Evidence · NZ Election 2026 · Edition 4

Every question, every answer, every source

All 174 questions and the 776 answers produced on 19 October 2026. For the other 44 planned combinations, Google produced no AI Overview or AI Mode answer.

questions
174
answers saved
776
collected
19 October 2026

01

Every question, with its answers

Each question was written as a voter would ask it and went to all four assistants. Some were also asked from a town. Open a question to read every answer to it in full.

Showing 20 of 174 questions

02

The tables behind the study

Every figure on the study page comes from these tables. They are CSV files, which open in any spreadsheet.

  • Questions

    questions.csv

    One row per question, unchanged since 5 October.

    id, text, reference, axes, collectionSettings, enabled

  • Answers

    answers.csv

    One row per saved answer, with its complete original text.

    id, questionId, assistant, collectionSetting, askedFrom, text, words

  • Sources by answer

    source-associations.csv

    One row per website associated with an answer; repeated citations count once.

    answer id, question id, assistant, domain, publisher

  • Checks against official sources

    checks.csv

    One row per selected statement and assistant, including those where the statement was not made.

    checkId, claimToTest, category, answerId, questionId, assistant, assertionPresent, assertion, paragraphs, verdict, evidence, whatTheSourceSays, checkedOn, assessment

  • Who to vote for: what each answer did

    behaviour-coding.csv

    One row per voting-guidance answer read in full, with each behaviour marked. Behaviours overlap; the original answers supply the evidence.

    prompt_id, draft_id, platform, region, explicit_choice_boundary, conditional_party_or_bloc_alignment, prioritised_shortlist, elicits_additional_user_information, unconditional_single_party_vote_instruction, excerpts, rationale, reviewer, reviewed_on, answerId

  • Location and national answers

    place-pairs.csv

    One row per national and location pair in this edition.

    question id, assistant, place, national answer id, place answer id, national entities, place entities, same entities

  • Changes between editions

    party-change-tables.csv

    One row per answer and earlier edition, with the parties named then and now.

    earlier_edition, earlier_result_id, current_result_id, prompt_id, platform, region, draft_id, block, scenario_id, scenario, issue, priority, same_text, same_party_set, earlier_parties, current_parties, added, removed

  • Changes across editions

    trajectory-tables.csv

    One row per pair of editions, with how many of the same 776 answers changed their party line-up.

    earlier_edition, current_edition, denominator, changed_all17, changed_seven

  • Party counts by edition

    party-count-tables.csv

    One row per comparison, edition, assistant and party, with the answers naming the party.

    panel, edition, platform, entity_id, party, numerator, denominator

  • Parties entering and leaving answers

    party-mention-flows.csv

    One row per party and assistant: answers that gained, lost or kept the party since 16 October.

    entity_id, platform, denominator, earlier, current, gained, lost, retained

  • Parties named by issue

    topic-presence-tables.csv

    One row per issue and party, with the answers naming the party.

    issue, entity_id, numerator, denominator

  • Location comparisons by edition

    regional-tables.csv

    One row per national and location pair, comparison and edition.

    panel, edition, prompt_id, platform, region, draft_id, block, scenario_id, scenario, issue, priority, complete, national_result_id, location_result_id, same_party_set

  • Answer length by assistant

    platform-tables.csv

    One row per comparison, edition and assistant, with answer length and the answers naming all six parties in Parliament.

    panel, edition, platform, answers, median_words, all_six_parliamentary

  • Voting guidance changes between editions

    guidance-change-tables.csv

    One row per voting-guidance answer and behaviour, on 16 and 19 October.

    draft_id, platform, measure, earlier_result_id, result_id, earlier, current, changed

  • What changed for each voter

    case-assessments.csv

    One row per voter: what changed in the answer to their main question.

    case, transition, earlier_quote, quote, assessment

  • Statements selected for checking

    check-register.csv

    One row per statement selected for checking, with why it was chosen and its primary source.

    checkId, claimToTest, category, whyChecked, primarySourceUrl, answerId

  • Answers paired with Edition 3

    pairs.csv

    One row per answer, with the 16 October answer to the same question, assistant and location.

    earlierAnswerId, answerId, questionId, assistant, collectionSetting, askedFrom

  • Source capture by answer

    sources.csv

    One row per answer, with whether its sources were captured and the websites recorded.

    answerId, capture, domains, urls, literalUrls, scope

  • Websites by reach

    source-reach-tables.csv

    One row per website, with the answers associated with it.

    domain, answers, denominator

  • Websites by issue

    topic-source-tables.csv

    One row per issue and website, with the answers associated with it.

    issue, domain, answers, denominator

  • Party matches reviewed in context

    party-identity-decisions.csv

    One row per possible party match read in context, with whether it counted and why.

    result_id, party, include, state, reason, reviewer, reviewed_on, review_basis, contexts

  • Parties found in each answer

    codings.csv

    One row per answer, party and comparison, with whether the party counted and the passage that shows it.

    comparisonId, answerId, entityId, kind, measure, counted, quote, reason, evidence

  • Comparisons each answer is in

    memberships.csv

    One row per answer and comparison.

    comparisonId, answerId, rowKey, included

  • Claims Onsomble recorded

    raw-native-claims.csv

    One row per claim, with the parties it is about and its stance on each.

    claimId, claimText, quote, stance, platform, region, promptId, brands, sources, drivers, sourceResultId

  • Answers read in full

    semantic-review-ledger.csv

    One row per answer and question a reviewer read in full, with the decision and the passage.

    result_id, dimension, state, decision, rationale, excerpt, reviewer, reviewed_on

  • Passages quoted in the analysis

    report-evidence.csv

    One row per answer passage the analysis quotes, with its reading.

    key, answerId, interpretation, text

  • Analysis findings

    findings.csv

    One row per finding in the analysis, with its figure and the table it comes from.

    id, value, denominator, statement, summary, caveat, evidence, reportFile

Use these tables to trace findings back to the original questions and answers. The full text of each answer is also on this page, under its question.

03

Read in full and checked

Some answers were read in detail or checked against official sources. Those appear on the study page, beside the findings they support.

ChatGPT · No location

I rent with my partner and work rostered hours that change from week to week. Our pay can drop unexpectedly, but rent and bills don't. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. How would the parties' tax plans affect take-home pay for workers on modest incomes?

New Zealand 2026 election: how tax plans could affect your take-home pay

For you and your partner, the important question isn't just which party promises a tax cut. It's how much money you'd actually keep in a normal pay week, what happens when your rostered hours drop, and whether the benefit comes with changes to other support or costs.

Because you rent and your combined income can vary from week to week, I'd compare each party's policies across four areas:

  • Income tax: how much PAYE you would pay at your usual hourly earnings.
  • Irregular income: whether a tax change helps when you work fewer shifts, rather than only in a good week.
  • Other deductions and support: Working for Families, the Accommodation Supplement, student loan repayments or KiwiSaver, where applicable.
  • Living costs: whether proposed changes to benefits, housing policy or public services could offset a tax reduction.

One important distinction: a tax cut can increase your take-home pay without making your income more predictable. If rent and bills stay fixed while your hours fluctuate, both effects matter.

1. What the main parties are proposing

The election is scheduled for 7 November 2026. The following comparison reflects published policies available in the run-up to the election, with an independent tax-policy summary updated in October. Proposals may change or be negotiated if parties form a coalition. Tax Tips: 2026 General ElectionTax Tips: 2026 General Election

Party Main relevant proposal Likely effect on a worker's pay
National No new taxes pledge; higher compulsory KiwiSaver contributions phased in over time. No announced new income-tax cut; higher employee KiwiSaver contributions would reduce cash in your pay packet while increasing retirement savings. No new taxes under NationalTax Tips: 2026 General Election
Labour No announced change to personal income-tax rates; proposed 28% capital gains tax on residential investment and commercial property gains. No direct change to PAYE under the announced plan. The proposed property tax would not ordinarily affect a renter's payslip. Labour's Cost of Living PlanTax Tips: 2026 General Election
Green Party First $10,000 of income tax-free, alongside changes to taxation of high incomes, wealth and large businesses. Lower income tax for most workers, including modest earners. The party says its package would cut income tax for 96% of New Zealanders. Greens commit to tax the super-rich and large corporates fairly, cut income tax for 96%Tax Tips: 2026 General Election
New Zealand First Proposed $14,000 tax-free threshold, conditional on the Government's books returning to surplus. Potentially lower PAYE, especially for people whose earnings are modest. The timing depends on the stated fiscal condition. NZ Election 2026 Tax Calculator — Your Tax Under Each PartyNZ Election 2026 Tax Calculator — Your Tax Under Each Party
Te Pāti Māori First $30,000 tax-free, a new income-tax scale and a targeted Kai Credit for people earning $60,000 or less. A substantial proposed income-tax reduction for many lower-income workers, with extra targeted food-cost relief if eligible. Tax Tips: 2026 General ElectionNZ Election 2026 Tax Calculator — Your Tax Under Each Party
Opportunity A $19,400 annual Citizen's Income for eligible adults, combined with a new income-tax scale and a land-value tax. Could substantially change disposable income, but the payment cannot be assessed separately from the proposed land tax and changes to existing benefits. Tax Tips: 2026 General ElectionNZ Election 2026 Tax Calculator — Your Tax Under Each Party
ACT No new personal income-tax rates or thresholds identified in the published policy review. No specific new PAYE reduction can be calculated from the policy reviewed. That is not the same as a promise never to change income tax. NZ Election 2026 Tax Calculator — Your Tax Under Each PartyTax Tips: 2026 General Election

These are announced proposals, not guaranteed changes to your next payslip. In particular, don't treat a tax-free threshold as a payment of that amount: it means the first part of your earnings is not taxed.

2. What could that mean in dollars?

The following is an illustrative calculation for a single worker earning $40,000 a year, assuming the published income-tax bands described below, before any changes to Working for Families or other assistance.

The table shows the approximate annual income-tax saving from a new tax-free threshold alone, compared with current income-tax rates. It excludes ACC levies, KiwiSaver, student loans and tax credits.

Green Party

+$1,500/year

About $28.85 per week

New Zealand First

+$1,470/year

About $28.27 per week

Te Pāti Māori

+$6,000/year

About $115.38 per week

Labour / ACT / National

No new PAYE cut

Based on published proposals

Illustrative estimates, not full take-home-pay forecasts. The Green and New Zealand First figures use their proposed $10,000 and $14,000 tax-free thresholds respectively; Te Pāti Māori's estimate uses its $30,000 tax-free threshold and 15% rate on the next $10,000. Other proposed tax bands and interactions may change the final result.

The calculations illustrate the difference between changing the amount of income that is tax-free and changing the wider tax system. The Green Party and New Zealand First proposals have similar effects on this particular example, while Te Pāti Māori's proposed threshold is much larger. That is not a ranking of the parties overall: the effects differ at other income levels, and the parties' wider policies also differ. Tax Tips: 2026 General ElectionNZ Election 2026 Tax Calculator — Your Tax Under Each Party

For a broader estimate, the 2026 New Zealand election tax calculator compares announced policies against current law. Its results assume wage or salary income and do not include all possible changes to benefits or household costs. NZ Election 2026 Tax Calculator — Your Tax Under Each PartyNZ Election 2026 Tax Calculator — Your Tax Under Each Party

3. Why your changing roster matters

A tax plan that looks good on an annual salary estimate may feel different when you have fewer shifts in a particular week.

  • A tax-free threshold generally reduces the tax you owe over the year. It doesn't guarantee the same take-home pay every week, because your gross earnings still fluctuate.
  • A regular cash payment, such as Opportunity's proposed Citizen's Income, is designed differently from a tax cut. If paid regularly and not reduced when your wages fall, it could provide a more predictable income floor. The details of eligibility and payment administration matter.
  • Targeted assistance may be worth examining alongside tax rates. Te Pāti Māori's proposed Kai Credit, for example, is aimed at food costs, while other parties have proposed cost-of-living measures beyond PAYE. Tax Tips: 2026 General ElectionLabour's Cost of Living Plan
  • KiwiSaver contributions deserve particular attention. An increase in your employee contribution means less cash available immediately, even though the money remains yours in retirement savings. National, New Zealand First and Opportunity have proposed changes to retirement-saving arrangements. Tax Tips: 2026 General ElectionNZ Election 2026 Tax Calculator — Your Tax Under Each Party

One correction to the illustrative figures above: using current income-tax rates and comparing income tax alone, the approximate annual savings on $40,000 would be $1,050 under the Greens' proposed $10,000 tax-free threshold, $1,470 under New Zealand First's $14,000 threshold, and $4,408 under Te Pāti Māori's proposed tax scale. These figures exclude ACC, KiwiSaver, student loans and other assistance.

4. What to check before deciding how much weight to give tax policy

For a renting household with variable hours, I'd compare each party's published policies against these practical questions:

  1. What happens in a low-income month? Does the policy simply reduce tax on wages, or also provide support when earnings fall?
  2. Does the benefit depend on annual income? Working for Families and other income-tested assistance can change as household earnings change. Check whether a party proposes to alter those rules.
  3. Will more money actually reach your bank account? Account for employee KiwiSaver contributions and any student loan deductions, not just the headline income-tax rate.
  4. What happens to your living costs? Transport, food, healthcare, rent and public services can matter as much as a modest change to PAYE.

The key uncertainty is that a party's tax policy is only one part of its overall economic programme, and coalition negotiations can change what is implemented. The published policies are useful for comparison, but they are not promises of a specific weekly pay increase.

If you'd like a more personalised comparison, tell me roughly what each of you earns in a typical week and what you earn in a quieter week. I can estimate how the announced tax policies would affect each of you separately and together, without assuming a particular city or that either of you has a fixed annual salary.

Ask anything

ChatGPT can make mistakes. Check important info.

Captured 19 October 2026 · shown as ChatGPT gave it, not a verified account

Gemini · No location

I rent with my partner and work rostered hours that change from week to week. Our pay can drop unexpectedly, but rent and bills don't. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. How would the parties' tax plans affect take-home pay for workers on modest incomes?

For workers on modest or fluctuating incomes, managing fixed expenses like rent and bills when hours and pay packets vary is a significant pressure point. In the 2026 New Zealand general election, the political parties have taken noticeably different approaches to income tax, cost-of-living support, and structural tax reform.

How the major parties' tax and fiscal plans approach take-home pay for modest-income earners includes the following key positions:


National and ACT

  • Stance on Income Tax: Neither party has proposed immediate, broad-based personal income tax cuts for this election cycle, generally tying future tax relief to returning the Government's books to surplus.
  • Impact on Modest Incomes: Take-home pay remains largely governed by current tax thresholds. However, proposals from National regarding future pathways (such as phased KiwiSaver adjustments) or ACT’s focus on expenditure reduction mean little direct, short-term boost to weekly disposable income for variable-income workers, though they emphasize economic stability and avoiding new broad taxes.

Labour

  • Stance on Income Tax & Revenue: Labour’s fiscal approach does not feature broad personal income tax cuts or structural threshold changes, focusing instead on revenue-raising measures elsewhere (such as a 28% capital gains tax on residential and commercial investment properties).
  • Impact on Modest Incomes: While standard income tax rates remain steady under their core plan, Labour targets cost-of-living relief through service delivery and support mechanisms (such as funding primary healthcare access through capital gains revenue) rather than direct weekly tax cuts.

Green Party

  • Stance on Income Tax: The Greens propose a direct restructuring of personal income tax designed to benefit lower and middle-income earners. This includes introducing a tax-free threshold (the first $10,000 of income untaxed), balanced by a new top tax rate of 45% on income over $160,000 and wealth taxes on high-net-worth individuals.
  • Impact on Modest Incomes: Workers on modest or lower incomes would see an increase in take-home pay because the first $10,000 of their earnings would be exempt from income tax.

New Zealand First

  • Stance on Income Tax: NZ First has campaigned on introducing a tax-free threshold on the first $14,000 of income (targeted for implementation by April 2027) aimed specifically at low- and fixed-income families.
  • Impact on Modest Incomes: This policy is designed to directly lift the weekly take-home pay of lower-income earners by reducing the amount of tax paid on their initial earnings.

Te Pāti Māori

  • Stance on Income Tax: Te Pāti Māori proposes a more substantial structural shift, including a $30,000 tax-free threshold, funded by wealth and corporate tax adjustments. They also propose targeted measures like a "Kai Credit" for those earning $60,000 or less to offset the cost of food/GST.
  • Impact on Modest Incomes: Workers earning under modest thresholds would experience a significant increase in net take-home pay due to the high tax-free bracket and targeted cost-of-living credits.

The Opportunity Party (TOP)

  • Stance on Tax Reform: TOP proposes a radical "Tax Reset" that replaces standard income tax brackets with a flat-structure approach (28% up to $50,000) combined with a universal Citizen's Income ($19,400 a year) for eligible residents, funded by a land value tax.
  • Impact on Modest Incomes: For workers with fluctuating, low, or unpredictable hours, a universal Citizen's Income acts as a fixed financial floor, significantly altering how variable weekly wages translate into total household security.

Summary for Rostered / Variable Workers

If your primary concern is boosting net take-home pay directly through the tax system to manage fluctuating weekly hours:

  • The Greens, New Zealand First, and Te Pāti Māori offer direct tax-free thresholds that would directly increase net earnings for modest-income earners.
  • TOP proposes a structural overhaul via a Citizen's Income to buffer against income volatility.
  • National, Labour, and ACT maintain more traditional income tax settings, prioritizing fiscal baseline control or alternative revenue collection (like capital gains) over immediate personal tax cuts for low-to-middle brackets.

Would you like to explore how any of these specific party policies interact with working for families tax credits or other assistance?

Ask Gemini

Gemini is AI and can make mistakes.

Captured 19 October 2026 · shown as Gemini gave it, not a verified account

Google AI Mode · No location

I rent with my partner and work rostered hours that change from week to week. Our pay can drop unexpectedly, but rent and bills don't. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. How would the parties' tax plans affect take-home pay for workers on modest incomes?

Navigating fluctuating rostered hours and tight household budgets means that the stability of your weekly take-home pay is a major factor. In the lead-up to the 2026 general election, the political parties have set out distinct visions for the tax system, ranging from direct income tax threshold adjustments to structural wealth and capital approaches.

How the primary political parties' tax and economic policies approach take-home pay for workers on modest incomes breaks down as follows:

1. National and ACT

  • Focus: Maintaining current settings/previous adjustments and opposing new broad-based taxes (such as capital gains or wealth taxes).

  • Impact on Modest Incomes: National points to its previous personal income tax threshold adjustments (delivered in 2024) which were designed to lift thresholds and ease bracket creep for low-to-middle income earners. They are campaigning generally on a "no new taxes" pledge and spending restraint, meaning they do not propose further aggressive structural overhauls to income tax brackets specifically targeted at fluctuating modest earners in this cycle, instead emphasizing broader economic growth and job creation to support wages. ACT similarly favors flatter tax structures and expenditure control rather than targeted redistributive income interventions.

2. Labour

  • Focus: Tighter, narrower revenue adjustments and a targeted capital gains tax (excluding the family home), alongside cost-of-living relief measures (such as deferring fuel tax increases).

  • Impact on Modest Incomes: Labour’s approach tends to "tinker with rather than transform" the base personal income tax scales for regular take-home pay, focusing instead on broader public services, working-for-families type adjustments, or protecting low earners from specific inflationary charges rather than offering an immediate, radical increase in weekly take-home base pay via sweeping tax-free thresholds.

3. Green Party

  • Focus: Progressive structural income tax reform paired with wealth and corporate taxes.

  • Impact on Modest Incomes: The Greens propose a $10,000 per annum income tax-free threshold. For a worker on a modest or fluctuating income, a tax-free threshold means that the first $10,000 of your earnings incurs zero income tax, which would directly increase the net take-home percentage of your weekly pay packet. This is funded by shifting the tax burden toward high-net-worth individuals and corporate entities (such as a 2.5% wealth tax on assets over $10 million and higher corporate rates). [Nexia NZ]

4. Te Pāti Māori

  • Focus: Radical overhaul of lower-income tax obligations and targeted credits.

  • Impact on Modest Incomes: Te Pāti Māori has proposed a substantial $30,000 tax-free threshold alongside a targeted "Kai Credit" for individuals earning $60,000 or less per year. If implemented, a $30,000 tax-free threshold would significantly increase the take-home pay for modest and low-income earners, removing income tax entirely from the first $30,000 of earned income, financed via wealth and vacant house taxes. [PwC New Zealand]

5. Opportunity Party (TOP)

  • Focus: Comprehensive system reset via a universal basic income model.

  • Impact on Modest Incomes: Opportunity proposes a structural overhaul featuring a broadly universal Citizen’s Income ($19,400 a year, tax-free for eligible residents aged 18 and over) coupled with restructured personal income tax brackets (28% up to $50,000). For households experiencing volatile or dropping weekly hours, a universal baseline component like a Citizen's Income is designed to provide a predictable financial floor regardless of how many rostered shifts you work in a given week.


_To review the full, detailed policy costings and party manifestos as you weigh your vote, you can look through the analysis provided by

KPMG's 2026 Election Tax Policies Summary

or

Nexia's Election 2026 Tax Overview

._

Ask anything

Captured 19 October 2026 · shown as Google AI Mode gave it, not a verified account

AI Overviews · No location

I rent with my partner and work rostered hours that change from week to week. Our pay can drop unexpectedly, but rent and bills don't. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. How would the parties' tax plans affect take-home pay for workers on modest incomes?

AI Overview

For the 2026 New Zealand general election , the major political parties are offering drastically different approaches to tax. Given your situation—balancing a modest income, variable rostered hours, and fixed living costs like rent—the core takeaway is that neither of the two major parties (National or Labour) is proposing immediate cuts to your personal income tax rates.

Instead, the main parties are prioritizing stability, while smaller parties are pitching structural overhauls.


Directly Comparing the Parties' Tax Impact on Take-Home Pay

Political Party Impact on Modest Income Take-Home Pay Key Policies Affecting Daily Expenses & Work
National Party No change to take-home pay. No immediate income tax cuts are being offered until the government books return to a surplus (forecast for 2029). • A "no new taxes" pledge provides predictability.
• Focuses on reducing government debt to ease cost-of-living pressures.
Labour Party No change to take-home pay. Income tax rates remain exactly the same as they are right now. • Targeted flat 28% Capital Gains Tax (CGT) on residential investment properties and commercial sales. Exempts family homes, meaning it won't impact you directly as a renter.
• Revenue is ring-fenced to fund three free annual GP visits and free prescriptions.
• $20/week public transport fare cap to ease commuting costs.
ACT Party No immediate broad tax cuts. While traditionally favoring lower taxes, they have paused broad tax cuts to prioritize a faster path to surplus. • Proposes freezing the adult minimum wage for three years. If you work on minimum wage, this would prevent your base hourly rate from rising with inflation.
• Aims for a simpler, flatter long-term income tax structure.
Green Party Potential structure shift. They advocate for a wealth tax on the very wealthy to fund public services. • Proposes abolishing the training wage for apprentices to protect younger workers' income.
The Opportunity Party (TOP) Structural reset. Advocates for a fundamental shift in how the tax and welfare systems interact. • Proposing a move toward a universal basic income to support people with volatile weekly earnings.

What This Means for Your Roster and Rent

  • Income Predictability: Because National and Labour are keeping income tax rates steady, the fluctuations in your weekly take-home pay will remain entirely tied to how many rostered hours you get each week, rather than changing tax brackets.
  • Indirect Savings vs. Flat Wages: If you are looking for relief against rigid rent and bills, you will need to weigh National’s stance on keeping the tax status quo to curb inflation against Labour’s strategy of using a property tax to subsidize your everyday expenses like doctor's visits and transport fares. Meanwhile, ACT’s proposed minimum wage freeze would directly impact your earning potential if your rostered hours are at the minimum wage level.

For a personalized breakdown of how these policies interact with your exact weekly income, you can model different scenarios anonymously using the interactive YourTax NZ 2026 Calculator.

Ask anything

Captured 19 October 2026 · shown as AI Overviews gave it, not a verified account