National. Favors exploration and market deregulation rather than structural intervention to manage energy supply and costs.
Green Party Continue annual fuel tax rises at the current rate but proposed targeted fossil fuel crisis relief packages. Focuses on targeted relief payments for low-income and rural individuals, expanding free regional transit, and regulating corporate price gouging by fuel companies.
New Zealand First Supported the Coalition's deferred/staggered tax approach. Targets cost-of-living relief through structural market overhauls, focusing heavily on restructuring the broader domestic energy market.

🔍 Deep Dive into Party Positions

🔴 The Labour Party

Labour has made a three-year freeze on fuel excise taxes a centerpiece of its campaign. The party argues that with fuel, groceries, and services rising, rural and regional households cannot absorb National's planned long-term increases. Critics, however, claim that halting tax increases creates a revenue shortfall for road maintenance that small towns depend on.

🔵 The National Party (Current Coalition Lead)

National opted to cancel the immediate 12 cents per liter fuel tax hike scheduled for January 2027. Instead, they are introducing a phased increase of 5 cents every six months beginning in 2028. National argues this compromise cushions the blow for motorists in the short term while ensuring the National Land Transport Fund remains funded to build and repair roads.

🟢 The Green Party

The Greens support using fuel taxes to fund green infrastructure but acknowledge the severe pressure on rural drivers. They have advocated for a Fossil Fuel Crisis Relief Package that includes direct, targeted cash relief payments for rural individuals who have no public transport options. They also support a windfall profits tax to stop petrol companies from price gouging at the pump.

If you are interested, we can explore how these parties plan to address the limited local healthcare options or regional job growth in small towns for the 2026 term.

Ask anything

Captured 19 October 2026 · shown as AI Overviews gave it, not a verified account