Search studies, brands and more…⌘ KExplore research

Evidence · NZ Election 2026 · Edition 3

Every question, every answer, every source

All 174 questions and the 793 answers produced on 16 October 2026. The 27 remaining cells produced no AI Overview.

questions
174
answers saved
793
collected
16 Oct 2026

01

Every question, with its answers

Each question was written as a voter would ask it and went to all four assistants. Some were also asked from a town. Open a question to read every answer to it in full.

Showing 20 of 174 questions

Show all 174

02

The tables behind the study

Every figure on the study page comes from these tables. They are CSV files, which open in any spreadsheet.

  • Questions

    nz-election-2026-questions.csv

    One row per unchanged question.

    id, draft, text, voterCode, issue, towns

    174rows

    Download questions (CSV)

  • Answers

    nz-election-2026-answers.csv

    One row per produced answer, with its complete original text. Parties covers all 17 tracked parties; displayed parties covers the seven charted parties.

    result id, prompt id, draft id, scenario id, platform, region, words, parties, displayed parties, literal url answer, temporal pair, common four platforms, response text

    793rows

    Download answers (CSV)

  • Sources by answer

    nz-election-2026-sources.csv

    One row per website associated with an answer; repeated citations count once.

    answer id, question id, assistant, region, domain, publisher

    4,275rows

    Download sources by answer (CSV)

  • Checks against official sources

    nz-election-2026-checks.csv

    One row per reviewed claim and assistant, including cells where the assertion was not stated.

    checkId, claimToTest, category, answerId, questionId, assistant, assertionPresent, assertion, verdict, whatTheSourceSays, checkedOn, evidence

    18rows

    Download checks against official sources (CSV)

  • Who to vote for: coding

    nz-election-2026-guidance.csv

    One row per manually reviewed guidance answer. Codes overlap; original answers supply the evidence.

    draft, assistant, q, voter, a, declined, matched, shortlist, asked, chose, extract

    31rows

    Download who to vote for: coding (CSV)

  • Location and national answers

    nz-election-2026-towns.csv

    One row per matched national/location pair in this edition.

    edition, prompt id, platform, city region, national result id, city result id, same party names, same text

    123rows

    Download location and national answers (CSV)

  • Changes between editions

    nz-election-2026-comparisons.csv

    All 17 tracked parties; one row per identical question, assistant and location across the 12 and 16 October collections. Earlier coding restated after the 20 October identity correction.

    earlier edition, prompt id, platform, region, draft id, block, scenario id, scenario, issue, priority, earlier result id, current result id, same party set, added, removed, earlier parties, current parties

    792rows

    Download changes between editions (CSV)

  • No AI Overview produced

    nz-election-2026-coverage.csv

    One row per planned cell where no AI Overview was produced.

    questionId, assistant, collectionSetting, askedFrom, availability

    27rows

    Download no ai overview produced (CSV)

  • Party-identity corrections

    nz-election-2026-party-identity-corrections.csv

    Ten reviewed false matches removed from the restated Edition 2 and current Edition 3 comparisons; original answer text is unchanged.

    edition, result id, party, before present, include, reason, reviewer, reviewed on

    10rows

    Download party-identity corrections (CSV)

Use these tables to trace findings back to the original questions and answers. The full text of each answer is also on this page, under its question.

03

Read in full and checked

Some answers were read in detail or checked against official sources. Those appear on the study page, beside the findings they support.

ChatGPT · No location

My partner and I rent, have steady jobs and are trying to save a deposit for our first home. We worry that the target keeps moving. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. How do the parties' housing plans differ for first-home buyers rather than existing property owners?

New Zealand 2026 election: housing policies for first-home buyers

If you and your partner are both working and paying rent while trying to save a deposit, the key question isn't simply which party says it supports home ownership. It's which policies would help you buy sooner, and which might make it easier or harder to keep up with house prices while you're saving.

For the 2026 New Zealand general election, on 7 November, it helps to separate housing policy into three things:

  • Getting the deposit: Can you buy with a smaller deposit, or save more from your income?
  • Affording the house: Will more homes be built, and will prices become more manageable relative to your wages?
  • Competing with investors: Do the policies change the tax treatment or incentives for people buying property as an investment?

These are different problems, and parties take different approaches to them. A policy that helps you get a mortgage sooner doesn't necessarily make the house itself cheaper. Policies for Party vote - NZ Election 2026The main parties vying to form New Zealand's next government

How the main parties differ

Based on published 2026 policies available as of 15 October 2026. Proposals are campaign commitments, not guaranteed outcomes.

Will National Party Finish 2nd in New Zealand's 2026 Election?

National — lower the deposit barrier

Main first-home proposal: Expand access to 5% deposit loans through the First Home Loan scheme, raising the income cap to $300,000 for all applicants. National is backing first home buyers

South Island Election Conference 2026

Labour — strengthen savings and change investment-property taxation

Main relevant proposals: Increase compulsory employer KiwiSaver contributions to 6% by 2032, and introduce a 28% capital gains tax on investment-property profits from 1 July 2027, excluding family homes. Labour's 2026 Election Policies

  • For you: Higher employer contributions could help grow your KiwiSaver over time, including if you qualify to withdraw it for a first home.
  • Investor competition: Taxing gains on investment properties could change the relative financial appeal of investing in property versus other assets.
  • Trade-off: Higher employer contributions are phased in, not an immediate cash payment toward your deposit. The tax would apply to eligible gains, not the entire sale price, and wouldn't directly lower every home's price.
  • Broader approach: Labour also proposes restarting Kāinga Ora housebuilding through its Start Work Now programme. Labour's 2026 Election Policies

Green Party NZ (@NZGreens) on X

Green Party — shift housing away from investment speculation

Main approach: Reverse landlord tax cuts, build tens of thousands of public homes, and strengthen renters' rights. The Greens also propose capping annual rent increases at 2% and reversing no-cause evictions. Greens announce plan to end homelessness & fix housing crisisManifesto 2026

  • For you: If rent rises are eating into your deposit savings, the proposed rent cap could help make those costs more predictable.
  • Investor competition: Reversing landlord tax advantages is intended to reduce the tax incentives that favour property investors over would-be owner-occupiers.
  • Broader approach: Public and community housing investment, rather than relying only on private developers to increase supply.
  • Trade-off: A rent cap would protect eligible tenants against some increases, but wouldn't automatically reduce your current rent or the price of a home you want to buy.

New Zealand Legislative Election Winner 2026 Odds | Polymarket

ACT — make building easier and faster

Main approach: Remove regulatory barriers to building more homes and improve pathways for new building methods, alongside addressing infrastructure constraints. ACT on HousingACT New Zealand

  • For you: If planning restrictions and slow construction are limiting supply where you want to live, ACT's approach aims to address those constraints.
  • Investor competition: Its housing approach focuses more on increasing supply than on changing the tax treatment of property investors.
  • Trade-off: Easier construction may increase the number of homes available, but how much that affects prices depends on where homes are built, what types are built, and how quickly supply responds.

New Zealand legislative election winner? Predictions & Od... 2026 | Polymarket

New Zealand First — check the detail of its housing commitments

Its published 2026 material and campaign coverage do not establish a comparably clear, specific first-home deposit package in the sources reviewed here. NZ First - Party for Party vote - NZ Election 2026The main parties vying to form New Zealand's next government

  • For you: Look for a firm commitment on deposit assistance, housing supply, and the treatment of investors before assuming its broader economic or immigration policies will make buying easier.
  • What to check: Whether a proposed measure has a defined budget, eligibility rules and implementation date.

Opportunity (TOP) — change the incentives around land

One of its headline economic proposals is an annual land value tax of 1.75% on residential land, alongside wider tax changes. The main parties vying to form New Zealand's next governmentPolicies for Party vote - NZ Election 2026

  • For you: A tax on land value could change the economics of holding land, including land that isn't being used intensively.
  • Investor competition: Depending on the full design, it could change the relative costs of holding property and encourage more productive land use.
  • Trade-off: The effect on first-home buyers depends on how the tax is implemented, how land prices respond, and how the wider tax package affects households. It isn't a direct deposit grant.

For the full party-by-party policy descriptions, use the non-partisan election guide: Policy.nz — 2026 housing policies. Policies for Party vote - NZ Election 2026

What could actually change your path to home ownership?

Here's a practical comparison of the policy mechanisms, rather than a ranking of parties.

If your biggest problem is… Policies to examine closely Main limitation
Saving a large enough deposit National's expanded 5% deposit scheme You still need to qualify for a mortgage and afford repayments.
Saving while paying rent Greens' proposed rent cap; Labour's KiwiSaver changes Rent restrictions don't necessarily reduce existing rents, and KiwiSaver changes take time.
House prices rising faster than wages Opportunity's land value tax; Labour's investment-property capital gains tax; Greens' landlord tax changes Effects on prices are uncertain and depend on how policies are designed and implemented.
Too few homes available National's and ACT's supply-focused approaches; Labour's public housing programme; Greens' public housing investment; Opportunity's building reforms More construction takes time, and the location and type of homes matter.

Sources: party policy statements and the 2026 election housing comparison. National is backing first home buyersLabour's 2026 Election PoliciesGreens announce plan to end homelessness & fix housing crisisACT on HousingAffordable HousingTax ResetPolicies for Party vote - NZ Election 2026

One further distinction matters: a policy can help first-home buyers without directly favouring them over existing owners. For example, building more homes could benefit renters and buyers generally. Deposit assistance targets first-home buyers more directly, while changes to investor taxation aim to change the incentives that shape the property market.

Three questions worth asking before you vote

  1. Will we have more money left to save each payday? Consider the effects of tax, KiwiSaver contributions, rent and other living costs together.
  2. Will the home we're aiming for become more affordable relative to our income? Look for credible mechanisms to increase supply or change incentives, not just promises to help people borrow.
  3. How soon could the policy affect us? A scheme available now or early in the next parliamentary term is different from a long-term construction programme or a tax change that takes years to influence prices.

Also check the implementation details: eligibility limits, funding, commencement dates and whether the party has explained how it would get the policy through Parliament.

Where to compare the details

My suggestion is to compare the parties against the same three measures: deposit accessibility, house-price affordability and the time it would take to see a benefit. That gives you a way to assess the policies against your own circumstances without assuming that any one party's promises will necessarily deliver the outcome it predicts.

Ask anything

ChatGPT can make mistakes. Check important info.

Captured 16 October 2026 · shown as ChatGPT gave it, not a verified account

Gemini · No location

My partner and I rent, have steady jobs and are trying to save a deposit for our first home. We worry that the target keeps moving. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. How do the parties' housing plans differ for first-home buyers rather than existing property owners?

Navigating the property market as a first-home buyer while renting and watching the target shift is a frustration shared by many younger New Zealanders. For the 2026 general election, the major political parties have laid out distinct philosophies. Their policies draw a sharp line between measures aimed at helping first-home buyers (FHBs) get a foot on the ladder versus those that affect existing property owners and investors.

1. National (Current Government)

  • For First-Home Buyers: National's core focus is on lowering the entry barrier via financing. They are pledging to significantly expand the Kāinga Ora First Home Loan scheme, which allows eligible buyers to purchase with a 5% deposit instead of the standard 20%. They propose raising the income caps (currently $95,000 for individuals and $150,000 for couples/families) to a flat $300,000 for anyone, which would bring many dual-income households currently locked out into eligibility. On supply, they emphasize planning reform (RMA replacement) and loosening restrictions to build more dwellings.
  • For Existing Property Owners / Investors: National has already restored full mortgage interest deductibility for landlords and opposes new property taxes. Their supply-side push is designed to scale up development, which they argue will stabilize prices over the long term, though critics note these policies are historically favored by existing investors.
  • The Debate: While the 5% deposit scheme lets FHBs buy sooner, critics argue that lowering the deposit requirement while house prices remain high simply saddles buyers with larger mortgages and thinner equity buffers if the market dips.

2. Labour

  • For First-Home Buyers: Labour positions its housing strategy around long-term affordability and public investment. Rather than focusing heavily on low-deposit schemes, Labour's approach leans toward systemic market cooling and boosting public infrastructure and housing supply to curb runaway price growth.
  • For Existing Property Owners / Investors: Labour’s headline policy is the introduction of a flat 28% capital gains tax on residential investment and commercial properties (excluding the family home, farms, and KiwiSaver) starting in mid-2027. This directly targets property investors and multi-property owners to level the playing field against first-home buyers, shifting the tax burden away from income and onto speculative property gains.
  • The Debate: Proponents argue a capital gains tax removes the tax-preferred status of housing speculation, reducing the advantage existing investors have over first-home buyers. Detractors argue it could disrupt the rental market or suppress overall construction activity.

3. Green Party

  • For First-Home Buyers & Renters: The Greens focus heavily on renters (since many FHBs are long-term renters) by proposing rent increase caps, stricter tenancy protections, and a massive state and public housing build programme. They argue that stabilizing renting conditions helps people save deposits without facing erratic cost-of-living spikes.
  • For Existing Property Owners / Investors: The Greens advocate for progressive property and wealth taxes, including a wealth tax on net assets over $10 million (with the family home exempt), extending the bright-line test to 10 years, and removing mortgage interest deductibility for landlords.
  • The Debate: These policies are explicitly designed to discourage land-banking and property speculation, redirecting capital away from residential real estate and toward productive economic sectors.

4. ACT

  • For First-Home Buyers: ACT focuses primarily on radical supply-side deregulation rather than demand-side subsidies (like grants or low-deposit caps). They argue that the best way to help first-home buyers is to slash red tape, let builders opt out of certain council consents, and reform the RMA so land can be opened up cheaply and quickly.
  • For Existing Property Owners / Investors: ACT staunchly opposes capital gains taxes and wealth taxes, favoring property rights and lower regulation. They believe that freeing up land supply is the only sustainable mechanism to lower house prices naturally.
  • The Debate: Free-market advocates argue deregulation speeds up building and lowers costs. Critics worry that removing consent structures and environmental protections risks quality issues and places infrastructure burdens onto local councils.

5. New Zealand First

  • For First-Home Buyers: NZ First has proposed exploring a shared equity (co-investment) scheme, where the government takes an equity stake in a first-time buyer's home. This reduces the size of the commercial mortgage required, helping buyers clear bank serviceability hurdles. They also maintain a strict stance on protecting the foreign buyer ban.
  • For Existing Property Owners / Investors: NZ First generally steers a middle path on property taxation, prioritizing cost-of-living measures and regional economic support while protecting resident homeowners.

Summary Checklist for Your Vote

When deciding how these plans impact your position as a saving-up first-home buyer versus existing owners:

  • If you want immediate assistance breaking into the market with a smaller upfront pool: Parties like National offer expanded low-deposit financing pathways to get you through the door faster.
  • If you want policy explicitly designed to cool investor demand and shift market advantage away from multi-property owners: Parties like Labour and the Greens propose tax structures (like capital gains or wealth taxes) aimed at dampening speculative property investing.
  • If you believe structural deregulation is the only cure: Parties like ACT target land supply and council red tape to organically lower the cost of building.
Ask Gemini

Gemini is AI and can make mistakes.

Captured 16 October 2026 · shown as Gemini gave it, not a verified account

Google AI Mode · No location

My partner and I rent, have steady jobs and are trying to save a deposit for our first home. We worry that the target keeps moving. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. How do the parties' housing plans differ for first-home buyers rather than existing property owners?

When navigating the property market as renters trying to save a deposit, the distinction between policies favoring first-home buyers versus existing property owners/investors comes down to how different political parties view market stimulus, taxation, and supply.

The major political parties approach this dynamic through distinct lenses:

  • National: Focuses heavily on lowering entry barriers for first-home buyers rather than tightening the screws on investors. They have restored interest deductibility and shortened the bright-line test for property owners. For first-home buyers, National's prominent proposal is expanding access to the First Home Loan scheme with a 5% deposit by dramatically lifting the household income cap to $300,000 (up from $95,000 single / $150,000 couple). This makes lower-deposit entry accessible to higher-earning dual-income households who might otherwise struggle to save a full 20% while renting.

  • Labour: Focuses more on direct state and public intervention, emphasizing public and social housing supply (pledging thousands of additional social housing places) and infrastructure support to ease broader market pressures. Historically, Labour leans toward policies that level the playing field against residential property investors (such as restricting landlord tax advantages), aiming to cool speculative demand that moves the affordability target away from owner-occupiers.

  • ACT: Generally opposes capital gains or land taxes on property owners, and favors cutting top and trustee tax rates, arguing that incentivizing general economic growth and slashing red tape for greenfield and urban development is the best way to spur private housing supply. Their approach relies heavily on market-led construction rather than targeted buyer subsidies. [Realestate.co.nz]

  • New Zealand First: Concentrates tightly on infrastructure-led development (ensuring roads, water, and wastewater are fully funded and delivered before major developments proceed) to prevent ratepayers from absorbing poorly planned growth costs, alongside banking shifts like exploring stronger local banking scale.

  • The Opportunity Party (TOP): Proposes a structural shift via a comprehensive land value tax (up to 1.75% annually on urban land) that applies to all property—including owner-occupied homes—paired with a broader citizen’s income. They model that this would structurally lower overall house prices by 10%-15% over time, making initial entry cheaper while changing the financial math of land holding for all property owners. [Realestate.co.nz]

You can compare individual party manifestos and details directly on Policy.nz or read market breakdowns via Real Estate NZ Property Market News.

If you'd like to narrow this down, tell me:

  • What is your combined household income bracket?
  • Are you looking more at first-home buyer grants/loans assistance or broader market price cooling?

I can give you a more tailored breakdown of how these specific factors impact your deposit timeline.

Ask anything

Captured 16 October 2026 · shown as Google AI Mode gave it, not a verified account

AI Overviews · No location

My partner and I rent, have steady jobs and are trying to save a deposit for our first home. We worry that the target keeps moving. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. How do the parties' housing plans differ for first-home buyers rather than existing property owners?

AI Overview

Major political parties in New Zealand approach housing ahead of the 2026 general election by splitting their focus between lowering entry barriers for first-home buyers and protecting or adjusting the incentives for existing property owners and investors.

National Party (Incumbent / Governing)

  • First-Home Buyers:
  • Proposes expanding the Kāinga Ora First Home Loan scheme (which allows a 5% deposit instead of the standard 20%) by raising the income eligibility cap to a flat $300,000 for all applicants (removing previous limits of $95,000 for singles and $150,000 for couples/dependants).
  • Focuses on supply-side measures, including RMA (Resource Management Act) reform, faster consenting, and easier rules for building granny flats.
  • Existing Property Owners & Landlords:
  • Has already restored interest deductibility for residential landlords (saving investors thousands in tax per year on mortgages) and shortened the bright-line test to 2 years.
  • Maintains that it will introduce no new property taxes (such as a capital gains tax or wealth tax).

Labour Party

  • First-Home Buyers:
  • Historically favoured direct grants and support schemes (though criticized by opponents for past cuts/adjustments), and aligns broadly with expanding low-deposit options while emphasizing long-term state and affordable housing builds.
  • Existing Property Owners & Landlords:
  • Tends to advocate for measures that level the playing field against speculative investor demand, with a historical inclination toward restricting certain tax advantages for landlords compared to owner-occupiers.

New Zealand First (NZ First)

  • First-Home Buyers:
  • Proposed a shared equity / co-investment scheme where the government takes an equity stake in a first home to lower the required private mortgage size.
  • Existing Property Owners & Landlords:
  • Focuses heavily on demand-side controls via immigration adjustments to curb rapid population-driven housing pressure, while supporting measures aimed at housing availability for citizens.

The Greens & Te Pāti Māori

  • First-Home Buyers:
  • Focus heavily on large-scale state/public housing construction , tenant security, and progressive taxation (such as land value taxes or wealth taxes) rather than just pushing more people into leveraged private debt.
  • Existing Property Owners & Landlords:
  • Propose stronger regulation of the rental market (e.g., rental warrants of fitness, rent control/limitations) and tax reforms that reduce the financial advantages held by multi-property investors.

Key Takeaway for First-Home Buyers

  • Schemes like National's $300,000 income cap for 5% deposits make it easier to get past the deposit wall with a steady income, though critics note that low-deposit lending can keep purchase prices elevated if housing supply doesn't scale up.
  • Parties differ sharply on whether to tax or regulate existing landlords (Labour, Greens, Te Pāti Māori) versus preserving investor tax breaks and avoiding capital gains taxes (National, ACT).

If you'd like to narrow this down, let me know:

  • Your combined household income and current savings/KiwiSaver balance
  • Which region or city you are hoping to buy in

I can help outline how specific loan caps or serviceability tests might apply to your situation.

Ask anything

Captured 16 October 2026 · shown as AI Overviews gave it, not a verified account