Evidence · NZ Election 2026 · Edition 4

Every question, every answer, every source

All 174 questions and the 776 answers produced on 19 October 2026. For the other 44 planned combinations, Google produced no AI Overview or AI Mode answer.

questions
174
answers saved
776
collected
19 October 2026

01

Every question, with its answers

Each question was written as a voter would ask it and went to all four assistants. Some were also asked from a town. Open a question to read every answer to it in full.

Showing 20 of 174 questions

02

The tables behind the study

Every figure on the study page comes from these tables. They are CSV files, which open in any spreadsheet.

  • Questions

    questions.csv

    One row per question, unchanged since 5 October.

    id, text, reference, axes, collectionSettings, enabled

  • Answers

    answers.csv

    One row per saved answer, with its complete original text.

    id, questionId, assistant, collectionSetting, askedFrom, text, words

  • Sources by answer

    source-associations.csv

    One row per website associated with an answer; repeated citations count once.

    answer id, question id, assistant, domain, publisher

  • Checks against official sources

    checks.csv

    One row per selected statement and assistant, including those where the statement was not made.

    checkId, claimToTest, category, answerId, questionId, assistant, assertionPresent, assertion, paragraphs, verdict, evidence, whatTheSourceSays, checkedOn, assessment

  • Who to vote for: what each answer did

    behaviour-coding.csv

    One row per voting-guidance answer read in full, with each behaviour marked. Behaviours overlap; the original answers supply the evidence.

    prompt_id, draft_id, platform, region, explicit_choice_boundary, conditional_party_or_bloc_alignment, prioritised_shortlist, elicits_additional_user_information, unconditional_single_party_vote_instruction, excerpts, rationale, reviewer, reviewed_on, answerId

  • Location and national answers

    place-pairs.csv

    One row per national and location pair in this edition.

    question id, assistant, place, national answer id, place answer id, national entities, place entities, same entities

  • Changes between editions

    party-change-tables.csv

    One row per answer and earlier edition, with the parties named then and now.

    earlier_edition, earlier_result_id, current_result_id, prompt_id, platform, region, draft_id, block, scenario_id, scenario, issue, priority, same_text, same_party_set, earlier_parties, current_parties, added, removed

  • Changes across editions

    trajectory-tables.csv

    One row per pair of editions, with how many of the same 776 answers changed their party line-up.

    earlier_edition, current_edition, denominator, changed_all17, changed_seven

  • Party counts by edition

    party-count-tables.csv

    One row per comparison, edition, assistant and party, with the answers naming the party.

    panel, edition, platform, entity_id, party, numerator, denominator

  • Parties entering and leaving answers

    party-mention-flows.csv

    One row per party and assistant: answers that gained, lost or kept the party since 16 October.

    entity_id, platform, denominator, earlier, current, gained, lost, retained

  • Parties named by issue

    topic-presence-tables.csv

    One row per issue and party, with the answers naming the party.

    issue, entity_id, numerator, denominator

  • Location comparisons by edition

    regional-tables.csv

    One row per national and location pair, comparison and edition.

    panel, edition, prompt_id, platform, region, draft_id, block, scenario_id, scenario, issue, priority, complete, national_result_id, location_result_id, same_party_set

  • Answer length by assistant

    platform-tables.csv

    One row per comparison, edition and assistant, with answer length and the answers naming all six parties in Parliament.

    panel, edition, platform, answers, median_words, all_six_parliamentary

  • Voting guidance changes between editions

    guidance-change-tables.csv

    One row per voting-guidance answer and behaviour, on 16 and 19 October.

    draft_id, platform, measure, earlier_result_id, result_id, earlier, current, changed

  • What changed for each voter

    case-assessments.csv

    One row per voter: what changed in the answer to their main question.

    case, transition, earlier_quote, quote, assessment

  • Statements selected for checking

    check-register.csv

    One row per statement selected for checking, with why it was chosen and its primary source.

    checkId, claimToTest, category, whyChecked, primarySourceUrl, answerId

  • Answers paired with Edition 3

    pairs.csv

    One row per answer, with the 16 October answer to the same question, assistant and location.

    earlierAnswerId, answerId, questionId, assistant, collectionSetting, askedFrom

  • Source capture by answer

    sources.csv

    One row per answer, with whether its sources were captured and the websites recorded.

    answerId, capture, domains, urls, literalUrls, scope

  • Websites by reach

    source-reach-tables.csv

    One row per website, with the answers associated with it.

    domain, answers, denominator

  • Websites by issue

    topic-source-tables.csv

    One row per issue and website, with the answers associated with it.

    issue, domain, answers, denominator

  • Party matches reviewed in context

    party-identity-decisions.csv

    One row per possible party match read in context, with whether it counted and why.

    result_id, party, include, state, reason, reviewer, reviewed_on, review_basis, contexts

  • Parties found in each answer

    codings.csv

    One row per answer, party and comparison, with whether the party counted and the passage that shows it.

    comparisonId, answerId, entityId, kind, measure, counted, quote, reason, evidence

  • Comparisons each answer is in

    memberships.csv

    One row per answer and comparison.

    comparisonId, answerId, rowKey, included

  • Claims Onsomble recorded

    raw-native-claims.csv

    One row per claim, with the parties it is about and its stance on each.

    claimId, claimText, quote, stance, platform, region, promptId, brands, sources, drivers, sourceResultId

  • Answers read in full

    semantic-review-ledger.csv

    One row per answer and question a reviewer read in full, with the decision and the passage.

    result_id, dimension, state, decision, rationale, excerpt, reviewer, reviewed_on

  • Passages quoted in the analysis

    report-evidence.csv

    One row per answer passage the analysis quotes, with its reading.

    key, answerId, interpretation, text

  • Analysis findings

    findings.csv

    One row per finding in the analysis, with its figure and the table it comes from.

    id, value, denominator, statement, summary, caveat, evidence, reportFile

Use these tables to trace findings back to the original questions and answers. The full text of each answer is also on this page, under its question.

03

Read in full and checked

Some answers were read in detail or checked against official sources. Those appear on the study page, beside the findings they support.

ChatGPT · No location

For the 2026 New Zealand general election: How do parties differ on benefits, work obligations and reducing poverty?

New Zealand election 2026: Benefits, work obligations and poverty

New Zealand’s general election is on 7 November 2026. The central difference between the parties is how they think government should balance three goals: providing an adequate safety net, encouraging people into paid work, and reducing poverty for individuals and families. The main parties vying to form New Zealand's next governmentPolicies for Party vote - NZ Election 2026

There are two broad approaches in the debate:

  • Stronger work requirements and consequences: make employment the main route out of hardship, with clearer obligations and penalties for people who do not comply.
  • Stronger income support and action on living costs: reduce hardship through benefits, family assistance, housing, public services, better wages and tax changes, alongside employment support.

These approaches overlap, but parties differ substantially in how much emphasis they place on each one.

1. How the main parties differ

The comparison below uses party policies and campaign material available as of 18 October 2026. It distinguishes explicit welfare proposals from broader promises that could reduce hardship indirectly.

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National

Employment expectations, sanctions and fiscal restraint

National says welfare should provide a safety net while moving people who can work into employment. Its new policy proposes more intensive employment support for 30,000 work-ready jobseekers who have been receiving benefits for over a year. A firm, fair and affordable welfare system

  • Benefits: From 1 April 2028, jobseekers who have received Jobseeker Support for two of the previous three years would face a lower payment rate, with a smaller reduction for households with dependent children.
  • Work obligations: Proposes random drug testing, stronger consequences for repeated voluntary unemployment, and a five-year residency requirement for main benefits.
  • Poverty reduction: Emphasises employment, economic growth and keeping taxes low, rather than expanding income support.

Underlying difference: National places greater emphasis on work incentives, eligibility rules and individual obligations. Firm, fair, affordable welfareA firm, fair and affordable welfare system2026 Election Policy

South Island Election Conference 2026

Labour

Living costs, public services and access to work

Labour's published 2026 platform puts considerable emphasis on making everyday expenses more affordable, supporting workers and investing in public services. Labour's 2026 Election PoliciesLabour's Cost of Living Plan

  • Benefits: Its headline published policies focus more on household affordability and public services than on a new, comprehensive benefit-rate overhaul.
  • Work obligations: Labour emphasises employment opportunities, apprenticeships, skills and job creation. Its published headline policies do not set out a welfare sanctions programme comparable to National's newly announced plan.
  • Poverty reduction: Proposes three free GP visits annually, free prescriptions from July 2027, cheaper public transport and measures to reduce excessive prices. These could ease pressure on low-income households, although not all are direct cash transfers.

Underlying difference: Labour's current platform focuses on reducing financial pressure and improving access to services, rather than making stricter benefit conditions the centrepiece. Labour's Cost of Living PlanLabour's 2026 Election Policies

Green Party NZ (@NZGreens) on X

Green Party

Income adequacy, redistribution and universal access

The Greens' 2026 manifesto calls for a guaranteed decent income, a fairer tax system and greater affordability in housing, electricity, transport and groceries. Manifesto 2026Complete Party Policy

  • Benefits: Focuses on ensuring everyone has enough income and resources to live with dignity.
  • Work obligations: Its overall approach prioritises wellbeing and adequate livelihoods. The manifesto's broad direction differs from National's emphasis on increasing sanctions, though individual eligibility rules need to be checked against detailed proposals.
  • Poverty reduction: Proposes taxing the wealthiest and large corporations to help fund public services, alongside tax relief for most people and measures to make housing and essential goods more affordable.

Underlying difference: The Greens place greater emphasis on the distribution of wealth, sufficient incomes and reducing the structural causes of poverty. Manifesto 2026

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ACT New Zealand

Personal responsibility, work readiness and targeted support

ACT's June 2026 welfare announcement proposes tighter medical assessments for health-related benefits, using designated doctors approved by the Ministry of Social Development. ACT New Zealand

  • Benefits: Proposes reassessing existing recipients of health-condition, disability and supported-living payments under new criteria.
  • Work obligations: Stresses that people who are capable of working should take real steps towards employment. It also supports directing taxpayer assistance towards essential needs.
  • Poverty reduction: Emphasises reducing long-term benefit dependency and getting more people into paid employment, rather than making broad increases to income support.

Underlying difference: ACT puts strong weight on personal responsibility and eligibility assessments, including for people receiving health-related support. The practical impact would depend on the final criteria and how they were applied. ACT New Zealand

Te Pāti Māori (@Maori_Party) on X

Te Pāti Māori

Whānau wellbeing, stronger welfare and Māori-led solutions

Te Pāti Māori's published policy calls for higher incomes, stronger welfare that does not punish people for being poor, affordable transport and secure housing. Policy

  • Benefits: Advocates strengthening welfare so families can meet essential needs.
  • Work obligations: Its broader approach stresses dignity, whānau wellbeing and community-led solutions. Specific proposed changes to individual work-test rules should be assessed from the detailed policy rather than assumed.
  • Poverty reduction: Proposes making the wealthiest contribute more through taxation, with revenue directed towards housing, health, education and whānau support.

Underlying difference: The party frames poverty as a problem of income, resources and structural inequality, with particular emphasis on Māori wellbeing and Māori-led services. Policy

New Zealand legislative election winner? Predictions & Od... 2026 | Polymarket

New Zealand First

A safety net for genuine need, with an emphasis on independence

NZ First's founding principles say welfare should meet genuine need while helping recipients become independent of the state. Our founding principles

  • Benefits: Supports a welfare safety net but emphasises determining eligibility and genuine need.
  • Work obligations: Its stated principles favour helping people become independent, but the material reviewed here does not establish a complete, specific 2026 work-sanctions programme.
  • Poverty reduction: Emphasises education, employment, skills and public services. Its 2026 campaign also includes proposals concerning electricity and supermarket competition.

Underlying difference: NZ First combines support for a welfare state with an expectation of self-reliance. Its precise benefit-rate and sanction proposals need to be checked against its full current manifesto. Our founding principlesThe main parties vying to form New Zealand's next government

2. What about a universal basic income?

The Opportunity Party (TOP) is also worth including because it takes a different approach to income security.

TOP has promoted a Citizen's Income, a form of universal basic income, alongside a land value tax and compulsory KiwiSaver. The idea is to provide citizens with a regular income floor rather than relying exclusively on conditional benefits for different circumstances. What is The Opportunity Party? A left-wing party in disguise, pure hype, or something else?Policies for Party vote - NZ Election 2026

This changes the policy question: instead of asking mainly whether someone qualifies for a particular benefit and has met its work obligations, it asks how much income security everyone should receive as a baseline.

The precise payment, eligibility conditions, tax changes and treatment of existing benefits matter when assessing how much poverty it could reduce. Those details should be checked against TOP's full 2026 policy and costing before treating it as a complete replacement for the existing welfare system.

3. Side-by-side summary

Party Benefit approach Work obligations Main poverty-reduction approach
National Targeted safety net; proposes lower rates for some long-term jobseekers Stronger expectations, testing and sanctions Employment and economic growth
Labour Headline platform focuses on affordability and services Jobs, training and employment opportunities Lower household costs and stronger public services
Greens Guaranteed decent income and adequate livelihoods Wellbeing-oriented approach Redistribution, income support and affordable essentials
ACT Tighter eligibility assessments, including health-related benefits Strong emphasis on work readiness and responsibility Reduce long-term benefit dependency
Te Pāti Māori Strengthen welfare and protect whānau from poverty Emphasis on dignity and community-led support Higher incomes, housing and Māori-led services
NZ First Safety net for genuine need Independence and self-reliance Skills, employment and public services
TOP Citizen's Income proposal Less reliance on benefit-specific conditionality as the income floor Regular income support combined with tax reform

This is a comparison of the parties' broad directions, not a claim that each has published equally detailed or directly comparable policies. The most specific current proposals are cited above.

4. What do these differences mean for reducing poverty?

Three questions help distinguish the policies beyond their campaign language.

Does household income rise enough to cover essentials?

Higher benefit payments, tax relief and regular income guarantees affect money coming into a household. Lower GP fees, transport fares and power bills reduce the amount households must spend. These are different mechanisms and should not be treated as interchangeable.

Can people realistically move into secure work?

Work obligations may encourage some people to find employment, but the outcomes also depend on whether suitable jobs exist, wages cover living costs, and people can access childcare, transport, training and disability support.

What happens to people who cannot readily work?

Disabled people, people with serious health conditions, carers and parents with substantial caring responsibilities may need income support regardless of employment incentives. Medical assessment rules, exemptions, benefit adequacy and access to services are therefore important differences between policies.

It is also important to distinguish announced policies from demonstrated outcomes. A proposal to increase employment support does not itself prove that more people will find secure jobs; similarly, a higher benefit or income guarantee does not by itself establish how much poverty will fall after taxes, housing costs and any changes to other assistance.

5. How to compare the policies fairly

When reading each party's full policy, look for these practical details:

  • Payment amounts: Will the benefit or household's disposable income actually increase, and by how much?
  • Eligibility: Who qualifies, and are there new residency, medical or income tests?
  • Sanctions: What happens after a missed appointment, declined job offer or failed work-readiness requirement? Are there exemptions and appeal rights?
  • Employment support: Is there funding for training, childcare, transport and actual job placements?
  • Poverty measures: Does the party estimate effects on child poverty, material hardship and after-housing-cost poverty, rather than relying only on the number of people entering employment?
  • Costing and delivery: How will the policy be funded, when will it start, and how will success be measured?

In short: National and ACT put more emphasis on work obligations, eligibility and consequences. Labour emphasises living costs, employment opportunities and public services. The Greens and Te Pāti Māori place more emphasis on income adequacy, redistribution and structural causes of hardship. NZ First combines a safety net with self-reliance, while TOP's Citizen's Income proposal challenges the conditional-benefit model more directly.

To explore the detail further, you can compare the parties' actual benefit-rate proposals or compare their policies on child poverty.

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For the 2026 New Zealand general election: How do parties differ on benefits, work obligations and reducing poverty?

For the 2026 New Zealand general election, political parties diverge sharply on welfare philosophy, reflecting contrasting views on personal obligation, fiscal responsibility, and the primary drivers of poverty.

1. Work Obligations and Sanctions

  • National, ACT, and New Zealand First: These parties strongly favor a compliance-driven, conditional welfare model. National’s "Welfare that Works" framework emphasizes strict employment connections, requiring Jobseeker recipients to reapply every six months, extending the longevity of sanction records (from 12 months to two years), and enforcing stricter tools like the Money Management card. ACT strongly supports this approach, arguing that obligations must carry hard consequences to push beneficiaries back into the workforce.
  • The Green Party, Te Pāti Māori, and Labour: These parties oppose punitive work requirements and the scaling up of benefit sanctions. The Greens and Te Pāti Māori campaign heavily on repealing the current sanctions regime, arguing that it punishes people for being poor and worsens hardship. Labour has similarly criticized the expansion of sanctions and compliance hurdles, advocating instead for supportive employment pathways rather than punitive measures.

2. Benefits and Income Support

  • Right-of-Centre Parties (National, ACT, NZ First): Their focus is on keeping the welfare system "affordable for taxpayers" by incentivizing work through active management and controlling government spending. Rather than broad baseline benefit increases, they target financial relief through tax adjustments (such as New Zealand First's push for a tax-free threshold on the first $14,000 of income) or broader macroeconomic growth designed to create jobs.
  • Left-of-Centre and Progressive Parties (Greens, Te Pāti Māori): These parties advocate for substantive structural overhauls to baseline welfare adequacy. They argue that benefit levels must be lifted significantly above theaddLine of poverty to ensure recipients can live with dignity. Some broader frameworks proposed by progressive or alternative groupings (such as a Universal Citizen's Income approach championed by minor entities) seek to completely replace traditional conditional benefit systems to eradicate built-in inequities.

3. Approaches to Reducing Poverty

  • Fiscal Restraint vs. Wealth Redistribution:
    • National and ACT tie poverty reduction strictly to economic growth, job creation, and curbing government debt, maintaining a firm "no new taxes" stance.
    • The Greens and Te Pāti Māori argue that poverty is a structural policy choice driven by systemic tax and market failures. They propose deliberate wealth redistribution measures—such as wealth taxes, land taxes, and capital acquisition taxes on high-value assets—to fund expanded social support, housing, and public services.
  • Targeted Public Services:
    • Labour focuses heavily on reducing cost-of-living and poverty pressures indirectly through universal or targeted service provision (such as free GP visits and prescriptions funded via a targeted capital gains tax on investment property) rather than broad-scale baseline benefit expansions.
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For the 2026 New Zealand general election: How do parties differ on benefits, work obligations and reducing poverty?

As New Zealand approaches the general election cycle, political parties outline distinct philosophies and policy approaches regarding welfare benefits, work obligations, and the alleviation of poverty.

According to policy platforms, public statements, and legislative actions tracked by organizations like the Salvation Army Social Policy and Parliamentary Unit and the Child Poverty Action Group, the positions of the main parliamentary parties break down into contrasting approaches:

1. National and ACT (Centre-Right / Right)

  • Welfare Philosophy & Work Obligations: The National-led government and ACT emphasize strengthening work requirements, reducing long-term dependency, and enforcing compliance. Measures implemented or proposed include reinforced work obligations, active job-coaching trials, and stricter criteria for health-related benefits and medical certifications. For instance, ACT has pushed for tighter medical certification rules and reductions in disability-related spending, while National has tightened eligibility for specific younger cohorts (such as restricting certain Jobseeker benefits for 18- and 19-year-olds with higher-earning parents).

  • Approach to Reducing Poverty: Parties on the right argue that the most sustainable route out of poverty is active workforce participation and economic growth driven by business incentives. Rather than broad baseline benefit increases, their focus rests on inflation management, lowering non-welfare government spending, raising educational achievement standards, and creating entry-level employment pathways. Supporters contend that strict work incentives prevent intergenerational welfare dependency.

2. Labour (Centre-Left)

  • Welfare Philosophy & Work Obligations: Labour generally supports a welfare safety net that balances active employment support with adequate baseline assistance, though it faced scrutiny during its previous terms over the pace of structural welfare adjustments. In the current policy landscape, Labour's platform focuses heavily on cost-of-living relief through targeted public service provisions—such as expanded free healthcare access (doctor visits, prescriptions) and public transport caps—rather than purely punitive welfare sanctions.

  • Approach to Reducing Poverty: Labour frames poverty reduction through direct investment in public health, education, and progressive taxation structures (including proposed capital gains taxes on investment properties). They argue that reducing material hardship requires strengthening working-family assistance, building state and affordable housing, and lowering direct costs for low-to-middle-income households rather than relying solely on work-test penalties. [NZ Labour Party]

3. Green Party and Te Pāti Māori (Left / Independent Indigenous)

  • Welfare Philosophy & Work Obligations: The Green Party and Te Pāti Māori advocate for overhauling or dismantling punitive welfare sanctions and restrictive work-test obligations. The Green Party's 2026 manifesto explicitly emphasizes liveable incomes and the removal of discriminatory wage structures (such as campaigning to abolish the training wage), arguing that individuals should not be forced into hardship while training or seeking stability.

  • Approach to Reducing Poverty: These parties view poverty as a structural and political choice that should be tackled by significantly lifting core benefit levels to match actual living costs. They propose funding comprehensive social support, free public services, and universal baseline incomes through major wealth and corporate taxes (taxing the "super-rich") rather than conditioning financial dignity on strict work compliance.

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