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Evidence · NZ Election 2026 · Edition 3

Every question, every answer, every source

All 174 questions and the 793 answers produced on 16 October 2026. The 27 remaining cells produced no AI Overview.

questions
174
answers saved
793
collected
16 Oct 2026

01

Every question, with its answers

Each question was written as a voter would ask it and went to all four assistants. Some were also asked from a town. Open a question to read every answer to it in full.

Showing 20 of 174 questions

Show all 174

02

The tables behind the study

Every figure on the study page comes from these tables. They are CSV files, which open in any spreadsheet.

  • Questions

    nz-election-2026-questions.csv

    One row per unchanged question.

    id, draft, text, voterCode, issue, towns

    174rows

    Download questions (CSV)

  • Answers

    nz-election-2026-answers.csv

    One row per produced answer, with its complete original text. Parties covers all 17 tracked parties; displayed parties covers the seven charted parties.

    result id, prompt id, draft id, scenario id, platform, region, words, parties, displayed parties, literal url answer, temporal pair, common four platforms, response text

    793rows

    Download answers (CSV)

  • Sources by answer

    nz-election-2026-sources.csv

    One row per website associated with an answer; repeated citations count once.

    answer id, question id, assistant, region, domain, publisher

    4,275rows

    Download sources by answer (CSV)

  • Checks against official sources

    nz-election-2026-checks.csv

    One row per reviewed claim and assistant, including cells where the assertion was not stated.

    checkId, claimToTest, category, answerId, questionId, assistant, assertionPresent, assertion, verdict, whatTheSourceSays, checkedOn, evidence

    18rows

    Download checks against official sources (CSV)

  • Who to vote for: coding

    nz-election-2026-guidance.csv

    One row per manually reviewed guidance answer. Codes overlap; original answers supply the evidence.

    draft, assistant, q, voter, a, declined, matched, shortlist, asked, chose, extract

    31rows

    Download who to vote for: coding (CSV)

  • Location and national answers

    nz-election-2026-towns.csv

    One row per matched national/location pair in this edition.

    edition, prompt id, platform, city region, national result id, city result id, same party names, same text

    123rows

    Download location and national answers (CSV)

  • Changes between editions

    nz-election-2026-comparisons.csv

    All 17 tracked parties; one row per identical question, assistant and location across the 12 and 16 October collections. Earlier coding restated after the 20 October identity correction.

    earlier edition, prompt id, platform, region, draft id, block, scenario id, scenario, issue, priority, earlier result id, current result id, same party set, added, removed, earlier parties, current parties

    792rows

    Download changes between editions (CSV)

  • No AI Overview produced

    nz-election-2026-coverage.csv

    One row per planned cell where no AI Overview was produced.

    questionId, assistant, collectionSetting, askedFrom, availability

    27rows

    Download no ai overview produced (CSV)

  • Party-identity corrections

    nz-election-2026-party-identity-corrections.csv

    Ten reviewed false matches removed from the restated Edition 2 and current Edition 3 comparisons; original answer text is unchanged.

    edition, result id, party, before present, include, reason, reviewer, reviewed on

    10rows

    Download party-identity corrections (CSV)

Use these tables to trace findings back to the original questions and answers. The full text of each answer is also on this page, under its question.

03

Read in full and checked

Some answers were read in detail or checked against official sources. Those appear on the study page, beside the findings they support.

ChatGPT · No location

We own a home with a mortgage, have school-age children and rely on two wages. After mortgage payments, rates, power and groceries, there is little buffer. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. Which parties have credible plans for electricity prices and supply?

New Zealand 2026 election: electricity prices and supply

For a household paying a mortgage, raising school-age children and relying on two incomes, electricity policy matters in two ways: what you pay each month and how reliably New Zealand can supply power without prices spiking.

Those goals overlap, but they are not identical. A party might offer immediate bill relief without changing the underlying cost of generating electricity. Another might prioritise new generation, which could improve supply over time but take years to affect household bills.

For your decision, I would compare parties on five practical questions:

  • Household bills: Will the policy reduce the amount you pay, and by how much?
  • Winter security: What happens when hydro lakes are low, demand is high and gas supplies are constrained?
  • New generation: Will the policy bring forward affordable wind, solar, geothermal, hydro or other generation?
  • Competition: Will it make it easier for households to get a better deal from electricity retailers?
  • Delivery and cost: Is there a funded, time-bound plan, or mainly a promise that electricity will become cheaper?

I'll focus on national policy and distinguish established policy from promises that still need to be confirmed for the 2026 election.

What the main parties are proposing

The policies below are those publicly available as of 16 October 2026. The election is scheduled for 7 November 2026. The main parties vying to form New Zealand's next governmentAffordable power Kiwis can rely on

Will National Party Finish 2nd in New Zealand's 2026 Election?

National

Approach: more supply, competition and dry-year backup

National's Electrify NZ 2.0 proposes faster renewable-project approvals, more competition in electricity connections, allowing solar owners to sell to any retailer, a Home Energy Fund offering long-term low-interest loans, and a backup-power contracting mechanism for dry years. It also proposes reviewing lines charges. Affordable power Kiwis can rely on

What to scrutinise: The plan relies on investment and competition to reduce prices over time. The size and timing of savings on a typical household bill are not guaranteed.

South Island Election Conference 2026

Labour

Approach: household assistance and stronger consumer protection

Labour proposes SolarSaver, with government-backed low-interest loans for solar panels and batteries, up to $3,000 in extra support for eligible low- and middle-income households, and a $30 million community-battery fund. It also proposes making electricity overcharging illegal and requiring companies found to have overcharged customers to repay them. Labour's Cost of Living PlanElection 2026: Political polarisation on energy and climate, except solar

What to scrutinise: The advertised saving of around $1,000 annually from solar is an estimate, not a guaranteed saving for every home. Ask what protections exist for households that cannot install solar or take on another loan.

Green Party NZ (@NZGreens) on X

Green Party

Approach: public investment in renewable power and household solar

The Greens propose a publicly owned generator, Kiwipower, to invest in renewable generation and fill supply gaps, alongside zero-interest loans for home solar and batteries, expanded solar for public and Māori housing, and community-owned energy. Green Party launches plan to cut power bills and take power back from the big energy companiesManifesto 2026

What to scrutinise: Public investment could help address gaps private investors leave unfilled, but the effect on bills depends on project costs, funding and how quickly new capacity comes online.

New Zealand legislative election winner? Predictions & Od... 2026 | Polymarket

New Zealand First

Approach: restructure the electricity market

NZ First proposes separating the big electricity companies' generation and retail businesses, arguing that this would improve competition. It also proposes long-term fixed-price contracts for new generation and giving household solar exports a stronger price guarantee. Breaking up the GentailersElection 2026: Political polarisation on energy and climate, except solar

What to scrutinise: This is a substantial structural change, but a lower household bill is not assured. Ask how separation would be implemented and how it would affect investment and reliability.

POLICY TRACKER: TOP wants to fund cheaper doctor visits with junk-food tax | New Zealand Doctor

ACT

Approach: private investment and open competition

ACT proposes allowing private investment in transmission, making electricity connections more competitive, letting households sell surplus solar power to any buyer, and requiring lines companies to demonstrate value for their charges. It opposes breaking up the major generator-retailers. ACT New ZealandACT vows to keep New Zealand’s power companies whole and let households sell solar to any buyer

What to scrutinise: More investment and easier connections could expand supply, but the key question is how quickly competition translates into lower retail prices and network charges.

The Opportunities Party (TOP)

TOP's Abundant Energy policy targets 30 GW of renewable generation capacity by 2050 and supports rooftop solar, community generation and storage, and electrification. Election 2026: Political polarisation on energy and climate, except solarNZ Party Energy Platforms 2026

What to scrutinise: The 2050 target is long-term; check the nearer-term milestones and how the plan addresses winter shortages.

The issue that separates the parties

New Zealand's electricity challenge is not simply building more renewable generation. It is also having dependable power during dry years, when hydro storage is low and wind generation may be limited.

  • National and ACT emphasise private investment, competition and backup supply.
  • Labour emphasises consumer protections and helping households adopt solar.
  • The Greens emphasise publicly owned renewable investment and household energy support.
  • NZ First emphasises structural separation of generation and retail companies.

Consumer NZ has argued for a combination of more renewable generation, dry-year backup and electricity-market reform. It also cautions, in effect, that market structure and investment need to be addressed together. Power. At what cost? The case for electricity reformNZ Party Energy Platforms 2026

How to assess the promises for your household

Before deciding, check each party's full policy for three things:

  1. Immediate relief: Is there assistance for households struggling with bills now, without requiring them to borrow or install solar?
  2. A credible supply plan: Are there funded projects and clear milestones for both new generation and dry-year backup?
  3. Evidence of savings: Does the party publish estimated bill reductions, explain who benefits, and identify when savings might arrive?

No party's announcement alone proves that your power bill will fall. The key distinction is between direct household assistance and reforms intended to lower prices over time. You can compare both against your household's priorities without relying on campaign claims alone.

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Gemini · No location

We own a home with a mortgage, have school-age children and rely on two wages. After mortgage payments, rates, power and groceries, there is little buffer. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. Which parties have credible plans for electricity prices and supply?

In the 2026 New Zealand general election, political parties offer distinct, competing philosophies for addressing household electricity costs and grid supply. For a household operating on two wages with a tight buffer, the major party approaches differ significantly in terms of immediate relief, market structure, and long-term infrastructure:

  • National focuses on increasing total electricity supply, expanding private investment, and boosting market competition. Their strategy includes the Electrify NZ framework to speed up renewable consents, opening up connection rules, and pushing for domestic gas development and backup options (such as an LNG import facility) to protect against dry-year hydro shortages. For household budgets, they propose a Home Energy Fund offering long-term loans for solar, batteries, and insulation, alongside pushing to make "affordability" an explicit legal objective for the Electricity Authority.
  • Labour centres its plan on direct household cost-reduction and consumer protection. Their headline policy is SolarSaver—a $160 million package providing government-backed low-interest finance, targeted subsidies of up to $3,000 for low- and middle-income households, community battery funding, and plug-in solutions for renters. They also propose giving the Commerce Commission stronger powers to crack down on excessive pricing and price gouging.
  • NZ First proposes a structural market overhaul, advocating for a Telecom-style split of the major vertically integrated gentailers (separating generation from retail arms) to increase competition and drive down power prices for families. They also place heavy emphasis on restoring traditional baseload fuel security and domestic exploration.
  • The Green Party features the Power for All of Us plan, which focuses on public ownership and decentralisation. They propose establishing a new state-owned generator called Kiwipower, offering zero-interest clean energy loans for up to 90% of homeowners, mandating renter rights to solar, and putting $200 million into community energy projects. They also support a member’s bill to structurally separate the gentailers.
  • ACT opposes structural market intervention or state ownership splits, arguing instead for deregulation, removing planning constraints on small-scale solar and battery markets, and boosting supply through the prompt expansion of resource exploration and market-led generation.

Credibility and Trade-offs:

  • Parties emphasizing direct subsidies and loans (like Labour and the Greens) offer tangible, immediate ways to lower individual household overhead via self-generation, though their long-term impact on national wholesale spot prices depends heavily on execution scale.
  • Parties emphasizing market reform and supply growth (like National, NZ First, and ACT) target structural drivers of wholesale pricing, betting that boosting overall megawatt output or breaking up corporate market power will naturally tame bills, though these measures take longer to flow down to weekly household budgets.
Ask Gemini

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Google AI Mode · No location

We own a home with a mortgage, have school-age children and rely on two wages. After mortgage payments, rates, power and groceries, there is little buffer. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. Which parties have credible plans for electricity prices and supply?

For a household balancing a tight budget with a mortgage and dependent children, electricity bills are a critical cost-of-living pressure. Ahead of the November 7, 2026 general election, New Zealand's political parties have outlined contrasting philosophies and policy packages to address electricity pricing, grid security, and generation supply.

Evaluating which party has a "credible" plan depends on whether you believe relief comes best from regulatory intervention and lines-company oversight, household-level solar adoption, or massive state-backed or private-sector generation investment.

National Party

  • The Plan: A nine-point energy plan focusing heavily on consumer cost-of-living relief via lines companies and Transpower regulation. It proposes reviewing Part 4 of the Commerce Act to reassess revenue caps, mandating that lines companies approve residential and small-business solar connections within two working days with automatic compensation, and opening transmission lines to private investment. They also propose low-interest council-rate-repaid loans to help households invest in rooftop solar.

  • Credibility & Impact for Tight Budgets: National’s approach targets the fixed "lines charges" component of your power bill and aims to fast-track small-scale solar and private transmission to reduce bottlenecks. However, critics argue that relying on regulatory reviews and lines-company constraints offers delayed rather than immediate relief for families rationing power right now.

Labour Party

  • The Plan: Focuses on immediate household support and consumer protections. Alongside offering low-interest loans repaid through council rates for solar installations, Labour proposes a $3,000 direct subsidy specifically targeted at low- and middle-income families to help them adopt household solar.

  • Credibility & Impact for Tight Budgets: For a household with little buffer, a direct financial subsidy ($3,000) combined with rate-scheme financing for solar lowers the barrier to entry for self-generation, which can meaningfully clip monthly power bills over the medium term. Critics question the fiscal cost and whether it adequately solves the broader wholesale dry-year generation deficits. [Cogo]

Green Party

  • The Plan: Proposes the most structural market intervention: creating "Kiwipower," a publicly owned energy company tasked with building new renewable generation and dry-year backup capacity. They also propose zero-interest loans covering up to 90% of household clean-energy costs, community renewable projects, and fair export prices for rooftop solar.

  • Credibility & Impact for Tight Budgets: The zero-interest loan scheme (up to 90%) is mathematically powerful for reducing capital barriers to home solar. Long-term, a state-owned generator aimed at non-profit or affordable supply could structurally alter wholesale prices, though setting up a new state energy entity takes considerable time and capital investment. [Power Compare]

ACT Party

  • The Plan: Focuses on supply-side abundance through free-market competition. ACT emphasizes opening up transmission infrastructure to private investment, scrapping previous resource constraints/oil-and-gas bans, reforming the Resource Management Act (RMA) to fast-track generation, and forcing monopoly lines companies to justify costs. They argue that commercial banks already offer adequate green loans, so direct state solar intervention is unnecessary.

  • Credibility & Impact for Tight Budgets: ACT’s theory is that more abundant energy supply and competition naturally drive wholesale prices down. However, it relies heavily on macro-level market supply and private infrastructure building rather than offering direct, targeted relief or subsidies for a household's immediate weekly cash flow.

New Zealand First & Opportunity Party (TOP)

  • NZ First advocates for restructuring the major electricity generation companies and prioritizing local infrastructure capacity before major developments.

  • The Opportunity Party (TOP) proposes sweeping market reforms and low-interest transition loans for households going electric, aiming to aggressively scale up renewables to reshape the wholesale market.

Summary Perspective for Your Situation

  • If you want direct financial assistance to lower capital barriers for household solar (to generate your own power and cut bills), Labour (with its targeted $3,000 subsidy) and the Greens (with 90% zero-interest loans) offer the most aggressive household-level interventions.

  • If you prefer regulatory pressure on fixed line costs and streamlined solar connection rights, National's lines-company and transmission focus is tailored toward squeezing middle-man delivery costs.

  • If you believe the core issue is a lack of overall supply and red tape , ACT's focus on deregulation, private investment, and RMA reform aims to force market-wide abundance.

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AI Overviews · No location

We own a home with a mortgage, have school-age children and rely on two wages. After mortgage payments, rates, power and groceries, there is little buffer. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. Which parties have credible plans for electricity prices and supply?

AI Overview

The major political parties contesting the 2026 New Zealand general election have proposed distinct, competing plans to address household power bills and long-term energy supply. For a household balancing a mortgage and children with a limited financial buffer, these policies generally split into two main approaches: direct financial relief for household solar installations and wider structural or regulatory reform of the energy market.

Household Solar and Bill Relief (Immediate relief focus)

If you are looking for ways to directly lower your home energy costs via upgrades, the major center-right and center-left parties have competing loan and grant schemes:

  • National: Promising an "Electrify NZ 2.0" plan. It features a Home Energy Fund providing long-term, low-interest loans (secured against your property and repaid through council rates) to fund solar panels, batteries, heat pumps, and insulation. To use this, you must have at least 20% equity in your home. National also plans to legalize off-the-shelf "plug-in" solar panels within its first six months in office and remove local council consent requirements for residential solar.
  • Labour: Proposing "SolarSaver" , a $160 million package. This offers two low-cost financing options—one property-linked through council rates and one through your lines company repaid directly on your power bill. Critically for tight budgets, it includes a means-tested kickstart grant of up to $3,000 for low- and middle-income households to eliminate upfront costs entirely. They also promise to outlaw price gouging in essential services.
  • The Green Party: Offering zero-interest clean energy loans covering up to 90% of household solar and battery installation costs (up to $25,000). They also support a $970 million expansion of the Warmer Kiwi Homes programme to subsidize household energy efficiency upgrades and insulation.

Energy Supply & Market Rules (Long-term systemic focus)

To ensure the grid has reliable supply—especially during "dry years" when hydro lakes are low—the parties propose fundamentally different market strategies:

Party Strategy for Electricity Supply & Generation Market Competition & Price Regulation
National Boost exploration & fast-track build: Supports domestic gas development and an LNG import facility for dry-year backup. Cutting Resource Management Act (RMA) red tape to accelerate private renewable projects. Regulation & Choice: Wants to force the Electricity Authority to legally prioritize affordability alongside reliability. Mandates lines companies to allow you to sell your excess solar power to any power company, not just your provider.
Labour Clean energy transition: Reinstating the ban on new offshore oil and gas exploration, favoring a clear long-term direction toward 100% renewable generation. Strengthened Monitoring: Giving the Commerce Commission new powers to investigate and penalize large energy companies using excessive market power.
Green Party State-owned generation: Establishing "Kiwipower" , a $980 million publicly owned electricity company tasked with building renewable generation and securing dry-year backup supply independent of commercial market gaps. Enforced Separation: Supports breaking up the major "gentailers" (companies that both generate and retail electricity) to stop them from profiting off high wholesale spot prices.
New Zealand First Resource extraction: Funding a $1 billion national subsurface energy survey for oil, gas, and geothermal assets to protect long-term domestic supply security. Structural Breakup: Headline policy is a Telecom-style forced breakup of the big four gentailers (separating generation from retail) to artificially drive down retail market costs.
ACT Deregulation: Keeping the existing energy companies whole, relying entirely on market forces and standard supply competition rather than state subsidies or corporate breakups. Rule Reform: Focuses on easing lines management restrictions and removing barriers to private investment to keep costs down.

If you want to investigate how these changes might align with your specific budget, I can provide more details on the eligibility criteria for the solar loan schemes or explain how the proposed gentailer breakups are expected to affect everyday consumer pricing. Turnout and enrollment deadlines for the election are coming up; would you like information on how to ensure your family is registered to vote?

Ask anything

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