Evidence · NZ Election 2026 · Edition 4

Every question, every answer, every source

All 174 questions and the 776 answers produced on 19 October 2026. For the other 44 planned combinations, Google produced no AI Overview or AI Mode answer.

questions
174
answers saved
776
collected
19 October 2026

01

Every question, with its answers

Each question was written as a voter would ask it and went to all four assistants. Some were also asked from a town. Open a question to read every answer to it in full.

Showing 20 of 174 questions

02

The tables behind the study

Every figure on the study page comes from these tables. They are CSV files, which open in any spreadsheet.

  • Questions

    questions.csv

    One row per question, unchanged since 5 October.

    id, text, reference, axes, collectionSettings, enabled

  • Answers

    answers.csv

    One row per saved answer, with its complete original text.

    id, questionId, assistant, collectionSetting, askedFrom, text, words

  • Sources by answer

    source-associations.csv

    One row per website associated with an answer; repeated citations count once.

    answer id, question id, assistant, domain, publisher

  • Checks against official sources

    checks.csv

    One row per selected statement and assistant, including those where the statement was not made.

    checkId, claimToTest, category, answerId, questionId, assistant, assertionPresent, assertion, paragraphs, verdict, evidence, whatTheSourceSays, checkedOn, assessment

  • Who to vote for: what each answer did

    behaviour-coding.csv

    One row per voting-guidance answer read in full, with each behaviour marked. Behaviours overlap; the original answers supply the evidence.

    prompt_id, draft_id, platform, region, explicit_choice_boundary, conditional_party_or_bloc_alignment, prioritised_shortlist, elicits_additional_user_information, unconditional_single_party_vote_instruction, excerpts, rationale, reviewer, reviewed_on, answerId

  • Location and national answers

    place-pairs.csv

    One row per national and location pair in this edition.

    question id, assistant, place, national answer id, place answer id, national entities, place entities, same entities

  • Changes between editions

    party-change-tables.csv

    One row per answer and earlier edition, with the parties named then and now.

    earlier_edition, earlier_result_id, current_result_id, prompt_id, platform, region, draft_id, block, scenario_id, scenario, issue, priority, same_text, same_party_set, earlier_parties, current_parties, added, removed

  • Changes across editions

    trajectory-tables.csv

    One row per pair of editions, with how many of the same 776 answers changed their party line-up.

    earlier_edition, current_edition, denominator, changed_all17, changed_seven

  • Party counts by edition

    party-count-tables.csv

    One row per comparison, edition, assistant and party, with the answers naming the party.

    panel, edition, platform, entity_id, party, numerator, denominator

  • Parties entering and leaving answers

    party-mention-flows.csv

    One row per party and assistant: answers that gained, lost or kept the party since 16 October.

    entity_id, platform, denominator, earlier, current, gained, lost, retained

  • Parties named by issue

    topic-presence-tables.csv

    One row per issue and party, with the answers naming the party.

    issue, entity_id, numerator, denominator

  • Location comparisons by edition

    regional-tables.csv

    One row per national and location pair, comparison and edition.

    panel, edition, prompt_id, platform, region, draft_id, block, scenario_id, scenario, issue, priority, complete, national_result_id, location_result_id, same_party_set

  • Answer length by assistant

    platform-tables.csv

    One row per comparison, edition and assistant, with answer length and the answers naming all six parties in Parliament.

    panel, edition, platform, answers, median_words, all_six_parliamentary

  • Voting guidance changes between editions

    guidance-change-tables.csv

    One row per voting-guidance answer and behaviour, on 16 and 19 October.

    draft_id, platform, measure, earlier_result_id, result_id, earlier, current, changed

  • What changed for each voter

    case-assessments.csv

    One row per voter: what changed in the answer to their main question.

    case, transition, earlier_quote, quote, assessment

  • Statements selected for checking

    check-register.csv

    One row per statement selected for checking, with why it was chosen and its primary source.

    checkId, claimToTest, category, whyChecked, primarySourceUrl, answerId

  • Answers paired with Edition 3

    pairs.csv

    One row per answer, with the 16 October answer to the same question, assistant and location.

    earlierAnswerId, answerId, questionId, assistant, collectionSetting, askedFrom

  • Source capture by answer

    sources.csv

    One row per answer, with whether its sources were captured and the websites recorded.

    answerId, capture, domains, urls, literalUrls, scope

  • Websites by reach

    source-reach-tables.csv

    One row per website, with the answers associated with it.

    domain, answers, denominator

  • Websites by issue

    topic-source-tables.csv

    One row per issue and website, with the answers associated with it.

    issue, domain, answers, denominator

  • Party matches reviewed in context

    party-identity-decisions.csv

    One row per possible party match read in context, with whether it counted and why.

    result_id, party, include, state, reason, reviewer, reviewed_on, review_basis, contexts

  • Parties found in each answer

    codings.csv

    One row per answer, party and comparison, with whether the party counted and the passage that shows it.

    comparisonId, answerId, entityId, kind, measure, counted, quote, reason, evidence

  • Comparisons each answer is in

    memberships.csv

    One row per answer and comparison.

    comparisonId, answerId, rowKey, included

  • Claims Onsomble recorded

    raw-native-claims.csv

    One row per claim, with the parties it is about and its stance on each.

    claimId, claimText, quote, stance, platform, region, promptId, brands, sources, drivers, sourceResultId

  • Answers read in full

    semantic-review-ledger.csv

    One row per answer and question a reviewer read in full, with the decision and the passage.

    result_id, dimension, state, decision, rationale, excerpt, reviewer, reviewed_on

  • Passages quoted in the analysis

    report-evidence.csv

    One row per answer passage the analysis quotes, with its reading.

    key, answerId, interpretation, text

  • Analysis findings

    findings.csv

    One row per finding in the analysis, with its figure and the table it comes from.

    id, value, denominator, statement, summary, caveat, evidence, reportFile

Use these tables to trace findings back to the original questions and answers. The full text of each answer is also on this page, under its question.

03

Read in full and checked

Some answers were read in detail or checked against official sources. Those appear on the study page, beside the findings they support.

ChatGPT · No location

I'm a sole parent with a preschool child, renting and working part time. Childcare costs and support rules affect how many hours I can take on. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. I want to work more, but childcare has to be affordable. Which parties should I look at most closely, and why?

For your situation, I’d focus on parties’ policies in three areas: the actual cost of preschool childcare, how much financial support you keep as you work more hours, and whether extra earnings leave you better off after childcare and rent.

As a sole parent renting and working part time, the important question isn’t just which party promises more help for families. It’s whether its policies would make it financially worthwhile for you to increase your hours without losing too much support or struggling to cover childcare.

New Zealand’s 2026 general election is scheduled for Saturday 7 November 2026. The parties’ published policies are worth comparing against your circumstances, rather than relying on general promises about the cost of living. The main parties vying to form New Zealand's next governmentPolicies for Party vote - NZ Election 2026

Parties to examine closely

These are useful parties to compare on the issues you’ve identified, not a ranking of which party you should vote for.

New Zealand Legislative Election Winner? Winner Odds | Lines.com

1. Green Party of Aotearoa New Zealand

Direct childcare-cost proposal

The Greens have proposed capping fees at $10 per day per child on top of the existing 20 hours of funded early childhood education, then expanding the entitlement to 35 hours a week by 2029, with free ECE under their plan. Their proposal also shifts public funding towards community and not-for-profit providers. Green Budget: Early Childhood Education for EveryoneElection 2026: Early Childhood Education NZ Policy Guide

Why it matters to you: If your biggest barrier is the weekly bill for a preschool place, this is a specific proposal to investigate. Check how the fee cap would work at your chosen centre, when changes would take effect, and whether your child's hours would be covered.

South Island Election Conference 2026

2. New Zealand Labour Party

Labour is worth comparing on family incomes, employment, and its approach to childcare assistance. Its 2026 policy platform includes cost-of-living measures, but the published material I found does not establish a directly comparable new promise for universal or substantially cheaper preschool hours. Labour's 2026 Election PoliciesElection 2026: Early Childhood Education NZ Policy Guide

Why it matters to you: Look for specific commitments on Childcare Subsidy eligibility, Working for Families, and what happens to assistance when a sole parent increases their earnings. Ask for the proposed changes and their start dates, rather than relying on broad affordability commitments.

Will National Party Finish 2nd in New Zealand's 2026 Election?

3. New Zealand National Party

National's record includes expanding FamilyBoost, which allows eligible households to claim back part of their ECE fees. In 2025, the Government increased the claim rate from 25% to 40% of eligible fees, with a maximum claim of $120 a week and a household income limit just under $230,000. Families to get extra help with ECE costs

National's announced 2026 ECE measures focus on school readiness and developmental checks, rather than a new universal fee cap. Screen use to end in ECE and limits set in primaryElection 2026: Early Childhood Education NZ Policy Guide

Why it matters to you: Check how FamilyBoost interacts with your actual fees and income, and whether National proposes changes to other subsidies that would affect you. A rebate on fees is not the same as reducing the bill upfront.

New Zealand legislative election winner? Predictions & Od... 2026 | Polymarket

4. New Zealand First

New Zealand First has announced a Kiwi Kids Grant of $5,000 a year for each of the first three children, for each child's first three years. It is described as tax-free and additional to existing support, with eligibility requiring at least one parent to be a New Zealand citizen. The stated policy objective includes giving parents more choice about caring for young children at home. NZFirst Announces Policy to Encourage Kiwis To Have More KidsElection 2026: Early Childhood Education NZ Policy Guide

Why it matters to you: A cash grant could help with household costs, but your child’s age and citizenship eligibility matter, and the grant is not the same as a guaranteed reduction in your childcare fees. Check the details carefully.

What about ACT and other parties?

Also compare ACT New Zealand and Te Pāti Māori on welfare rules, tax, housing, and family support. I haven't verified a directly comparable 2026 childcare proposal from either in the sources above, so I wouldn't assume what either would do to your net income. The independent Policy.nz 2026 guide lets you compare the parties' early childhood education policies. Policies for Party vote - NZ Election 2026Policies for Party vote - NZ Election 2026

The support rules that could make or break your decision

Party promises matter, but existing entitlements are equally important. These are the main things to check.

  • Childcare Subsidy: Work and Income provides help towards preschool childcare for eligible families. Check how the current income rules, hours of work and subsidy rates apply to you.
  • 20 Hours ECE: Eligible children aged three to five can receive funded early childhood education hours, although providers may have additional charges or conditions. See the Ministry of Education's 20 Hours ECE guidance.
  • Working for Families: Family Tax Credit and In-work Tax Credit payments can affect your household budget as your income changes. The amounts depend on your circumstances and family income.
  • Rent support: The Accommodation Supplement may also be relevant if you're renting and eligible.

The official Work and Income guide to Working for Families and related support explains the current assistance available. Working for Families

A practical checklist for comparing parties

When reading each party's policies, ask these five questions:

Would my weekly childcare bill fall, and by how much?

Could I get subsidised care for all the extra hours I want to work?

Would I keep more of my extra wages after tax, benefit changes and childcare?

Would support remain available if my hours or income fluctuated?

Would the policy help with rent and other essential costs as well?

0 of 5 questions reviewed

For each party, look for concrete dollar amounts, eligibility thresholds, implementation dates and funding details. A policy announcement is not the same as a policy already in force, and coalition negotiations can change what ultimately gets implemented.

My suggested starting point

Read the Greens' proposal on ECE fees alongside Labour's 2026 platform and National's FamilyBoost and childcare-support approach. Then compare New Zealand First's proposed grant if your child is within its eligible age range. These give you different policy approaches to examine without assuming that any one party's full programme will leave you better off.

The decisive test is how much better off you would be each week if you worked, for example, five or ten additional hours.

If you'd like to work that out, the most useful next detail is: Are you currently receiving Sole Parent Support from Work and Income, or are you supporting yourself entirely through wages? That makes a substantial difference to which income and childcare rules you should examine first.

Ask anything

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Captured 19 October 2026 · shown as ChatGPT gave it, not a verified account

Gemini · No location

I'm a sole parent with a preschool child, renting and working part time. Childcare costs and support rules affect how many hours I can take on. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. I want to work more, but childcare has to be affordable. Which parties should I look at most closely, and why?

For a sole parent working part-time with a preschooler, balancing the desire to increase work hours against the cost and availability of childcare is one of the most critical economic hurdles. Your situation sits right at the intersection of Early Childhood Education (ECE) subsidies, Working for Families tax credits, and main benefit/support rules (such as the Sole Parent Support benefit and childcare assistance through Work and Income).

Different political parties approach this dilemma through very different philosophical lenses—ranging from broad tax rebates and targeted support for low-income earners to universal state-funded provisions or changes to welfare-to-work incentives.

To help clarify your vote in the 2026 general election, the major parties and blocs can be broken down by how their policies directly affect your bottom line as a working sole parent:


1. The National-led Government / Center-Right Parties (National, ACT, NZ First)

  • The Approach: Focus on broad tax relief, demand-side incentives, and shifting welfare frameworks to encourage transitions into work.
  • Key Policies & Mechanisms:
    • FamilyBoost: Introduced to help low- and middle-income families with early childhood education (ECE) fees outside of the 20 hours free scheme, offering a partial rebate on weekly childcare costs based on household income.
    • Welfare and Work Incentives: Recent budgets and policy platforms emphasize targeted assistance to help sole parents overcome barriers to employment, alongside strict expectations or obligations for benefit recipients as part of getting people "into work and independence".
    • Tax and Cost-of-Living Focus: Emphasis on lowering income tax thresholds and easing general cost pressures rather than massive expansions of state-run universal programs.
  • Why look here: If you are transitioning from part-time to full-time work, policies like FamilyBoost aim to put cash directly back into your pocket to offset fee spikes, though the rebate is tiered against household income.

2. The Center-Left Opposition (Labour, Greens, Te Pāti Māori)

  • The Approach: Focus on supply-side investment, expanding free or low-cost universal services, strengthening public/community ECE infrastructure, and enhancing safety nets for sole parents.
  • Key Policies & Mechanisms:
    • Subsidies and Free Access: Historically favor expanding state funding for ECE (such as building on the 20 hours free ECE framework) and increasing childcare assistance thresholds through Work and Income to ensure parents aren’t financially penalized for picking up extra shifts.
    • Income Support & Working for Families: Stronger emphasis on boosting Working for Families abatements, abatement thresholds (allowing you to earn more before your main benefit or top-ups reduce), and core benefit adequacy for sole parents.
    • Community Provision: Focus heavily on non-profit, community-based, and kaupapa Māori early childhood education providers, often arguing that private childcare costs place too heavy a burden on working-class families.
  • Why look here: If your primary anxiety is that earning an extra few dollars per hour will immediately cause your childcare subsidies or welfare top-ups to claw back too steeply (the "poverty trap"), the center-left parties generally campaign on higher abatement thresholds and enhanced direct government support for service costs.

What to Weigh Up When Comparing Parties

When reviewing party manifestos on Policy.nz or via their official sites, look specifically at three interconnected pillars:

  1. The Abatement Thresholds (The "Work Trap"): As a sole parent working part-time, check how each party proposes to treat your extra earnings. If you take on 10 more hours a week, how much of your main benefit or childcare subsidy will you lose? Parties that raise abatement thresholds make it safer to take on extra work without losing your safety net.
  2. Direct Childcare Subsidies vs. Tax Rebates: Compare policies like FamilyBoost (rebates paid after you've already fronted the cash for fees) against proposals for upfront funded hours or higher direct Work and Income childcare subsidies. Consider your cash flow: do you need the money discounted upfront at the ECE provider, or can you manage paying and claiming a rebate later?
  3. ECE Sector Funding: Parties have contrasting views on private vs. community/non-profit ECE centres. Some back market-driven choices, while others want stricter fee controls or increased direct funding to centers to stop fees from skyrocketing.

Summary Question to Guide Your Vote

Are you looking for relief primarily through broad tax cuts and targeted cost-of-rebates (aligning more with the National-led approach), or through strengthened welfare safety nets, higher income-test thresholds, and expanded direct state-funded care (aligning more with the Labour/Green approach)?

Would you like to explore the specific mechanics of how Working for Families or current Work and Income childcare subsidies interact with part-time earnings right now?

Ask Gemini

Gemini is AI and can make mistakes.

Captured 19 October 2026 · shown as Gemini gave it, not a verified account

Google AI Mode · No location

I'm a sole parent with a preschool child, renting and working part time. Childcare costs and support rules affect how many hours I can take on. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. I want to work more, but childcare has to be affordable. Which parties should I look at most closely, and why?

As a sole parent, renter, and part-time worker looking to increase your hours, your primary election considerations revolve around early childhood education (ECE) subsidies, Working for Families, tenancy and housing support, and benefit abatement thresholds.

Current mainstream New Zealand political parties approach these issues with distinct philosophies and policy packages.


Key Parties to Watch and Their Policy Directions

1. New Zealand Labour Party

  • Core Approach: Focuses on direct, publicly funded service expansion, targeted income assistance, and strengthening social safety nets.

  • Childcare & ECE: Historically champions universal or expanded free ECE hours (such as extending 20 Hours ECE down to younger age groups) and bolstering funding for community-based services like Kindergartens, Kōhanga Reo, and Playcentres.

  • Sole Parents & Work: Generally advocates for higher abatement thresholds (allowing you to earn more part-time income before your main benefit or assistance is cut) and increases to Working for Families tax credits and accommodation support for renters.

  • Why look here: If your strategy relies on lowering direct out-of-pocket childcare fees via government-funded service delivery or increasing the financial return of picking up extra shifts via welfare/tax credit adjustments.

2. New Zealand National Party

  • Core Approach: Focuses on supply-side incentives, tax relief, and targeted cost-of-living rebates rather than sweeping universal free services.

  • Childcare & ECE: Championed the FamilyBoost initiative (which refunds a percentage of early childhood education fees up to a quarterly cap after you pay) alongside standard income-tested Work and Income Work and Income Childcare Subsidies.

  • Sole Parents & Work: Emphasizes work incentives through general income tax threshold adjustments, tighter work obligations or active support for beneficiaries transitioning into the workforce, and market-based housing supply initiatives.

  • Why look here: If you prefer post-purchase/rebate mechanisms like FamilyBoost, broad personal income tax reductions, and policies aimed at expanding private and independent childcare options.

3. ACT New Zealand

  • Core Approach: Advocates for smaller government, reduced public spending, lower taxes, and greater reliance on the private market and choice.

  • Childcare & ECE: Favours streamlining ECE regulations to lower compliance costs for providers, potentially shifting towards direct voucher or choice-based funding models rather than central government micromanagement of centers.

  • Sole Parents & Work: Focuses heavily on reducing marginal tax rates and welfare dependency traps by restructuring benefit clawbacks and welfare-to-work transitions.

  • Why look here: If you favor market competition to drive down service costs and broader structural tax cuts over state-managed programs.

4. Green Party of Aotearoa New Zealand

  • Core Approach: Focuses on poverty eradication, expanded public services, and direct income floors.

  • Childcare & ECE: Advocates for fully publicly funded, high-ratio, community-led early learning, with an emphasis on fair pay for ECE teachers and accessible local options.

  • Sole Parents & Work: Proposes replacing current core benefits with a guaranteed liveable income or significantly lifting benefit and abatement levels, alongside major state-backed housing and renter protections (such as stronger tenant rights and rent controls).

  • Why look here: If your priority is a guaranteed income floor that protects you while you step up your hours incrementally without facing harsh benefit reductions, paired with stronger renter advocacy.


Comparison of Key Policy Levers for Your Situation

Policy Area Labour / Greens Focus National / ACT Focus
Childcare Funding Expanding free/low-cost hours directly at the provider level Rebate systems (e.g., FamilyBoost) and targeted subsidies
Earning More Hours Raising abatement thresholds Work and Income so you keep more of what you earn Lowering general income tax rates and market incentives
Housing & Renting Tenant protections, state/social housing build investment Supply-side planning reform and private rental market support

Questions to Ask Parties on the Campaign Trail

  • The Marginal Trap: What specific changes does your party propose to abatement rates so that working an extra 5 to 10 hours a week doesn't just result in losing my Childcare Subsidy or Working for Families support?

  • Upfront vs. Rebate: Do you plan to expand direct fee-free ECE hours (like the 20 Hours ECE model), or rely on reimbursement/rebate schemes like FamilyBoost where I have to find the cash flow to pay upfront?

  • Ages & Hours: How do your policies support children under 3 (where universal free hours are typically limited) when a sole parent needs full-time or extended part-time coverage to hold down a job?

Ask anything

Captured 19 October 2026 · shown as Google AI Mode gave it, not a verified account

AI Overviews · No location

I'm a sole parent with a preschool child, renting and working part time. Childcare costs and support rules affect how many hours I can take on. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. I want to work more, but childcare has to be affordable. Which parties should I look at most closely, and why?

AI Overview

For a sole parent working part-time, childcare costs and the "benefit abatement cliff"—where you lose support as you earn more—are critical factors in deciding how many hours you can afford to work. In the lead-up to the 2026 New Zealand general election , the major political parties offer distinct approaches that directly impact your weekly income, childcare expenses, and rental situation.

You should look most closely at National , Labour , the Green Party , and New Zealand First for the following reasons:

1. National and ACT: The In-Work Rebate & Regulatory Approach

If you want to keep current targeted support systems while gaining tax-based reliefs, the center-right coalition platforms are relevant:

  • FamilyBoost Rebate: National’s core childcare policy remains the FamilyBoost childcare rebate, which lets you claim back 40% of your out-of-pocket early childhood education (ECE) fees (capped quarterly). This stacks on top of the standard MSD Childcare Subsidy and the universal 20 Hours ECE.
  • KiwiSaver for Kids: National has proposed a $1,500 "Baby Boost" automatically deposited into KiwiSaver accounts for newborns to support long-term security.
  • ACT's ECE Deregulation: Led by David Seymour (who held the ECE portfolio), ACT focuses on slashing compliance costs and regulations for daycare centers. Their theory is that reducing red tape makes it cheaper for providers to operate, which they argue suppresses fee increases, though they oppose funding teacher pay parity.

2. Labour and the Greens: Broad Welfare & Operational Funding

If you want to see the "abatement thresholds" shifted so you can earn more before your sole parent support drops, the left-of-center parties focus heavily on systemic welfare overhauls:

  • Tax Thresholds & Direct Support: The Green Party's 2026 Manifesto prioritizes creating a $10,000 tax-free income threshold and instituting a wealth tax to significantly lift base benefit levels and radically ease abatement rules. This would allow part-time workers to keep more of their wages.
  • Operational ECE Support: Both Labour and the Greens favor funding ECE centers directly to achieve full pay parity for teachers. They argue this creates more stable, higher-quality care environments, minimizing sudden fee hikes passed onto parents.
  • Renter Protections: Because you are renting, the Greens' push for commercial and residential rent controls and Labour's $4 billion social housing expansion directly target the high living costs that squeeze single-parent budgets.

3. New Zealand First: Direct Cash Boosts for Working Families

NZ First has targeted working families with high-value cash injections:

  • Working for Families Increase: NZ First has pledged to permanently raise the Working for Families in-work tax credit by $70 a week (increasing the total credit to $217 per week). This is designed specifically to ensure parents who take on part-time or full-time hours keep more cash in their pockets.
  • Kiwi Kids Grant: They have also floated a $5,000 birth grant for new parents to offset the initial steep costs of equipment and care.

Side-by-Side Comparison for a Sole Parent

Party Core Childcare Strategy Impact on Working Extra Hours Housing / Rental Stance
National Tax Rebates: FamilyBoost covers 40% of out-of-pocket costs. Relies on existing MSD income caps; rewards work via tax relief. Extends 5% First Home Loan deposits.
Labour System Stability: Focuses on teacher pay parity and child wellbeing frameworks. Aims to review public sector and welfare caps to protect low-income earners. $4B investment in social and affordable housing.
Greens Universal Welfare: Higher baseline support so childcare is less of a financial strain. $10k tax-free bracket ensures you keep more part-time wages. Strongly advocates for rent controls.
NZ First Cash Tax Credits: Permanently boosts the Working for Families in-work tax credit. Directly incentivizes working extra hours by adding $70/wk to your tax credit. Focuses on reducing immigration caps to ease rental demand.

To help narrow down which party fits your situation best, could you tell me how many hours you are hoping to work, or what your child's exact age is (as rules change when they turn 3)? I can provide the exact math on how current abatement rates interact with your wages.

Ask anything

Captured 19 October 2026 · shown as AI Overviews gave it, not a verified account