Evidence · NZ Election 2026 · Edition 3

Every question, every answer, every source

All 174 questions and the 793 answers produced on 16 October 2026. The 27 remaining cells produced no AI Overview.

questions
174
answers saved
793
collected
16 Oct 2026

01

Every question, with its answers

Each question was written as a voter would ask it and went to all four assistants. Some were also asked from a town. Open a question to read every answer to it in full.

Showing 20 of 174 questions

02

The tables behind the study

Every figure on the study page comes from these tables. They are CSV files, which open in any spreadsheet.

  • Questions

    nz-election-2026-questions.csv

    One row per unchanged question.

    id, draft, text, voterCode, issue, towns

  • Answers

    nz-election-2026-answers.csv

    One row per produced answer, with its complete original text. Parties covers all 17 tracked parties; displayed parties covers the seven charted parties.

    result id, prompt id, draft id, scenario id, platform, region, words, parties, displayed parties, literal url answer, temporal pair, common four platforms, response text

  • Sources by answer

    nz-election-2026-sources.csv

    One row per website associated with an answer; repeated citations count once.

    answer id, question id, assistant, region, domain, publisher

  • Checks against official sources

    nz-election-2026-checks.csv

    One row per reviewed claim and assistant, including cells where the assertion was not stated.

    checkId, claimToTest, category, answerId, questionId, assistant, assertionPresent, assertion, verdict, whatTheSourceSays, checkedOn, evidence

  • Who to vote for: coding

    nz-election-2026-guidance.csv

    One row per manually reviewed guidance answer. Codes overlap; original answers supply the evidence.

    draft, assistant, q, voter, a, declined, matched, shortlist, asked, chose, extract

  • Location and national answers

    nz-election-2026-towns.csv

    One row per matched national/location pair in this edition.

    edition, prompt id, platform, city region, national result id, city result id, same party names, same text

  • Changes between editions

    nz-election-2026-comparisons.csv

    All 17 tracked parties; one row per identical question, assistant and location across the 12 and 16 October collections. Earlier coding restated after the 20 October identity correction.

    earlier edition, prompt id, platform, region, draft id, block, scenario id, scenario, issue, priority, earlier result id, current result id, same party set, added, removed, earlier parties, current parties

  • No AI Overview produced

    nz-election-2026-coverage.csv

    One row per planned cell where no AI Overview was produced.

    questionId, assistant, collectionSetting, askedFrom, availability

  • Party-identity corrections

    nz-election-2026-party-identity-corrections.csv

    Ten reviewed false matches removed from the restated Edition 2 and current Edition 3 comparisons; original answer text is unchanged.

    edition, result id, party, before present, include, reason, reviewer, reviewed on

Use these tables to trace findings back to the original questions and answers. The full text of each answer is also on this page, under its question.

03

Read in full and checked

Some answers were read in detail or checked against official sources. Those appear on the study page, beside the findings they support.

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For the 2026 New Zealand general election: Compare parties' plans for crime prevention, policing, sentencing and rehabilitation.

New Zealand 2026 election: Crime, policing, sentencing and rehabilitation

As of 15 October 2026, the main divide in the election is between parties that prioritise stronger enforcement, tougher penalties and protecting the public from repeat offenders, and parties that put more emphasis on preventing crime, addressing its underlying causes and rehabilitating offenders. Some parties combine elements of both approaches. Policies for Party vote - NZ Election 2026Law & Order Policy: Where NZ Parties Stand in 2026

The general election is scheduled for 7 November 2026. The main parties vying to form New Zealand's next government The comparison below focuses on the nationwide policies and commitments reported or published for this election, distinguishing announced policies from broader party positions.

1. At-a-glance comparison

Party Overall approach Main emphasis
National Tough enforcement More visible policing, stronger sentencing, Three Strikes and targeted youth-offending measures
Labour Enforcement with a greater focus on fairness and prevention Opposes Three Strikes; generally favours a less punitive approach than the current Government
ACT Strongest emphasis on deterrence and personal accountability Tough penalties, repeat-offender laws, additional powers for public safety and rural crime enforcement
New Zealand First Tough on crime Strong penalties, law-and-order enforcement and consequences for repeat offenders
Green Party Prevention and rehabilitation Addressing social causes of crime, reducing imprisonment and reforming the justice system
Te Pāti Māori Community-led, transformative justice Reducing incarceration, Māori-led solutions and a long-term goal of abolishing prisons
The Opportunities Party (TOP) Prevention and rehabilitation Treatment, evidence-led interventions and reducing the drivers of offending

This is a broad comparison, not a claim that every party has published a complete policy package for all four areas. The most useful distinction is what each party prioritises when public safety, punishment, prevention and rehabilitation come into tension. Policies for Party vote - NZ Election 2026Law & Order Policy: Where NZ Parties Stand in 2026Election 2026: Te Pāti Māori to campaign on abolishing prisons, Labour dead-set against it

2. Party-by-party policies

Will National Party Finish 2nd in New Zealand's 2026 Election?

National — tougher enforcement and sentencing

Approach: deterrence, accountability and public protection

National's 2026 policy announcements include tougher sentences for sexual offending, including abolishing good-character assessments at sentencing for all sexual offences, and a dedicated Auckland Transport Police Team for buses and trains. These build on its existing law-and-order programme. 2026 Election PolicyRestoring law and order

  • Crime prevention: Target serious youth offending, gangs, ram raids and repeat offending. National says its existing measures have reduced ram raids and serious youth offending.
  • Policing: More frontline and visible policing, including community beat teams and additional police resources.
  • Sentencing: Retain Three Strikes, cap most sentence discounts at 40%, and strengthen consequences for repeat and serious offenders.
  • Rehabilitation: Continue rehabilitation programmes in Corrections, but within a system that places greater weight on punishment and public protection than Labour, the Greens or Te Pāti Māori.

Key trade-off: Stronger penalties may incapacitate some repeat offenders, but the impact on long-term reoffending also depends on whether rehabilitation works and how effectively crime is prevented before it occurs. One Year - Law and OrderSentencing Act changes now in forceRestoring law and order

Source: National's 2026 election policies

South Island Election Conference 2026

Labour — a less punitive approach, without abolishing prisons

Approach: fairness, rehabilitation and prevention alongside public safety

Labour opposes Three Strikes and has explicitly rejected Te Pāti Māori's proposal to abolish prisons. Its corrections spokesperson says prisons remain necessary to provide rehabilitation and reduce reoffending. Labour has said its detailed corrections policy was still to come in January 2026. Law & Order Policy: Where NZ Parties Stand in 2026Election 2026: Te Pāti Māori to campaign on abolishing prisons, Labour dead-set against it

  • Crime prevention: Its broader political approach places more emphasis on social conditions and support than the current Government's punitive agenda, though the complete 2026 crime-prevention package needs to be checked against further releases.
  • Policing: Labour has not yet provided a sufficiently clear, comprehensive set of current election commitments in the sources reviewed to make a reliable numerical comparison with National or NZ First.
  • Sentencing: Opposes Three Strikes, which it repealed in 2022. It has not endorsed prison abolition.
  • Rehabilitation: Supports prisons as places where rehabilitation and services should reduce repeat offending, rather than treating longer imprisonment as the main solution.

Key trade-off: This approach gives more weight to proportionality and rehabilitation, but voters should look for clear commitments on frontline police capacity, serious repeat offenders and delivery of rehabilitation programmes. Law & Order Policy: Where NZ Parties Stand in 2026Election 2026: Te Pāti Māori to campaign on abolishing prisons, Labour dead-set against it

Sources: Labour's 2026 policies · Labour's stated position on prison abolition

New Zealand Legislative Election Winner 2026 Odds | Polymarket

ACT — deterrence, repeat-offender consequences and expanded public-safety powers

Approach: stronger consequences and intervention before behaviour escalates

ACT announced five further crime policies in July 2026, including three strikes for burglary, additional rural patrols and expanded powers for trained, licensed security professionals. ACT New Zealand

  • Crime prevention: Intervene earlier against threatening or destructive behaviour, tackle rural crime and address coercive control involving animal abuse.
  • Policing: Support police with stronger enforcement tools; propose 100,000 additional rural patrol hours annually and improved access to emergency reporting where mobile coverage is unreliable.
  • Sentencing: Retain Three Strikes for serious repeat offenders and introduce a three-strikes policy for burglary. ACT also proposes making resident-visa holders convicted of serious offences carrying maximum sentences of 10 years or more liable for deportation, regardless of how long they have lived in New Zealand.
  • Rehabilitation: Places less emphasis on reducing imprisonment as a central objective than the Greens or Te Pāti Māori. Its focus is on accountability, deterrence and protecting potential victims.

Key trade-off: ACT offers specific measures aimed at repeat offending and rural safety. The important questions are how expanded enforcement powers will be safeguarded, what they will cost and whether tougher penalties reduce reoffending over time. ACT New ZealandLaw & Order Policy: Where NZ Parties Stand in 2026

Source: ACT's 2026 crime policy announcements

New Zealand legislative election winner? Predictions & Od... 2026 | Polymarket

New Zealand First — victim-focused law and order

Approach: stronger policing, mandatory penalties and accountability

NZ First's published law-and-order platform calls for more frontline police, more Youth Aid officers and tougher treatment of serious violent and sexual offending. Its 2026 Budget messaging also highlights funding for frontline policing and border security. Some of the detailed justice commitments available are from its 2023 policy announcement, so they should not all be assumed to be newly confirmed election pledges. Policy Announcements: Law & Order and Justice, Courts & CorrectionsBudget 2026: Common sense wins for NZ First

  • Crime prevention: Increase Youth Aid capacity, support community policing and Neighbourhood Watch, and propose a youth justice demerit-points system.
  • Policing: Its published platform calls for at least 500 additional frontline police in the first 18 months of government, along with a review of police pay and conditions.
  • Sentencing: Proposes mandatory minimum prison terms for serious assaults on police, corrections officers and first responders; tougher treatment of serious violent and sexual offenders; and harsher consequences for some gang-related offending.
  • Rehabilitation: Supports some practical routes back into employment and community life, while taking a firm line on violent offenders. Its proposals also include mental-health response units and licence training for prisoners.

Key trade-off: NZ First combines a strong punitive approach with some practical support measures. The central question is whether additional police and stricter penalties will be matched by effective youth services, treatment and rehabilitation. Policy Announcements: Law & Order and Justice, Courts & CorrectionsBudget 2026: Common sense wins for NZ First

Sources: NZ First's law-and-order policy · NZ First's 2026 Budget priorities

Green Party NZ (@NZGreens) on X

Green Party — prevention, rehabilitation and justice reform

Approach: address the drivers of crime and reduce harm

The Greens' 2026 manifesto explicitly centres community safety on prevention and rehabilitation, arguing that prison expansion and restrictions on judges do not address the underlying causes of crime. Manifesto 2026

  • Crime prevention: Address social and economic drivers of offending, invest in young people and support community-based responses.
  • Policing: Their approach is less focused on expanding punitive police powers and more on preventing harm and making the justice system fairer. The precise 2026 staffing commitments should be checked in the full policy detail.
  • Sentencing: Oppose Three Strikes and longer mandatory sentences for repeat offenders. Favour a fairer system with more scope for judicial discretion.
  • Rehabilitation: Strongly prioritise rehabilitation, restorative justice and treatment. The Greens also support a health-based approach to drugs, arguing that punitive drug laws cause harm and fill courts and prisons without sufficiently reducing demand. Manifesto 2026Green Party NZ Policies 2026

Key trade-off: The approach targets the causes of repeat offending and the unequal impact of imprisonment. Its success depends on the quality, availability and effectiveness of alternative services, alongside appropriate protections for victims and the public.

Source: Green Party's 2026 manifesto

New Zealand Legislative Election Winner 2026 Odds | Polymarket

Te Pāti Māori — community-led justice and a long-term goal of prison abolition

Approach: healing, Māori-led solutions and reducing incarceration

Te Pāti Māori has announced a goal of abolishing prisons by 2040, replacing them with community-led approaches to accountability, healing and restoring relationships. This is the most far-reaching proposal for changing the justice system among the parties covered here. Election 2026: Te Pāti Māori to campaign on abolishing prisons, Labour dead-set against it

  • Crime prevention: Address trauma, addiction and other drivers of offending through whānau- and community-based services.
  • Policing: Proposes mandatory police body cameras and shifting resources away from enforcement and prisons towards prevention.
  • Sentencing: Repeal many of the current Government's punitive justice laws, including Three Strikes, and end the long-term reliance on imprisonment.
  • Rehabilitation: Establish a Māori Justice Authority, expand kaupapa Māori mental-health, addiction and restorative-justice services, and increase the Steps to Freedom payment for people leaving prison from $300 to $1,000.

Key trade-off: The party's approach directly addresses Māori overrepresentation in prison and prioritises culturally grounded rehabilitation. However, abolishing prisons by 2040 would require a major transformation of how New Zealand manages serious violence, public safety and people who pose an ongoing risk. Labour has explicitly rejected prison abolition, and the Greens have also warned that abolition without a credible plan to reduce harm would be dangerous. Election 2026: Te Pāti Māori to campaign on abolishing prisons, Labour dead-set against it

Source: Reporting on Te Pāti Māori's justice policy

The Opportunities Party (TOP) — evidence-led prevention and rehabilitation

Approach: treat underlying problems and reduce repeat offending

TOP is generally positioned towards rehabilitative justice reform. Its reported policy direction includes expanding drug treatment courts, improving victim support and reducing reliance on punitive responses. Law & Order Policy: Where NZ Parties Stand in 2026

  • Crime prevention: Focus on addressing drivers such as addiction and social disadvantage rather than relying solely on harsher penalties.
  • Policing: A comprehensive, newly confirmed 2026 police staffing or enforcement package was not established in the sources reviewed.
  • Sentencing: Generally favours alternatives to punitive sentencing where those alternatives are effective and appropriate.
  • Rehabilitation: Emphasises treatment, evidence-led interventions and support for victims.

Key trade-off: TOP's approach is relevant to voters seeking alternatives to repeated imprisonment, but the details, funding and scale of its 2026 commitments need to be verified against the party's full current programme before drawing a firm comparison with the larger parties.

Source: 2026 party law-and-order comparison

3. Comparison by policy area

This table brings the differences into sharper focus. “Strong emphasis” describes a party's stated priorities, not a guarantee of results.

Policy area Parties most associated with this approach
Increasing police numbers and visible patrols National, ACT and NZ First
Tougher sentences for repeat offenders National, ACT and NZ First
Retaining Three Strikes National, ACT and NZ First
Greater emphasis on prevention and social support Greens, Te Pāti Māori and TOP
More restorative justice and community-based alternatives Greens and Te Pāti Māori
Addressing addiction as a health issue Greens and TOP; also elements of NZ First's approach
Māori-led justice reform Te Pāti Māori, with support for related approaches among the Greens
Retaining prisons while prioritising rehabilitation Labour
Major long-term shift away from imprisonment Te Pāti Māori, with the Greens favouring reduced reliance on imprisonment

Sources: party policy statements and the 2026 election comparisons. Law & Order Policy: Where NZ Parties Stand in 2026Manifesto 2026Policy Announcements: Law & Order and Justice, Courts & CorrectionsElection 2026: Te Pāti Māori to campaign on abolishing prisons, Labour dead-set against it

4. What matters when judging the policies?

There are four important questions beyond whether a policy sounds tough or compassionate.

Will it prevent crime and protect victims?

More police, visible patrols and incapacitating dangerous offenders can be important for immediate public safety. Prevention programmes aim to reduce the number of people who offend in the first place. The key test is measurable changes in victimisation, violent crime and repeat offending.

Will tougher sentencing reduce reoffending?

Longer sentences can keep an offender in prison for longer, but that does not automatically mean they will be less likely to reoffend after release. Consider whether a party explains how it will combine punishment with rehabilitation and reintegration.

Will rehabilitation be available in practice?

Drug treatment, mental-health care, education, employment support and help after release require staff, funding and access. A promise to rehabilitate offenders is more convincing when it includes a clear delivery plan and ways to measure success.

How will the policy affect different communities?

Māori are substantially overrepresented in New Zealand's prison population. Policies should be assessed for their impact on victims, Māori communities, young offenders, rural communities and people vulnerable to repeat victimisation—not just national crime totals. Election 2026: Te Pāti Māori to campaign on abolishing prisons, Labour dead-set against itPolicies for Party vote - NZ Election 2026

5. Bottom line

  • If your priority is tougher punishment, visible policing and stronger consequences for repeat offending: National, ACT and NZ First are the closest fit, although their specific proposals differ.
  • If your priority is a balance between public safety, proportional sentencing and rehabilitation within the prison system: Labour is worth examining, while checking its detailed 2026 justice commitments as they are published.
  • If your priority is reducing the causes of crime and investing in prevention and rehabilitation: the Greens are the clearest fit among the larger parties.
  • If your priority is Māori-led, community-based justice and a fundamental reduction in imprisonment: Te Pāti Māori has the most transformative proposal.
  • If your priority is treatment-led, evidence-based alternatives to punishment: TOP is worth investigating further, subject to verification of its detailed current commitments.

One final distinction matters: a party's stated policy is not the same as evidence that the policy works. When comparing election promises, look for published funding, measurable targets, implementation timelines and independent evaluations of outcomes.

For the most up-to-date official positions, start with the parties' own policy pages linked above and use Policy.nz's 2026 law, justice and government comparison to compare individual proposals across parties. Some smaller-party and Labour details may still require checking against the latest campaign announcements.

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For the 2026 New Zealand general election: Compare parties' plans for crime prevention, policing, sentencing and rehabilitation.

Law and order is a central focus of political discourse in New Zealand. Parties approach the interrelated areas of crime prevention, policing, sentencing, and rehabilitation through distinct philosophical lenses—generally split between right-of-centre approaches emphasizing deterrence, tougher sentences, and public safety, and left-of-centre approaches focusing on systemic causes, social intervention, and rehabilitation.


1. Crime Prevention

  • Right-of-Centre (National, ACT): Focuses on situational deterrence, disruption of criminal groups, and proactive law enforcement tools. Policies include cracking down heavily on gangs (such as banning gang patches in public, issuing non-consorting and dispersal orders), targeting antisocial road users/boy racers, and expanding powers for authorities or security personnel to manage public order.
  • Left-of-Centre (Labour, Greens, and other progressive parties): Emphasizes upstream prevention by tackling the root socioeconomic drivers of crime, such as poverty, inadequate housing, mental health challenges, inequality, and educational disengagement. They argue that long-term safety relies on social support, community-led initiatives, and early intervention for at-risk youth and families.

2. Policing

  • Right-of-Centre: Favors increasing visible frontline resources, specialized tactical units, and expanded police powers. This includes boosting foot patrols, establishing dedicated regional or transport response units (e.g., targeted urban transport safety teams), and granting police stronger legislative tools like move-on orders to handle disorderly public behavior.
  • Left-of-Centre: Supports resourcing police for community safety and responsiveness, but typically couples this with an emphasis on trust-building, mental health co-response models (ensuring mental health professionals attend appropriate call-outs alongside police), and accountability measures to ensure equitable policing outcomes across diverse communities.

3. Sentencing and Corrections

  • Right-of-Centre: Advocates for stricter, "back-to-basics" punitive measures to ensure real consequences for offenders. Key policies frequently feature reinstating or strengthening "Three Strikes" legislation, capping or tightening sentence discounts (such as limiting discounts for remorse, youth, or early guilty pleas), encouraging cumulative sentencing for crimes committed while on bail or parole, and implementing stricter thresholds for prisoner management.
  • Left-of-Centre: Generally opposes sweeping mandatory minimum sentences or overly rigid sentencing caps, arguing they drive up prison populations without improving public safety or addressing recidivism. They favor judicial discretion, allowing judges to weigh individual circumstances, background, and cultural factors (such as Te Ao Māori perspectives or restorative justice principles) during sentencing.

4. Rehabilitation and Reintegration

  • Right-of-Centre: Places primary emphasis on public protection and accountability, arguing that rehabilitation programs should be earned and closely tied to prisoner behavior and risk reduction, while ensuring victims are prioritized.
  • Left-of-Centre: Views rehabilitation and reintegration as critical tools to lower reoffending rates and break intergenerational cycles of crime. They advocate for increased investment in prison education, mental health and addiction treatment facilities behind bars, culturally responsive rehabilitation pathways (including iwi-led justice initiatives), and transitional housing support for people leaving prison to reduce the risk of re-entering the justice system.
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For the 2026 New Zealand general election: Compare parties' plans for crime prevention, policing, sentencing and rehabilitation.

Ahead of the November 7, 2026 New Zealand general election, political parties have outlined contrasting visions for law and order, balancing approaches across tougher sentencing, visible policing, community rehabilitation, and root causes of crime.

National Party

  • Crime Prevention & Policing: Stating that its current term in government has led to a reduction in violent crime victims and ram raids, National emphasizes visible policing, expanding police beat sections, and establishing dedicated gang reduction and harm units nationwide. The party highlights a focus on targeting high-harm repeat offenders and cracking down publicly on visible gang insignia.

  • Sentencing & Rehabilitation: National supports stricter consequences and legislative tightening, such as reinstating the ban on prisoners voting. However, the party has also supported increased investments in rehabilitation programs within corrections, including policy shifts to allow remand prisoners access to rehabilitative services. Infrastructure investments target modernizing courts and digitizing systems (such as Te Au Reka) to speed up trial times.

ACT New Zealand

  • Crime Prevention & Policing: ACT’s stated objective is putting victims first and reducing administrative or procedural delays. For policing, ACT proposes targeted regional and rural support, including 100,000 additional rural police patrol hours annually, tougher penalties for poaching and livestock theft, and improved emergency connectivity in blackspots. They also target emerging harms like deepfake pornography and animal abuse coercion.

  • Sentencing & Rehabilitation: ACT campaigns on restoring and expanding strict deterrence, pointing to their advocacy for Three Strikes legislation. Their platform features a "Three Strikes for Burglary" policy, which would mandate a minimum three-year prison sentence without parole for individuals convicted of burglary a third time. [New Zealand Law Society]

Labour Party

  • Crime Prevention & Policing: Labour emphasizes resourcing frontline police and addressing the economic and social drivers of crime. During the campaign, Labour leader Chris Hipkins drew a firm line on ministerial accountability, ruling out minor parties like the Greens or Te Pāti Māori holding major law-and-order portfolios (such as Police or Corrections) in any future coalition arrangement.

  • Sentencing & Rehabilitation: Labour positions itself around evidence-based justice that balances community safety with reducing reoffending rates through targeted rehabilitation and mental health/addiction support, arguing that overly punitive measures alone fail to address long-term public safety.

Green Party

  • Crime Prevention & Policing: The Green Party focuses heavily on community-led prevention, poverty reduction, and addressing the social determinants of crime rather than expanding prison rolls. The party has faced political scrutiny from opponents over community engagement strategies regarding drug harm reduction initiatives.

  • Sentencing & Rehabilitation: The Greens advocate for decarceration, restorative justice models, and redirecting state funding from prison expansion toward mental health, social services, and community-based rehabilitation programs designed to break cycles of systemic disadvantage and substance addiction. [NZ Herald]

New Zealand First

  • Crime Prevention & Policing: NZ First campaigns on a strict "law and order" platform, prioritizing zero tolerance for anti-social behavior, strengthening police authorities, and dismantling organized criminal networks and gangs.

  • Sentencing & Rehabilitation: NZ First generally favors robust deterrent sentencing, personal accountability, and harsher penalties for violent or repeat offenders, while expressing skepticism toward cultural reports or lenient sentencing discounts in the judicial process.


For detailed timelines and voting information, visit the officialElections NZ portal. [Elections NZ]

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