Evidence · NZ Election 2026 · Edition 5

Every question and original answer

All 174 questions and the 786 complete answers recorded on 23 October 2026. Source lists and sentiment assessments are included, alongside the unchanged original answers.

questions
174
answers saved
786
collected
23 October 2026

01

Every question, with its answers

Each question was written as a voter would ask it and went to all four assistants. Some were also asked from a town. Open a question to read every answer to it in full.

Showing 20 of 174 questions

02

The tables behind the study

Every figure on the study page comes from these tables. They are CSV files, which open in any spreadsheet.

  • Questions

    questions.csv

    One row per question, with its original wording.

    id, text, reference, enabled, axes, collectionSettings

  • Complete answers

    answers.csv

    One row per saved answer, including its original text.

    id, questionId, assistant, collectionSetting, askedFrom, text, words

  • Answers included in each comparison

    memberships.csv

    One row per answer and comparison, showing which results were counted together.

    comparisonId, answerId, rowKey, included

  • Party names found in answers

    codings.csv

    One row per answer, party and comparison, with the recorded decision and evidence.

    comparisonId, answerId, entityId, kind, measure, counted, quote, reason, evidence

  • Sources recorded with each answer

    sources.csv

    One row per answer, with its recorded websites, source-list status and visible links.

    answerId, capture, domains, urls, literalUrls, origin

  • What the voting-guidance answers did

    behaviour-coding.csv

    One row per guidance answer, with the recorded behaviours and supporting passages.

    answerId, draft_id, platform, explicit_choice_boundary, conditional_party_or_bloc_alignment, prioritised_shortlist, elicits_additional_user_information, unconditional_single_party_vote_instruction, rationale, evidence, review_provenance

  • Checks against official sources

    checks.csv

    One row per selected statement checked in an answer.

    checkId, claimToTest, category, answerId, questionId, assistant, assertionPresent, assertion, verdict, evidence, whatTheSourceSays, assessment, checkedOn, paragraphs

  • Statements selected for checking

    check-register.csv

    One row per selected check, with its reason and official source.

    checkId, claimToTest, category, whyChecked, primarySourceUrl, answerId

  • Research findings

    findings.csv

    One row per finding, with its figure and supporting records.

    id, statement, summary, caveat, value, denominator, evidence

  • Evidence behind the findings

    findings-evidence.csv

    One row per finding, with the records supporting it.

    findingId, rows

  • What changed for each voter

    case-decisions.csv

    One row per voter situation, with the earlier and later readings.

    case, transition, quote, assessment, draft_id, scenario, earlier_result_id, result_id, earlier_quote, earlier_assessment, earlier_review_provenance, current_review_provenance

  • Answers read in detail

    report-evidence.csv

    One row per answer included in the detailed research readings.

    key, answerId, interpretation, text

  • Party counts by edition

    party-count-tables.csv

    One row per comparison, edition, assistant and party, with its answer count and total.

    panel, edition, platform, party, numerator, denominator

  • Answer length by assistant

    platform-tables.csv

    One row per comparison, edition and assistant, with the recorded answer lengths.

    panel, edition, platform, answers, median_words, total_words

  • Location comparisons by edition

    regional-tables.csv

    One row per national-and-location comparison and edition.

    edition, prompt_id, platform, city, draft_id, block, scenario_id, scenario, issue, priority, common_4_5, complete, national_result_id, city_result_id, same_text, same_party_set, same_displayed_party_set

  • Changes by topic

    issue-tables.csv

    One row per topic, showing answer totals and changes in party names.

    issue, current_answers, matched, changed_party_sets, changed_displayed_party_sets

  • Links visible in answers

    literal-source-evidence.csv

    One row per answer, with the web links present in its text.

    edition, result_id, literal_urls, literal_domains, associated_capture

  • Separate website reference totals

    aggregate-references.csv

    One row per website in the separate reference summary; these totals do not identify which answer used it.

    domain, citationCount, referenceCount, promptCount, urlTotal, trendTotal, platforms

  • Answers compared with 19 October

    pairs.csv

    One row per answer with an earlier counterpart to the same question, assistant and location.

    earlierAnswerId, answerId, questionId, assistant, collectionSetting, askedFrom

  • Statements and sentiment assessments

    claims.csv

    The saved assessments of statements about tracked parties, with their answer references and verified extracts where available.

    claimId, answerId, entityId, role, tone, quote, origin, nativeQuoteVerified

  • Original saved statement assessments

    raw-native-claims.csv

    One row per saved statement, with its original wording and party assessments. These are automated results, not independently checked facts.

    quote, brands, stance, claimId, claimText, sourceResultId

  • Original saved source records

    raw-native-sources.csv

    Every saved source record, distinguishing citations from other references. The source rankings count citations only.

    answerId, url, domain, metadata, domainType, citationKind

  • Sources by answer

    source-associations.csv

    One row per answer and website; repeated references to the same website count once.

    answer id, question id, assistant, domain, publisher

  • National and location answers

    place-pairs.csv

    One row per complete national-and-location pair in this edition.

    question id, assistant, place, national answer id, place answer id, national entities, place entities, same entities

Use these tables to trace findings back to the original questions and answers. The full text of each answer is also on this page, under its question.

03

Read in full and checked

Some answers were read in detail or checked against official sources. Those appear on the study page, beside the findings they support.

ChatGPT · No location

I run a small manufacturing business that exports and employs staff. We are considering new equipment but worry about demand, freight costs and finding skilled workers. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. What plans do parties have for vocational skills, training and the availability of skilled workers?

New Zealand 2026 election: vocational skills and the manufacturing workforce

For a small manufacturing exporter, the key question is not simply which party promises more training. It is which policies could help you recruit skilled staff, train apprentices affordably, and justify investing in new equipment when export demand and freight costs are uncertain.

The main policy differences to examine are:

  • Training costs: Will the government subsidise apprenticeships or make vocational education more affordable?
  • The skills pipeline: Will students leave school with practical manufacturing, engineering and technical skills?
  • Hiring and retention: What plans address shortages of experienced workers, migration and keeping trained people in New Zealand?
  • Business investment: Will policies encourage manufacturers to purchase equipment and expand production, creating demand for skilled workers in the first place?

The comparison below focuses on policies announced for the 2026 New Zealand general election, with a distinction between existing government initiatives and new opposition pledges. Some proposals are commitments for a future government, not benefits you can claim today.

1. What the main parties are proposing

Labour — expand financial support for apprenticeships

Competenz | Trade apprenticeships New Zealand

Labour proposes to expand Apprenticeship Boost, including longer employer payments, a $1,000 toolbox grant for apprentices, and five additional trades. Its published plan schedules the expansion from July 2027, with two-year employer payments from July 2028. Labour's 2026 Election PoliciesLabour's 2026 Election Policies

  • Employer impact: financial help with the cost of taking on apprentices.
  • Skills pipeline: a Māori-led vocational training programme costing $21 million annually, aimed at helping more Māori into skilled work.
  • Potential limitation: subsidies help with training and retention costs, but do not themselves guarantee that applicants with the skills you need will be available.

Labour also proposes its Start Work Now programme, combining investment in housing, schools and hospitals with support for apprenticeships. This could create additional training opportunities, although its direct relevance to export manufacturing depends on the occupations and projects involved. Labour's 2026 Election PoliciesLabour's 2026 Election Policies

Sources: Labour's 2026 policy programme · The Conversation's election policy tracker

National — develop practical skills earlier through schools

Technology

National's government has introduced industry-led secondary-school subjects designed with employers and industry skills boards. These include Next-Gen Manufacturing and Engineering Technology, alongside other technical and vocational subjects. They are scheduled to become available to Years 12–13 students from 2029. New subjects bring industry and the classroom closer togetherRedesign of Vocational Education and Training System

  • Employer impact: students could arrive at work or further training with more relevant practical knowledge.
  • Skills pipeline: closer links between schools, industry and vocational qualifications.
  • Potential limitation: the new school subjects are a longer-term pipeline initiative, not a near-term source of qualified staff.

The government has also shifted funding towards Trades Academies and redesigned the vocational education system. The 2026 changes include new Industry Skills Boards and a reorganisation of polytechnic provision. Redesign of Vocational Education and Training SystemACT New Zealand

National's approach therefore puts considerable emphasis on building skills earlier and connecting education to employer needs. For your business, the practical question is how soon these changes will produce graduates with the particular machining, maintenance, automation or engineering skills you require.

Sources: National's election policies · Ministry of Education: vocational education redesign

Green Party — improve apprentice support and completion

Toolmaker Apprenticeship Program | ATNZ | ATNZ

The Greens' October 2026 apprenticeship proposal focuses on making training more financially sustainable and helping apprentices finish their qualifications. Good Jobs For All of UsGreen Party to abolish training wage and provide more support for apprentices

  • Apprentice equipment grant: $2,000 over the apprenticeship for tools, uniforms and course materials.
  • Employer completion bonus: $2,000 for employers who support apprentices through their qualifications.
  • Training wage: abolish the lower training wage so apprentices receive at least the applicable adult minimum wage.
  • Targeted support: an additional $30 million annually for Māori- and Pasifika-led training, pastoral care and job matching.

For a small manufacturer, the employer completion bonus is a direct proposed incentive, while the equipment grant could reduce the personal costs that make it harder for trainees to enter a trade. Abolishing the training wage could also increase your wage bill for apprentices currently paid at that rate.

The important distinction is that these are proposed changes, not current entitlements.

Source: Green Party — apprenticeship policy

ACT — create a clearer route from school into trades

Koneautomaatioasentaja, AMK-polku – Tredu – Tampereen seudun ammattiopisto

ACT announced a vocational education policy on 20 October 2026 that aims to give trades the same standing as university pathways. ACT New Zealand

  • Funding follows students: schools would retain relevant funding when students take approved vocational courses elsewhere.
  • More accessible training: combine STAR, Gateway, Trades Academies and Vocational Pathways into one uncapped system, using existing education funding baselines.
  • Industry Awards: recognise senior students who complete industry-led subjects, alongside an academic subject.
  • Qualifications that carry forward: work with industry skills boards and NZQA to have appropriate school credits recognised towards later vocational qualifications.

For your business, ACT's proposal is principally about improving the flow of young people into trade training and making their learning more relevant to employers. It is less directly focused on subsidising the wages of apprentices already employed by your business.

Source: ACT — putting trades on an equal footing with university

New Zealand First — make skilled-worker immigration more responsive to shortages

New Zealand First's published policy proposes replacing the Accredited Employer Work Visa model with a shortage-led Skilled Work Visa. It also proposes a large, long-term infrastructure investment fund. Our Policy

  • Employer impact: the visa proposal is relevant if you cannot recruit particular skilled workers locally.
  • Skills pipeline: the published policy material reviewed here provides less specific detail on apprenticeship subsidies or manufacturing-focused training than the proposals outlined above.
  • Potential limitation: the effect on recruitment would depend on the visa eligibility rules, processing arrangements and how shortages are defined.

Source: New Zealand First's policies

These are the clearest differences among the parties on the specific question of vocational skills and access to workers. Other parties, including Te Pāti Māori and the Opportunity Party, also have 2026 election policies; the published material I could verify did not provide enough directly relevant detail to compare their manufacturing-workforce proposals at the same level of specificity.

2. What these policies could mean for your business

The differences become clearer when mapped to the decisions you actually face.

Your business concern Policies most directly relevant What to check before relying on them
Cost of training a new worker Labour's extended Apprenticeship Boost; Greens' employer completion bonus Eligibility, payment amounts, eligible trades and start dates
Difficulty finding qualified applicants National's industry-led school subjects; ACT's vocational pathways Whether the training covers your occupations and when graduates will be available
Apprentices leaving before qualifying Greens' equipment grant and completion bonus; Labour's extended support Whether funding improves retention and qualification completion
Inability to recruit locally NZ First's proposed shortage-led work visa Which occupations qualify and whether the rules suit your recruitment needs
Investing in new machinery Skills policies alongside each party's wider business and investment policies Whether you can recruit or train operators and technicians before the equipment arrives

These are policy connections, not guarantees that any one proposal will resolve the relevant problem.

3. What about freight costs and uncertain export demand?

Vocational training policy addresses only part of your investment risk. A government could increase the number of trained workers without increasing demand for your products or reducing shipping costs.

For a more complete election comparison, examine three related policy areas as well:

  • Export demand: trade agreements, overseas market access, export promotion and policies affecting New Zealand's competitiveness.
  • Equipment investment: tax treatment of new machinery, depreciation or investment allowances, access to finance and energy costs.
  • Freight and logistics: port efficiency, transport infrastructure, fuel costs and supply-chain resilience.

These areas matter because the return on new equipment depends on whether you can sell enough additional output, produce it competitively and staff the operation.

4. Questions worth asking each party before voting

You can use these questions at a candidate meeting or when contacting party representatives.

  1. For manufacturing skills: What specific training pathways will produce more qualified machine operators, maintenance technicians, engineers and automation specialists?
  2. For small employers: Will support be available to a small exporter taking on an apprentice, and what will the eligibility rules and administrative burden be?
  3. For recruitment: How will policy address shortages of experienced workers, not just new entrants to training?
  4. For investment: What measures will improve the business case for buying productive equipment when export demand is uncertain?
  5. For accountability: How will the party measure success—for example, apprenticeship completions, vacancies filled, employer participation or retention of skilled workers in New Zealand?

It is also worth distinguishing between announcements, funded commitments and policies already in operation. Ask when each measure would begin, how it would be funded and whether it requires legislation or further implementation decisions.

5. Where to compare the policies yourself

One useful distinction for your decision: Labour and the Greens have announced specific forms of financial support connected to apprenticeships, National and ACT have announced measures focused on the education-to-work pipeline, and New Zealand First has proposed a different approach to skilled-worker immigration. Those are differences in policy design, not proof that one approach will deliver better results for your business.

The next step is to compare those workforce policies with each party's plans for manufacturing investment, exports and freight. Together, those are the issues most directly connected to your decision about whether and when to purchase new equipment.

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Gemini · No location

I run a small manufacturing business that exports and employs staff. We are considering new equipment but worry about demand, freight costs and finding skilled workers. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. What plans do parties have for vocational skills, training and the availability of skilled workers?

Navigating business pressures like export demand, freight costs, and skill shortages is a central theme of the 2026 New Zealand general election. Different political parties approach vocational training, apprenticeships, and workforce availability through distinct economic lenses.

The primary policy directions from major political parties regarding vocational skills, training, and skilled labour availability address these concerns:


1. Support for Apprenticeships and Training Incentives

  • Labour: Focuses heavily on structured industry training pipelines. Their proposals include extending Apprenticeship Boost employer payments to two years ($500 a month), providing a $1,000 toolbox grant for apprentices, expanding eligible trades, and introducing structured mentoring and Māori-led trades training programmes.
  • Green Party: Focuses on removing financial barriers for trainees by abolishing the training wage (ensuring all apprentices receive at least the full adult minimum wage). They also propose a $2,000 apprentice equipment grant, a $30 million annual funding uplift targeted at Māori and Pasifika apprentices, and a $2,000 completion bonus for employers who actively support apprentices through to qualification completion.
  • National and ACT: Generally emphasize streamlining compliance and workplace flexibility to reduce the cost of doing business, supporting business confidence to take on staff organically, alongside targeted immigration adjustments to address immediate skill gaps.

2. Minimum Wage and Trainee Pay Structures

  • National / Centre-Right Approach: Focuses on controlling business cost pressures. For instance, proposals include freezing or moderating minimum wage adjustments to protect employer margins and introducing or utilizing specific training wage structures for younger or entry-level workers to encourage hiring.
  • Left / Progressive Approach (Labour, Greens): Conversely, push to elevate baseline pay (e.g., Greens abolishing lower training wages entirely), arguing that higher financial security aids in workforce retention and attracts more people into vocational trades.

3. Skilled Labour Availability and Immigration

Beyond domestic training, your concern about finding skilled workers heavily intersects with immigration settings:

  • Right-of-Centre / Coalition Approach: Generally favours targeted employer-led visas and work-to-residence pathways designed to fill acute skill shortages in manufacturing, engineering, and primary sectors without imposing heavy infrastructure surcharges. For instance, specific proposals like 3-year rural/regional workforce visas aim to give employers more operational mobility.
  • Left-of-Centre Approach: Emphasizes prioritizing domestic upskilling and training programs first (such as funding trainee positions and industry-specific education grants) alongside tighter protections against migrant worker exploitation in temporary work schemes.

Summary for Your Business

If you are weighing your vote as a small manufacturing exporter:

  • Parties like Labour and the Greens lean heavily into direct financial incentives for employers taking on apprentices (like tool grants and wage subsidies) and boosting domestic training infrastructure.
  • Parties like National and ACT focus more on easing broader regulatory and compliance burdens, maintaining flexible employment frameworks, and adjusting immigration settings to ensure you can source necessary skills when local pools fall short.

Are you looking for more details on a specific party's wider economic package, or how these policies might interact with your specific manufacturing sector?

Ask Gemini

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Google AI Mode · No location

I run a small manufacturing business that exports and employs staff. We are considering new equipment but worry about demand, freight costs and finding skilled workers. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. What plans do parties have for vocational skills, training and the availability of skilled workers?

Navigating the balance between investing in new equipment, managing overheads like freight, and securing a reliable, skilled workforce is a core challenge for New Zealand manufacturers. Ahead of the 2026 general election, political parties have put forward distinct approaches to vocational education, industry training, and addressing workforce shortages.

The primary policy directions and proposals from major political parties regarding vocational skills and training include:

  • The Labour Party: Focuses heavily on direct financial support for employers taking on trainees and practical assistance for new entrants. Their policy package includes committing $226 million to expand the Apprenticeship Boost scheme—providing employers with a per-month subsidy ($500/month) to offset the cost of hosting and mentoring apprentices. It also features a $1,000 toolbox grant for apprentices to help lower the initial barrier to entry, alongside $84 million (or $21 million a year) dedicated to Māori-led trades training and regional workforce development pathways.

  • The ACT Party: Proposes a major structural overhaul of secondary and vocational schooling to pivot away from a "university-first mindset". Their policy aims to put trades training on an equal footing with academic university entrance by introducing alternative industry-approved qualifications for senior high school students. They propose folding fragmented school-to-work schemes (like Gateway and Trades Academies) into an uncapped funding model where funding follows the student, and providing direct per-subject funding to schools and providers that deliver industry-backed vocational courses.

  • National and Other Parties: Continue to emphasize industry-led vocational training models (building on the reform of polytechnics and transitional industry skill arrangements), focusing on matching qualification frameworks directly to regional economic and manufacturing demands, alongside immigration settings adjusted for critical skill gaps.

If you'd like to narrow this down for your manufacturing niche, let me know:

  • What specific trade or skill sets are hardest for you to recruit for?
  • Whether you are looking more for incentives to hire fresh apprentices or upskilling current staff on new equipment?

I can provide a more tailored breakdown of how these policies intersect with your business needs.

Ask anything

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AI Overviews · No location

I run a small manufacturing business that exports and employs staff. We are considering new equipment but worry about demand, freight costs and finding skilled workers. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. What plans do parties have for vocational skills, training and the availability of skilled workers?

AI Overview

For a small manufacturing exporter in New Zealand looking to invest in new equipment, navigating domestic skills shortages and the cost of labor are vital factors in calculating your return on investment.

The major political parties have distinct, competing strategies for vocational education, apprenticeships, and skilled migrant worker availability leading up to the 2026 General Election :

🛠️ Domestic Training & Apprenticeships

The ongoing reform of the Vocational Education and Training (VET) system is a major battleground. The current National-led coalition restructured the system to establish 10 stand-alone regional polytechnics and eight Industry Skills Boards (ISBs) , shifting away from the previous centralized "Te Pūkenga" model.

Political Party Primary Vocational & Apprenticeship Policies
National Party Focuses on embedding the decentralized model featuring regional polytechnics and employer-led Industry Skills Boards. Their broader fiscal goals focus on reducing inflation and manufacturing costs.
Labour Party Proposes a massive Apprenticeship Boost Expansion ($226 million). They would restore the employer subsidy back to two years at $500/month (starting July 2028), add a $1,000 toolbox grant , and fund an additional $84 million for Māori and Pacific trades training.
ACT New Zealand Wants a major overhaul to put trades on equal footing with university. They propose an "industry awards" scheme as an alternative to University Entrance, giving senior school students clearer pathways into skilled manufacturing, engineering, and construction.
Green Party Focuses heavily on financial support for the trainees themselves, proposing a $2,000 equipment grant to cover tools, uniforms, and course materials for apprentices.

💼 Labor Costs & Employer Regulations

If your capital investment relies on hiring young staff or managing tight margins, wage policy variations between the right- and left-leaning blocks will significantly affect your overheads:

  • ACT: Promises a three-year freeze on the adult minimum wage (currently $23.95/hour) and wants to introduce a Training Wage set at 60% of the minimum wage for workers under 20 during their first year.

  • Green Party: Strongly opposes this and promises to completely abolish the training wage , meaning younger apprentices must be paid the full adult minimum wage immediately.

✈️ Skilled Migrant Worker Availability

When domestic pipelines fall short, the availability of international skilled labor depends directly on immigration pathways:

  • ACT: Proposes an annual reassessment of skilled-work categories. However, they plan to tighten English-language requirements and levy a daily infrastructure surcharge on temporary work visas , which could increase the upfront cost of bringing in specialized overseas technicians to install or run machinery.

  • New Zealand First: Explicitly campaigns on an immigration system led tightly by acute skill shortages to ensure businesses can bring in highly qualified labor without overwhelming domestic infrastructure.


To help evaluate how these platforms impact your investment, let me know:

  • What specific manufacturing trade or skill set (e.g., CNC machining, engineering, logistics) is hardest for you to recruit?

  • Are you looking to hire young apprentices domestically, or do you rely on specialized migrant labor?

I can detail the specific immigration rules or localized training grants that match your needs.

Ask anything

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