Evidence · NZ Election 2026 · Edition 3

Every question, every answer, every source

All 174 questions and the 793 answers produced on 16 October 2026. The 27 remaining cells produced no AI Overview.

questions
174
answers saved
793
collected
16 Oct 2026

01

Every question, with its answers

Each question was written as a voter would ask it and went to all four assistants. Some were also asked from a town. Open a question to read every answer to it in full.

Showing 20 of 174 questions

02

The tables behind the study

Every figure on the study page comes from these tables. They are CSV files, which open in any spreadsheet.

  • Questions

    nz-election-2026-questions.csv

    One row per unchanged question.

    id, draft, text, voterCode, issue, towns

  • Answers

    nz-election-2026-answers.csv

    One row per produced answer, with its complete original text. Parties covers all 17 tracked parties; displayed parties covers the seven charted parties.

    result id, prompt id, draft id, scenario id, platform, region, words, parties, displayed parties, literal url answer, temporal pair, common four platforms, response text

  • Sources by answer

    nz-election-2026-sources.csv

    One row per website associated with an answer; repeated citations count once.

    answer id, question id, assistant, region, domain, publisher

  • Checks against official sources

    nz-election-2026-checks.csv

    One row per reviewed claim and assistant, including cells where the assertion was not stated.

    checkId, claimToTest, category, answerId, questionId, assistant, assertionPresent, assertion, verdict, whatTheSourceSays, checkedOn, evidence

  • Who to vote for: coding

    nz-election-2026-guidance.csv

    One row per manually reviewed guidance answer. Codes overlap; original answers supply the evidence.

    draft, assistant, q, voter, a, declined, matched, shortlist, asked, chose, extract

  • Location and national answers

    nz-election-2026-towns.csv

    One row per matched national/location pair in this edition.

    edition, prompt id, platform, city region, national result id, city result id, same party names, same text

  • Changes between editions

    nz-election-2026-comparisons.csv

    All 17 tracked parties; one row per identical question, assistant and location across the 12 and 16 October collections. Earlier coding restated after the 20 October identity correction.

    earlier edition, prompt id, platform, region, draft id, block, scenario id, scenario, issue, priority, earlier result id, current result id, same party set, added, removed, earlier parties, current parties

  • No AI Overview produced

    nz-election-2026-coverage.csv

    One row per planned cell where no AI Overview was produced.

    questionId, assistant, collectionSetting, askedFrom, availability

  • Party-identity corrections

    nz-election-2026-party-identity-corrections.csv

    Ten reviewed false matches removed from the restated Edition 2 and current Edition 3 comparisons; original answer text is unchanged.

    edition, result id, party, before present, include, reason, reviewer, reviewed on

Use these tables to trace findings back to the original questions and answers. The full text of each answer is also on this page, under its question.

03

Read in full and checked

Some answers were read in detail or checked against official sources. Those appear on the study page, beside the findings they support.

ChatGPT · No location

My partner and I rent, have steady jobs and are trying to save a deposit for our first home. We worry that the target keeps moving. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. What do parties propose about investors, land use and building more homes, and how might those choices affect first-home prices?

If you and your partner are working steadily, paying rent and trying to save a deposit, the crucial question for the 2026 New Zealand election is not simply which party promises cheaper houses. It is which policies could make homes more affordable relative to your wages, and how quickly those changes might happen.

Three policy choices matter especially:

  • Investors and tax: Should buying property as an investment receive the same tax treatment it does now, or should the rules favour owner-occupiers and first-home buyers?
  • Land use and planning: How easily can councils allow more homes in places where people want to live, including apartments, townhouses and homes on subdivided sections?
  • Building more homes: Who will finance construction, provide infrastructure and build enough houses to meet demand?

These policies work together. Restricting investor demand might help first-home buyers compete, but if there aren't enough homes, prices can remain high. Allowing more homes to be built can ease scarcity, but new housing takes time, infrastructure and workers.

New Zealand's general election is on Saturday, 7 November 2026. The party you vote for matters, but so does the coalition that emerges from the result. The main parties vying to form New Zealand's next governmentPolicies for Party vote - NZ Election 2026

1. Where the major parties differ

The clearest contrast is between parties that put more emphasis on keeping property investment attractive, parties that want to change investor tax incentives, and parties that propose bigger changes to the way land is taxed.

Will National Party Finish 2nd in New Zealand's 2026 Election?

National

Keep investment attractive; help buyers with deposits

National has retained tax settings favourable to residential landlords, including restored mortgage-interest deductibility and a shorter two-year bright-line test. Its new first-home proposal would raise the income cap for the First Home Loan scheme to $300,000, helping more eligible buyers access a 5% deposit loan. NZ election 2026: What every party plans for housing, ranked2026 Election Policy

Possible effect on you: A smaller required deposit could bring your purchase forward. But easier access to borrowing doesn't necessarily make homes cheaper; if housing supply is slow to respond, additional buying power can also support prices.

South Island Election Conference 2026

Labour

Tax gains on investment property; build more public housing

Labour proposes a 28% capital gains tax on gains from residential investment and commercial property, holiday homes and other second properties, with gains accrued before 1 July 2027 excluded. It has also promised at least 6,000 additional social housing places over four years, including $2.9 billion for Kāinga Ora to build state houses. Labour has said it will not reverse the current government's restoration of interest deductibility. NZ election 2026: What every party plans for housing, rankedTax Tips: 2026 General Election

Possible effect on you: Taxing future investment gains could make some investors less willing to pay high prices, potentially improving your position as a buyer. The effect depends on how investors respond, and the tax is not a guaranteed house-price cut. More public housing would directly help some households and could ease pressure on the wider rental market.

Green Party NZ (@NZGreens) on X

Green Party

Reduce landlord tax advantages; expand public housing

The Greens propose removing mortgage-interest deductibility for residential investment property again and restoring the 10-year bright-line period. Their housing plan also calls for tens of thousands of public homes, a 2% cap on annual rent increases, stronger renter protections and a rental warrant of fitness. NZ election 2026: What every party plans for housing, rankedGreens announce plan to end homelessness & fix housing crisis

Possible effect on you: Reducing the tax advantages of leveraged property investment could temper investor demand and make it easier to compete for an existing home. But some landlords might sell, reduce investment or try to pass costs on through rents. The overall impact depends on whether homes are built and rental supply remains adequate.

New Zealand Legislative Election Winner 2026 Odds | Polymarket

ACT New Zealand

Reduce barriers to building; oppose capital and wealth taxes

ACT opposes capital gains and wealth taxes and advocates making construction easier. Its proposals have included changing building-consent arrangements and giving councils a share of GST revenue from new homes, creating a financial incentive to permit development. NZ election 2026: What every party plans for housing, rankedThe main parties vying to form New Zealand's next government

Possible effect on you: If these changes lead to more homes being completed in places people want to live, supply could grow and price increases could moderate. The key test is whether consent reform translates into actual homes, backed by infrastructure, rather than just more development permissions.

New Zealand legislative election winner? Predictions & Od... 2026 | Polymarket

New Zealand First

Less extensive housing-specific change

One of its prominent proposals is to buy back BNZ and merge it with Kiwibank. The effect on mortgage competition and home loans is uncertain; the party has fewer major housing-specific proposals than some of its competitors. NZ election 2026: What every party plans for housing, rankedThe main parties vying to form New Zealand's next government

Possible effect on you: The important question would be whether banking changes improve mortgage rates or access to lending. This is a less direct route to lowering house prices than increasing housing supply.

Current party and logo applications  | Elections NZ

Opportunity Party

Tax land value; overhaul planning and housing finance

Opportunity proposes an annual land value tax of 1.75% on urban land and 0.5% on rural land, alongside a broader tax-and-transfer reform package. Its housing policies include simplifying planning zones, speeding up modular-building approvals and improving access to finance for affordable and social housing. The land tax would also affect owner-occupiers. Affordable HousingTax Tips: 2026 General ElectionNZ election 2026: What every party plans for housing, ranked

Possible effect on you: A tax on land can encourage owners to put valuable land to productive use rather than hold it idle, and it could reduce the price buyers are willing to pay for land. But it would also impose an ongoing cost on your household after buying, so the wider tax package and its effect on your disposable income matter.

Te Pāti Māori (@Maori_Party) on X

Te Pāti Māori

Target land banking and vacant properties

Its published tax proposals include a 33% land-banking tax, a 2% vacant-house tax and a 5% stamp duty on residential sales, with an exemption for first-home buyers purchasing homes below $1 million. Its detailed housing platform should be checked against its latest announcements; independent election coverage has noted that a comprehensive official housing policy has not been released. Tax Tips: 2026 General ElectionNZ election 2026: What every party plans for housing, ranked

Possible effect on you: Taxes on unused land and vacant homes aim to discourage holding property out of use. A first-home exemption from stamp duty would help eligible buyers directly, while the effects of the other taxes on prices and rental supply are less certain.

These are proposals, not guaranteed outcomes. Check the parties' latest policy pages before voting, particularly where policies are still being developed. A useful independent starting point is Policy.nz's 2026 housing comparison. Policies for Party vote - NZ Election 2026Tax Tips: 2026 General Election

2. Why land use and building might matter more than investor taxes alone

Investor taxes attract attention because they can change who buys an existing home. But for the long-term affordability of housing, it is also important whether New Zealand can build enough homes to meet demand.

Policy choice How it could affect first-home prices What to watch for
Allow more homes on existing urban land More townhouses, apartments and smaller homes can reduce scarcity. Are homes actually completed, and are they in affordable price ranges?
Release land for development More developable land can reduce land scarcity and improve competition between developers. Can roads, water, transport and other infrastructure keep pace?
Speed up planning and building approvals Reduces delays, uncertainty and some development costs. Do savings reach buyers, or are they absorbed by land costs and margins?
Tax land banking or vacant homes May encourage owners to develop, sell or use underutilised property. Are the taxes well designed, and does additional usable housing reach the market?
Build public and social housing Increases non-market housing supply and can reduce pressure on rentals. Is funding sustained, and are homes delivered where demand is greatest?

The key distinction is between permission to build and homes actually built. Construction costs, interest rates, labour availability, infrastructure and the state of the economy all affect whether new supply comes through. Policies for Party vote - NZ Election 2026Affordable Housing

3. What could happen to your deposit goal?

Consider three possible outcomes over the next few years.

Your savings outpace house prices

If your combined savings grow faster than the price of the kind of home you want, your deposit target becomes easier to reach. Policies that increase supply and moderate price growth can help create this outcome, especially if your wages also rise.

You save, but the goal keeps moving

If house prices rise at roughly the same pace as your savings, you may make little progress relative to the market. Deposit assistance can help you enter sooner, but it does not automatically improve the price-to-income ratio.

Prices ease, but borrowing remains difficult

Even if house prices fall, high mortgage rates, lending restrictions or insecure employment can make purchasing difficult. What matters is the combination of the purchase price, your deposit, mortgage repayments and the bank's assessment of your ability to pay.

One useful calculation is to track the price of the home you actually want, rather than a national average. If that home costs $700,000, for example, a 20% deposit is $140,000; a 10% deposit is $70,000. A scheme allowing a smaller deposit can shorten the wait, but it does not remove the mortgage or repayment risk.

4. How I'd compare the parties in your position

Given that you are renting, both working and saving together, I would assess each party against five practical questions:

  • Will it make the homes we can afford cheaper relative to our wages? Look for policies that address land scarcity and sustained housing supply, not just help buyers borrow more.
  • Will it help us get a deposit together sooner? Compare first-home loan eligibility, deposit requirements and any changes that could affect your take-home pay.
  • Will it keep renting manageable while we save? Rent controls and stronger tenant protections may provide security, although their effects on future rental supply need consideration.
  • Will it increase the number of homes we could realistically buy? More construction is particularly valuable if it includes modestly priced homes, not only high-end developments.
  • Can the policy realistically be implemented? Check the funding, timeframes, infrastructure plans and whether the party would need coalition partners to deliver it.

For the investor-tax question, National and ACT favour maintaining more investment-friendly settings, Labour proposes taxing future investment-property gains, and the Greens would go further in reversing landlord tax advantages. Opportunity proposes a broader shift through land-value taxation, while Te Pāti Māori has proposed taxes targeting land banking and vacant homes. Each approach has different trade-offs for prices, rents, investment and government revenue. NZ election 2026: What every party plans for housing, rankedTax Tips: 2026 General Election

My bottom line

I wouldn't judge a party solely on whether it says it will bring house prices down. I'd give particular weight to whether it can increase the supply of homes in the places people need them, make better use of existing land, and keep the cost of buying manageable relative to household incomes.

Investor-tax changes can influence demand and expectations, and first-home assistance can help you cross the deposit threshold. But the most durable improvement would be a housing market in which your savings and wages can catch up with the price of a suitable home, rather than requiring you to save against an ever-moving target.

For the latest party-by-party commitments, compare the housing sections at Policy.nz and the parties' official policy pages. Your party vote helps determine each party's share of Parliament, while coalition negotiations can shape which housing policies become law. Policies for Party vote - NZ Election 20262026 Election Policy

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Gemini · No location

My partner and I rent, have steady jobs and are trying to save a deposit for our first home. We worry that the target keeps moving. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. What do parties propose about investors, land use and building more homes, and how might those choices affect first-home prices?

Saving for a first home while watching the target feel like it keeps moving is a common and exhausting frustration for many working couples in New Zealand.

Heading into the November 2026 general election, the major political parties have distinct visions for property investors, land use, and housing supply. How these policies shake out could directly alter your timeline and purchasing power.


1. What Parties Propose for Investors

  • National and ACT:
    • The Settings: Current settings heavily favour maintaining a stable environment for landlords. Interest deductibility is fully restored, and the bright-line test sits at 2 years. National and ACT generally campaign on keeping these rules stable and cutting top/trustee tax rates to encourage private property investment, arguing that a healthy private rental market and stable landlord incentives are necessary to keep houses being built.
  • Labour:
    • The Settings: Labour has proposed introducing a capital gains tax (CGT) set to apply from mid-2027 (excluding the family home, but capturing residential investment properties, holiday homes, and commercial properties). They have ruled out rolling back interest deductibility changes but view a CGT as essential to level the playing field between property speculators and first-home buyers.
  • The Greens and The Opportunities Party (TOP):
    • The Settings: The Greens favour a broader wealth tax approach, while TOP advocates for an annual land value tax designed to heavily penalise land-banking and encourage more productive use of land.

2. What Parties Propose for Land Use and Building More Homes

  • National and ACT (Deregulation & Infrastructure Focus):
    • Both parties lean heavily into streamlining planning and consenting rules (such as replacing or reforming the Resource Management Act) and incentivising councils to release more land for development. ACT has proposed giving local councils a direct share of GST on new builds so they have a financial incentive to say "yes" to housing developments.
  • Labour and The Greens (Public Supply & Infrastructure Focus):
    • Labour focuses heavily on state-backed building, pledging billions in funding for Kāinga Ora and social housing to scale up the construction pipeline. The Greens emphasize state-led building programs alongside mandatory rental warrant-of-fitness standards and tenant protections.

3. Direct Support for First-Home Buyers

Beyond supply and investors, parties are directly targeting entry barriers:

  • National has proposed expanding access to 5% deposit home loans by lifting the income caps significantly for couples (up to $300,000) to help more higher-earning or dual-income professional households get over the deposit hurdle sooner.
  • NZ First has floated options like a shared-equity (co-investment) scheme where the government takes a stake in the property alongside you, alongside using immigration settings as a "handbrake" on population-driven demand.

How Might These Choices Affect First-Home Prices?

Economists and property market analysts generally look at these competing approaches through two lenses:

  1. The Supply-Side Argument (National, ACT, TOP):
    • The Theory: If land use rules are loosened, building consents are fast-tracked, and red tape is cut, developers can build more homes faster. An oversupply or steady supply of housing curbs price spikes.
    • Impact on you: More medium-density townhouses and Greenfield developments come onto the market, potentially giving you more choice and moderating price growth so the "target" stops running away from your savings rate. However, keeping landlord tax settings favorable means you will likely still face competition from property investors at open homes.
  2. The Demand/Tax-Side Argument (Labour, Greens, TOP):
    • The Theory: Tax changes like a capital gains tax or land value tax reduce the speculative allure of residential property compared to productive business investments.
    • Impact on you: If investors pull back because after-tax yields drop, competition for entry-level properties can cool down in the short-to-medium term, giving first-home buyers breathing room. On the flip side, critics warn that if investor pullback causes private developers to slow down construction due to uncertainty, overall housing supply could tighten later, keeping prices high.

What This Means for Your Strategy

Your vote—and your strategy as buyers—comes down to whether you believe freeing up land and private development (National/ACT) or taxing speculative demand and boosting public/social supply (Labour/Greens/TOP) is the most reliable way to stabilize housing affordability.

Aside from politics, remember that mortgage interest rates (set by the commercial banks following the Official Cash Rate) will ultimately dictate your weekly borrowing power just as much as election policies.

Ask Gemini

Gemini is AI and can make mistakes.

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Google AI Mode · No location

My partner and I rent, have steady jobs and are trying to save a deposit for our first home. We worry that the target keeps moving. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. What do parties propose about investors, land use and building more homes, and how might those choices affect first-home prices?

New Zealand political parties approach housing affordability through contrasting philosophies on investor tax settings, urban land-use planning, and state-backed versus market-led construction, which directly shape competition and price trajectories for first-home buyers.

Different political strategies carry distinct implications for market supply, investor demand, and the timeline required to save a viable deposit.

Party Approaches to Investors, Land Use, and Building Homes

  • National Party / Coalition Government Approach: Focuses heavily on boosting greenfield and brownfield infrastructure supply through market incentives, rolling back prescriptive density mandates to let councils decide local zoning (while encouraging continuous land release), and maintaining standard interest-deductibility settings for property investors. The emphasis is on private-sector development capacity and cutting red tape for builders.

  • Labour Party Approach: Favours a mix of aggressive centralized infrastructure funding, direct public and affordable house building (via Kāinga Ora or expanded community housing providers), and tighter constraints on residential property investors. Historically, Labour supports demand-moderating tax policies (such as interest limitation rules or bright-line tests) to level the playing field against cash-flush landlords.

  • Green Party Approach: Emphasises mass state-led building programmes focused on energy-efficient, public, and genuinely affordable rental or cooperative housing, alongside progressive tax reforms targeting multi-property owners and land value to discourage speculative holding.

  • ACT Party Approach: Promotes aggressive supply-side deregulation, including radical land-use liberalisation (such as freeing up rural-urban boundaries and incentivizing local councils financially to zone vast amounts of new development land). They oppose special taxes on investors, arguing that pure supply expansion via private developers is the only effective cure for high prices.

How These Choices Affect First-Home Prices

Policy Direction Core Mechanism Impact on First-Home Buyers Price Trajectory Effect
Pro-Supply & Deregulation (ACT/National focus) Expanding urban boundaries and mandating infrastructure-ready land release Reduces land scarcity; encourages private building of standalone homes and townhouses Moderates or flattens price growth over the medium-to-long term by increasing overall housing stock.
Investor Demand Restrictions (Labour/Green focus) Limiting tax advantages (e.g., interest deductibility) and introducing capital gains or land taxes Reduces direct competition from leveraged multi-property investors bidding up entry-level stock Eases immediate bidding pressure at lower price tiers, improving auction success rates for owner-occupiers.
State/Public Building Interventions (Labour/Green focus) Direct government commissioning of affordable and transitional housing Removes lower-income and state-dependent buyers from the private purchase queue Stabilises the bottom tier of the market, though takes longer to shift nationwide median house prices.
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AI Overviews · No location

My partner and I rent, have steady jobs and are trying to save a deposit for our first home. We worry that the target keeps moving. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. What do parties propose about investors, land use and building more homes, and how might those choices affect first-home prices?

AI Overview

Political parties approaching the 7 November 2026 New Zealand General Election offer sharply contrasting visions for property investors, land-use rules, home-building, and what those shifts mean for first-home buyers.


1. National and ACT (Centre-Right / Libertarian)

  • Investors:
  • Under the current National-led government, interest deductibility for residential landlords was restored, the bright-line property test was reduced to two years, and 90-day no-cause tenancy terminations returned.
  • ACT advocates for further measures, such as removing the loss ring-fencing rules on rental properties. What Could the 2026 General Election Mean for PropertyI Ranked Every Party's Property Policy [NZ Election 2026]NZ Herald Live: Act Party policy announcement
  • Land Use & Building Homes:
  • National focuses on market-led supply, fast-tracking consenting processes for large housing developments, and overhauling the Resource Management Act (RMA).
  • ACT emphasizes property rights, lowering development costs, and streamlining urban expansion and zoning. I Ranked Every Party's Property Policy [NZ Election 2026]NZ Party Policies 2026 & Property Impacts
  • Impact on First-Home Prices:
  • Pro-supply arguments: Faster consenting and reduced regulatory costs aim to unlock more land and lower construction costs over time, which can moderate price growth.
  • Investor competition: Re-favouring landlord tax breaks and investor incentives can keep competition high in the entry-level housing market, meaning first-home buyers may still face fierce bidding from investors. How Could the 2026 New Zealand Election Affect the Housing Market?NZ Party Policies 2026 & Property ImpactsI Ranked Every Party's Property Policy [NZ Election 2026]

2. Labour (Centre-Left)

  • Investors:
  • Labour has ruled out reintroducing interest deductibility cuts, though leader Chris Hipkins has highlighted a capital gains tax proposal scheduled to take effect from mid-2027. Labour also proposed a 28% property tax on certain structures.
  • Land Use & Building Homes:
  • Labour emphasizes direct state and social housing construction. Key pledges include $2.9 billion in capital for Kāinga Ora and funding for at least 6,000 more social housing places over four years, alongside home-solar and regional infrastructure support.
  • Impact on First-Home Prices:
  • Public supply focus: Direct state building can absorb low-income housing pressure off the private market, though broad tax adjustments on investment properties can alter landlord math, sometimes causing private landlords to sell or adjust rents.

3. Green Party, Te Pāti Māori, and TOP (Progressive / Minor Parties)

  • Investors & Tax:
  • The Greens, Te Pāti Māori, and The Opportunities Party (TOP) back structural tax reform targeting property and wealth—such as annual land value taxes (e.g., TOP's proposed 1.75% or wealth/stamp duty variations) and short-term accommodation (Airbnb) bed levies.
  • Land Use & Building Homes:
  • TOP and the Greens propose aggressive zoning and land-value reforms to trigger a dense house-building boom, paired with massive state-led and community-owned energy/housing initiatives.
  • Impact on First-Home Prices:
  • Cooling investor demand: Annual land or wealth taxes actively penalize land-banking and speculative holding, which can force properties onto the market and reduce investor-driven price inflation.
  • Affordability risk: Higher ongoing holding taxes can get passed down into higher rents or cause short-term market friction while new zoning rules scale up.

4. New Zealand First (Populist / Nationalist)

  • Investors & Demand:
  • NZ First centres its housing platform on demand-side brakes , specifically targeting immigration caps and population growth pressures to throttle rapid demand increases.
  • Land Use & Building Homes:
  • Focuses heavily on infrastructure protection, regional equity, and citizen-first social housing allocations.
  • Impact on First-Home Prices:
  • Curbing net migration reduces the sheer volume of new households competing for rentals and starter homes, which can ease price-to-income pressures if building keeps pace.

Summary: How These Choices Affect First-Home Buyers

  • If you want more private supply quickly: Parties like National and ACT emphasize deregulation and fast-tracking to build more houses, though investor-friendly tax rules may keep competition stiff for entry-level properties. I Ranked Every Party's Property Policy [NZ Election 2026]How Could the 2026 New Zealand Election Affect the Housing Market?
  • If you want to curb investor competition: Parties like Labour, the Greens, or TOP propose tax changes (capital gains, land value, or property taxes) designed to level the playing field against multi-property investors, though transition periods can bring market volatility.
  • Broader reality: Local mortgage rates are ultimately set by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand via the Official Cash Rate (OCR) rather than politicians directly, meaning borrowing costs and Debt-to-Income (DTI) rules will heavily dictate your actual buying power.

If you'd like to narrow this down, tell me:

  • What region or price bracket are you targeting?
  • Are you planning to use KiwiSaver and the First Home Grant/Loan schemes?

I can share more specific eligibility details for those programs.

Ask anything

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