Evidence · NZ Election 2026 · Edition 3

Every question, every answer, every source

All 174 questions and the 793 answers produced on 16 October 2026. The 27 remaining cells produced no AI Overview.

questions
174
answers saved
793
collected
16 Oct 2026

01

Every question, with its answers

Each question was written as a voter would ask it and went to all four assistants. Some were also asked from a town. Open a question to read every answer to it in full.

Showing 20 of 174 questions

02

The tables behind the study

Every figure on the study page comes from these tables. They are CSV files, which open in any spreadsheet.

  • Questions

    nz-election-2026-questions.csv

    One row per unchanged question.

    id, draft, text, voterCode, issue, towns

  • Answers

    nz-election-2026-answers.csv

    One row per produced answer, with its complete original text. Parties covers all 17 tracked parties; displayed parties covers the seven charted parties.

    result id, prompt id, draft id, scenario id, platform, region, words, parties, displayed parties, literal url answer, temporal pair, common four platforms, response text

  • Sources by answer

    nz-election-2026-sources.csv

    One row per website associated with an answer; repeated citations count once.

    answer id, question id, assistant, region, domain, publisher

  • Checks against official sources

    nz-election-2026-checks.csv

    One row per reviewed claim and assistant, including cells where the assertion was not stated.

    checkId, claimToTest, category, answerId, questionId, assistant, assertionPresent, assertion, verdict, whatTheSourceSays, checkedOn, evidence

  • Who to vote for: coding

    nz-election-2026-guidance.csv

    One row per manually reviewed guidance answer. Codes overlap; original answers supply the evidence.

    draft, assistant, q, voter, a, declined, matched, shortlist, asked, chose, extract

  • Location and national answers

    nz-election-2026-towns.csv

    One row per matched national/location pair in this edition.

    edition, prompt id, platform, city region, national result id, city result id, same party names, same text

  • Changes between editions

    nz-election-2026-comparisons.csv

    All 17 tracked parties; one row per identical question, assistant and location across the 12 and 16 October collections. Earlier coding restated after the 20 October identity correction.

    earlier edition, prompt id, platform, region, draft id, block, scenario id, scenario, issue, priority, earlier result id, current result id, same party set, added, removed, earlier parties, current parties

  • No AI Overview produced

    nz-election-2026-coverage.csv

    One row per planned cell where no AI Overview was produced.

    questionId, assistant, collectionSetting, askedFrom, availability

  • Party-identity corrections

    nz-election-2026-party-identity-corrections.csv

    Ten reviewed false matches removed from the restated Edition 2 and current Edition 3 comparisons; original answer text is unchanged.

    edition, result id, party, before present, include, reason, reviewer, reviewed on

Use these tables to trace findings back to the original questions and answers. The full text of each answer is also on this page, under its question.

03

Read in full and checked

Some answers were read in detail or checked against official sources. Those appear on the study page, beside the findings they support.

ChatGPT · No location

I run a café with a small team. Food and power costs are squeezing margins, customers are spending less, and we've experienced a break-in. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. How do parties compare on immigration settings for hospitality workers?

For a New Zealand café owner weighing up the 2026 general election, immigration policy matters in a very practical way: how easily you can recruit and retain kitchen staff, chefs and front-of-house workers, and what it costs to employ them.

The key distinction is between parties that favour making it easier for employers to recruit overseas workers, parties that want tighter controls on migration, and parties that prioritise training and employing more people already in New Zealand.

For your café, I'd separate immigration policy from your other concerns—food and electricity costs, weaker customer spending and break-ins. A party's position on one of these issues doesn't necessarily tell you what it proposes on the others.

How the main parties compare

The election is scheduled for 7 November 2026. The comparison below reflects published policies and announcements available as of 16 October 2026, not predictions about what a future coalition would implement. The main parties vying to form New Zealand's next governmentPolicies for Party vote - NZ Election 2026

Focus: employing overseas hospitality workers, particularly cooks and chefs, rather than immigration in general.

Will National Party Finish 2nd in New Zealand's 2026 Election?

National

National has emphasised targeted immigration, prioritising skilled workers, stronger English-language requirements and enforcement against exploitation. Its government has retained the Accredited Employer Work Visa (AEWV) system and introduced new skilled-residence pathways. Speech: Securing New Zealand’s future in a more volatile worldNew residence options to bolster workforceEnglish language requirement extended to AEWV skill level 3 roles

Potential relevance to your café: the existing employer-sponsored recruitment route remains available, but eligibility requirements can make some hires more difficult. National's emphasis is on targeted recruitment rather than unrestricted access to overseas labour.

South Island Election Conference 2026

Labour

Labour's September 2026 policy proposes strengthening the AEWV system while allowing migrant workers to move between accredited employers after three months. It also proposes extending the time before migrants become eligible for permanent residence from two years to four. Release: Labour to ensure an immigration system that works for New Zealand

Potential relevance to your café: Labour's stated approach preserves employer-sponsored recruitment while placing more emphasis on migrant protections and worker mobility. The published proposals do not, by themselves, guarantee easier recruitment for cafés or make every hospitality role eligible.

POLICY TRACKER: TOP wants to fund cheaper doctor visits with junk-food tax | New Zealand Doctor

ACT

ACT's 2026 immigration proposals include stronger English requirements, tougher enforcement, and a proposed daily surcharge on temporary work visas. It supports immigration where workers meet the rules and contribute to New Zealand, alongside tighter conditions for some visa and residence categories. ACT New ZealandThe main parties vying to form New Zealand's next governmentACT proposes $6-per-day migrant tax and stronger English language requirements

Potential relevance to your café: the surcharge is a direct potential cost consideration if you employ workers on covered temporary visas. Check the proposed amount, who would pay it and whether it applies to your staff before estimating its effect on your wage bill.

New Zealand legislative election winner? Predictions & Od... 2026 | Polymarket

New Zealand First

NZ First has proposed scrapping the AEWV and replacing it with a shortage-led Skilled Work Visa. Employers would need to demonstrate genuine occupational and regional shortages and make serious efforts to recruit or train New Zealanders first. Its proposal also includes stronger wage safeguards and restrictions on routine roles. NZFirst to Scrap Accredited Working Visa ModelNew Zealand First proposes replacement of AEWV with stricter skilled work visa

Potential relevance to your café: if implemented as announced, recruitment could become more difficult for ordinary café roles that are not recognised as genuine shortages. A clearly demonstrated shortage of a specialist chef could be treated differently from a general need for entry-level staff. The final effect depends on the detailed eligibility rules.

Green Party NZ (@NZGreens) on X

Green Party

The Greens' 2026 manifesto advocates fair, safe immigration pathways and better treatment of migrant workers, alongside stronger employment rights and decent pay. Manifesto 2026

Potential relevance to your café: the emphasis is on fair treatment and worker protections. The manifesto material reviewed does not establish a specific proposal to expand AEWV eligibility for café workers, so the practical recruitment effect is less clear.

These are differences in published policy direction, not a ranking of parties. Immigration announcements also need to be distinguished from rules already in force.

What the current rules mean for a café

Regardless of the election result, the existing rules remain in place unless and until they are changed.

The official Immigration New Zealand AEWV guide is the place to check the rules for a specific vacancy.

How to use this comparison when deciding your vote

Given your café's circumstances, these are the questions worth putting to each party:

Your business concern Policy detail to investigate
Finding reliable chefs and cooks Will the party keep hospitality occupations eligible for work visas, and under what conditions?
Recruiting without adding unnecessary costs Would visa charges, accreditation requirements or recruitment checks increase your costs?
Retaining trained staff Will workers have a practical route to stay, renew visas or change employers?
Customers spending less What separate policies does the party propose on household incomes and cost of living?
Break-ins What does it propose on retail and small-business crime prevention, policing and repeat offending?

One important caveat: immigration policy alone cannot resolve your margin pressures. Food prices, electricity costs, customer demand and crime prevention need to be compared separately. A party may favour tighter migration while proposing other policies that affect your business in different ways.

For a broader, cross-party overview, you can also consult Policy.nz's 2026 migration comparison, alongside the parties' own published policies. Policies for Party vote - NZ Election 2026Speech: Securing New Zealand’s future in a more volatile worldRelease: Labour to ensure an immigration system that works for New ZealandNZFirst to Scrap Accredited Working Visa ModelManifesto 2026

The most useful next step is to identify which hospitality roles you actually struggle to fill. Are your recruitment difficulties mainly with chefs and cooks, or with baristas, front-of-house and general café staff? That distinction can materially change how the parties' visa proposals affect your business.

Ask anything

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Gemini · No location

I run a café with a small team. Food and power costs are squeezing margins, customers are spending less, and we've experienced a break-in. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. How do parties compare on immigration settings for hospitality workers?

Running a café in the current climate—navigating tighter consumer spending, escalating food and power overheads, and the distressing impact of a break-in—presents a heavy operational load. For hospitality business owners weighing up their vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election, immigration settings are a critical lever for workforce access, though different political blocks approach the sector with distinct philosophies.

The major parties approach immigration settings relevant to hospitality and small business through contrasting lenses:


1. National (Incumbent / Centre-Right)

  • Current Settings & Direction: National’s approach leans toward stability, continuity, and managed employer access via the ongoing "Going for Growth" framework and the Accredited Employer Work Visa (AEWV) system.
  • Focus for Business: The government has emphasised tightening compliance to curb migrant exploitation (including funding dedicated frontline investigation teams), while keeping structural pathways open for critical skill gaps. However, National balances its business support with tighter qualification and English-language thresholds.
  • Coalition Friction: National has openly rejected more radical proposals from its coalition partner ACT (such as abolishing permanent resident visas outright), signaling a preference for keeping traditional settlement pathways available for valued workers.

2. ACT (Centre-Right / Libertarian)

  • Market-Driven Approach: ACT focuses heavily on reducing bureaucratic friction for employers trying to hire. They advocate for market-led settings where businesses can more freely source the labor they require.
  • Proposed Overhauls: ACT has pushed for annual reviews of skilled jobs lists to track actual economic gaps dynamically, alongside stricter rules restricting new migrants from accessing welfare benefits for their first five years. Their proposal to scrap permanent resident visas entirely has faced pushback from National, meaning its implementation would depend heavily on post-election coalition dynamics.

3. New Zealand First (Nationalist / Centre-Right)

  • "Smart, Controlled" Immigration: NZ First campaigns on a much tighter restriction of non-essential immigration, arguing that population growth must align strictly with infrastructure capacity.
  • Impact on Workforce: Their broader package includes significantly lengthening the qualifying periods for permanent residence and citizenship (proposing an increase from 5 to 10 years), placing restrictions on international student work rights, and limiting benefits for visa holders. For hospitality—which often relies on temporary or working-holiday talent—NZ First’s platform prioritizes long-term domestic workforce planning over reliance on overseas labor.

4. Labour (Centre-Left Opposition)

  • Planned Workforce Infrastructure: Labour’s policy centers on the idea that immigration numbers must match what housing, health, and infrastructure can sustain.
  • Residency Settings: Labour has proposed doubling the timeframe required to secure permanent residence and reforming criteria for parent categories. While they support a structured and well-managed system for essential skills, their overarching framework is more cautious about broad-based temporary migration streams.

5. The Greens & Te Pāti Māori (Left / Progressive)

  • Broader Humanitarian & Economic Framing: The Greens argue that low wages and structural tax imbalances (rather than migrant workers) are the core drivers of hospitality and low-margin sector pressures. They generally advocate for more humane, flexible settings and expanded residence pathways rather than tightening settings on workers already settled in communities.

What Industry Bodies Are Asking For

Sector advocates like Hospitality New Zealand have released specific election manifestos highlighting what the industry desperately needs right now:

  • Practical pathways to residency for experienced hospitality workers (shifting focus away from purely formal qualifications toward demonstrated on-the-job experience).
  • Better domestic training pipelines starting from secondary school to ease chronic local labor shortages.
  • Relief on compounding cost pressures (such as keg tax adjustments and administrative streamlining).

Summary for Your Vote

  • If you lean toward market flexibility and fewer bureaucratic barriers for hiring, parties on the right (National and ACT) emphasize employer access, though they differ on how far to restrict permanent settlement or welfare access.
  • If you favor tighter caps, reduced overall numbers, and extended residency timelines to prioritize domestic workforce training, parties like New Zealand First and Labour offer a much more restrictive, infrastructure-aligned approach.

Are you looking for how these immigration policies intersect with other cost pressures you're facing, such as compliance or training support?

Ask Gemini

Gemini is AI and can make mistakes.

Captured 16 October 2026 · shown as Gemini gave it, not a verified account

Google AI Mode · No location

I run a café with a small team. Food and power costs are squeezing margins, customers are spending less, and we've experienced a break-in. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. How do parties compare on immigration settings for hospitality workers?

As the November 7, 2026 general election approaches, New Zealand's political parties are taking distinct approaches to immigration, balancing workforce shortages in sectors like hospitality against broader concerns about infrastructure, housing, and domestic employment.

While industry groups like Hospitality New Zealand have pushed for practical residency pathways and visa settings that recognize the sector's reliance on migrant labor, political parties approach these settings through varying ideological lenses:

  • National (Led Government Settings): National has overseen recent adjustments to skilled migration and the Accredited Employer Work Visa (AEWV) framework. Their general approach leans toward managing employer-driven migration to match documented skill shortages while maintaining economic pragmatism for business owners, though they face pressure from the sector to ease access for frontline and experienced hospitality staff.

  • Labour: Labour advocates for a capacity-planned immigration system tied deliberately to national infrastructure, housing capacity, and domestic workforce development. In their 2026 campaign rollouts, they have proposed lengthening the timeline requirements for permanent residency pathways while emphasizing a structured, non-exploitative system, though they remain critical of overly restrictive or anti-migrant rhetoric.

  • New Zealand First: NZ First has taken a harder line on reducing overall net immigration and tightening visa access. Notably, they have proposed a major shake-up to replace the current AEWV system with a model where migrant workers are not legally tied to a single employer. While advocacy groups note this untethering could reduce worker exploitation, NZ First’s overarching platform emphasizes prioritizing domestic workers and lowering numbers in industries that traditionally rely on lower-skilled or migrant staffing.

  • ACT & The Greens: ACT generally pushes for tighter, market-led visa conditions alongside stricter overall thresholds for residence rights. The Greens tend to favor more compassionate and accessible pathways for migrants already in New Zealand, focusing on worker protections and pathways to settlement rather than restrictions.

For a cafe owner navigating tight margins and staffing constraints, the core distinction lies between parties offering streamlined, industry-responsive visa access versus those prioritizing tighter caps, structural overhauls, or extended residency timeframes to curb overall population and infrastructure pressures. You can review further specific announcements directly through platforms like RNZ Politics or Hospitality New Zealand.

Ask anything

Captured 16 October 2026 · shown as Google AI Mode gave it, not a verified account

AI Overviews · No location

I run a café with a small team. Food and power costs are squeezing margins, customers are spending less, and we've experienced a break-in. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. How do parties compare on immigration settings for hospitality workers?

AI Overview

New Zealand's political parties hold contrasting views on immigration settings for hospitality workers ahead of the 2026 general election, ranging from market-driven flexibility to tight, shortage-led limits. While the hospitality sector, via the Hospitality NZ 2026 Election Manifesto, is calling for practical residency pathways that formally recognise work experience over qualifications, political parties are divided on how easily businesses should be able to hire from overseas.

Party Policy Comparison

Party Position on Hospitality & Work Visas Pathway to Residency & Migrant Rights
National Favors maintaining stable settings to fill key skill gaps. Opposes sweeping restrictions or the abolition of permanent residency. Supports the current Skilled Migrant Category framework and existing pathways.
ACT Advocates for a market-driven approach with fewer bureaucratic barriers for employers. However, skilled visa categories would lapse annually unless an economic shortage is re-proven. Proposes abolishing the Permanent Resident Visa. Replaces it with renewable travel rights requiring a strict physical presence test. Bars new migrants from welfare for 5 years.
NZ First Promises to scrap the Accredited Employer Work Visa (AEWV). Replaces it with a strict "shortage-led" visa tied to specific regions and occupations to prevent immigration from being a source of ordinary labor. Proposes a referendum to cap resident visas at 20,000 per year. Doubles the wait time for permanent residency to 5 years and citizenship to 10 years.
Labour Supports a closely managed migration model planned around specific economic needs while criticizing anti-migrant rhetoric. Proposes extending the wait time for permanent residence from two years to four years.
Greens Prioritizes migrant welfare and flexibility. Strongly opposes using immigration limits as a political tool to suppress ordinary labor. Proposes ending visas that tie workers to a single employer to reduce workplace exploitation. Supports a clear 5-year residency pathway.

Impact on Your Café Operations

  • Sourcing Staff: If NZ First's policy to eliminate the AEWV in favor of a strict shortage-list model is implemented, it may become significantly harder to hire overseas baristas, front-of-house staff, or kitchen hands, as these are rarely classified as critical structural shortages. National and ACT offer more business-aligned access, though ACT requires annual proof of shortages.
  • Staff Retention: Hospitality NZ notes that many migrant workers leave because settings favor formal qualifications over practical kitchen or front-of-house experience. The Greens' proposal to untie visas from specific employers would give workers more freedom, but could increase staff turnover for individual businesses. Conversely, NZ First and Labour's longer pathways to permanent residency could delay long-term settlement for your team members.

If you would like to explore how the parties plan to address your other operational challenges, let me know. We can look into their policies on retail crime and security , small business tax relief , or commercial electricity costs.

Ask anything

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