Evidence · NZ Election 2026 · Edition 4

Every question, every answer, every source

All 174 questions and the 776 answers produced on 19 October 2026. For the other 44 planned combinations, Google produced no AI Overview or AI Mode answer.

questions
174
answers saved
776
collected
19 October 2026

01

Every question, with its answers

Each question was written as a voter would ask it and went to all four assistants. Some were also asked from a town. Open a question to read every answer to it in full.

Showing 20 of 174 questions

02

The tables behind the study

Every figure on the study page comes from these tables. They are CSV files, which open in any spreadsheet.

  • Questions

    questions.csv

    One row per question, unchanged since 5 October.

    id, text, reference, axes, collectionSettings, enabled

  • Answers

    answers.csv

    One row per saved answer, with its complete original text.

    id, questionId, assistant, collectionSetting, askedFrom, text, words

  • Sources by answer

    source-associations.csv

    One row per website associated with an answer; repeated citations count once.

    answer id, question id, assistant, domain, publisher

  • Checks against official sources

    checks.csv

    One row per selected statement and assistant, including those where the statement was not made.

    checkId, claimToTest, category, answerId, questionId, assistant, assertionPresent, assertion, paragraphs, verdict, evidence, whatTheSourceSays, checkedOn, assessment

  • Who to vote for: what each answer did

    behaviour-coding.csv

    One row per voting-guidance answer read in full, with each behaviour marked. Behaviours overlap; the original answers supply the evidence.

    prompt_id, draft_id, platform, region, explicit_choice_boundary, conditional_party_or_bloc_alignment, prioritised_shortlist, elicits_additional_user_information, unconditional_single_party_vote_instruction, excerpts, rationale, reviewer, reviewed_on, answerId

  • Location and national answers

    place-pairs.csv

    One row per national and location pair in this edition.

    question id, assistant, place, national answer id, place answer id, national entities, place entities, same entities

  • Changes between editions

    party-change-tables.csv

    One row per answer and earlier edition, with the parties named then and now.

    earlier_edition, earlier_result_id, current_result_id, prompt_id, platform, region, draft_id, block, scenario_id, scenario, issue, priority, same_text, same_party_set, earlier_parties, current_parties, added, removed

  • Changes across editions

    trajectory-tables.csv

    One row per pair of editions, with how many of the same 776 answers changed their party line-up.

    earlier_edition, current_edition, denominator, changed_all17, changed_seven

  • Party counts by edition

    party-count-tables.csv

    One row per comparison, edition, assistant and party, with the answers naming the party.

    panel, edition, platform, entity_id, party, numerator, denominator

  • Parties entering and leaving answers

    party-mention-flows.csv

    One row per party and assistant: answers that gained, lost or kept the party since 16 October.

    entity_id, platform, denominator, earlier, current, gained, lost, retained

  • Parties named by issue

    topic-presence-tables.csv

    One row per issue and party, with the answers naming the party.

    issue, entity_id, numerator, denominator

  • Location comparisons by edition

    regional-tables.csv

    One row per national and location pair, comparison and edition.

    panel, edition, prompt_id, platform, region, draft_id, block, scenario_id, scenario, issue, priority, complete, national_result_id, location_result_id, same_party_set

  • Answer length by assistant

    platform-tables.csv

    One row per comparison, edition and assistant, with answer length and the answers naming all six parties in Parliament.

    panel, edition, platform, answers, median_words, all_six_parliamentary

  • Voting guidance changes between editions

    guidance-change-tables.csv

    One row per voting-guidance answer and behaviour, on 16 and 19 October.

    draft_id, platform, measure, earlier_result_id, result_id, earlier, current, changed

  • What changed for each voter

    case-assessments.csv

    One row per voter: what changed in the answer to their main question.

    case, transition, earlier_quote, quote, assessment

  • Statements selected for checking

    check-register.csv

    One row per statement selected for checking, with why it was chosen and its primary source.

    checkId, claimToTest, category, whyChecked, primarySourceUrl, answerId

  • Answers paired with Edition 3

    pairs.csv

    One row per answer, with the 16 October answer to the same question, assistant and location.

    earlierAnswerId, answerId, questionId, assistant, collectionSetting, askedFrom

  • Source capture by answer

    sources.csv

    One row per answer, with whether its sources were captured and the websites recorded.

    answerId, capture, domains, urls, literalUrls, scope

  • Websites by reach

    source-reach-tables.csv

    One row per website, with the answers associated with it.

    domain, answers, denominator

  • Websites by issue

    topic-source-tables.csv

    One row per issue and website, with the answers associated with it.

    issue, domain, answers, denominator

  • Party matches reviewed in context

    party-identity-decisions.csv

    One row per possible party match read in context, with whether it counted and why.

    result_id, party, include, state, reason, reviewer, reviewed_on, review_basis, contexts

  • Parties found in each answer

    codings.csv

    One row per answer, party and comparison, with whether the party counted and the passage that shows it.

    comparisonId, answerId, entityId, kind, measure, counted, quote, reason, evidence

  • Comparisons each answer is in

    memberships.csv

    One row per answer and comparison.

    comparisonId, answerId, rowKey, included

  • Claims Onsomble recorded

    raw-native-claims.csv

    One row per claim, with the parties it is about and its stance on each.

    claimId, claimText, quote, stance, platform, region, promptId, brands, sources, drivers, sourceResultId

  • Answers read in full

    semantic-review-ledger.csv

    One row per answer and question a reviewer read in full, with the decision and the passage.

    result_id, dimension, state, decision, rationale, excerpt, reviewer, reviewed_on

  • Passages quoted in the analysis

    report-evidence.csv

    One row per answer passage the analysis quotes, with its reading.

    key, answerId, interpretation, text

  • Analysis findings

    findings.csv

    One row per finding in the analysis, with its figure and the table it comes from.

    id, value, denominator, statement, summary, caveat, evidence, reportFile

Use these tables to trace findings back to the original questions and answers. The full text of each answer is also on this page, under its question.

03

Read in full and checked

Some answers were read in detail or checked against official sources. Those appear on the study page, beside the findings they support.

ChatGPT · No location

I run a small manufacturing business that exports and employs staff. We are considering new equipment but worry about demand, freight costs and finding skilled workers. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. What plans do parties have for vocational skills, training and the availability of skilled workers?

New Zealand 2026 election: vocational skills and skilled workers

For a small manufacturing exporter, the key question is not simply which party promises more training. It is which policies would help you recruit skilled people, train new workers, retain experienced staff and justify investing in equipment when future demand is uncertain.

New Zealand's general election is scheduled for Saturday, 7 November 2026, with advance voting starting on 26 October. Party policies are still evolving during the campaign, so it is worth distinguishing published proposals from existing government arrangements and campaign announcements. Policies for Party vote - NZ Election 2026The main parties vying to form New Zealand's next government

I would examine the parties across four areas:

  • Vocational training: apprenticeships, polytechnics, industry training and qualifications.
  • Workforce availability: immigration, recognition of overseas skills and incentives to train local workers.
  • Cost to your business: training subsidies, apprentice support and the cost of releasing staff for training.
  • The wider investment environment: whether policies affecting demand, export competitiveness, freight and operating costs would make expansion more viable.

One important distinction: a policy that creates more training places does not necessarily mean more qualified machinists, maintenance technicians, welders or production engineers will be available to your business in the short term.

What the main parties are proposing

National

Approach: expand school-to-work pathways and grow the domestic skills pipeline.

National's 2026 programme includes several initiatives directly relevant to manufacturers:

What this could mean for you: more young people exposed to manufacturing and a longer-term pipeline of potential recruits. The limitation is timing: school-based initiatives take time to produce experienced technicians, and they do not by themselves solve an immediate shortage of qualified workers.

Labour

Approach: subsidise apprenticeships and give trainees more practical support.

Labour has announced an expansion of Apprenticeship Boost:

  • Extend employer payments of $500 a month from one year to two years, from 1 July 2028.
  • Give new apprentices a $1,000 toolbox grant for tools, equipment, uniforms and course materials, from 1 July 2027.
  • Add five trade areas to the scheme's eligibility from July 2027.
  • Pilot structured mentoring for apprentices and employers through Industry Skills Boards and training providers. Labour's Apprenticeship Boost ExpansionLabour's 2026 Election Policies

What this could mean for you: a direct contribution towards the cost of training an apprentice, potentially making it easier to invest in someone who needs several years to become fully productive.

Check the eligibility rules for your particular manufacturing occupation. The announced dates also matter: the proposed extension is not immediate relief for a business hiring this year.

Green Party

Approach: improve apprentice pay and reduce the financial barriers to completing training.

The Greens announced a package on 17 October 2026 that includes:

  • Abolishing the training wage so apprentices are paid at the ordinary applicable wage rather than a lower training rate.
  • A $2,000 apprentice equipment grant for tools, uniforms and materials.
  • An additional $30 million to support Māori and Pasifika apprentices, pastoral care and job matching.
  • $2,000 completion bonuses for employers who support apprentices through to qualification.
  • Restoring Centres of Vocational Excellence to help develop future-focused apprenticeships. Good Jobs For All of UsGreen Party to abolish training wage and provide more support for apprentices

What this could mean for you: assistance with equipment and completion costs, and potentially better apprentice retention. The trade-off to examine is the effect of abolishing the training wage on your wage bill, particularly while an apprentice is still learning and needs supervision.

New Zealand First

Approach: prioritise domestic workers and restrict work visas to demonstrated skills shortages.

New Zealand First announced on 11 October 2026 that it would replace the Accredited Employer Work Visa (AEWV) with a new shortage-led Skilled Work Visa.

Under its proposal, access would depend on the specific occupation, region and demonstrated need. The party says employers should show genuine efforts to recruit locally and that visas should fill shortages that New Zealand workers cannot reasonably fill. NZFirst to Scrap Accredited Working Visa ModelNZ First promises to implement 'shortage-led' skilled work visas

What this could mean for you: if you cannot recruit a suitably skilled local worker, hiring from overseas could become more tightly restricted and require stronger evidence of the shortage. The policy is not necessarily a barrier to recruiting a genuinely scarce specialist, but the proposed rules and administrative requirements would be important.

National, Labour and the Greens have other policies affecting education, employment and the economy. The four summaries above focus on the clearest relevant announcements I could verify, rather than treating every party's full vocational policy as settled.

ACT

Approach: immigration reform and a focus on economic growth and workforce participation.

ACT's published immigration policies emphasise attracting people who contribute to New Zealand, while tightening some residence requirements. Its May 2026 immigration announcement also frames migration as a way to help build infrastructure and meet the country's needs. ACT New ZealandACT New Zealand

For your business, the key question is how ACT would maintain access to experienced overseas specialists when local recruitment fails. I could not verify a specific new 2026 manufacturing-apprenticeship subsidy from the sources reviewed, so I would not assume ACT offers an equivalent to Labour's proposed payments or the Greens' apprentice grants.

How the policies compare for a manufacturing exporter

Issue Relevant policy difference
Recruiting young workers National is expanding school-based trades training and manufacturing pathways.
Cost of training apprentices Labour proposes extended employer subsidies; the Greens propose completion bonuses and equipment grants.
Keeping apprentices in training The Greens focus on apprentice pay and support; Labour proposes structured mentoring.
Hiring overseas specialists New Zealand First proposes a more restrictive, shortage-based visa system. ACT's approach also warrants scrutiny of the detailed visa rules.
Investing in equipment Look beyond training policy to each party's small-business tax, investment and economic policies.

Sources: party policy announcements from National, Labour, the Greens, ACT and New Zealand First. Earn as You Learn programme expandsLabour's Apprenticeship Boost ExpansionGood Jobs For All of UsNZFirst to Scrap Accredited Working Visa ModelACT New Zealand

An important issue beyond the election promises

New Zealand's vocational training system is already changing. From 2026, the former Te Pūkenga work-based learning divisions have been operating temporarily through Industry Skills Boards, with the remaining training arrangements due to transition to polytechnics, private training establishments and wānanga by 1 January 2028. Industry Skills Boards also have a role in identifying workforce needs. Redesign of Vocational Education and Training SystemFrequently asked questions (FAQs) – changes to vocational education

For a manufacturer, it is worth asking each party whether it would provide stable funding and clear accountability through this transition. A subsidy is less useful if the training provider cannot deliver the course or qualification your staff need.

How I would assess the policies against your business risks

  • Demand uncertainty: Would the party's wider economic and export policies give you reason to expect enough orders to justify new equipment and additional staff?
  • Freight costs: What does it propose for export logistics, port and transport infrastructure, and energy costs? These are separate from vocational policy but can determine whether extra production is commercially viable.
  • Skills shortages: Are there funded measures for the exact occupations you need, and how quickly could they produce qualified workers?
  • Training costs: Is the support available to your business, how much does it cover, and when does it begin?
  • Overseas recruitment: Could you still recruit a specialist technician if domestic candidates were unavailable, and what evidence would you need to provide?

One practical caution: treat announced future subsidies as proposals until the eligibility rules, commencement dates and funding arrangements are clear. Equally, more training places are a potential future workforce benefit, not a guarantee that suitable staff will be available when your new equipment arrives.

For a fuller party-by-party comparison, the independent Policy.nz 2026 election guide lets you explore vocational education and apprenticeships, while its employment policy comparison covers related workforce issues. The parties' own policy pages are the best place to verify the final details as the campaign continues.

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Gemini · No location

I run a small manufacturing business that exports and employs staff. We are considering new equipment but worry about demand, freight costs and finding skilled workers. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. What plans do parties have for vocational skills, training and the availability of skilled workers?

Running a small manufacturing business with a focus on exports, staffing, and capital expenditure means that vocational training, workforce availability, and economic stimulus are critical issues for your vote.

Entering the 2026 New Zealand General Election, the major political parties have laid out distinct philosophies and policies addressing vocational skills, training, and the broader business environment (such as capital investment and equipment costs).


Key Party Approaches to Vocational Skills, Training, and Workforce

Different political blocs approach the dual challenges of skills shortages and worker support through contrasting mechanisms:

  • The Green Party:
    • Apprentice Support: The Greens have put a strong focus on trades and workforce readiness, promising to abolish the training minimum wage for apprentices to ensure they receive the full minimum wage.
    • Direct Incentives: Their package includes a $2,000 equipment and tool grant for apprentices over the course of their training, alongside a $2,000 completion bonus for employers who actively support apprentices through to qualification.
    • Targeted Funding: They also propose a $30 million annual funding boost for Māori and Pacific-led training initiatives to build capacity in key sectors like manufacturing, building, and renewable energy.
  • National and Centre-Right Parties:
    • Investment & Capital Focus: While heavily emphasizing economic conditions, business confidence, and streamlining regulations, their approach generally leans towards workplace-led training, industry-aligned standards, and immigration settings that target specific domestic skill gaps.
    • Equipment Support: For your consideration around new machinery and equipment, policies like National's "Investment Boost" (allowing businesses to deduct a percentage of the cost of new assets, machinery, and equipment) tie directly into upgrading manufacturing capacity.
  • Labour and Centre-Left Parties:
    • Industry Training & Workforce Infrastructure: Historically favor centralized polytechnic and vocational training frameworks (such as Te Pūkenga or regional equivalents depending on structural iterations) with an emphasis on structured industry-led qualifications, workforce parity, and transitional support for workers.
    • Cost-of-Living & Retention: Their broader policies often focus on student loan adjustments, apprenticeships support, and strengthening industrial relations settings to retain skilled workers domestically.

Addressing Your Broader Manufacturing Concerns

Beyond direct vocational training, parties are pitching various solutions to the other constraints you mentioned—demand, freight costs, and capital investment:

  1. Equipment and Capital Costs: If you are weighing up new manufacturing machinery, parties have proposed various tax and investment incentives. For instance, National’s Investment Boost scheme allows businesses to deduct 20% of the cost of new assets/machinery to ease the friction of capital expenditure. Other parties have proposed expanded R&D and high-tech tax credits (such as ACT's proposals around R&D tax credit expansions) or small-business company tax cuts (New Zealand First) to free up cash flow for business upgrades.
  2. Freight Costs and Supply Chain Resilience: Business groups like the EMA (Employers and Manufacturers Association) have heavily lobbied 2026 election candidates for regulatory certainty, lower compliance costs, and infrastructure investment to secure domestic freight lines and export supply chains. Parties vary on how they plan to fund and streamline transport networks, roading, and regional freight corridors.
  3. Demand and Economic Environment: With economic growth subdued and inflation impacting margins, debates centre on whether to stimulate domestic demand through tax relief, boost export competitiveness via innovation funding, or focus on public infrastructure spending.

Consideration for Your Vote

When evaluating your party vote, you may want to weigh:

  • Whether you prefer direct workforce interventions (such as the Greens' specific apprentice wage floor, tool grants, and employer completion bonuses).
  • Which party's broader economic, tax, and capital investment framework (like asset depreciation write-offs or small business tax relief) best helps you finance that new equipment while managing export pressures.

Are you leaning more toward policies that directly subsidize or incentivize training programs for your staff, or are you prioritizing broader economic and tax changes to help fund your equipment upgrades?

Ask Gemini

Gemini is AI and can make mistakes.

Captured 19 October 2026 · shown as Gemini gave it, not a verified account

Google AI Mode · No location

I run a small manufacturing business that exports and employs staff. We are considering new equipment but worry about demand, freight costs and finding skilled workers. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. What plans do parties have for vocational skills, training and the availability of skilled workers?

Balancing decisions around capital investment, operational overhead, and workforce constraints is a central challenge for small-to-medium manufacturing exporters in New Zealand. As you weigh your vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election , the major political parties have put forward distinct approaches to vocational education, domestic training support, and bridging skilled labour gaps.

An overview of how the key parties approach vocational skills, training incentives, and workforce availability highlights distinct strategies:

  • National Party

  • Vocational Pathways & Trades: Focuses heavily on restructuring secondary-to-work pathways, citing a drive to replace fragmented elements of NCEA with industry-led subjects.

  • Trades Academies: Pledged to double trades academy places to 20,000 to scale up practical early exposure and training pipelines for young people.

  • School Leaver Expectations: Tied educational policy to workforce readiness by requiring students to remain in school until completing Year 11 unless transitioning directly into a job or trade.

  • Labour Party

  • Apprenticeship Boost: Proposes a $226 million package featuring an expansion of the Apprenticeship Boost scheme (extending employer support to two years at $500/month).

  • Direct Apprentice Grants: Promises a $1,000 toolbox/equipment grant for apprentices alongside structured mentoring pilots delivered via Industry Skills Boards.

  • Targeted Expansion: Expands eligibility into additional trades and sector classifications (such as water/sanitary engineering and road construction).

  • Green Party

  • Enhanced Tool & Equipment Grants: Proposes a $2,000 equipment grant covering tools, safety uniforms, and course materials (double the baseline amount proposed by Labour).

  • Training Wage: Proposes abolishing the statutory training wage to lift minimum remuneration floors for younger workers entering the workforce.

  • New Zealand First

  • Immigration & Skills Shortages: Focuses heavily on the immigration-to-skills pipeline by proposing to scrap the current Accredited Employer Work Visa system.

  • Shortage-Led Visas: Replaces it with a tightly controlled "shortage-led" Skilled Work Visa tied strictly to demonstrated regional and occupational needs rather than general employer recruitment.

To help narrow down which party platform best aligns with your manufacturing operation, would you like to explore:

  • Specific freight and export policy comparisons?
  • How each party's tax or compliance thresholds affect small businesses?

Let me know how you'd like to proceed.

Ask anything

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AI Overviews · No location

I run a small manufacturing business that exports and employs staff. We are considering new equipment but worry about demand, freight costs and finding skilled workers. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. What plans do parties have for vocational skills, training and the availability of skilled workers?

AI Overview

For a manufacturing and exporting business considering capital investments in equipment, the availability of a skilled workforce and the cost of training are critical pillars for building operational confidence. Ahead of the 2026 New Zealand general election , the major political parties have proposed distinct approaches to managing vocational training, apprenticeships, and the supply of skilled labor.

National Party (Incumbent Coalition Led)

The National Party prioritizes direct industry alignment, decentralized regional training models, and building an early pipeline of skilled labor through schools:

  • Industry-Led School Qualifications: Introduced $15 million in funding for Industry Skills Boards to develop at least eight new industry-led secondary school subjects. This allows students to begin high-quality, targeted vocational education earlier.
  • Trades Academies: Committed $69 million via Budget 2026 to double the number of places in Trades Academies from 10,000 to 20,000 by 2030 , facilitating practical, job-ready training.
  • Dismantling Centralized Training: Dissolved the centralized mega-polytechnic Te Pūkenga , shifting governance back to localized, regional models like the Universal College of Learning (UCOL) to ensure training matches localized employer demands.
  • NCEA and Senior Curriculum Reform: Reshaping senior secondary curriculums to feature exams in every subject, introducing specific vocational pathways developed hand-in-hand with industry partners.

Labour Party

The Labour Party focuses its campaign strategy heavily on providing financial buffers for employers to take on trainees, scaling up domestic technical education, and offering financial incentives for apprentices:

  • Apprenticeship Boost Expansion: Promised to expand the Apprenticeship Boost program starting in 2028. The policy extends the employer subsidy to two years (up from the current one-year limit) at $500 per month per eligible apprentice. It also widens eligibility to additional trade sectors.
  • Direct Trainee Incentives: Introduces a $1,000 tool and equipment grant for apprentices to help reduce entry costs into technical careers.
  • Targeted Workplace Training: Commits an annual $21 million (totaling $84 million over four years) to expand Māori-led trades training partnerships.
  • Halting NCEA Turmoil: Plans to freeze upcoming NCEA structural changes and unintroduced school curriculums to review them alongside sector feedback.

Green Party & ACT Party

The smaller coalition partner parties offer sharply contrasting structural reforms:

  • The Green Party: Has pledged to scrap the "training wage" altogether to ensure trainees earn standard minimum wages immediately. They advocate for a $30 million annual investment in Māori and Pacific vocational pathways, alongside working toward fully fees-free tertiary and vocational education.
  • ACT Party: Advocates for introducing a distinct "Training Wage" (set at 60% of the adult minimum wage) for workers under 20 during their first 12 months on the job to make it financially easier for small businesses to take a chance on completely green workers.

New Zealand First

For businesses reliant on supplementing local labor gaps with overseas talent, NZ First focuses heavily on tightening immigration pathways:

  • Shortage-Led Skilled Visas: Promises to completely scrap the current Accredited Employer Work Visa system. They plan to replace it with a highly targeted Skilled Work Visa directly tied to verifiable local skill shortages and specific regions. This removes general recruitment channels for standard roles and implements a stricter domestic wage floor for foreign labor.

If you would like to look deeper into how these policies intersect with your equipment investment plans, let me know:

  • What specific technical skills or qualifications do you find hardest to recruit for?
  • Do your current workforce needs depend more on young apprentices or experienced migrant workers?

I can provide a more tailored comparison of how the proposed policies map to those issues.

Ask anything

Captured 19 October 2026 · shown as AI Overviews gave it, not a verified account