Evidence · NZ Election 2026 · Edition 5

Every question and original answer

All 174 questions and the 786 complete answers recorded on 23 October 2026. Source lists and sentiment assessments are included, alongside the unchanged original answers.

questions
174
answers saved
786
collected
23 October 2026

01

Every question, with its answers

Each question was written as a voter would ask it and went to all four assistants. Some were also asked from a town. Open a question to read every answer to it in full.

Showing 20 of 174 questions

02

The tables behind the study

Every figure on the study page comes from these tables. They are CSV files, which open in any spreadsheet.

  • Questions

    questions.csv

    One row per question, with its original wording.

    id, text, reference, enabled, axes, collectionSettings

  • Complete answers

    answers.csv

    One row per saved answer, including its original text.

    id, questionId, assistant, collectionSetting, askedFrom, text, words

  • Answers included in each comparison

    memberships.csv

    One row per answer and comparison, showing which results were counted together.

    comparisonId, answerId, rowKey, included

  • Party names found in answers

    codings.csv

    One row per answer, party and comparison, with the recorded decision and evidence.

    comparisonId, answerId, entityId, kind, measure, counted, quote, reason, evidence

  • Sources recorded with each answer

    sources.csv

    One row per answer, with its recorded websites, source-list status and visible links.

    answerId, capture, domains, urls, literalUrls, origin

  • What the voting-guidance answers did

    behaviour-coding.csv

    One row per guidance answer, with the recorded behaviours and supporting passages.

    answerId, draft_id, platform, explicit_choice_boundary, conditional_party_or_bloc_alignment, prioritised_shortlist, elicits_additional_user_information, unconditional_single_party_vote_instruction, rationale, evidence, review_provenance

  • Checks against official sources

    checks.csv

    One row per selected statement checked in an answer.

    checkId, claimToTest, category, answerId, questionId, assistant, assertionPresent, assertion, verdict, evidence, whatTheSourceSays, assessment, checkedOn, paragraphs

  • Statements selected for checking

    check-register.csv

    One row per selected check, with its reason and official source.

    checkId, claimToTest, category, whyChecked, primarySourceUrl, answerId

  • Research findings

    findings.csv

    One row per finding, with its figure and supporting records.

    id, statement, summary, caveat, value, denominator, evidence

  • Evidence behind the findings

    findings-evidence.csv

    One row per finding, with the records supporting it.

    findingId, rows

  • What changed for each voter

    case-decisions.csv

    One row per voter situation, with the earlier and later readings.

    case, transition, quote, assessment, draft_id, scenario, earlier_result_id, result_id, earlier_quote, earlier_assessment, earlier_review_provenance, current_review_provenance

  • Answers read in detail

    report-evidence.csv

    One row per answer included in the detailed research readings.

    key, answerId, interpretation, text

  • Party counts by edition

    party-count-tables.csv

    One row per comparison, edition, assistant and party, with its answer count and total.

    panel, edition, platform, party, numerator, denominator

  • Answer length by assistant

    platform-tables.csv

    One row per comparison, edition and assistant, with the recorded answer lengths.

    panel, edition, platform, answers, median_words, total_words

  • Location comparisons by edition

    regional-tables.csv

    One row per national-and-location comparison and edition.

    edition, prompt_id, platform, city, draft_id, block, scenario_id, scenario, issue, priority, common_4_5, complete, national_result_id, city_result_id, same_text, same_party_set, same_displayed_party_set

  • Changes by topic

    issue-tables.csv

    One row per topic, showing answer totals and changes in party names.

    issue, current_answers, matched, changed_party_sets, changed_displayed_party_sets

  • Links visible in answers

    literal-source-evidence.csv

    One row per answer, with the web links present in its text.

    edition, result_id, literal_urls, literal_domains, associated_capture

  • Separate website reference totals

    aggregate-references.csv

    One row per website in the separate reference summary; these totals do not identify which answer used it.

    domain, citationCount, referenceCount, promptCount, urlTotal, trendTotal, platforms

  • Answers compared with 19 October

    pairs.csv

    One row per answer with an earlier counterpart to the same question, assistant and location.

    earlierAnswerId, answerId, questionId, assistant, collectionSetting, askedFrom

  • Statements and sentiment assessments

    claims.csv

    The saved assessments of statements about tracked parties, with their answer references and verified extracts where available.

    claimId, answerId, entityId, role, tone, quote, origin, nativeQuoteVerified

  • Original saved statement assessments

    raw-native-claims.csv

    One row per saved statement, with its original wording and party assessments. These are automated results, not independently checked facts.

    quote, brands, stance, claimId, claimText, sourceResultId

  • Original saved source records

    raw-native-sources.csv

    Every saved source record, distinguishing citations from other references. The source rankings count citations only.

    answerId, url, domain, metadata, domainType, citationKind

  • Sources by answer

    source-associations.csv

    One row per answer and website; repeated references to the same website count once.

    answer id, question id, assistant, domain, publisher

  • National and location answers

    place-pairs.csv

    One row per complete national-and-location pair in this edition.

    question id, assistant, place, national answer id, place answer id, national entities, place entities, same entities

Use these tables to trace findings back to the original questions and answers. The full text of each answer is also on this page, under its question.

03

Read in full and checked

Some answers were read in detail or checked against official sources. Those appear on the study page, beside the findings they support.

ChatGPT · No location

We own a home with a mortgage, have school-age children and rely on two wages. After mortgage payments, rates, power and groceries, there is little buffer. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. What would national party policies change about local rates and water costs, and what remains a council decision?

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For a household like yours — with a mortgage, school-age children and two incomes already committed to essentials — the key question for the 2026 New Zealand general election is whether national policies would reduce the bills you actually pay, or simply change how councils fund and deliver services.

Rates and water charges are closely related, but they are not the same thing. Central government can change the rules councils operate under, while councils still make many decisions about local spending, infrastructure and the charges applied to properties.

The important distinction is between a lower bill, a slower increase in a bill, and a cost that moves from rates to a separate water charge or another form of taxation.

1. What the National Party's rates policy would change

The National Party's published policy is to introduce a system limiting council rates increases to an initial annual target range of 2% to 4%, with an independent regulator overseeing compliance. The Government introduced the Rates Capping Amendment Bill in 2026, but the bill's current status matters: it has passed its first reading, and is not yet an enacted nationwide cap. Keeping rates affordableHave your say on the Local Government (Rates Capping) Amendment Bill

From 1 July 2027

Councils would need to take the proposed target range into account when preparing their long-term plans and rates decisions.

From 1 July 2029

The proposed cap would become binding, subject to exemptions. The initial 2%–4% range is designed to constrain the council's average rates increases, not necessarily your individual bill.

Exemptions would remain possible

Councils could seek exemptions in exceptional circumstances, including disasters, or where a justified departure from the target range meets the proposed financial-management requirements.

Sources: National Party policy and the Government's proposed legislation. Keeping rates affordableProposed rates cap: Technical questions and answers for Local Authorities - Our work - Ministry for Cities, Environment, Regions and Transport

What that means for your household

The policy is intended to make ordinary council rates increases more predictable. However, there are three important qualifications:

For a household already stretched by the mortgage and everyday expenses, that last point is particularly important.

2. What national water policy changes — and what it doesn't

The current framework is called Local Water Done Well. It was established through legislation passed in 2025. It changes how councils can organise, finance and deliver drinking water, wastewater and stormwater services. Local Water Done Well - Our work - Ministry for Cities, Environment, Regions and TransportLocal Water Done Well - Our work - Ministry for Cities, Environment, Regions and Transport

Water supply ownership and responsibility : Christchurch City Council

What central government changes

  • Sets the legal framework for water-service delivery and financing.
  • Requires councils to plan how water services will be delivered and funded.
  • Provides for drinking-water quality oversight and economic regulation, including a role for the Commerce Commission.

Mangere Wastewater Treatment Plant — Science Learning Hub

What can change on your bill

  • Water charges may be collected separately from general council rates.
  • Councils may shift services to a dedicated water organisation, potentially with different financing arrangements.
  • The cost of replacing ageing pipes, improving treatment and meeting regulatory requirements still has to be funded.

The distinction is that moving water costs off the rates bill does not automatically make them cheaper. Your rates bill might increase more slowly while a separate water bill increases. To assess the actual effect, add the two together and compare the total with the previous year. Local Water Done Well - Our work - Ministry for Cities, Environment, Regions and TransportWater services delivery plans - Our work - Ministry for Cities, Environment, Regions and TransportEXPOSED: 2026 Rates Dashboard reveals water reform 9.0% rates sting

Water reform may improve financing and infrastructure planning over time, but the framework itself does not guarantee an immediate reduction in the amount your household pays.

3. What remains a council decision?

Even under the proposed national rates cap and the current water framework, councils and their water organisations retain important responsibilities.

Decision Who largely controls it?
Local spending priorities, such as parks, libraries and roads Council, within national law
How rates are allocated across property types Council
Water-service delivery model and local implementation Council or water organisation, within statutory requirements
Local water pricing and charging structure Water organisation or council, subject to applicable laws and regulation
Water-quality standards and economic oversight National regulators and legislation
Whether the proposed rates cap becomes law and its final settings Parliament and central government

The rates cap would constrain council-wide non-water rates revenue increases, but councils would still decide how those rates are distributed across properties. Water pricing would operate under its separate regulatory framework. Proposed rates cap: Technical questions and answers for Local Authorities - Our work - Ministry for Cities, Environment, Regions and TransportLocal Water Done Well - Our work - Ministry for Cities, Environment, Regions and Transport

This means your local council's decisions will still matter considerably, even if the national government changes the rules.

4. How to compare parties when you vote

For the 2026 election, it is useful to distinguish a party's specific rates and water commitments from its broader cost-of-living promises.

These are documented policy differences, not a ranking of which party would leave your household better off. For any party, check whether a proposal is a firm commitment, an enacted law or a policy still requiring legislation.

You can compare the published commitments through Policy.nz's 2026 election guide and the parties' official policy pages.

5. A practical way to test what a policy means for your budget

Consider this hypothetical example, using round figures rather than a forecast for any particular council.

Illustrative annual household costs

Current rates bill

Before a separate water charge

$4,000

Rates bill after a 4% increase

An illustrative increase, not a guaranteed cap on your bill

$4,160

Separate annual water charge

Hypothetical additional charge

$1,200

Combined annual total

Compared with $4,000 previously

$5,360

In this example, the combined cost rises by $1,360 a year, or about $26 a week, even though the rates bill itself rises by only $160.

The lesson is to assess the total annual cost of rates plus drinking water, wastewater and stormwater, not just the percentage increase advertised for the rates bill. Actual charges depend on your council's arrangements, what was previously included in rates, and how the water service is funded.

The key question to take into the voting booth

For a household with little left over after essential bills, the most useful question is:

Which policies would constrain the total amount my household must pay for local services, and which would only change how those costs are collected?

A rates cap addresses one part of that question. Water regulation, infrastructure financing and your council's own spending and pricing decisions address other parts. None of those measures alone guarantees a lower combined bill.

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Gemini · No location

We own a home with a mortgage, have school-age children and rely on two wages. After mortgage payments, rates, power and groceries, there is little buffer. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. What would national party policies change about local rates and water costs, and what remains a council decision?

For a household with school-age children and a tight buffer after covering essential living costs like your mortgage, power, and groceries, local rates and water costs are significant factors in your weekly and annual budget.

The National Party's policies intersect with local authority charges in specific ways, drawing a clear line between central government intervention and local council decision-making.


What National Party Policies Change

  • Local Rates Capping: National has introduced a policy to curb double-digit council rates increases by establishing an annual rates increase target range of 2% to 4% (per capita).
    • Councils will begin factoring this target range into their Long-Term Plans, with the caps taking full legal effect from 1 July 2029 (backed by an independent regulator to monitor compliance and handle exemption applications).
    • Note: Water services are explicitly excluded from this rates-capping system and continue to be regulated and funded separately.
  • Water Infrastructure and Repeal of "Three Waters": The National-led government repealed the previous government's mandated "Three Waters" entity model. In its place, National's approach allows councils flexibility—such as voluntarily forming their own joint water service groupings or council-controlled organizations (like Watercare)—while focusing on central regulatory standards through Taumata Arowai to handle drinking water, wastewater, and stormwater safety.

What Remains a Council Decision

Even with central government policies like rates caps and water standard regulations, local councils retain autonomy over several core decisions:

  • Core Council Budgets and Spending Priorities: Councils still decide how to allocate funds across local community services, libraries, parks, pools, and local roading maintenance. While a 2% to 4% cap targets overall rate rises, local councils choose how to balance their books within that framework or apply for specific exemptions if essential cost pressures arise.
  • How Rates Are Distributed: Councils decide the rating structure for their district—such as the mix between general rates (charged relative to property values) and targeted rates (for specific local services like wastewater connection or rubbish collection).
  • Water Delivery Models and Local Pricing: How your drinking water, wastewater, and stormwater are operationally managed and funded remains a local or regional choice. Whether a council chooses to run water services in-house, partner with neighboring districts, or operate via a council-controlled organization directly impacts how water infrastructure costs, connection fees, and water meters (if applicable) show up in your household expenses.

Considering your tight financial buffer, how do you feel about balancing council-led investments in local infrastructure against the proposed national caps on rates increases?

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Google AI Mode · No location

We own a home with a mortgage, have school-age children and rely on two wages. After mortgage payments, rates, power and groceries, there is little buffer. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. What would national party policies change about local rates and water costs, and what remains a council decision?

For a household running on two wages with tight margins, understanding how central government policy intersects with local authority decisions is crucial.

Under the National-led government's policy framework (including recent announcements regarding local government and the "Local Water Done Well" agenda), the division between central government rules and local council decisions shapes your rates and water bills in specific ways.


What National’s Policies Change (Central Government Rules)

  • Annual Rates Capping: The government announced a policy to cap annual local authority rates increases within a target range of 2% to 4%. While long-term plans adjust toward this, full enforcement mechanisms and targets are structured to put a brake on excessive increases.

  • Exemptions to the Cap: Time-bound exemptions exist for exceptional circumstances (such as major natural disaster recovery going beyond normal planning) and prudent financial management exemptions (where a council proves a justified operational need above the range). [National Party]

  • Water Services Excluded from Rates Caps: Crucially for household budgeting, water services are explicitly excluded from the rates-capping system and continue to be funded, charged, and regulated separately. [National Party]

  • Local Water Done Well Framework: Labour’s centralized "Three Waters" model was repealed and replaced with Local Water Done Well. Under this framework, councils either retain direct delivery or combine into dedicated council-controlled water organizations (CCOs) or joint-arrangements. Central government sets strict quality standards and regulatory oversight, requiring these entities to be financially self-sustaining and ring-fenced for infrastructure investment (fixing pipes and upgrading wastewater/stormwater).


What Remains a Council Decision

  • Service Levels and Local Priorities: Individual local councils retain the ultimate responsibility for deciding the scope of community services, local amenities (libraries, parks, community halls), and operational spending outside of the mandated central caps.

  • Consultation and Spending Trade-offs: Councils are still required to consult their local communities on annual and long-term plans. If a council wants to operate outside the standard rate parameters, it must justify its financial management through the formal exemption process.

  • Water Pricing and Delivery Structure: How water, wastewater, and stormwater costs are billed to your household (whether through targeted rates, volumetric water meters, or mixed charges) remains managed at the local level through your council or its localized council-controlled water organization (CCO), subject to the requirement that water operations fully fund their own massive infrastructure backlogs.

You can read the full details of the announcement on the National Party Newsroom or background on the framework via Wikipedia's Local Water Done Well summary.

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AI Overviews · No location

We own a home with a mortgage, have school-age children and rely on two wages. After mortgage payments, rates, power and groceries, there is little buffer. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. What would national party policies change about local rates and water costs, and what remains a council decision?

AI Overview

When navigating tight household budgets with a mortgage and children, shifts in local council charges can have an immediate impact. The National Party has introduced significant legislative changes directly affecting how local rates are controlled and how water infrastructure is funded across New Zealand.

The division between Central Government policy and Local Council decisions shapes your future bills in several distinct ways.


What National Party Policies Change

The National-led coalition government has reshaped the local government financial landscape using two primary legislative pillars:

1. The 4% Council Rates Cap

  • The Rule: Under the Local Government (Rates Capping) Amendment Bill, the Government has capped annual council rates increases at a maximum of 4%. Councils are legally required to keep non-water rates increases within a target range of 2% to 4%.

  • The Goal: This policy aims to rein in recent historic spikes (where some councils averaged 9% to 14% jumps) and force local authorities to focus funding purely on "back to basics" core services like roading, rubbish collection, and local amenities.

  • The Timeline: While the law has been advanced before the 2026 election, the strict regulatory cap will formally dictate rates bills starting 1 July 2029 , giving councils a transitional period to adjust their long-term budgets.

2. "Local Water Done Well"

  • Separation of Water from Rates: National completely repealed the previous Labour government's "Three Waters" program. Instead, their Local Water Done Well framework keeps water assets under local council ownership but shifts them into financially separate, ring-fenced organizations known as Council-Controlled Organisations (CCOs).

  • Alternative Borrowing: To prevent councils from hiking your everyday property rates to fix aging pipes, these new water CCOs are permitted to borrow significantly more money independently through the Local Government Funding Agency. This debt is intended to be paid off over decades rather than hitting today's ratepayers all at once.

  • Price Regulation: Because water services are being removed from standard property rates, they are not covered by the 4% rates cap. Instead, water pricing will be monitored by the Commerce Commission under a new economic regulation and consumer protection regime.


What Remains a Council Decision

While National's policies set the legal boundaries, your specific local council still retains immense power over what you actually pay out of pocket:

  • Setting the exact rate within the cap: A council can still choose to push their increases right up to the 4% legal maximum if they believe local infrastructure needs it.

  • Water pricing structures: Because councils still own the water assets through their CCOs, local regional entities decide how you are billed for water. They determine whether you pay a flat annual fee or a volumetric charge (paying per liter via water meters).

  • Applying for Cap Exceptions: Councils can appeal to a central regulator to breach the 4% rates cap under strict circumstances—such as responding to severe natural disasters or addressing extreme history of infrastructure underinvestment.

  • Service cuts vs. funding distribution: If a council feels constrained by the 4% cap, it is entirely up to them to decide which localized budgets get trimmed (e.g., libraries, community events, or project timelines) to keep their balanced books.


To help look at how this might affect your household budget, which region or district do you live in, and does your property currently have a water meter , or is water bundled into your general rates bill? Knowing this will help outline what your specific council is planning.

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