Evidence · NZ Election 2026 · Edition 5

Every question and original answer

All 174 questions and the 786 complete answers recorded on 23 October 2026. Source lists and sentiment assessments are included, alongside the unchanged original answers.

questions
174
answers saved
786
collected
23 October 2026

01

Every question, with its answers

Each question was written as a voter would ask it and went to all four assistants. Some were also asked from a town. Open a question to read every answer to it in full.

Showing 20 of 174 questions

02

The tables behind the study

Every figure on the study page comes from these tables. They are CSV files, which open in any spreadsheet.

  • Questions

    questions.csv

    One row per question, with its original wording.

    id, text, reference, enabled, axes, collectionSettings

  • Complete answers

    answers.csv

    One row per saved answer, including its original text.

    id, questionId, assistant, collectionSetting, askedFrom, text, words

  • Answers included in each comparison

    memberships.csv

    One row per answer and comparison, showing which results were counted together.

    comparisonId, answerId, rowKey, included

  • Party names found in answers

    codings.csv

    One row per answer, party and comparison, with the recorded decision and evidence.

    comparisonId, answerId, entityId, kind, measure, counted, quote, reason, evidence

  • Sources recorded with each answer

    sources.csv

    One row per answer, with its recorded websites, source-list status and visible links.

    answerId, capture, domains, urls, literalUrls, origin

  • What the voting-guidance answers did

    behaviour-coding.csv

    One row per guidance answer, with the recorded behaviours and supporting passages.

    answerId, draft_id, platform, explicit_choice_boundary, conditional_party_or_bloc_alignment, prioritised_shortlist, elicits_additional_user_information, unconditional_single_party_vote_instruction, rationale, evidence, review_provenance

  • Checks against official sources

    checks.csv

    One row per selected statement checked in an answer.

    checkId, claimToTest, category, answerId, questionId, assistant, assertionPresent, assertion, verdict, evidence, whatTheSourceSays, assessment, checkedOn, paragraphs

  • Statements selected for checking

    check-register.csv

    One row per selected check, with its reason and official source.

    checkId, claimToTest, category, whyChecked, primarySourceUrl, answerId

  • Research findings

    findings.csv

    One row per finding, with its figure and supporting records.

    id, statement, summary, caveat, value, denominator, evidence

  • Evidence behind the findings

    findings-evidence.csv

    One row per finding, with the records supporting it.

    findingId, rows

  • What changed for each voter

    case-decisions.csv

    One row per voter situation, with the earlier and later readings.

    case, transition, quote, assessment, draft_id, scenario, earlier_result_id, result_id, earlier_quote, earlier_assessment, earlier_review_provenance, current_review_provenance

  • Answers read in detail

    report-evidence.csv

    One row per answer included in the detailed research readings.

    key, answerId, interpretation, text

  • Party counts by edition

    party-count-tables.csv

    One row per comparison, edition, assistant and party, with its answer count and total.

    panel, edition, platform, party, numerator, denominator

  • Answer length by assistant

    platform-tables.csv

    One row per comparison, edition and assistant, with the recorded answer lengths.

    panel, edition, platform, answers, median_words, total_words

  • Location comparisons by edition

    regional-tables.csv

    One row per national-and-location comparison and edition.

    edition, prompt_id, platform, city, draft_id, block, scenario_id, scenario, issue, priority, common_4_5, complete, national_result_id, city_result_id, same_text, same_party_set, same_displayed_party_set

  • Changes by topic

    issue-tables.csv

    One row per topic, showing answer totals and changes in party names.

    issue, current_answers, matched, changed_party_sets, changed_displayed_party_sets

  • Links visible in answers

    literal-source-evidence.csv

    One row per answer, with the web links present in its text.

    edition, result_id, literal_urls, literal_domains, associated_capture

  • Separate website reference totals

    aggregate-references.csv

    One row per website in the separate reference summary; these totals do not identify which answer used it.

    domain, citationCount, referenceCount, promptCount, urlTotal, trendTotal, platforms

  • Answers compared with 19 October

    pairs.csv

    One row per answer with an earlier counterpart to the same question, assistant and location.

    earlierAnswerId, answerId, questionId, assistant, collectionSetting, askedFrom

  • Statements and sentiment assessments

    claims.csv

    The saved assessments of statements about tracked parties, with their answer references and verified extracts where available.

    claimId, answerId, entityId, role, tone, quote, origin, nativeQuoteVerified

  • Original saved statement assessments

    raw-native-claims.csv

    One row per saved statement, with its original wording and party assessments. These are automated results, not independently checked facts.

    quote, brands, stance, claimId, claimText, sourceResultId

  • Original saved source records

    raw-native-sources.csv

    Every saved source record, distinguishing citations from other references. The source rankings count citations only.

    answerId, url, domain, metadata, domainType, citationKind

  • Sources by answer

    source-associations.csv

    One row per answer and website; repeated references to the same website count once.

    answer id, question id, assistant, domain, publisher

  • National and location answers

    place-pairs.csv

    One row per complete national-and-location pair in this edition.

    question id, assistant, place, national answer id, place answer id, national entities, place entities, same entities

Use these tables to trace findings back to the original questions and answers. The full text of each answer is also on this page, under its question.

03

Read in full and checked

Some answers were read in detail or checked against official sources. Those appear on the study page, beside the findings they support.

ChatGPT · No location

I'm an eligible New Zealand voter living overseas and considering returning. I am comparing job opportunities, housing costs and New Zealand's international outlook. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. What are parties proposing that could improve work opportunities for people returning to New Zealand?

New Zealand’s 2026 election: work opportunities for returning New Zealanders

If you're weighing up a return to New Zealand, the key question is not simply which party promises more jobs. It's which policies could create suitable, well-paid work, help returning New Zealanders use their overseas experience, and make housing and living costs manageable.

For the 2026 general election, I'd compare party proposals across five areas:

  • Job creation and business investment: whether policies encourage employers to hire, expand or establish operations in New Zealand.
  • Skills and career progression: whether overseas qualifications and experience translate into opportunities, and whether there are plans for training and high-skilled industries.
  • Pay and employment conditions: how policies affect wages, taxation, employment protections and take-home income.
  • Housing and infrastructure: whether you could realistically afford to live near the jobs available.
  • International outlook: trade, immigration, foreign investment, research and connections to overseas markets.

An important distinction is that a party's announced policy is not the same as a policy that has been funded, implemented or shown to create jobs. I'll separate those where the available evidence allows.

1. What the parties are proposing

These are the main work- and return-related proposals I could verify in the 2026 campaign as of 22 October. They are campaign commitments, not guarantees of future employment.

Will National Party Finish 2nd in New Zealand's 2026 Election?

National — economic growth, business investment and making it easier to return

Official policy: National's 2026 policies

National's announced economic approach emphasises business growth, lower taxes, export expansion and investment. Its specific return-related package includes:

  • Reducing student loan repayments for domestic borrowers, leaving eligible graduates with more take-home pay.
  • Expanding access to 5% first-home deposits.
  • Prioritising and expediting work and visitor visas for partners of New Zealand citizens returning home.
  • Making commercial building consents easier and pursuing a plan to double export value by 2034.

Potential relevance to you: particularly if you're returning with a partner, hoping to buy a home, or working in a business that sells internationally. The student-loan proposal needs careful checking if you have an overseas loan balance, because overseas-borrower rules differ. National’s plan to welcome more Kiwis home2026 Election Policy

South Island Election Conference 2026

Labour — public investment, apprenticeships and small-business growth

Official policy: Labour's 2026 policies

Labour's proposals include:

  • Start Work Now: building social housing, improving more than 2,000 schools and repairing hospitals, alongside support for nearly 30,000 apprentices.
  • Expanding Apprenticeship Boost, including employer payments, a $1,000 toolbox grant and five additional trades.
  • A small-business package intended to speed up payments, reduce administrative burdens and make investment easier.
  • A target for 15% of government contracts to go to New Zealand small businesses and start-ups.
  • A proposed Future Fund to support infrastructure and innovation.

Potential relevance to you: worth examining if your skills are in construction, engineering, the trades, healthcare, small-business operations or industries that could benefit from public infrastructure and innovation spending. The graduate nurse guarantee is specifically aimed at eligible New Zealand-trained graduates, rather than every nurse returning from overseas. Labour's 2026 Election PoliciesElection policy tracker: what the parties are promising

Green Party NZ (@NZGreens) on X

Green Party — clean energy, public investment and sustainable industries

Policy overview: The Conversation's 2026 policy tracker

The Greens' campaign includes investment-oriented proposals in renewable energy, community energy, Māori housing and environmental restoration, as well as measures aimed at affordability and small-business conditions.

Potential relevance to you: investigate this platform if you work in renewable energy, environmental science, conservation, sustainable construction or related technical services. The key question is how much proposed investment would translate into funded projects and permanent jobs in your industry. Election policy tracker: what the parties are promisingElection 2026: Will parties’ tax policies support public health and equity?

New Zealand Legislative Election Winner 2026 Odds | Polymarket

ACT — business flexibility, lower regulation and private-sector activity

Policy comparison: BDO's 2026 business-policy analysis

ACT's approach includes reducing regulatory constraints on businesses and changing employment rules to give employers more flexibility. Its campaign proposals also include a three-year minimum-wage freeze and a lower training wage for under-20s.

Potential relevance to you: if you're considering a private-sector role, contracting or starting a business, examine its proposals on investment, hiring and regulation. Also weigh how changes to employment protections and wage settings might affect your own pay and job security. 2026 General Election Policies: What they could mean for businesses | New ZealandElection policy tracker: what the parties are promising

New Zealand legislative election winner? Predictions & Od... 2026 | Polymarket

New Zealand First — infrastructure, energy security and international relationships

Policy context: NZ First's international outlook

NZ First has promoted a long-term infrastructure fund, investment in identifying energy and carbon-storage resources, and active economic diplomacy across the Pacific, Asia, Europe and other markets.

Potential relevance to you: these proposals may matter if your career is connected to infrastructure, energy, resources or export industries. Their eventual employment impact would depend on the projects funded, their timelines and the trade opportunities secured. Winston Peters: "Citizenship and Superannuation"Election policy tracker: what the parties are promising

New Zealand Legislative Election Winner 2026 Odds | Polymarket

Te Pāti Māori — Māori-led economic development and community investment

Policy overview: The 2026 policy tracker

Its proposals include Māori-led economic and environmental investment, stronger Māori decision-making, and funding for community initiatives.

Potential relevance to you: potentially important if you're considering Māori enterprise, iwi development, community services, or environmental and regional projects. The specific employment opportunities will depend on how proposals are implemented and which sectors receive funding. Election policy tracker: what the parties are promisingElection 2026: Will parties’ tax policies support public health and equity?

Current party and logo applications  | Elections NZ

Opportunity — research, innovation and attracting skilled people home

Official policy: Opportunity's Breakthrough Economy plan

Opportunity has proposed:

  • Raising research and development spending to at least 2% of GDP.
  • Technology-investment tax credits and more funding for successful business accelerators.
  • Turning polytechnics into regional innovation hubs.
  • Forgiving student-loan interest for returning New Zealanders.
  • Improving small-business access to research and development tax credits.

Potential relevance to you: especially worth examining if you're returning with research, technology, entrepreneurial or specialist skills, or if interest on a student loan is a significant consideration. Check the eligibility and implementation details of the loan proposal before treating it as a saving you would receive. Breakthrough EconomyElection policy tracker: what the parties are promising

2. How these proposals relate to your return decision

The differences become clearer when you look at the practical problems you may face after coming home.

Your priority Policies to investigate What to verify
Finding a suitable job Labour's infrastructure and apprenticeship programme; National's business-growth and export agenda; Opportunity's innovation proposals Whether your occupation is in demand and whether projects have funding and hiring dates
Bringing a partner home National's proposed priority processing of partner visas Eligibility, processing rules and actual implementation
Buying a home National's expanded 5% deposit access; housing supply and infrastructure policies across parties Income and lending eligibility, deposit requirements and local housing prices
Returning with a student loan National's repayment changes; Opportunity's proposed interest forgiveness; Labour's proposed student debt reduction Whether you qualify, particularly if you have been making repayments from overseas
Building a specialist career Opportunity's R&D investment; Labour's Future Fund; National's export-growth plans Industry investment, research funding, employer demand and salary levels
Starting a business Labour's small-business measures; National's regulatory and export policies; ACT's regulatory approach; Opportunity's innovation support Tax settings, access to capital, compliance costs and customer demand

The policy summaries are based on the parties' published material and election-policy tracking. Details can change during campaigning or coalition negotiations. Labour's 2026 Election Policies2026 Election PolicyBreakthrough Economy2026 General Election Policies: What they could mean for businesses | New ZealandElection policy tracker: what the parties are promising

3. New Zealand's international outlook matters too

A returning professional's opportunities depend partly on whether New Zealand businesses can grow beyond the domestic market.

  • Exports and trade: National's stated aim to double export value by 2034 is relevant to careers in agriculture, food production, technology, professional services and other export-facing industries. The practical test is whether firms expand their workforce, not simply whether export values rise. 2026 Election Policy
  • Research and technology: Opportunity's R&D proposals and Labour's innovation agenda could matter for people bringing international research, technical or entrepreneurial experience. The proposed spending and incentives would need to translate into sustained research positions, commercialisation and skilled employment. Breakthrough EconomyLabour's 2026 Election Policies
  • Infrastructure and energy: Infrastructure and energy-investment proposals could support work in engineering, construction, energy and technical consulting. Consider the pipeline of actual projects and their delivery dates. Election policy tracker: what the parties are promisingWinston Peters: "Citizenship and Superannuation"
  • Trade relationships and geopolitical risk: New Zealand's access to overseas markets, supply-chain resilience and relationships with major trading partners can affect export-dependent employers. Compare parties' actual trade and diplomatic commitments, rather than relying on general statements about international leadership. Winston Peters: "Citizenship and Superannuation"The main parties vying to form New Zealand's next government

4. The housing and take-home-pay calculation

For someone returning from overseas, a job with a higher headline salary isn't necessarily a better financial outcome. Compare the likely salary with rent or mortgage costs, transport, childcare if relevant, student-loan repayments and KiwiSaver contributions.

Also distinguish between policies that might help immediately and those whose effects are longer-term:

  • Near-term household finances: tax and student-loan changes, transport costs and any eligibility for first-home support.
  • Medium-term employment: funded infrastructure projects, employer hiring plans and sector-specific investment.
  • Longer-term prospects: research and development, export diversification, energy investment and productivity growth.

A housing policy that increases access to deposits may help some buyers enter the market, but it doesn't by itself guarantee lower house prices. Similarly, a training subsidy may support apprenticeships without necessarily creating a comparable number of permanent jobs for experienced returnees.

5. How to use this comparison before voting

I'd suggest checking three things for each party whose platform interests you:

  1. The detail: Is there a published policy with eligibility criteria, a cost estimate and a delivery date?
  2. The employment pathway: How would it produce a job in your occupation—through direct recruitment, private investment, government procurement or increased demand?
  3. The personal financial effect: Would you qualify, and how would the policy affect your take-home pay and housing costs?

For the latest policy details, start with the parties' official sites: National, Labour and Opportunity. For a cross-party overview, consult The Conversation's 2026 election policy tracker and BDO's business-policy analysis.

One question that would make this much more useful

What kind of work would you be looking to do if you returned to New Zealand?

For example, technology or engineering, healthcare, finance or professional services, construction and trades, public sector, education, or starting a business.

Your field makes a substantial difference to which employment proposals are relevant, which skills and qualifications employers may seek, and how to weigh the parties' plans without assuming that any one platform will deliver the best outcome for you.

Ask anything

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Gemini · No location

I'm an eligible New Zealand voter living overseas and considering returning. I am comparing job opportunities, housing costs and New Zealand's international outlook. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. What are parties proposing that could improve work opportunities for people returning to New Zealand?

As an eligible overseas voter evaluating a potential return to Aotearoa New Zealand for the 2026 New Zealand general election, navigating job opportunities, housing, and the international outlook is a critical part of your decision.

The major political parties have put forward distinct economic strategies, job creation packages, and targeted incentives designed to influence growth, business confidence, and the labor market.


Major Party Proposals Impacting Work Opportunities & Returning Kiwis

Different political blocs approach the challenge of improving work opportunities through contrasting economic lenses—ranging from tax relief and red-tape reduction to worker protections and industry-targeted state investment.

1. National Party (and Centre-Right Alignment)

National’s approach centers on private-sector growth, reducing regulatory friction for businesses, and specific initiatives aimed at welcoming citizens home:

  • Targeted Return Initiatives: National has campaigned on targeted commitments within its first 100 days specifically aimed at encouraging young New Zealanders and expats to stay or return home.
  • Business & Red-Tape Reduction: Focuses heavily on lowering compliance costs, streamlining commercial building consents, and boosting export markets ("Next Billion Customers") to stimulate private enterprise growth and create higher-paying jobs.
  • Fiscal Restraint & Tax Stance: Emphasizes no new taxes and a path back to surplus, arguing that a predictable, low-tax business environment is the most sustainable way to encourage companies to expand and hire.

2. Labour Party

Labour’s strategy focuses on workforce support, sector-specific training boosts, and worker rights:

  • Apprenticeships & Trades Support: Proposals include extending Apprenticeship Boost payments to two years at $500 a month, alongside toolbox grants and structured mentoring to shore up skilled labor in building and technical trades. Small business measures also target making it easier to hire first employees and take on apprentices.
  • Student Loan Retention Incentives: To entice graduates and young professionals to remain or return, Labour has proposed cutting eligible student loan balances by 10%, with specific provisions for those who commit to staying or returning to work in New Zealand.
  • Pay Equity & Standards: Proposes restoring pay equity legislation within its first 100 days and strengthening workplace conditions to attract and retain local talent in critical sectors like healthcare and social services.

3. Minor Parties (ACT, Green, NZ First, Te Pāti Māori)

  • ACT Party: Focuses heavily on digital and productivity investment deductions, regulatory deregulation, and lowering barriers for businesses to invest in technology, aiming to drive high-value tech and digital employment.
  • New Zealand First: Has proposed specific tax relief for small and medium enterprises (such as a 20% company tax rate for firms under a certain turnover threshold) to incentivize hiring and local business expansion.
  • Green Party: Emphasizes shifting the tax burden toward top corporations and assets while investing heavily in a "Green Economy," public infrastructure, and renewable energy sectors to generate localized, sustainable employment.

Broader Factors to Consider: Housing & International Outlook

When weighing your return alongside job metrics, consider how the parties' broader economic frameworks intersect with your other criteria:

  • Housing Costs: Debates span across supply-side RMA (Resource Management Act) reforms to speed up housing construction versus tax policy adjustments (such as Labour's proposed capital gains tax on investment property versus National's opposition to new taxes) aimed at shifting market dynamics for first-home buyers and renters.
  • International Outlook & Trade: Parties differ on how aggressively New Zealand should pursue export expansion, international trade agreements, and foreign investment frameworks to keep the country globally competitive against major OECD markets.
Ask Gemini

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Google AI Mode · No location

I'm an eligible New Zealand voter living overseas and considering returning. I am comparing job opportunities, housing costs and New Zealand's international outlook. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. What are parties proposing that could improve work opportunities for people returning to New Zealand?

For New Zealanders living overseas looking at the 2026 general election, political parties are presenting distinct economic and employment frameworks aimed at encouraging business growth, boosting local productivity, and creating attractive career opportunities for returning expats.

The main proposals from key parties focusing on work opportunities, business environment, and economic outlook include:

  • National Party Proposals: National focuses on broader economic growth, cutting compliance costs, and infrastructure backing to stimulate private-sector hiring. Their platform features streamlined commercial building consents, support for renewable energy and regional infrastructure, and an overarching goal to double New Zealand's export earnings by 2034. For returning professionals and graduates, they also propose specific student loan graduate incentives to encourage skilled young people to stay or return to local employment.
  • Labour Party Proposals: Labour centres its employment strategy on direct support for small-to-medium enterprises (SMEs), workforce training, and targeted sector funding. Their proposals include an expanded small business action plan featuring a 15-day invoice payment mandate for large businesses working with small suppliers, a modified asset write-off threshold for smaller businesses, and targeted training schemes like the Apprenticeship Boost. They also propose injecting venture capital through state-backed funds into early-stage local startups to expand high-value tech and entrepreneurial job roles.
  • ACT New Zealand Proposals: ACT emphasizes supply-side economic reforms, arguing that higher wages for returning Kiwis depend on overall business productivity and a leaner state sector. They propose cutting regulatory red tape and reducing company compliance burdens to make it easier for enterprises to scale up and offer internationally competitive salaries. For overseas citizens, ACT also advocates removing taxes on KiwiSaver investment earnings to protect and grow assets accumulated abroad. [ACT NZ]
  • Greens and Te Pāti Māori (Additional Perspectives): Other parties in parliament frame work opportunities around a green transition, local manufacturing resilience, or distinct regional economic development, emphasizing sustainable industries and localized economic self-determination.

A comprehensive overview of specific party commitments can be examined via the Policy.nz 2026 Guide or through the New Zealand Government Voting Information Site. Policies for Party vote - NZ Election 20262026 General Election | Vote NZ

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