Evidence · NZ Election 2026 · Edition 4

Every question, every answer, every source

All 174 questions and the 776 answers produced on 19 October 2026. For the other 44 planned combinations, Google produced no AI Overview or AI Mode answer.

questions
174
answers saved
776
collected
19 October 2026

01

Every question, with its answers

Each question was written as a voter would ask it and went to all four assistants. Some were also asked from a town. Open a question to read every answer to it in full.

Showing 20 of 174 questions

02

The tables behind the study

Every figure on the study page comes from these tables. They are CSV files, which open in any spreadsheet.

  • Questions

    questions.csv

    One row per question, unchanged since 5 October.

    id, text, reference, axes, collectionSettings, enabled

  • Answers

    answers.csv

    One row per saved answer, with its complete original text.

    id, questionId, assistant, collectionSetting, askedFrom, text, words

  • Sources by answer

    source-associations.csv

    One row per website associated with an answer; repeated citations count once.

    answer id, question id, assistant, domain, publisher

  • Checks against official sources

    checks.csv

    One row per selected statement and assistant, including those where the statement was not made.

    checkId, claimToTest, category, answerId, questionId, assistant, assertionPresent, assertion, paragraphs, verdict, evidence, whatTheSourceSays, checkedOn, assessment

  • Who to vote for: what each answer did

    behaviour-coding.csv

    One row per voting-guidance answer read in full, with each behaviour marked. Behaviours overlap; the original answers supply the evidence.

    prompt_id, draft_id, platform, region, explicit_choice_boundary, conditional_party_or_bloc_alignment, prioritised_shortlist, elicits_additional_user_information, unconditional_single_party_vote_instruction, excerpts, rationale, reviewer, reviewed_on, answerId

  • Location and national answers

    place-pairs.csv

    One row per national and location pair in this edition.

    question id, assistant, place, national answer id, place answer id, national entities, place entities, same entities

  • Changes between editions

    party-change-tables.csv

    One row per answer and earlier edition, with the parties named then and now.

    earlier_edition, earlier_result_id, current_result_id, prompt_id, platform, region, draft_id, block, scenario_id, scenario, issue, priority, same_text, same_party_set, earlier_parties, current_parties, added, removed

  • Changes across editions

    trajectory-tables.csv

    One row per pair of editions, with how many of the same 776 answers changed their party line-up.

    earlier_edition, current_edition, denominator, changed_all17, changed_seven

  • Party counts by edition

    party-count-tables.csv

    One row per comparison, edition, assistant and party, with the answers naming the party.

    panel, edition, platform, entity_id, party, numerator, denominator

  • Parties entering and leaving answers

    party-mention-flows.csv

    One row per party and assistant: answers that gained, lost or kept the party since 16 October.

    entity_id, platform, denominator, earlier, current, gained, lost, retained

  • Parties named by issue

    topic-presence-tables.csv

    One row per issue and party, with the answers naming the party.

    issue, entity_id, numerator, denominator

  • Location comparisons by edition

    regional-tables.csv

    One row per national and location pair, comparison and edition.

    panel, edition, prompt_id, platform, region, draft_id, block, scenario_id, scenario, issue, priority, complete, national_result_id, location_result_id, same_party_set

  • Answer length by assistant

    platform-tables.csv

    One row per comparison, edition and assistant, with answer length and the answers naming all six parties in Parliament.

    panel, edition, platform, answers, median_words, all_six_parliamentary

  • Voting guidance changes between editions

    guidance-change-tables.csv

    One row per voting-guidance answer and behaviour, on 16 and 19 October.

    draft_id, platform, measure, earlier_result_id, result_id, earlier, current, changed

  • What changed for each voter

    case-assessments.csv

    One row per voter: what changed in the answer to their main question.

    case, transition, earlier_quote, quote, assessment

  • Statements selected for checking

    check-register.csv

    One row per statement selected for checking, with why it was chosen and its primary source.

    checkId, claimToTest, category, whyChecked, primarySourceUrl, answerId

  • Answers paired with Edition 3

    pairs.csv

    One row per answer, with the 16 October answer to the same question, assistant and location.

    earlierAnswerId, answerId, questionId, assistant, collectionSetting, askedFrom

  • Source capture by answer

    sources.csv

    One row per answer, with whether its sources were captured and the websites recorded.

    answerId, capture, domains, urls, literalUrls, scope

  • Websites by reach

    source-reach-tables.csv

    One row per website, with the answers associated with it.

    domain, answers, denominator

  • Websites by issue

    topic-source-tables.csv

    One row per issue and website, with the answers associated with it.

    issue, domain, answers, denominator

  • Party matches reviewed in context

    party-identity-decisions.csv

    One row per possible party match read in context, with whether it counted and why.

    result_id, party, include, state, reason, reviewer, reviewed_on, review_basis, contexts

  • Parties found in each answer

    codings.csv

    One row per answer, party and comparison, with whether the party counted and the passage that shows it.

    comparisonId, answerId, entityId, kind, measure, counted, quote, reason, evidence

  • Comparisons each answer is in

    memberships.csv

    One row per answer and comparison.

    comparisonId, answerId, rowKey, included

  • Claims Onsomble recorded

    raw-native-claims.csv

    One row per claim, with the parties it is about and its stance on each.

    claimId, claimText, quote, stance, platform, region, promptId, brands, sources, drivers, sourceResultId

  • Answers read in full

    semantic-review-ledger.csv

    One row per answer and question a reviewer read in full, with the decision and the passage.

    result_id, dimension, state, decision, rationale, excerpt, reviewer, reviewed_on

  • Passages quoted in the analysis

    report-evidence.csv

    One row per answer passage the analysis quotes, with its reading.

    key, answerId, interpretation, text

  • Analysis findings

    findings.csv

    One row per finding in the analysis, with its figure and the table it comes from.

    id, value, denominator, statement, summary, caveat, evidence, reportFile

Use these tables to trace findings back to the original questions and answers. The full text of each answer is also on this page, under its question.

03

Read in full and checked

Some answers were read in detail or checked against official sources. Those appear on the study page, beside the findings they support.

ChatGPT · No location

I'm an eligible New Zealand voter living overseas and considering returning. I am comparing job opportunities, housing costs and New Zealand's international outlook. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. What are parties proposing that could improve work opportunities for people returning to New Zealand?

New Zealand’s 2026 election: work opportunities for returning New Zealanders

If you're an eligible New Zealand voter living overseas and considering moving home, the key question is not just which party promises more jobs. It's which policies could create jobs, increase take-home pay, make housing more affordable, and help New Zealand attract and retain skilled workers.

For someone returning from overseas, I'd compare parties across five areas:

  • Job creation and wages: Will their policies expand hiring, productivity, investment and career progression?
  • Housing and living costs: Will you be able to afford a home or rent without losing much of your income?
  • Skills and experience: Will employers value your overseas qualifications and experience, and are there opportunities in your profession?
  • International outlook: What are their plans for exports, trade, foreign investment and relationships with major economies?
  • Economic stability: How do they propose to balance public services, taxes, government spending and economic growth?

One important distinction: a party's policy announcement is not the same as an implemented policy, and neither guarantees that more jobs will materialise. For the 2026 general election, it's worth separating published commitments from campaign promises and assessing the likely effects on returning citizens specifically.

1. What the main parties are proposing

The policies below are based on published 2026 election material and campaign announcements available as of 18 October 2026. The election is scheduled for 7 November 2026. The main parties vying to form New Zealand's next governmentPolicies for Party vote - NZ Election 2026

Will National Party Finish 2nd in New Zealand's 2026 Election?

National — business growth, exports and lower taxes

Official policies: National's 2026 policy platform

National says its economic plan will create jobs and lift wages through economic growth, infrastructure, more energy projects and reduced barriers to building. It forecasts 220,000 additional jobs by 2030, a projection rather than a guaranteed outcome. It also pledges no new taxes, targets a budget surplus in 2028/29, and wants to double the value of exports by 2034. Our Plan2026 Election Policy

  • Potential benefit for returnees: More private-sector hiring, particularly if export businesses expand and investment increases.
  • Housing angle: Its First Home Loan policy would widen access to 5% deposits for eligible buyers.
  • What to examine: Whether the projected growth translates into vacancies in your industry and whether wage growth outpaces rent, mortgages and other living costs.

South Island Election Conference 2026

Labour — public investment and lower household costs

Official policies: Labour's 2026 policy platform

Labour's platform emphasises economic growth, housing and infrastructure, more affordable public services, and reducing everyday costs. Its announced policies include a New Zealand Future Fund to invest in the country's potential, restoring pay equity legislation, and an immediate pay rise for care and support workers. It also proposes a $20 weekly cap on bus and train fares. Labour's 2026 Election PoliciesThe main parties vying to form New Zealand's next government

  • Potential benefit for returnees: Public investment could support employment in infrastructure and related industries; lower transport and healthcare costs could improve disposable income.
  • Housing angle: Labour's investment approach and its wider housing proposals are relevant if you expect to rent or buy on your return.
  • What to examine: Which investments are funded, when projects will create jobs, and whether your profession benefits directly.

Green Party NZ (@NZGreens) on X

Green Party — a jobs guarantee and investment in new industries

Official policies: Good jobs, made in Aotearoa

The Greens propose a jobs guarantee for 16–24-year-olds who have been out of work for six months, offering a pathway into a job, education or training. They also say investment in clean energy, public transport, science, technology, construction and public services could support 64,000 additional jobs across the economy. These are proposed outcomes, not existing vacancies. Good Jobs For All of Us

  • Potential benefit for returnees: Relevant if you work in engineering, science, technology, construction, renewable energy or related fields.
  • Housing and living costs: The party emphasises reducing essential costs and has proposed wealth-related and corporate tax changes to help fund public investment.
  • What to examine: The timing of new projects, the proportion of jobs open to experienced workers, and the implications of its tax proposals for your own finances. The main parties vying to form New Zealand's next governmentTax Tips: 2026 General Election

New Zealand Legislative Election Winner 2026 Odds | Polymarket

ACT — smaller government, less regulation and business investment

Official policies: ACT's economic policies

ACT argues that lower regulatory costs, smaller government and controlled public spending will improve business confidence, investment and wage growth. Its fiscal plan proposes reducing spending outside protected frontline services, balancing the books without new taxes and paying down debt. ACT New ZealandACT New ZealandACT New Zealand

  • Potential benefit for returnees: Worth examining if you want to work for a growing private business or establish a company and believe regulatory barriers are holding investment back.
  • Housing angle: Faster, less costly development could help increase housing supply.
  • What to examine: Whether proposed spending reductions affect the public-sector jobs, services or infrastructure you would rely on, and how much of the expected benefit depends on private investment responding.

New Zealand legislative election winner? Predictions & Od... 2026 | Polymarket

New Zealand First — domestic industry and energy costs

Official policy: Power to the People and economic announcements

New Zealand First proposes separating electricity generation from retailing, introducing a national energy strategy, and offering long-term fixed-price contracts for new generation projects. It argues that cheaper and more reliable electricity would support industrial competitiveness and jobs. The party has also proposed changes to fast-track housing approvals, requiring supporting infrastructure before approval. "Power to the People" - Winston Peters - State of the Nation 2026NZFirst Policy Announcement: Changes to Fast-Track Residential Approvals

  • Potential benefit for returnees: Relevant if your employment prospects depend on manufacturing, energy-intensive industries, forestry, agriculture or regional businesses.
  • Housing angle: Its infrastructure-first approach could affect where and how quickly new housing is built.
  • What to examine: Whether the electricity changes lower costs in practice, encourage new investment and protect existing jobs during the transition.

Other parties may also be relevant. Te Pāti Māori proposes more public and affordable housing, investment in Māori energy industries and workforce capability, and stronger support for incomes and training. These proposals may be particularly relevant to people interested in Māori-led development and regional employment. Policy

2. How these policies could affect your return home

The biggest differences are in how parties think New Zealand should create opportunities and make those opportunities worthwhile financially.

Issue Policies to compare Why it matters to you
Private-sector jobs National's export growth and ACT's deregulation; Labour's investment fund; Greens' clean-energy and innovation investment Whether your skills will be in demand and whether employers will invest in new roles
Public-sector and care jobs Labour's public-service and pay-equity commitments; Greens' proposed job creation Relevant if you work in healthcare, education, social services or government
Take-home pay National's no-new-taxes pledge; ACT's tax and spending approach; Labour's tax and income policies; Greens' tax-free threshold and wealth-tax proposals Your net income could matter more than your headline salary
Housing affordability National's low-deposit home loan changes; Labour's housing investment; Greens' housing and tax proposals; Te Pāti Māori's public housing commitments Affects how much of your earnings you can save or spend on rent
Energy and industry National's energy expansion; NZ First's electricity market changes; Greens' renewable energy investment Electricity costs can influence industrial hiring, business investment and household bills
International opportunities National's export strategy and trade agreements; other parties' approaches to trade, investment and energy transition Relevant if you have international experience or want to work in export-oriented businesses

Sources: party policy platforms and independent election comparisons. 2026 Election PolicyLabour's 2026 Election PoliciesGood Jobs For All of UsACT New Zealand"Power to the People" - Winston Peters - State of the Nation 2026PolicyPolicies for Party vote - NZ Election 2026

3. Don't overlook the international outlook

New Zealand's job market depends partly on events and demand beyond its borders. When comparing parties, look at three things:

  • Trade and market access. National's export-doubling target and support for trade agreements are explicit commitments to expand overseas markets. For returnees with experience in international sales, logistics, finance, technology or export industries, examine whether that translates into investment and hiring. Our Plan2026 Election Policy
  • Energy security and industrial competitiveness. National, NZ First and the Greens have different proposals for energy supply and pricing. Their effects on business costs and employment depend on implementation, investment and the future electricity market. 2026 Election Policy"Power to the People" - Winston Peters - State of the Nation 2026The main parties vying to form New Zealand's next government
  • Economic and regulatory predictability. Compare parties' plans for public finances, business regulation, taxation and public investment. These influence the environment in which employers decide whether to hire, expand or invest, although global conditions also matter.

A useful caution: an export target, a forecast of job creation or a proposed investment fund is not evidence that your particular industry will have more vacancies. Check actual advertised roles and employer investment alongside party promises.

4. A practical checklist before deciding to return

I'd assess each party against your own likely circumstances rather than relying on national economic forecasts alone.

Your return-home checklist

0 of 6 reviewed

EmploymentAre there vacancies in my field, and do they offer comparable pay and career progression?

Overseas experienceWill employers value my international experience and qualifications?

Disposable incomeWhat will my after-tax income be after rent or mortgage payments, transport and healthcare?

HousingCan I realistically rent or buy, and would the proposed housing policies change that?

Economic outlookDo the party's trade, investment and industry policies relate to the sectors I could work in?

DeliveryIs the proposal fully costed, funded, scheduled and supported by a credible implementation plan?

5. Where to compare the actual policies

These independent and official resources are useful for checking details before you vote:

One practical note for an overseas voter: check the current eligibility and enrolment requirements at Vote NZ before election day.

To make this comparison more relevant to you

The most useful next step is to narrow this down to the work and living costs you would face on returning.

What sort of work do you do, and which country are you currently living in? With that information, I can compare the parties' published policies against the industries, international connections and employment considerations most relevant to your situation—without recommending how you should vote.

Ask anything

ChatGPT can make mistakes. Check important info.

Captured 19 October 2026 · shown as ChatGPT gave it, not a verified account

Gemini · No location

I'm an eligible New Zealand voter living overseas and considering returning. I am comparing job opportunities, housing costs and New Zealand's international outlook. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. What are parties proposing that could improve work opportunities for people returning to New Zealand?

As an eligible New Zealand citizen living overseas, your right to vote remains intact (provided you have been in New Zealand within the last three years, or six years if you are a public servant or serving member of the Armed Forces).

For a returning Kiwi looking at work opportunities, the major political parties approach the broader economic, employment, and expatriate landscape through quite different lenses in the 2026 general election. While much of the direct policy debate focuses on inbound migration and skills lists, parties have also put forward specific measures aimed at making New Zealand more attractive for young professionals, graduates, and returning citizens.


Key Party Approaches & Proposals Impacting Returning Workers

1. National Party (Incumbent)

National’s platform centers on economic growth, export targets, and reducing the friction of moving back or starting fresh in New Zealand.

  • Targeted Expat Initiatives: National has introduced specific commitments aimed at encouraging young New Zealanders and professionals to stay or return home, framing this as part of reversing the "brain drain."
  • Cost-of-Living & Tax Adjustments: They are campaigning on letting graduates and workers keep more of what they earn—including back-pocket boosts for student loan holders and adjustments to tax thresholds designed to make domestic salaries more competitive against international markets.
  • Trans-Tasman Mobility: National has proposed working with Australia to trial seamless travel between the two nations, which can simplify life and career mobility for those with trans-Tasman ties.
  • Business and Infrastructure Growth: Their broader economic strategy relies on streamlining commercial building consents, resource management reform (RMA replacement), and a plan to double export values by 2034, intended to stimulate private-sector job creation in tech, agriculture, and energy.

2. New Zealand Labour Party

Labour’s approach focuses heavily on domestic workforce planning, infrastructure matching, and protecting local wage growth.

  • Infrastructure and Workforce Alignment: Labour argues that job opportunities and economic stability rely on tightly matching immigration and economic growth with actual housing and infrastructure capacity.
  • Worker Protections and Training: Labour emphasizes strengthening domestic industry training, protecting workplace rights, and tackling migrant exploitation (which they argue depresses wages across the board for local workers and returnees alike).
  • Public Sector & Services: Labour's platform includes heavy investment in public services, healthcare, and education, which directly impacts job openings for professionals in health, education, and social sectors following recent public service contractions.

3. ACT Party

ACT champions a market-driven, deregulated economic model aimed at driving down the cost of doing business and boosting high-skilled productivity.

  • Tax and Regulatory Reform: ACT proposes sweeping tax cuts and a reduction in red tape for businesses, arguing that New Zealand needs a low-tax, high-productivity environment to stop high-skilled workers from leaving for Australia or other markets.
  • Labour Market Flexibility: Their approach relies on removing bureaucratic barriers for employers, which they argue will make it easier for dynamic local companies to scale up and offer globally competitive remuneration to returning talent.

4. New Zealand First

NZ First places a heavy emphasis on domestic workforce protection and prioritizing New Zealand citizens in employment and training.

  • "Smart, Controlled" Immigration & Local First: NZ First advocates for restructuring work visas to strictly target genuine, unfillable skills shortages, arguing this protects employment pathways for locals and returning citizens.
  • Sovereignty and Infrastructure: Their employment policy is tied closely to ensuring that infrastructure, housing, and job training keep pace so that returning Kiwis are not competing in an overheated or strained domestic market.

Intersecting Factors to Consider: Housing and International Outlook

When weighing your return, work opportunities cannot be looked at in isolation from the other two pillars you mentioned:

  • Housing Costs: National and ACT are banking on supply-side fixes, RMA reform, and opening up land for development to cool housing pressures. Labour and other opposition parties tend to emphasize public housing investment and demand-side cooling measures. Your decision may hinge on which market strategy you believe will most effectively bring house prices or rent-to-income ratios down.
  • International Outlook & Trade: New Zealand's external outlook is shifting, punctuated by recent trade architecture updates (such as the formal completion and implementation of trade arrangements with major partners like India). Parties differ on how aggressively they want to pursue free trade agreements versus focusing on domestic resilience and regional security alignments.

Voting Considerations for Overseas Kiwis

As an overseas voter, you vote in a general electorate based on where you last lived in New Zealand. Reviewing the specific local candidates in your home electorate alongside these national party platforms can give you a clearer picture of how each party intends to balance job creation, cost of living, and economic growth.

Are you looking at opportunities within a specific sector (such as healthcare, tech, or trades), or would you like more details on how to cast your overseas vote for the 2026 election?

Ask Gemini

Gemini is AI and can make mistakes.

Captured 19 October 2026 · shown as Gemini gave it, not a verified account

Google AI Mode · No location

I'm an eligible New Zealand voter living overseas and considering returning. I am comparing job opportunities, housing costs and New Zealand's international outlook. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. What are parties proposing that could improve work opportunities for people returning to New Zealand?

As an overseas New Zealand voter preparing for the November 2026 general election, weighing a move back home involves looking closely at how political parties plan to stimulate the domestic economy, create employment, and handle housing and broader international settings.

The major political parties have outlined distinct economic and employment strategies heading into the election. Below is an overview of how different parties are approaching job opportunities and economic conditions relevant to returning citizens.

The National Party

  • Stated Approach: As outlined in recent campaign announcements by party leadership, National points to broader macro-economic indicators under the current settings—such as lower inflation from multi-year highs and projected job growth—to argue that New Zealand is regaining economic momentum.

  • Employment & Growth Strategy: National emphasizes economic growth driven by exports, infrastructure investment, and continuing its "Going for Growth" immigration and skills frameworks designed to address sector-specific shortages without dampening domestic wage trajectories. They contend that a growing export market and competitive business environment will naturally generate hundreds of thousands of new jobs over the coming years, making it more viable for expatriates to return to stable career paths.

The Labour Party

  • Stated Approach: Labour focuses on direct support for small-to-medium enterprises (SMEs), worker protections, and targeted investments in local startups and the public health/education workforce.

  • Employment & Growth Strategy: Labour has proposed replacing the current government's "Investment Boost" scheme with a policy allowing businesses with revenues under $10 million to fully write off asset purchases up to $10,000. To improve cash flow for small businesses (which form the backbone of New Zealand's job market), they propose mandating that large enterprises pay small suppliers within 15 days. Labour also pledges to back early-stage local startups by redirecting $50 million annually from the NZ Super Fund into the Elevate venture capital fund, alongside specific workforce guarantees like graduate nurse job placements.

The Green Party

  • Stated Approach: The Green Party has pitched a comprehensive, state-led economic development package worth nearly $6 billion over four years.

  • Employment & Growth Strategy: Co-led by Chlöe Swarbrick and Marama Davidson, the Greens claim their economic plan will directly stimulate the creation of 284,000 jobs over four years (targeting growth above Treasury forecasts). This job creation is centered heavily around public and private investment in green energy transitions, public transport infrastructure, and structural innovation policies aimed at modernizing New Zealand's economy and lowering living costs.

ACT New Zealand & New Zealand First

  • ACT: Focuses its economic policy on regulatory reform, cutting red tape for businesses, and reviewing skilled job lists annually. ACT argues that reducing the cost of doing business and re-evaluating taxation and welfare settings (such as a 5-year welfare bar for new arrivals/residency adjustments) will encourage local enterprise and attract high-value capital and skilled professionals back to the country.

  • New Zealand First: Emphasizes tighter controls on immigration settings, protecting domestic jobs and infrastructure capacity, and prioritizing New Zealand citizens in housing and employment access through stricter residency and citizenship criteria timeframes. [www.livinginnz.co.nz]


Note: For further details on how these policies align with your specific industry or professional background, you can review the full manifestos directly via theNew Zealand Labour Party, the Green Party of Aotearoa New Zealand, or general election coverage aggregated by outlets like Radio New Zealand (RNZ).

Ask anything

Captured 19 October 2026 · shown as Google AI Mode gave it, not a verified account