Evidence · NZ Election 2026 · Edition 5

Every question and original answer

All 174 questions and the 786 complete answers recorded on 23 October 2026. Source lists and sentiment assessments are included, alongside the unchanged original answers.

questions
174
answers saved
786
collected
23 October 2026

01

Every question, with its answers

Each question was written as a voter would ask it and went to all four assistants. Some were also asked from a town. Open a question to read every answer to it in full.

Showing 20 of 174 questions

02

The tables behind the study

Every figure on the study page comes from these tables. They are CSV files, which open in any spreadsheet.

  • Questions

    questions.csv

    One row per question, with its original wording.

    id, text, reference, enabled, axes, collectionSettings

  • Complete answers

    answers.csv

    One row per saved answer, including its original text.

    id, questionId, assistant, collectionSetting, askedFrom, text, words

  • Answers included in each comparison

    memberships.csv

    One row per answer and comparison, showing which results were counted together.

    comparisonId, answerId, rowKey, included

  • Party names found in answers

    codings.csv

    One row per answer, party and comparison, with the recorded decision and evidence.

    comparisonId, answerId, entityId, kind, measure, counted, quote, reason, evidence

  • Sources recorded with each answer

    sources.csv

    One row per answer, with its recorded websites, source-list status and visible links.

    answerId, capture, domains, urls, literalUrls, origin

  • What the voting-guidance answers did

    behaviour-coding.csv

    One row per guidance answer, with the recorded behaviours and supporting passages.

    answerId, draft_id, platform, explicit_choice_boundary, conditional_party_or_bloc_alignment, prioritised_shortlist, elicits_additional_user_information, unconditional_single_party_vote_instruction, rationale, evidence, review_provenance

  • Checks against official sources

    checks.csv

    One row per selected statement checked in an answer.

    checkId, claimToTest, category, answerId, questionId, assistant, assertionPresent, assertion, verdict, evidence, whatTheSourceSays, assessment, checkedOn, paragraphs

  • Statements selected for checking

    check-register.csv

    One row per selected check, with its reason and official source.

    checkId, claimToTest, category, whyChecked, primarySourceUrl, answerId

  • Research findings

    findings.csv

    One row per finding, with its figure and supporting records.

    id, statement, summary, caveat, value, denominator, evidence

  • Evidence behind the findings

    findings-evidence.csv

    One row per finding, with the records supporting it.

    findingId, rows

  • What changed for each voter

    case-decisions.csv

    One row per voter situation, with the earlier and later readings.

    case, transition, quote, assessment, draft_id, scenario, earlier_result_id, result_id, earlier_quote, earlier_assessment, earlier_review_provenance, current_review_provenance

  • Answers read in detail

    report-evidence.csv

    One row per answer included in the detailed research readings.

    key, answerId, interpretation, text

  • Party counts by edition

    party-count-tables.csv

    One row per comparison, edition, assistant and party, with its answer count and total.

    panel, edition, platform, party, numerator, denominator

  • Answer length by assistant

    platform-tables.csv

    One row per comparison, edition and assistant, with the recorded answer lengths.

    panel, edition, platform, answers, median_words, total_words

  • Location comparisons by edition

    regional-tables.csv

    One row per national-and-location comparison and edition.

    edition, prompt_id, platform, city, draft_id, block, scenario_id, scenario, issue, priority, common_4_5, complete, national_result_id, city_result_id, same_text, same_party_set, same_displayed_party_set

  • Changes by topic

    issue-tables.csv

    One row per topic, showing answer totals and changes in party names.

    issue, current_answers, matched, changed_party_sets, changed_displayed_party_sets

  • Links visible in answers

    literal-source-evidence.csv

    One row per answer, with the web links present in its text.

    edition, result_id, literal_urls, literal_domains, associated_capture

  • Separate website reference totals

    aggregate-references.csv

    One row per website in the separate reference summary; these totals do not identify which answer used it.

    domain, citationCount, referenceCount, promptCount, urlTotal, trendTotal, platforms

  • Answers compared with 19 October

    pairs.csv

    One row per answer with an earlier counterpart to the same question, assistant and location.

    earlierAnswerId, answerId, questionId, assistant, collectionSetting, askedFrom

  • Statements and sentiment assessments

    claims.csv

    The saved assessments of statements about tracked parties, with their answer references and verified extracts where available.

    claimId, answerId, entityId, role, tone, quote, origin, nativeQuoteVerified

  • Original saved statement assessments

    raw-native-claims.csv

    One row per saved statement, with its original wording and party assessments. These are automated results, not independently checked facts.

    quote, brands, stance, claimId, claimText, sourceResultId

  • Original saved source records

    raw-native-sources.csv

    Every saved source record, distinguishing citations from other references. The source rankings count citations only.

    answerId, url, domain, metadata, domainType, citationKind

  • Sources by answer

    source-associations.csv

    One row per answer and website; repeated references to the same website count once.

    answer id, question id, assistant, domain, publisher

  • National and location answers

    place-pairs.csv

    One row per complete national-and-location pair in this edition.

    question id, assistant, place, national answer id, place answer id, national entities, place entities, same entities

Use these tables to trace findings back to the original questions and answers. The full text of each answer is also on this page, under its question.

03

Read in full and checked

Some answers were read in detail or checked against official sources. Those appear on the study page, beside the findings they support.

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For the 2026 New Zealand general election: Who would pay more or less under the parties' tax plans, and how would those plans fund public services?

New Zealand election 2026: Who pays more or less in tax?

Election date: 7 November 2026 · Policy snapshot: October 2026

The central divide in this election is whether New Zealand should keep its existing tax structure and focus on spending restraint, or shift more of the tax burden towards wealth, property, high incomes and large businesses to fund public services and other support. Summary of 2026 election tax policiesTax Tips: 2026 General ElectionElection Tax Policies, part four

The main proposals differ substantially. National and ACT favour keeping new taxes to a minimum, while Labour, the Greens, Te Pāti Māori and the Opportunity Party propose more extensive changes. New Zealand First sits between these approaches, combining targeted tax relief with some business tax cuts. Summary of 2026 election tax policiesTax Tips: 2026 General ElectionElection 2026: Will parties’ tax policies support public health and equity?

These are proposed policies, not enacted changes. Some details may change during the campaign or coalition negotiations.

At a glance: the parties' approaches

Party Who could pay less? Who could pay more? How public services would be funded
National No new broad tax increases; possible future relief for workers No major new tax group proposed Spending restraint, economic growth, lower debt and existing revenue
Labour Some small businesses; potentially people making smaller capital gains outside the proposed tax's scope Owners of taxable investment property when they realise gains A capital gains tax dedicated to primary healthcare; other spending within its fiscal plan
Greens Most income earners under their proposed new income-tax scale Very wealthy households, large companies and major banks Wealth, inheritance, business and other targeted taxes
ACT Taxpayers and businesses benefiting from its preferred low-tax settings and targeted reforms No broad new wealth-tax programme proposed Spending restraint, investment and growth, and targeted funding changes
New Zealand First Lower-income earners; eligible small businesses No general wealth-tax increase proposed Existing revenue, tax compliance and targeted reforms
Te Pāti Māori People on low and middle incomes, including through a tax-free threshold and targeted food support High-income and wealthy households, land bankers and some businesses Wealth and property-related taxes, higher company tax and stronger tax enforcement
Opportunity Eligible adults receiving a universal Citizen's Income; some lower-income earners depending on their circumstances Landowners, with effects depending on land value and existing income Land value tax funding a redesigned tax-and-income-support system

This is a directional summary, not a ranking of household outcomes. The net effect depends on income, assets, family circumstances, business ownership and the final policy details. Sources: Tax Tips: 2026 General ElectionElection 2026: Will parties’ tax policies support public health and equity?Summary of 2026 election tax policies2026 Election Policy

1. What each party is proposing

Will National Party Finish 2nd in New Zealand's 2026 Election?

National

Keep taxes low; prioritise fiscal restraint

National pledges no new taxes and has not announced a comprehensive new income-tax-cut package. Its October fiscal plan prioritises reducing government debt and returning to surplus in 2028/29, with the possibility of future tax relief rather than an immediate new cut. National’s plan to secure New Zealand’s future2026 Election Policy

  • Who pays less? Taxpayers are not targeted for new broad-based tax increases.
  • Who pays more? No new general tax on wealth or capital gains is proposed.
  • Public services: The approach is to fund services from existing revenue, control spending, support economic growth and reduce debt. The key question is how much service expansion is affordable under those constraints.

South Island Election Conference 2026

Labour

Targeted capital-gains taxation and small-business relief

Labour proposes a 28% capital gains tax on residential investment and commercial property, with the revenue ring-fenced for health. The family home, farms, KiwiSaver, shares, business assets, inheritances and personal items are among the stated exemptions in its tax plan. Tax Tips: 2026 General ElectionElection 2026: Will parties’ tax policies support public health and equity?

  • Who pays less? Eligible small businesses would benefit from a higher immediate asset write-off threshold of $10,000 and a higher compulsory GST registration threshold of $80,000 in annual turnover.
  • Who pays more? Owners of covered investment properties when they realise taxable gains.
  • Public services: The capital gains tax is specifically intended to support primary healthcare. Labour would fund its small-business package by removing the current Investment Boost in its existing form. Tax Tips: 2026 General ElectionElection 2026: Will parties’ tax policies support public health and equity?

Green Party NZ (@NZGreens) on X

Green Party

Lower taxes on many incomes; higher taxes on wealth

The Greens propose a $10,000 tax-free income threshold, revised income-tax rates and a 45% marginal rate on income above $160,000. They also propose a 2.5% annual net wealth tax on wealth above $10 million, an inheritance and gift tax on amounts over $1 million, a higher company tax rate for the largest businesses and a levy on major banks. Tax Tips: 2026 General ElectionElection 2026: Will parties’ tax policies support public health and equity?

  • Who pays less? Most personal income taxpayers would pay less income tax under the proposed scale.
  • Who pays more? The very wealthy, recipients of large gifts or inheritances under the proposed rules, major banks and large corporations.
  • Public services: Revenue from these taxes would support greater public investment and redistribution, alongside the party's wider health, social and environmental programme. It also proposes reversing recent landlord tax changes.

New Zealand Legislative Election Winner 2026 Odds | Polymarket

ACT

Low-tax settings and targeted reforms

ACT opposes a general wealth tax and capital gains tax, favouring tax settings intended to support investment and savings. Its announced measures include targeted changes to digital-asset taxation and tax-credit rules. Election 2026: Will parties’ tax policies support public health and equity?Tax Tips: 2026 General ElectionSummary of 2026 election tax policies

  • Who pays less? People and businesses benefiting from ACT's targeted measures and low-tax approach.
  • Who pays more? No broad new wealth-tax group is proposed.
  • Public services: Its general approach relies on spending restraint, private-sector growth and targeted changes rather than new taxes on accumulated wealth.

New Zealand legislative election winner? Predictions & Od... 2026 | Polymarket

New Zealand First

Relief for lower incomes and smaller companies

New Zealand First proposes making the first $14,000 of income tax-free by April 2027 and cutting company tax to 20% for eligible businesses with turnover below $30 million, from the current 28%. It also proposes removing GST from local council rates. Election 2026: Will parties’ tax policies support public health and equity?Tax Tips: 2026 General Election

  • Who pays less? Lower-income earners, qualifying smaller companies and households paying council rates.
  • Who pays more? It does not propose a general wealth tax or capital gains tax; the overall effect depends on how its relief measures are funded.
  • Public services: The party points to better tax compliance and enforcement against evasion, alongside its broader fiscal approach. The revenue and spending implications of the full package need to be assessed together.

Te Pāti Māori - Party for Party vote - NZ Election 2023 - Policy.nz

Te Pāti Māori

A larger tax-free threshold and stronger taxation of wealth

Te Pāti Māori proposes no income tax on the first $30,000, higher rates for high earners, a net wealth tax, taxes on land banking and vacant houses, stamp duty and a 33% company tax rate. Tax Tips: 2026 General ElectionElection 2026: Will parties’ tax policies support public health and equity?

  • Who pays less? People on low and middle incomes who benefit from the tax-free threshold, as well as eligible households receiving targeted food support.
  • Who pays more? High-income earners, wealthy asset owners, land bankers and companies facing the higher company rate.
  • Public services: The package seeks to raise more revenue from wealth and property, improve tax enforcement and support greater investment in health and other essential services.

Opportunity (formerly TOP)

Land-value taxation and a universal income payment

Opportunity proposes a tax-free Citizen's Income of $19,400 a year for eligible New Zealand residents aged 18 and over, alongside a land value tax and revised income-tax rates: 28% up to $50,000, 34% from $50,001 to $200,000 and 39% above $200,000. Tax Tips: 2026 General ElectionElection 2026: Will parties’ tax policies support public health and equity?

  • Who pays less? Eligible adults receiving the Citizen's Income; the net result for workers depends on their income and land-tax exposure.
  • Who pays more? Landowners, depending on land value and the final tax design.
  • Public services: The land tax would help finance the Citizen's Income and a wider redesign of the tax-and-benefit system. The package's final fiscal balance depends on the full costing of payments and tax revenue.

2. What would the income-tax changes mean in dollars?

The biggest difference is between parties offering a tax-free threshold and those retaining the existing personal income-tax structure.

The figures below illustrate the proposed marginal income-tax rates. They are not estimates of total household tax, and exclude GST, benefits, ACC levies, wealth taxes and other changes.

Party Key personal income-tax proposal
Greens First $10,000 tax-free; 45% marginal rate above $160,000
Te Pāti Māori First $30,000 tax-free; rates rise to 48% above $300,000
New Zealand First First $14,000 tax-free, proposed from April 2027
Opportunity 28% up to $50,000; 34% to $200,000; 39% above that, plus Citizen's Income
Labour, National and ACT No equivalent new general income-tax scale announced in the cited policy summaries

Sources: Tax Tips: 2026 General ElectionElection 2026: Will parties’ tax policies support public health and equity?

A tax-free threshold does not mean someone earning below it pays no tax on everything they consume: GST and other taxes can still apply. And the largest income-tax cut does not necessarily translate into the largest overall financial benefit, particularly if someone owns substantial land or investment property.

3. How would the parties pay for public services?

The funding question matters as much as the tax rates. There are three broad approaches.

Existing revenue, spending restraint and growth

National and ACT broadly favour keeping new taxes limited, with fiscal discipline and economic growth intended to sustain public services. This approach depends on controlling expenditure and on growth generating enough revenue to meet future needs. Lower tax rates do not, by themselves, guarantee higher or better-funded services. National’s plan to secure New Zealand’s futureTax Tips: 2026 General Election

New taxes earmarked for particular services

Labour's proposed property capital gains tax is the clearest example: the revenue would be ring-fenced for primary healthcare. Its small-business tax relief would be funded by replacing Investment Boost rather than simply adding another tax cut. Tax Tips: 2026 General ElectionTax Tips: 2026 General Election

Broader tax reform to fund services and household support

The Greens, Te Pāti Māori and Opportunity would shift more of the tax base towards wealth, land, inheritances or higher incomes. Their plans link tax reform with public investment, poverty reduction or income support. New Zealand First instead focuses more on targeted income-tax relief and small-business tax changes, with stronger enforcement also part of its revenue approach. Election 2026: Will parties’ tax policies support public health and equity?Tax Tips: 2026 General Election

4. What remains uncertain?

Three questions are particularly important when comparing the plans.

  • Will the revenue cover the promises? A new tax may raise less than forecast if asset values change, taxpayers alter their behaviour or enforcement proves difficult. The Opportunity Party's Citizen's Income, in particular, involves substantial spending whose net fiscal impact needs to be assessed against the full package.
  • Who ultimately bears the cost? A tax on a company or landlord may affect shareholders, investment, rents or prices as well as the person legally liable for the tax. The extent depends on market conditions and policy design.
  • What happens to services in practice? Announced tax revenue is not the same as a funded service commitment. Costings, implementation dates, administrative costs and coalition agreements all matter. KPMG notes that several proposals may change during coalition negotiations. Summary of 2026 election tax policiesTax Tips: 2026 General ElectionElection 2026: Will parties’ tax policies support public health and equity?

Bottom line

  • If your main concern is keeping new taxes off income, wealth and investment, National and ACT's approach is most directly aligned with that objective.
  • If your priority is targeted healthcare funding through taxing investment-property and commercial-property gains, Labour's proposal is the clearest match.
  • If you want lower income tax for many earners alongside higher taxes on substantial wealth and large businesses, the Greens offer a more comprehensive restructuring.
  • If you prioritise a larger tax-free income threshold, Te Pāti Māori and New Zealand First both propose one, but at different levels and with different accompanying policies.
  • If you prioritise a universal income payment funded partly through land taxation, Opportunity proposes the most substantial redesign of the tax-and-transfer system.

These are descriptions of policy fit, not an overall ranking: the practical outcome depends on your circumstances and on whether each party can implement and fund its commitments.

Sources to compare the policies directly

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For the 2026 New Zealand general election: Who would pay more or less under the parties' tax plans, and how would those plans fund public services?

For the 2026 New Zealand general election, political parties have put forward distinct visions for the tax system. Broadly speaking, the major dividing line is between parties favoring structural wealth, land, or capital gains taxes to fund expanded public services and lower burdens for low-to-middle earners, versus parties campaigning on fiscal restraint, no new taxes, or lower flat structures to encourage economic growth.


1. Who Pays More vs. Who Pays Less?

New Zealand Labour Party

  • Pays More: Residential property investors, commercial property owners, and high-turnover businesses. Labour’s central tax platform features a 28% capital gains tax on residential investment and commercial property, alongside reforms to business investment incentives.
  • Pays Less: Low-to-middle income earners and small businesses. Labour’s Small Business Action Plan raises the immediate asset write-off threshold and the compulsory GST registration threshold, easing compliance and cash-flow pressures.

The Green Party

  • Pays More: High-net-worth individuals, large corporations, banks, and high-income earners. The Greens propose a wealth tax (e.g., 2.5% on assets over $10 million), a Capital Acquisitions Tax on large gifts and inheritances above $1 million, a new 45% top income tax rate for income over $160,000, and higher taxes on large businesses and banks.
  • Pays Less: Low- and middle-income earners. They propose introducing a $10,000 personal income tax-free threshold.

Te Pāti Māori

  • Pays More: Ultra-wealthy individuals, owners of multiple properties, and corporations. Their plan includes a progressive wealth tax starting at over $10 million (reaching 2.5%), taxes on land banking and vacant houses, stamp duty on residential property purchases, and an increased company tax rate.
  • Pays Less: Low-income households and individuals. Te Pāti Māori proposes a large $30,000 tax-free threshold and a targeted "Kai Credit" (GST-equivalent relief) for people earning $60,000 or less.

The Opportunity Party (TOP)

  • Pays More: Land owners and higher-income earners. TOP proposes a comprehensive 1.75% annual land value tax (on land only) and adjusts income tax brackets to 28%, 34%, and 39%.
  • Pays Less: Virtually all adult residents via a universal, tax-free Citizen's Income ($19,400 a year for eligible New Zealanders aged 18 and over) which replaces parts of the traditional welfare and tax-credit system.

National Party

  • Pays More / Less: National has campaigned on a "no new taxes" pledge, focusing its current settings on avoiding new broad-based capital or wealth taxes, addressing bracket creep, and maintaining business-friendly settings like the Investment Boost framework. Taxpayers generally see stability rather than radical shifts, relying on economic growth rather than new levies to manage the book.

ACT New Zealand

  • Pays More / Less: ACT champions a simpler, lower-tax approach, opposing capital gains and wealth taxes. Their framework generally targets structural spending cuts to enable flat or lower tax rates across the board, benefiting income earners and private enterprise over state-backed redistribution.

New Zealand First

  • Pays More / Less: NZ First emphasizes family support measures alongside targeted business relief—such as cutting the company tax rate to 20% for qualifying smaller businesses (turnover under $30 million) and working toward a tax-free threshold ($14,000). They also propose funding portions of their plan by cracking down on multinational tax evasion.

2. How Would These Plans Fund Public Services?

The parties diverge sharply on how public services (like health, education, and infrastructure) are financed:

  • Dedicated Revenue Ring-Fencing (Labour): Labour specifically ties major new structural changes—such as its capital gains tax—directly to the health system to make care more affordable and safeguard long-term funding independent of general budget fluctuations.
  • Wealth Redistribution and Corporate Levies (Greens & Te Pāti Māori): The Greens and Te Pāti Māori rely heavily on shifting the tax burden away from wages and onto accumulated wealth, capital transfers, land, and corporate excess. Revenue generated from wealth taxes, bank levies, and higher corporate brackets is intended to directly underwrite expanded public services, environmental transition, and structural welfare support.
  • Broad Tax-Base Restructuring (Opportunity Party): TOP argues that standard income taxes are inefficient. By substituting a Land Value Tax and restructuring income brackets to fund a universal Citizen's Income, they aim to create a self-funding loop that eliminates poverty traps while securing steady municipal and central revenue.
  • Economic Growth and Fiscal Restraint (National & ACT): Conversely, National and ACT argue that public services are best funded through economic growth, productivity, and spending prioritization rather than introducing new taxes. They contend that heavy capital or wealth taxes shrink the economic pie and hurt investment, whereas maintaining competitive business settings naturally generates higher tax revenue through a growing economy.
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For the 2026 New Zealand general election: Who would pay more or less under the parties' tax plans, and how would those plans fund public services?

Tax policy has been a central differentiator in the 2026 New Zealand general election. According to analysis by financial and tax firms such as KPMG NZ and Deloitte, the competing political blocs hold fundamentally different visions: opposition and left-of-centre parties propose broader taxes on capital, wealth, and higher earners to expand public services and redistribution, whereas the current governing and right-of-centre parties favour lower-tax settings, targeted concessions, and spending restraint.

Who Pays More or Less Under the Parties' Tax Plans?

  • National and ACT:

  • Who pays less/benefits: These parties place emphasis on lower-tax settings, targeted reforms, and maintaining pro-investment structures (such as retaining the 20% upfront deduction for business assets under Investment Boost). Taxpayers generally face no new broad-based capital or wealth taxes, preserving current settings for residential home ownership and general income.

  • Who pays more: Their plans do not introduce sweeping new taxes on wealth or capital, though National has proposed progressive changes to KiwiSaver savings contributions over time rather than direct structural income tax hikes. Funding relies heavily on spending restraint within the public sector rather than extracting higher direct tax revenue from specific cohorts.

  • Labour, the Greens, and Te Pāti Māori:

  • Who pays more: High-net-worth individuals, property investors, and corporations face significantly higher liabilities under these proposals. These parties propose structural overhauls featuring capital gains taxes (CGT), land value taxes, or specific wealth/asset levies (such as a multi-percent tax on ultra-high-value net worth).

  • Who pays less/benefits: Low- to middle-income earners stand to benefit through reduced relative tax burdens, increased welfare or income support, or public-service enhancements funded by taxing higher-bracket wealth and capital gains.

  • New Zealand First and The Opportunity Party (TOP):

  • New Zealand First: Holds a relatively steady line on traditional settings, though it has expressed openness to specific adjustments like targeted company tax relief for small and medium enterprises (SMEs) alongside sector-specific growth rebates.

  • The Opportunity Party (TOP): Proposes a structural reset of the tax and welfare system, moving toward a universal basic income (UBI) backed by broader land or capital taxation, which shifts the net balance toward lower-income and middle-income citizens while increasing obligations on passive land and capital holders.


How Would the Plans Fund Public Services?

  • Right-of-Centre Approach (National and ACT):

  • Public services and fiscal goals are designed to be managed through spending restraint, reprioritisation of existing government expenditure, and economic growth incentivized by lower business taxation and stable regulatory frameworks, rather than introducing new structural revenue streams. [Deloitte]

  • Left-of-Centre and Progressive Approach (Labour, Greens, Te Pāti Māori, and TOP):

  • Public services, infrastructure, and welfare enhancements are funded directly by broadening the tax base to capture untaxed wealth, land, and capital gains. By implementing new taxes on assets, commercial/residential capital gains (excluding family homes in some proposals), or land values, these parties aim to generate fresh public revenue to finance expanded healthcare, education, social support, and universal baseline incomes.

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