Evidence · NZ Election 2026 · Edition 4

Every question, every answer, every source

All 174 questions and the 776 answers produced on 19 October 2026. For the other 44 planned combinations, Google produced no AI Overview or AI Mode answer.

questions
174
answers saved
776
collected
19 October 2026

01

Every question, with its answers

Each question was written as a voter would ask it and went to all four assistants. Some were also asked from a town. Open a question to read every answer to it in full.

Showing 20 of 174 questions

02

The tables behind the study

Every figure on the study page comes from these tables. They are CSV files, which open in any spreadsheet.

  • Questions

    questions.csv

    One row per question, unchanged since 5 October.

    id, text, reference, axes, collectionSettings, enabled

  • Answers

    answers.csv

    One row per saved answer, with its complete original text.

    id, questionId, assistant, collectionSetting, askedFrom, text, words

  • Sources by answer

    source-associations.csv

    One row per website associated with an answer; repeated citations count once.

    answer id, question id, assistant, domain, publisher

  • Checks against official sources

    checks.csv

    One row per selected statement and assistant, including those where the statement was not made.

    checkId, claimToTest, category, answerId, questionId, assistant, assertionPresent, assertion, paragraphs, verdict, evidence, whatTheSourceSays, checkedOn, assessment

  • Who to vote for: what each answer did

    behaviour-coding.csv

    One row per voting-guidance answer read in full, with each behaviour marked. Behaviours overlap; the original answers supply the evidence.

    prompt_id, draft_id, platform, region, explicit_choice_boundary, conditional_party_or_bloc_alignment, prioritised_shortlist, elicits_additional_user_information, unconditional_single_party_vote_instruction, excerpts, rationale, reviewer, reviewed_on, answerId

  • Location and national answers

    place-pairs.csv

    One row per national and location pair in this edition.

    question id, assistant, place, national answer id, place answer id, national entities, place entities, same entities

  • Changes between editions

    party-change-tables.csv

    One row per answer and earlier edition, with the parties named then and now.

    earlier_edition, earlier_result_id, current_result_id, prompt_id, platform, region, draft_id, block, scenario_id, scenario, issue, priority, same_text, same_party_set, earlier_parties, current_parties, added, removed

  • Changes across editions

    trajectory-tables.csv

    One row per pair of editions, with how many of the same 776 answers changed their party line-up.

    earlier_edition, current_edition, denominator, changed_all17, changed_seven

  • Party counts by edition

    party-count-tables.csv

    One row per comparison, edition, assistant and party, with the answers naming the party.

    panel, edition, platform, entity_id, party, numerator, denominator

  • Parties entering and leaving answers

    party-mention-flows.csv

    One row per party and assistant: answers that gained, lost or kept the party since 16 October.

    entity_id, platform, denominator, earlier, current, gained, lost, retained

  • Parties named by issue

    topic-presence-tables.csv

    One row per issue and party, with the answers naming the party.

    issue, entity_id, numerator, denominator

  • Location comparisons by edition

    regional-tables.csv

    One row per national and location pair, comparison and edition.

    panel, edition, prompt_id, platform, region, draft_id, block, scenario_id, scenario, issue, priority, complete, national_result_id, location_result_id, same_party_set

  • Answer length by assistant

    platform-tables.csv

    One row per comparison, edition and assistant, with answer length and the answers naming all six parties in Parliament.

    panel, edition, platform, answers, median_words, all_six_parliamentary

  • Voting guidance changes between editions

    guidance-change-tables.csv

    One row per voting-guidance answer and behaviour, on 16 and 19 October.

    draft_id, platform, measure, earlier_result_id, result_id, earlier, current, changed

  • What changed for each voter

    case-assessments.csv

    One row per voter: what changed in the answer to their main question.

    case, transition, earlier_quote, quote, assessment

  • Statements selected for checking

    check-register.csv

    One row per statement selected for checking, with why it was chosen and its primary source.

    checkId, claimToTest, category, whyChecked, primarySourceUrl, answerId

  • Answers paired with Edition 3

    pairs.csv

    One row per answer, with the 16 October answer to the same question, assistant and location.

    earlierAnswerId, answerId, questionId, assistant, collectionSetting, askedFrom

  • Source capture by answer

    sources.csv

    One row per answer, with whether its sources were captured and the websites recorded.

    answerId, capture, domains, urls, literalUrls, scope

  • Websites by reach

    source-reach-tables.csv

    One row per website, with the answers associated with it.

    domain, answers, denominator

  • Websites by issue

    topic-source-tables.csv

    One row per issue and website, with the answers associated with it.

    issue, domain, answers, denominator

  • Party matches reviewed in context

    party-identity-decisions.csv

    One row per possible party match read in context, with whether it counted and why.

    result_id, party, include, state, reason, reviewer, reviewed_on, review_basis, contexts

  • Parties found in each answer

    codings.csv

    One row per answer, party and comparison, with whether the party counted and the passage that shows it.

    comparisonId, answerId, entityId, kind, measure, counted, quote, reason, evidence

  • Comparisons each answer is in

    memberships.csv

    One row per answer and comparison.

    comparisonId, answerId, rowKey, included

  • Claims Onsomble recorded

    raw-native-claims.csv

    One row per claim, with the parties it is about and its stance on each.

    claimId, claimText, quote, stance, platform, region, promptId, brands, sources, drivers, sourceResultId

  • Answers read in full

    semantic-review-ledger.csv

    One row per answer and question a reviewer read in full, with the decision and the passage.

    result_id, dimension, state, decision, rationale, excerpt, reviewer, reviewed_on

  • Passages quoted in the analysis

    report-evidence.csv

    One row per answer passage the analysis quotes, with its reading.

    key, answerId, interpretation, text

  • Analysis findings

    findings.csv

    One row per finding in the analysis, with its figure and the table it comes from.

    id, value, denominator, statement, summary, caveat, evidence, reportFile

Use these tables to trace findings back to the original questions and answers. The full text of each answer is also on this page, under its question.

03

Read in full and checked

Some answers were read in detail or checked against official sources. Those appear on the study page, beside the findings they support.

ChatGPT · No location

I run a café with a small team. Food and power costs are squeezing margins, customers are spending less, and we've experienced a break-in. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. How do parties differ on minimum wages, employment rules and support for hiring and training staff?

New Zealand 2026 election: what the parties propose for café employers

For a café owner, the key differences are not just about the minimum wage. They are about how much you pay staff, how easily you can manage employment relationships, what help is available to recruit and train workers, and whether policies might improve your customers’ spending power.

New Zealand’s general election is scheduled for Saturday 7 November 2026, with advance voting from 26 October. The main parties are offering quite different approaches to wages, employment regulation and small-business support. Policies for Party vote - NZ Election 2026The main parties vying to form New Zealand's next government

The comparison below focuses on the national policies relevant to a small café, using published 2026 election proposals and distinguishing proposed changes from policies already in place.

1. Minimum wages and employment rules

Will National Party Finish 2nd in New Zealand's 2026 Election?

National

Emphasis: business flexibility and reducing administration

  • National's small-business programme includes faster Employment Relations Authority dispute resolution and streamlined business licensing and government paperwork.
  • Its approach is to reduce compliance friction for employers, rather than make a major minimum-wage increase the centrepiece of its business policy.
  • Its Investment Boost tax incentive, already introduced, allows businesses to deduct 20% of the cost of eligible new assets. The business and innovation policies of Election 2026, explained

For your café: Relevant if administrative time, equipment investment and the cost of operating the business are your main concerns. The tax incentive is most useful if you have taxable income and plan eligible new purchases.

South Island Election Conference 2026

Labour

Emphasis: wage progression and worker protections

For your café: Annual wage increases could raise payroll costs, while policies intended to support workers' incomes could help customers afford to spend more. The actual effect on your sales would depend on local demand and how the wider economy responds.

New Zealand Legislative Election Winner 2026 Odds | Polymarket

ACT

Emphasis: lower labour costs and fewer employment constraints

For your café: These proposals could reduce wage costs for eligible young staff and change how employment disputes are handled. A wage freeze would not lower the wages you already pay above minimum rates, and it would not guarantee that experienced staff become cheaper to retain.

Green Party NZ (@NZGreens) on X

Green Party

Emphasis: higher worker incomes and decent work

For your café: Higher minimum wages could increase costs if you employ people close to the minimum rate. The intended counterbalance is stronger household purchasing power, alongside investment in a more sustainable economy.

New Zealand legislative election winner? Predictions & Od... 2026 | Polymarket

New Zealand First

Emphasis: lower business tax and tighter labour-market settings

For your café: The proposed tax cut could matter if your business operates through a company and qualifies. A tighter work-visa system could make recruitment more complicated if you rely on migrant workers. A company tax reduction would not automatically reduce your electricity bill or payroll costs.

New Zealand Legislative Election Winner 2026 Odds | Polymarket

Te Pāti Māori

Emphasis: stronger worker incomes and Māori-led economic development

For your café: The potential relevance of its business-investment proposals depends on whether your business is eligible to benefit directly or indirectly. Check the detailed wage and employment proposals before assuming a particular change to your payroll.

The Opportunities Party (TOP)

Emphasis: structural economic reform and income support

  • TOP's published policy programme includes a universal income for citizens of up to $370 a week.
  • Its broader approach centres on changing how income and economic opportunity are distributed, rather than relying only on employer-side wage changes.
  • The precise implications for your café's minimum-wage bill and employment obligations should be checked against its detailed current employment policies. Policies for Party vote - NZ Election 2026Policies for Party vote - NZ Election 2026

For your café: An income-support proposal could affect household spending, but its effect on your sales, hiring costs and tax position depends on the final design and funding arrangements.

2. What about help hiring and training staff?

For a small café, the difference between a general business tax cut and practical help with a new employee can be substantial. These are the main distinctions in the published proposals.

Party Business support relevant to staffing
National Faster employment-dispute resolution, less administration and an AI advisory pilot with a 50% government subsidy for eligible businesses seeking expert advice.
Labour More emphasis on workers' incomes, employment protections and public investment in jobs. Its proposed small-business asset write-off could help fund equipment, although it is not a wage subsidy.
ACT Lower proposed wage costs for eligible young trainees, a minimum-wage freeze and changes to employment-dispute rules.
Greens Investment in decent work, public-sector hiring and sustainable industries; check the detailed eligibility rules for any direct employer training assistance.
New Zealand First A proposed company-tax reduction for qualifying SMEs and a more targeted work-visa system. Neither is a dedicated training subsidy.
Te Pāti Māori Proposed investment in Māori businesses and economic development, with potential relevance depending on eligibility.
TOP A universal-income proposal and broader economic reform; verify whether any separate employer-side recruitment or training support is available.

Sources: The Spinoff's 2026 small-business policy comparison and Policy.nz's election employment-policy guide. The business and innovation policies of Election 2026, explainedPolicies for Party vote - NZ Election 2026Policies for Party vote - NZ Election 2026

One important distinction: a policy that makes it cheaper to employ someone is not the same as a policy that helps you find, train and retain a capable barista or chef. The published proposals above do not all specify a direct subsidy for café apprenticeships, food-safety training or new-hire wages.

Before counting on a particular benefit, check whether it is funded, open to hospitality businesses, available to existing businesses, and usable for the type of training you need.

3. How these differences relate to your cost pressures

If payroll is your biggest pressure

Compare ACT's proposed wage freeze and youth training rate with the annual wage increases supported by Labour and the Greens. Calculate the difference using your actual staffing mix; not every employee qualifies for a training wage.

If you need to hire and retain staff

Look beyond minimum wages to employment-dispute procedures, visa rules, worker training and the effect of wages on retention. A lower starting wage may not compensate for repeated recruitment or turnover.

If power and food costs are eroding margins

The employment policies above do not directly solve your electricity and ingredient costs. National's existing Investment Boost and New Zealand First's proposed company-tax reduction are business-side measures, but neither is a direct power-bill subsidy. The Greens' proposed electricity-market reforms are more directly relevant to the wider electricity-price question, although lower prices for your café are not guaranteed. The business and innovation policies of Election 2026, explainedThe main parties vying to form New Zealand's next government

If customers are spending less

Labour and the Greens emphasise improving worker incomes, while TOP proposes broader income support. Those policies aim to support household finances, but the effect on café visits and average customer spend is uncertain. Other parties place greater emphasis on business investment, tax or regulation.

If the break-in has added to your costs

Treat crime prevention and business security as a separate policy question from employment law. Compare each party's current proposals for retail and hospitality crime, policing, victim support and security funding rather than assuming an employment policy will address the loss.

4. A particularly relevant policy: National's First Employee Support Package

National has also announced a First Employee Support Package intended to help small-business owners navigate payroll, employment agreements, tax, ACC and leave requirements when hiring their first employee. Its plan also proposes simpler recurring seasonal employment agreements and reduced paperwork for apprentices and seasonal workers. National’s plan to support Small Businesses

This is worth distinguishing from a wage subsidy: it is designed to make the process of becoming an employer easier, rather than directly paying part of your staff's wages.

If you already employ a small team, check whether the final package would cover your next hire or primarily businesses taking on their first employee.

5. How to compare the policies against your own café

These questions can help you work out which differences matter most to you without relying on campaign slogans.

For your final checks, the most useful resources are:

One final point: under New Zealand's MMP system, the party that leads the government may need coalition or confidence-and-supply agreements with other parties. Campaign proposals are not guaranteed to become law, so it is worth checking which policies parties retain in any eventual governing agreement.

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Gemini · No location

I run a café with a small team. Food and power costs are squeezing margins, customers are spending less, and we've experienced a break-in. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. How do parties differ on minimum wages, employment rules and support for hiring and training staff?

Navigating hospitality margins, managing customer spending habits, and dealing with the stress of a break-in is a tough balancing act. For a small café owner looking ahead to the 2026 New Zealand general election, the major political parties offer distinct approaches to minimum wages, employment regulations, and workforce support.


1. Minimum Wage and Cost Pressures

  • ACT Party: Proposes a three-year freeze on the adult minimum wage (currently set at $23.95/hour) to give businesses immediate relief from rising labor costs. They also want to lower the training wage for workers under 20 to 60% of the minimum wage during their first 12 months.
  • National Party / Coalition Government: Have generally slowed down the aggressive year-on-year minimum wage increases seen previously, focusing instead on broader economic settings to curb inflation.
  • Labour Party & Green Party: Oppose wage freezes, arguing that workers need increases to match the cost of living. The Green Party has also campaigned on raising and standardizing pay for trainees/apprentices (such as removing lower training wages for certain tracks) to ensure workers can make ends meet, though this would place higher direct cost pressures on employers.

2. Employment Rules and Flexibility (Hiring & Firing)

Recent legislative changes (such as the Employment Relations Amendment Act) have altered the landscape regarding personal grievances and trials, and the parties differ sharply on whether to keep or repeal them:

  • National and ACT: Strongly favor flexibility for small business owners. They support mechanisms like 90-day trial periods and have pushed changes to personal grievance rules (such as shortening timelines to 90 days for lodging grievances and restricting remedies when an employee has contributed to a dispute or earns above a high-income threshold). The argument from the right is that this reduces the risk and legal overhead of hiring new staff or managing underperformance.
  • Labour and the Greens: Strongly oppose these employer-friendly thresholds and trial rules, viewing them as eroding worker protections. A Labour-led government would likely look to unwind recent changes to personal grievances, restore stricter justification tests for dismissals, and potentially re-introduce sector-wide bargaining structures (similar to past Fair Pay Agreement frameworks).

3. Support for Hiring, Training, and Security

With security and staff retention on your mind following a break-in and tight labor margins, training and safety incentives vary across the political spectrum:

  • The Right (National/ACT): Focus support around general business cost reductions (such as tax flexibility for investments in software/IT or small business compliance relief) rather than direct government wage subsidies for hospitality staff.
  • The Left (Greens/Labour): Often tie workforce support to targeted training grants, apprentice completion bonuses for employers, or expanded government-backed schemes. However, their policies tend to emphasize higher mandatory baselines (like sick leave, holiday provisions, and minimum pay rates) rather than reducing operational overhead for small business owners.
  • Law and Order / Security: Following a break-in, small business security and retail crime policies are a major focal point for the 2026 election. Parties across the spectrum have faced pressure to deliver harsher penalties for ram-raids and burglaries, alongside funding for small business security upgrades (such as fog cannons, alarms, and CCTV subsidies), though specific implementations vary by party package.

Summary for Your Business

  • If your primary concern is immediate relief from overheads, wage freezes, and easier hiring/firing flexibility, center-right parties (ACT/National) align more closely with those levers.
  • If your focus is on standardized competition, structured training incentives, and worker-side safety nets, center-left parties (Labour/Greens) prioritize those outcomes, though usually at the cost of higher statutory mandates for employers.

Are you leaning toward prioritizing immediate relief on operating costs, or are other issues like crime prevention and retail security weighing heavier on your vote?

Ask Gemini

Gemini is AI and can make mistakes.

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Google AI Mode · No location

I run a café with a small team. Food and power costs are squeezing margins, customers are spending less, and we've experienced a break-in. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. How do parties differ on minimum wages, employment rules and support for hiring and training staff?

Running a café while battling squeezed margins, dipping consumer spend, and the stress of a break-in is a heavy load. As you weigh your vote in the 2026 general election, the major political parties offer distinct philosophies on how to handle the minimum wage, employment compliance, and support for your bottom line and staff.

Here is how the main parties approach these specific pressures at the New Zealand level:

1. Minimum Wage Policies

  • ACT: Proposes a three-year freeze on the adult minimum wage (currently at $23.95/hour) to align increases closer to productivity growth. They also propose a new entry-level Training Wage set at 60% of the adult minimum wage for workers under 20 during their first 12 months.
  • National: Supported the recent modest adjustments (such as the April 2026 adjustment to $23.95/hour) and generally aligns with measured, cautious increases that balance business viability. [Retail NZ]
  • New Zealand First: Advocates exploring a lift in the adult minimum wage to at least $25/hour, but pairs this with targeted tax concessions for businesses to help offset the increased operating costs. [Retail NZ]
  • Labour: Criticises modest minimum wage adjustments as insufficient to keep up with the cost of living (such as food and energy inflation), though they have focused their 2026 business messaging more heavily on cashflow and tax write-offs than a headline minimum wage figure.
  • Green Party: Supports moving the national minimum wage directly to the Living Wage (currently calculated at $29.90/hour for 2026/27). [Retail NZ]

2. Employment Rules & Compliance

  • ACT: Focuses heavily on labor market flexibility. They advocate for reducing the time limit for lodging personal grievances with the Employment Relations Authority down to 90 days (from 3 years), advancing changes to replace the complex Holidays Act with a simpler hours-based accrual system, and introducing more freedom for mutual employment exit agreements.
  • National: Proposes a small-business plan focused on compliance relief. This includes a fast-track system for minor disputes at the Employment Relations Authority, a "Tell Government Once" centralized reporting service to cut down on paperwork, and clearer, plain-English health and safety guidance.
  • Labour: Focuses on cashflow protection and supply-chain fairness rather than deregulation. Their Small Business Action Plan includes a mandatory rule requiring large businesses to pay small business suppliers within 15 days for invoices under $25,000 to ease cashflow pressures.
  • Green Party / Te Pāti Māori: Generally lean toward strengthening worker protections, collective bargaining rights, and safety nets rather than rolling back employment constraints.

3. Support for Hiring, Training, and Investment

  • National: Proposes a First Employee Support Package to give new employers practical, dedicated advice—including employment agreement tools and payroll guidance—through the first year of their first hire. They also feature advisory initiatives for tech/AI integration.
  • Labour: Proposes expanding apprenticeship support and introducing a $10,000 instant asset write-off allowing small businesses (under $10 million revenue) to immediately write off equipment purchases from their tax bills. They also propose raising the compulsory GST registration threshold to $80,000 by mid-2028.
  • Green Party: Proposes targeted training support by offering $2,000 equipment grants for apprentices, while concurrently proposing to abolish the lower training wage exemption for apprentices to ensure higher starting pay for trainees.
  • New Zealand First: Proposes a significant company tax rate cut from 28% to 20% for small-to-medium enterprises with a turnover under $30 million to free up capital for hiring and retention.

You can review further details on these platforms directly through Retail NZ's Election Hub or Business Central's Small Business Overview.

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AI Overviews · No location

I run a café with a small team. Food and power costs are squeezing margins, customers are spending less, and we've experienced a break-in. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. How do parties differ on minimum wages, employment rules and support for hiring and training staff?

AI Overview

Running a hospitality business under current economic constraints is exceptionally challenging. Navigating rising cost pressures alongside customer spending slumps and safety concerns makes election decisions deeply impactful for your bottom line.

For the 2026 New Zealand general election , the major political parties offer distinct approaches to minimum wages, employment regulations, and workforce training:

Direct Policy Comparison

Party Minimum Wage Approach Employment Rules & Disputes Hiring & Training Support
National Backs recent baseline rises (currently $23.95/hr as of April 2026). Fast-track minor disputes via a simplified ERA pathway ; sets a threshold before new collective bargaining can begin. Focused on a 47-point small business plan to slash compliance costs around hiring and regulation.
ACT Freeze the adult minimum wage for 3 years ; reduce youth training wage to 60% of the adult rate. Allow protected employment exit negotiations without triggering a personal grievance; lower ERA filing limits to 90 days. Relies on lowering the training wage to incentivize employers to create entry-level positions.
Labour Critiqued the recent 2% minimum wage bump as too low to match inflation. Focuses on robust worker protections, strengthening pay equity, and consumer protection laws. Expands the Apprenticeship Boost program and guarantees graduate pathways.
Green Party Supports increasing the minimum wage to the Living Wage (currently $29.90/hr). Opposes recent employer-friendly ERA shifts; seeks to reverse 90-day trial rules and expand union access. Abolish the training wage so apprentices earn full minimum wage, while giving employers a $2,000 completion bonus.
NZ First Pledges to raise the minimum wage by at least the level of inflation every year. Focuses on balanced economic recovery with a small-to-medium enterprise (SME) tax target of 20%. Pairs minimum wage rises with targeted tax concessions for businesses to help offset the operational costs.

Key Electoral Positions

Minimum Wage & Training Rates

  • The Right (ACT & National): ACT heavily promotes a total three-year freeze on the adult minimum wage to relieve pressure on tight small business margins. They also want to drop the under-20 training wage down to 60% of the adult rate ($14.37/hr) to lower initial hiring risks. National prefers measured, lower-percentage adjustments that balance worker needs with economic stability.
  • The Left (Labour & Greens): The Greens want an immediate lift to the Living Wage ($29.90/hr) and plan to scrap apprentice training wages entirely. Labour supports continuous, inflation-aligned annual minimum wage climbs.
  • NZ First: Takes a middle path, ensuring wages match inflation over the next three years while promising tax concessions specifically for businesses to absorb these wage costs.

Employment Disputes & "Red Tape"

  • If managing employment disputes or staff turnover is your main administrative bottleneck, National has introduced a plan to fast-track small disputes through the Employment Relations Authority (ERA) and mandate decisions within a single month.
  • ACT takes this further by aiming to shorten the standard personal grievance filing window to 90 days and allowing business owners to initiate mutually agreed exit payments without fear of triggering automatic personal grievances.
  • Labour and the Greens vehemently oppose these changes, arguing they erode foundational worker rights and tilt the scales away from employees.

Staff Hiring & Training Upgrades

  • For a café looking to bring on and train staff, the Greens offer an employer-facing $2,000 completion bonus if you support an apprentice through their qualifications, alongside $2,000 equipment grants for the trainees.
  • Labour relies on expanding the existing Apprenticeship Boost framework to subsidize the early months of training new employees.
  • National’s strategy leans heavily on cutting overall compliance costs—proposing a single "Tell Government Once" system under your New Zealand Business Number (NZBN) to drastically minimize initial hiring paperwork.

Given the break-in you mentioned, would you also like an overview of how these parties plan to address retail crime and local policing support for small business owners?

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