Evidence · NZ Election 2026 · Edition 4

Every question, every answer, every source

All 174 questions and the 776 answers produced on 19 October 2026. For the other 44 planned combinations, Google produced no AI Overview or AI Mode answer.

questions
174
answers saved
776
collected
19 October 2026

01

Every question, with its answers

Each question was written as a voter would ask it and went to all four assistants. Some were also asked from a town. Open a question to read every answer to it in full.

Showing 20 of 174 questions

02

The tables behind the study

Every figure on the study page comes from these tables. They are CSV files, which open in any spreadsheet.

  • Questions

    questions.csv

    One row per question, unchanged since 5 October.

    id, text, reference, axes, collectionSettings, enabled

  • Answers

    answers.csv

    One row per saved answer, with its complete original text.

    id, questionId, assistant, collectionSetting, askedFrom, text, words

  • Sources by answer

    source-associations.csv

    One row per website associated with an answer; repeated citations count once.

    answer id, question id, assistant, domain, publisher

  • Checks against official sources

    checks.csv

    One row per selected statement and assistant, including those where the statement was not made.

    checkId, claimToTest, category, answerId, questionId, assistant, assertionPresent, assertion, paragraphs, verdict, evidence, whatTheSourceSays, checkedOn, assessment

  • Who to vote for: what each answer did

    behaviour-coding.csv

    One row per voting-guidance answer read in full, with each behaviour marked. Behaviours overlap; the original answers supply the evidence.

    prompt_id, draft_id, platform, region, explicit_choice_boundary, conditional_party_or_bloc_alignment, prioritised_shortlist, elicits_additional_user_information, unconditional_single_party_vote_instruction, excerpts, rationale, reviewer, reviewed_on, answerId

  • Location and national answers

    place-pairs.csv

    One row per national and location pair in this edition.

    question id, assistant, place, national answer id, place answer id, national entities, place entities, same entities

  • Changes between editions

    party-change-tables.csv

    One row per answer and earlier edition, with the parties named then and now.

    earlier_edition, earlier_result_id, current_result_id, prompt_id, platform, region, draft_id, block, scenario_id, scenario, issue, priority, same_text, same_party_set, earlier_parties, current_parties, added, removed

  • Changes across editions

    trajectory-tables.csv

    One row per pair of editions, with how many of the same 776 answers changed their party line-up.

    earlier_edition, current_edition, denominator, changed_all17, changed_seven

  • Party counts by edition

    party-count-tables.csv

    One row per comparison, edition, assistant and party, with the answers naming the party.

    panel, edition, platform, entity_id, party, numerator, denominator

  • Parties entering and leaving answers

    party-mention-flows.csv

    One row per party and assistant: answers that gained, lost or kept the party since 16 October.

    entity_id, platform, denominator, earlier, current, gained, lost, retained

  • Parties named by issue

    topic-presence-tables.csv

    One row per issue and party, with the answers naming the party.

    issue, entity_id, numerator, denominator

  • Location comparisons by edition

    regional-tables.csv

    One row per national and location pair, comparison and edition.

    panel, edition, prompt_id, platform, region, draft_id, block, scenario_id, scenario, issue, priority, complete, national_result_id, location_result_id, same_party_set

  • Answer length by assistant

    platform-tables.csv

    One row per comparison, edition and assistant, with answer length and the answers naming all six parties in Parliament.

    panel, edition, platform, answers, median_words, all_six_parliamentary

  • Voting guidance changes between editions

    guidance-change-tables.csv

    One row per voting-guidance answer and behaviour, on 16 and 19 October.

    draft_id, platform, measure, earlier_result_id, result_id, earlier, current, changed

  • What changed for each voter

    case-assessments.csv

    One row per voter: what changed in the answer to their main question.

    case, transition, earlier_quote, quote, assessment

  • Statements selected for checking

    check-register.csv

    One row per statement selected for checking, with why it was chosen and its primary source.

    checkId, claimToTest, category, whyChecked, primarySourceUrl, answerId

  • Answers paired with Edition 3

    pairs.csv

    One row per answer, with the 16 October answer to the same question, assistant and location.

    earlierAnswerId, answerId, questionId, assistant, collectionSetting, askedFrom

  • Source capture by answer

    sources.csv

    One row per answer, with whether its sources were captured and the websites recorded.

    answerId, capture, domains, urls, literalUrls, scope

  • Websites by reach

    source-reach-tables.csv

    One row per website, with the answers associated with it.

    domain, answers, denominator

  • Websites by issue

    topic-source-tables.csv

    One row per issue and website, with the answers associated with it.

    issue, domain, answers, denominator

  • Party matches reviewed in context

    party-identity-decisions.csv

    One row per possible party match read in context, with whether it counted and why.

    result_id, party, include, state, reason, reviewer, reviewed_on, review_basis, contexts

  • Parties found in each answer

    codings.csv

    One row per answer, party and comparison, with whether the party counted and the passage that shows it.

    comparisonId, answerId, entityId, kind, measure, counted, quote, reason, evidence

  • Comparisons each answer is in

    memberships.csv

    One row per answer and comparison.

    comparisonId, answerId, rowKey, included

  • Claims Onsomble recorded

    raw-native-claims.csv

    One row per claim, with the parties it is about and its stance on each.

    claimId, claimText, quote, stance, platform, region, promptId, brands, sources, drivers, sourceResultId

  • Answers read in full

    semantic-review-ledger.csv

    One row per answer and question a reviewer read in full, with the decision and the passage.

    result_id, dimension, state, decision, rationale, excerpt, reviewer, reviewed_on

  • Passages quoted in the analysis

    report-evidence.csv

    One row per answer passage the analysis quotes, with its reading.

    key, answerId, interpretation, text

  • Analysis findings

    findings.csv

    One row per finding in the analysis, with its figure and the table it comes from.

    id, value, denominator, statement, summary, caveat, evidence, reportFile

Use these tables to trace findings back to the original questions and answers. The full text of each answer is also on this page, under its question.

03

Read in full and checked

Some answers were read in detail or checked against official sources. Those appear on the study page, beside the findings they support.

ChatGPT · No location

I'm an eligible New Zealand voter living overseas and considering returning. I am comparing job opportunities, housing costs and New Zealand's international outlook. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. How do parties differ on New Zealand's international relationships, defence and regional security?

New Zealand 2026 election: Foreign policy, defence and regional security

For an eligible New Zealand voter living overseas and considering a return, the international outlook matters in practical ways: economic opportunities, trade access, the cost of living, New Zealand's security and the country's relationships with Australia, the Pacific, China and the United States.

The key distinction to watch in the 2026 general election is how parties balance security partnerships, economic ties with China, Pacific relationships, and New Zealand's independence in foreign policy.

One important qualification: the election is still ahead, and party positions or campaign commitments may change. It's useful to distinguish established policies and government decisions from promises made specifically for the 2026 campaign.

1. How the main parties differ

The following is a comparison of published positions and recent statements available as of 18 October 2026. It focuses on the six parties most relevant to a broad parliamentary comparison, rather than predicting what any coalition would ultimately do.

Will National Party Finish 2nd in New Zealand's 2026 Election?

National

Security partnerships, defence investment and trade diversification

National's stated approach is to strengthen defence capability, deepen military interoperability with Australia, and expand security and economic relationships across the Indo-Pacific. Prime Minister Christopher Luxon has committed to doubling defence spending as a share of the economy and continuing the Defence Capability Plan if re-elected. National also stresses closer engagement with India, Singapore, ASEAN and NATO's Indo-Pacific partners. Speech: Securing New Zealand’s future in a more volatile worldForeign Affairs,

Key question: How much additional defence spending is justified, and how will it be funded?

South Island Election Conference 2026

Labour

Independent foreign policy, international law and balanced major-power relations

Labour leader Chris Hipkins has advocated restoring an independent foreign policy that combines national interests with values and international law. In its September 2026 foreign-policy speech, Labour said it would maintain important relationships with both the United States and China, recognise Palestine, impose specified sanctions on Israel, and strengthen links with Europe, Canada and ASEAN. It also proposes parliamentary scrutiny of decisions to join armed conflicts. Speech: Labour's foreign policy

Key question: How would Labour balance principled positions on international conflicts with practical trade and security relationships?

Green Party NZ (@NZGreens) on X

Green Party

Peacebuilding, human rights, climate security and military independence

The Greens advocate an independent, principled foreign policy, stronger multilateral cooperation, human rights and climate action. They have explicitly opposed New Zealand joining any part of the AUKUS framework, including its second pillar, which focuses on advanced military technology. Their published policies also address conflict prevention and peaceful conflict resolution. NZ must pursue independent foreign policyComplete Party Policy

Key question: How should New Zealand protect itself and contribute to Pacific security without becoming more deeply involved in major-power military competition?

New Zealand Legislative Election Winner 2026 Odds | Polymarket

ACT

Stronger Western security links and a more assertive defence posture

ACT's published foreign-policy position supports deeper cooperation with Five Eyes partners, greater defence spending, firmer support for democratic allies, and exploring participation in AUKUS. It takes a more sceptical position towards China's regional influence than parties that emphasise balancing relationships with both major powers. Foreign Policy Policy NZ — All Parties ComparedACT New Zealand Policies 2026 — NZ Election

Key question: What level of military integration with partners would New Zealand accept, and what would it cost?

New Zealand legislative election winner? Predictions & Od... 2026 | Polymarket

New Zealand First

National sovereignty, border security and an active Pacific role

NZ First describes defence as a core government responsibility, including maritime security, humanitarian assistance and disaster relief. Foreign Minister Winston Peters has called for stronger US engagement in the Pacific and raised concerns about military activity and transnational crime in the region. The party also emphasises protecting New Zealand's national interests and sovereignty. 2023 Election PoliciesNew Zealand's Peters urges strong US role in Pacific

Key question: How would sovereignty-focused diplomacy translate into specific commitments on defence spending, alliances and relations with China?

Te Pāti Māori (@Maori_Party) on X

Te Pāti Māori

Tino rangatiratanga, Te Tiriti and Pacific-centred priorities

Te Pāti Māori's wider political approach centres Māori self-determination, Te Tiriti o Waitangi, equity and climate justice. These priorities provide context for assessing its international outlook, particularly on Indigenous rights and Pacific issues. However, I could not verify a sufficiently detailed current 2026 defence programme to make a like-for-like claim about military alliances or spending. New Zealand Elections 2026

Key question: What specific defence, alliance and foreign-policy commitments will the party publish for this election?

For further comparison, Policy.nz has a dedicated 2026 defence and foreign affairs policy comparison. It allows you to examine specific policy proposals, rather than relying solely on broad party descriptions. Policies for Party vote - NZ Election 2026

2. The four big foreign-policy questions

Party labels only tell you so much. These are the issues where the differences have the clearest practical implications.

Australia's Prime Minister Albanese Vists New Zealand

A. Australia, the US and defence alliances

National and ACT favour stronger defence integration with traditional security partners, although ACT has advocated exploring AUKUS participation more explicitly. Labour stresses independent decision-making while maintaining important partnerships. The Greens oppose AUKUS involvement. NZ First emphasises sovereignty alongside a continuing US role in Pacific security. Speech: Securing New Zealand’s future in a more volatile worldSpeech: Labour's foreign policyNZ must pursue independent foreign policyForeign Policy Policy NZ — All Parties ComparedNew Zealand's Peters urges strong US role in Pacific

China's Foreign Minister Wang Yi Visits New Zealand

B. China: trade partner and strategic competitor

New Zealand has significant economic interests in China as well as security interests in the wider Indo-Pacific. Labour explicitly argues for maintaining balanced relationships with both China and the US. National emphasises diversifying trade and security relationships. ACT is more explicitly critical of China's regional influence. The Greens emphasise avoiding military escalation and maintaining independent diplomacy. Speech: Securing New Zealand’s future in a more volatile worldSpeech: Labour's foreign policyForeign Policy Policy NZ — All Parties ComparedNZ must pursue independent foreign policy

Pacific leaders sign Ocean of Peace treaty, launch Pacific resiliency facility

C. Pacific security and development

All these debates take place in a region where New Zealand has longstanding responsibilities and relationships. The differences concern the balance between defence cooperation, economic development, climate resilience, aid and strategic competition. Labour proposes increasing overseas development assistance towards 0.7% of gross national income as fiscal conditions allow. The Greens put particular emphasis on climate and peacebuilding; the current government's approach emphasises defence partnerships and regional resilience. Speech: Labour's foreign policyComplete Party PolicyDefence strategyNew Zealand's Peters urges strong US role in Pacific

Para que serve a Assembleia Geral da ONU? - Agencia Cidades

D. International law, conflicts and New Zealand's voice

Labour has set out specific proposals on Palestine, sanctions concerning Israel, international institutions and parliamentary oversight of armed-conflict decisions. The Greens stress human rights, diplomacy and conflict prevention. National's published approach emphasises security, democracy and cooperation with traditional partners. When comparing other parties, check their current commitments on Ukraine, the Middle East, sanctions, international courts and multilateral institutions rather than assuming that general statements about independence mean the same thing. Speech: Labour's foreign policyNZ must pursue independent foreign policyForeign Affairs,

3. What this could mean if you return to New Zealand

International policy can affect your everyday prospects, but mostly through indirect channels. Here are the links worth examining alongside job opportunities and housing.

Issue Potential domestic implications
Trade diversification Export-sector jobs, investment, demand for professional skills and exposure to overseas economic shocks
Relations with China Conditions for exporters, particularly in trade-exposed sectors, and the risks associated with dependence on a major market
Defence spending Government expenditure, defence-related employment, procurement and the competing demands on public finances
Pacific engagement Regional stability, climate resilience, development work and New Zealand's long-term relationships with Pacific communities
Relations with Australia Cross-Tasman employment opportunities, business integration and security cooperation
International law and diplomacy New Zealand's reputation, diplomatic influence and its approach to international crises

These are possible transmission channels, not guaranteed economic outcomes. A party's foreign-policy stance alone cannot tell you whether your salary will rise, rents will fall or housing will become more affordable.

For the economic side of your decision, compare each party's employment, taxation, housing, infrastructure and immigration policies separately. Then consider whether its international policies are likely to support the industries and communities in which you might work.

4. Questions to ask before deciding

You could use these questions to compare the parties against your own priorities, without relying on their campaign slogans.

Select the issues that matter most to you, then use them as a checklist when reading party policies.

Defence and alliancesHow much more should New Zealand spend on defence, and how closely should it integrate with Australia, the US and AUKUS?

China and tradeHow should New Zealand protect its security interests without unnecessarily damaging trade and investment?

Pacific relationshipsHow much priority should go to Pacific development, climate adaptation, aid and regional security?

International lawWhen should New Zealand use sanctions, public criticism or international legal processes, even when major partners disagree?

Economic resilienceWhich approach best supports diversified export markets, skilled employment and resilience to overseas shocks?

Compare parties on my selected issues

5. Important: voting from overseas

If you're planning to vote in the 2026 election, check your eligibility and enrolment now rather than waiting until you return.

  • Election day: Saturday 7 November 2026.
  • Overseas voting opens: Wednesday 21 October 2026.
  • Enrolment deadline: midnight New Zealand time on Sunday 25 October 2026.
  • Eligibility: generally, New Zealand citizens must have been in New Zealand within the past three years; residents for electoral purposes must have been in New Zealand within the past 12 months. Other eligibility conditions apply.
  • How to vote: eligible, enrolled overseas voters can download their voting papers and return them online through the Electoral Commission's service, or use an available overseas voting place. 2026 New Zealand General Election | New Zealand Ministry of Foreign Affairs and TradeHow to vote from overseas

Official information: Vote NZ — voting from overseas.

Your party vote determines each party's share of parliamentary representation, while your electorate vote helps choose your local representative. Both can matter when parties negotiate a coalition or confidence-and-supply agreement.

The central question in this election is not simply which party favours a strong international presence. It is what kind of international presence New Zealand should have, which risks it should accept, and how those choices connect to the country you might return to live and work in.

Ask anything

ChatGPT can make mistakes. Check important info.

Captured 19 October 2026 · shown as ChatGPT gave it, not a verified account

Gemini · No location

I'm an eligible New Zealand voter living overseas and considering returning. I am comparing job opportunities, housing costs and New Zealand's international outlook. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. How do parties differ on New Zealand's international relationships, defence and regional security?

Political parties in New Zealand present distinct approaches to international relations, defence posture, and regional security, broadly reflecting traditional ideological divides over alignment, sovereignty, and global engagement.

Centre-Right and Coalition Parties (National, ACT, New Zealand First)

  • Strategic Alignment & Traditional Partnerships: The current governing parties prioritize strengthening traditional security and economic alliances, particularly with Australia, the Five Eyes intelligence-sharing network, and traditional Western partners. They generally emphasize maintaining stable, pragmatic trade relationships with major economic partners while aligning closely with democratic allies on regional security.
  • Defence and Regional Security: These parties tend to support reinvestment in the New Zealand Defence Force (NZDF) to address capability gaps, enhance interoperability with close partners (such as Australia and Pacific security structures), and counter emerging strategic challenges in the Indo-Pacific and Southern Ocean. They view regional security in the Pacific as vital to national resilience, leveraging diplomacy, maritime security partnerships, and development aid to maintain stability.
  • AUKUS: The coalition government has maintained an open, exploratory stance regarding potential cooperation on non-nuclear aspects of AUKUS (Pillar 2), balancing strategic partnership benefits with New Zealand's independent foreign policy and nuclear-free stance.

Centre-Left and Opposition Parties (Labour, Green Party, Te Pāti Māori)

  • Independent Foreign Policy: The Labour Party traditionally champions an independent, values-based foreign policy that champions multilateralism, adherence to international law, and the United Nations. They emphasize independent decision-making rather than formal security pact integration, maintaining strong relationships across the Pacific and Asia.
  • Defence Priorities: The opposition often focuses defence spending on domestic resilience, civil defense, search and rescue, humanitarian assistance, and disaster relief (HADR) in the Pacific, alongside core maritime surveillance. They tend to be cautious about deep military integration with major power blocs that could compromise New Zealand's independent diplomatic voice.
  • Climate and Pacific Security: The Green Party and Te Pāti Māori place heavy emphasis on climate change as the primary security threat to the Pacific region. Their foreign policy proposals typically centre on significantly increasing international aid (often targeting a benchmark of 0.7% of GDP), supporting climate-refugee frameworks, and prioritizing Pacific-led diplomatic solutions over traditional hard-security build-ups.

Minor and Movement Parties (e.g., The Alliance)

  • Strict Non-Alignment & Demilitarisation: Parties on the broader left or anti-interventionist spectrum advocate for a policy of strict non-alignment, active disarmament, and the removal of foreign military or intelligence infrastructure from New Zealand soil. They generally call for withdrawing from intelligence-sharing agreements like Five Eyes to preserve absolute national sovereignty.
Ask Gemini

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Captured 19 October 2026 · shown as Gemini gave it, not a verified account

Google AI Mode · No location

I'm an eligible New Zealand voter living overseas and considering returning. I am comparing job opportunities, housing costs and New Zealand's international outlook. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. How do parties differ on New Zealand's international relationships, defence and regional security?

As New Zealand approaches the 2026 general election, political parties diverge significantly on how the country should balance international relationships, development assistance, and defence spending amidst a complex global environment.

The positions of the major political parties regarding foreign policy, international aid, and regional security reflect distinct ideological approaches:

  • New Zealand National Party (led by Christopher Luxon)

  • Foreign Policy & Aid: National advocates for a "realistic" and interest-driven approach to foreign policy. Prime Minister Christopher Luxon has defended recalibrating the foreign aid budget, stating that funds should be deployed more intentionally to serve New Zealand’s direct national interest rather than spreading aid thin. However, the party emphasizes maintaining a firm commitment to protecting and stabilizing the Pacific region.

  • Defence & Security: National supports significant bolstering of New Zealand's military capabilities. The party is moving forward with plans to increase defence spending toward $12 billion (or 2% of GDP) over an eight-year timeframe, as outlined in recent budget cycles, to handle rising strategic competition and security demands in the Indo-Pacific region. [RNZ]

  • New Zealand Labour Party (led by Chris Hipkins)

  • Foreign Policy & Aid: Labour emphasizes a return to traditional multilateralism and strengthening diplomatic ties, particularly within the Pacific. Labour foreign affairs spokespeople have pledged to raise New Zealand’s international aid spending closer to the OECD target of 0.7 percent of gross national income over a long-term horizon (aiming eventually toward a $3 billion baseline), prioritizing climate resilience and sustainable development in Pacific Island nations.

  • Defence & Security: While recognizing the need for regional security and disaster response, Labour places greater emphasis on climate-related security, soft-power diplomacy, and multilateral institutional frameworks alongside traditional defense preparedness.

  • Green Party of Aotearoa New Zealand (co-led by Marama Davidson and Chlöe Swarbrick)

  • Foreign Policy & Aid: The Greens champion an independent, peace-focused foreign policy with a strong emphasis on international human rights, global climate action, and independent diplomacy. They criticize military escalation and lean heavily into developmental and ecological aid over strategic or hard-security positioning.

  • Defence & Security: The Greens emphasize refocusing New Zealand's international footprint toward peacekeeping training, humanitarian disaster relief, and climate mitigation support, rather than aligning with broader military pacts or increasing traditional combat-readiness spending.

  • New Zealand First (led by Winston Peters)

  • Foreign Policy & Aid: As a prominent voice in foreign affairs through Winston Peters, NZ First staunchly defends an independent, "realistic" foreign policy centered on traditional alliances, national sovereignty, and active engagement in the Indo-Pacific. Peters has heavily criticized cuts to broader international aid as potentially dangerous for New Zealand's diplomatic standing and relationships.

  • Defence & Security: NZ First strongly supports backing New Zealand’s defence forces and sovereign security infrastructure. They also emphasize national self-reliance and have expressed skepticism toward certain external international legal obligations, proposing measures like a "National Interest Test" regarding specific international organization amendments (such as those concerning the WHO) and advocating strict controls on immigration and foreign commitments.

  • ACT New Zealand (led by David Seymour)

  • Foreign Policy & Aid: ACT generally prioritizes fiscal conservatism and domestic economic repair over expanding foreign aid budgets, favouring free-trade agreements and practical economic diplomacy.

  • Defence & Security: ACT supports strong alignment with traditional democratic allies and a well-resourced defence force capable of protecting New Zealand’s trade routes and strategic interests in an increasingly unstable geopolitical landscape.

Ask anything

Captured 19 October 2026 · shown as Google AI Mode gave it, not a verified account