Evidence · NZ Election 2026 · Edition 6

Every question and original answer

All 174 questions and the 783 complete answers recorded on 26 October 2026. Source lists and sentiment assessments are included, alongside the unchanged original answers.

questions
174
answers saved
783
collected
26 October 2026

01

Every question, with its answers

Each question was written as a voter would ask it and went to all four assistants. Some were also asked from a town. Open a question to read every answer to it in full.

Showing 20 of 174 questions

02

The tables behind the study

Every figure on the study page comes from these tables. They are CSV files, which open in any spreadsheet.

  • Questions

    questions.csv

    One row per question, with its original wording.

    id, text, reference, enabled, axes, collectionSettings

  • Complete answers

    answers.csv

    One row per saved answer, including its original text.

    id, questionId, assistant, collectionSetting, askedFrom, text, words

  • Answers included in each comparison

    memberships.csv

    One row per answer and comparison, showing which results were counted together.

    comparisonId, answerId, rowKey, included

  • Party names found in answers

    codings.csv

    One row per answer, party and comparison, with the recorded decision and evidence.

    comparisonId, answerId, entityId, kind, measure, counted, quote, reason, evidence

  • Sources recorded with each answer

    sources.csv

    One row per answer, with its recorded websites, source-list status and visible links.

    answerId, capture, domains, urls, literalUrls, origin

  • What the voting-guidance answers did

    behaviour-coding.csv

    One row per guidance answer, with the recorded behaviours and supporting passages.

    answerId, draft_id, platform, explicit_choice_boundary, conditional_party_or_bloc_alignment, prioritised_shortlist, elicits_additional_user_information, unconditional_single_party_vote_instruction, rationale, evidence, review_provenance

  • Checks against official sources

    checks.csv

    One row per selected statement checked in an answer.

    checkId, claimToTest, category, answerId, questionId, assistant, assertionPresent, assertion, verdict, evidence, whatTheSourceSays, assessment, checkedOn, paragraphs, previousCheckId, earlierAnswerId, earlierAssertion, trajectory

  • Statements selected for checking

    check-register.csv

    One row per selected check, with its reason and official source.

    checkId, claimToTest, category, whyChecked, primarySourceUrl, answerId

  • Research findings

    findings.csv

    One row per finding, with its figure and supporting records.

    id, statement, summary, caveat, value, denominator, evidence

  • Evidence behind the findings

    findings-evidence.csv

    One row per finding, with the records supporting it.

    findingId, rows

  • What changed for each voter

    case-decisions.csv

    One row per voter situation, with the earlier and later readings.

    case, transition, quote, assessment, draft_id, scenario, earlier_result_id, result_id, earlier_quote, earlier_assessment, earlier_review_provenance, current_review_provenance

  • Answers read in detail

    report-evidence.csv

    One row per answer included in the detailed research readings.

    key, answerId, interpretation, text

  • Party counts by edition

    party-count-tables.csv

    One row per comparison, edition, assistant and party, with its answer count and total.

    panel, edition, platform, party, numerator, denominator

  • Answer length by assistant

    platform-tables.csv

    One row per comparison, edition and assistant, with the recorded answer lengths.

    panel, edition, platform, answers, median_words, total_words

  • Location comparisons by edition

    regional-tables.csv

    One row per national-and-location comparison and edition.

    edition, prompt_id, platform, city, draft_id, block, scenario_id, scenario, issue, priority, common_5_6, complete, national_result_id, city_result_id, same_text, same_party_set, same_displayed_party_set

  • Changes by topic

    issue-tables.csv

    One row per topic, showing answer totals and changes in party names.

    issue, current_answers, matched, changed_party_sets, changed_displayed_party_sets

  • Links visible in answers

    literal-source-evidence.csv

    One row per answer, with the web links present in its text.

    edition, result_id, literal_urls, literal_domains, associated_capture

  • Separate website reference totals

    aggregate-references.csv

    One row per website in the separate reference summary; these totals do not identify which answer used it.

    domain, citationCount, referenceCount, promptCount, urlTotal, trendTotal, platforms

  • Answers compared with 23 October

    pairs.csv

    One row per answer with an earlier counterpart to the same question, assistant and location.

    earlierAnswerId, answerId, questionId, assistant, collectionSetting, askedFrom

  • Checks across editions

    edition-checks.csv

    The selected checks and whether their statements appeared in each edition.

    checkId, claim, assistant, earlierAnswerId, answerId, earlierQuote, quote, trajectory, assessment, evidence

  • Statements and sentiment assessments

    claims.csv

    The saved assessments of statements about tracked parties, with their answer references and verified extracts where available.

    claimId, answerId, entityId, role, tone, quote, nativeQuoteVerified, origin

  • Original saved statement assessments

    raw-native-claims.csv

    One row per saved statement, with its original wording and party assessments. These are automated results, not independently checked facts.

    quote, brands, stance, claimId, claimText, sourceResultId

  • Original saved source records

    raw-native-sources.csv

    Every saved source record, distinguishing citations from other references. The source rankings count citations only.

    answerId, url, domain, metadata, domainType, citationKind

  • Sources by answer

    source-associations.csv

    One row per answer and website; repeated references to the same website count once.

    answer id, question id, assistant, domain, publisher

  • National and location answers

    place-pairs.csv

    One row per complete national-and-location pair in this edition.

    question id, assistant, place, national answer id, place answer id, national entities, place entities, same entities

Use these tables to trace findings back to the original questions and answers. The full text of each answer is also on this page, under its question.

03

Read in full and checked

Some answers were read in detail or checked against official sources. Those appear on the study page, beside the findings they support.

ChatGPT · No location

We own a home with a mortgage, have school-age children and rely on two wages. After mortgage payments, rates, power and groceries, there is little buffer. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. What would national party policies change about local rates and water costs, and what remains a council decision?

New Zealand 2026 election: What National's policies could mean for your rates and water bills

The key distinction for your household is that a cap on council rates is not necessarily a cap on your total council-related costs. National's proposed rates controls could make ordinary rates increases more predictable, but water charges are treated separately, and councils would still have important decisions to make about spending and infrastructure.

For a household with a mortgage, school-age children and two incomes already committed to essentials, it's worth looking at three things separately: what you pay in rates, what you pay for water, and whether the combined cost is likely to become more manageable.

The 2026 general election is scheduled for 7 November 2026. The following explains National's documented policy direction and what it could mean for homeowners, based on information available as of 26 October 2026. sciencemediacentre.co.nz, beehive.govt.nz

1. What National proposes to change about council rates

National's government has introduced a rates-capping proposal intended to limit annual increases in council rates.

Under the proposed system:

  • Annual rates increases would generally have to fall within a 2%–4% target range.
  • An independent regulatory process would oversee compliance.
  • Exceptions could be available in particular circumstances, such as natural disasters or other exceptional financial pressures.
  • The intended implementation date is 2029.

The Local Government (Rates Capping) Amendment Bill passed its first reading in Parliament in September 2026. That means the proposal has advanced through Parliament, but you should not treat it as an unconditional guarantee that your rates will rise by no more than 4% every year. www3.parliament.nz, beehive.govt.nz, beehive.govt.nz, undecided.nz

What that could mean for your household

Imagine your annual council rates are $4,000. This is an illustration, not an estimate of your actual bill.

Annual increase Extra cost per year Extra cost per week
2% $80 $1.54
4% $160 $3.08
7% $280 $5.38
10% $400 $7.69

At a 4% increase, your rates would rise from $4,000 to $4,160.

If they would otherwise have risen by 7%, the proposed cap could mean $120 less in additional annual rates, assuming the cap applies as expected and no exception changes the outcome.

For a household with little money left after mortgage payments, groceries, power and other essentials, that difference could help. But it is important to distinguish slowing the increase in a bill from reducing the bill itself.

A cap also does not automatically mean that your rates will rise by only 2%–4% in every year. The final rules, permitted exceptions and how the system applies to individual councils matter.

2. What National's policies could mean for water costs

This is the most important qualification to the rates cap.

National's water policy, known as Local Water Done Well, keeps water assets in public ownership and gives councils flexibility over how water services are delivered. It also requires water services to be financially sustainable, with stronger regulatory oversight. The framework is established in legislation passed in 2025. mcert.govt.nz, assets.national.org.nz

Why water bills could still rise

The proposed rates cap excludes charges for drinking water, wastewater and stormwater. Those costs are dealt with separately from ordinary council rates. mcert.govt.nz, www3.parliament.nz

That matters because councils need to maintain and upgrade ageing pipes, meet water-quality requirements and provide infrastructure for growing communities.

Under the water reforms, councils must establish financially sustainable ways of delivering these services. Depending on the local arrangements, that can involve borrowing for infrastructure, changing how services are organised, or adjusting water charges.

The government's framework does not guarantee that these changes will make water cheaper for households. mcert.govt.nz, dia.govt.nz

How this could affect your budget

Consider a hypothetical household facing the following annual changes:

Household cost Annual change
Ordinary council rates +$160
Water charges +$200
Combined additional cost +$360
Equivalent weekly increase +$6.92

These figures are illustrative, not a forecast of your council's charges.

Even if ordinary rates increased by only 4%, a separate increase in water charges could leave your household paying more overall.

The other important point is that a water charge may appear on a separate invoice or within your council rates, depending on your local arrangements. You need to consider both to understand your actual housing-related costs.

For a national overview, the Ministry for Cities, Environment, Regions and Transport explains the rules under Local Water Done Well.

3. What would remain a council decision?

National can change the rules councils operate under, but it does not automatically decide every aspect of your local bill.

The proposed rates cap is designed to constrain how quickly councils can increase their rates revenue. Councils would continue to make decisions about local services, infrastructure investment and spending priorities. mcert.govt.nz, mcert.govt.nz

Here is the practical distinction.

Issue National government can influence or set What remains local
Ordinary rates The proposed annual increase range and rules for exceptions How rates are allocated among properties and rating categories, within the applicable rules
Water charges The legislative framework, regulatory requirements and economic oversight The local service-delivery arrangements and associated charging decisions, within the law
Water infrastructure National standards and regulatory requirements Local investment plans, project priorities and delivery arrangements
Rubbish collection, parks and pools The broader legislative framework and limits on rates revenue Service levels, spending choices and local priorities
Growth and development National planning rules and infrastructure-funding frameworks Local planning and implementation decisions within those frameworks

These distinctions follow the government's description of the proposed rates-capping system and the water-services framework. mcert.govt.nz, mcert.govt.nz

Could a council still raise your individual rates by more than 4%?

Potentially, yes.

The proposed cap applies to a council's average rates revenue per rating unit, rather than guaranteeing a maximum increase for every property.

Your individual bill can change by a different percentage because of property valuations, targeted rates, the way costs are allocated, and local rating decisions. Approved exemptions can also affect the overall outcome. mcert.govt.nz

This means that even if National's proposal takes effect as intended, you should not assume that your particular rates bill will be limited to a 4% increase every year.

4. What about other parties in the 2026 election?

If you are considering National's approach, it is also useful to distinguish its proposed rates cap from the alternatives other parties might pursue.

I would compare parties on the actual mechanisms they propose, rather than assume that a promise to reduce living costs necessarily means lower rates or water bills.

For each party, look for answers to these questions:

  • Would it cap council rates, and if so, at what level?
  • Would the cap include water charges, or would those remain separate?
  • Would it provide central-government funding for water infrastructure, or leave more of the cost to councils and their customers?
  • Would it change how councils can borrow, collect revenue or charge for local services?
  • When would the policy take effect?

National's published policy provides a specific 2%–4% target range for ordinary rates increases, with implementation planned for 2029. Its water framework focuses on financially sustainable services under Local Water Done Well. Those are two distinct policies, with different implications for household bills. national.org.nz, mcert.govt.nz

For the latest party positions, you can consult the official websites of the New Zealand National Party, New Zealand Labour Party, Green Party of Aotearoa New Zealand and ACT New Zealand. Check their current policy announcements for specific water and rates commitments, as election platforms can change.

5. What should you check before voting?

Given that your household has limited room in its budget, I would focus on the likely effect on your combined annual housing and council costs, rather than the headline rates percentage alone.

Here is a practical checklist.

A. Look at your council's latest annual rates bill

Identify:

  • Your ordinary general rates.
  • Any targeted rates or separate council charges.
  • Water supply, wastewater and stormwater charges, wherever they appear.

B. Check the council's water-services plans

Look for planned infrastructure upgrades, forecast operating costs, proposed charging changes and the arrangements for delivering water services.

The government's Water Services Delivery Plans information explains how councils plan to fund and deliver water services.

C. Ask what happens between now and 2029

National's proposed rates cap is not intended to take effect until 2029. It therefore does not, by itself, protect your household against rates increases before then, nor does it guarantee a particular water charge.

Check the rates and water forecasts for the intervening years, not just the proposed long-term cap. national.org.nz, www3.parliament.nz

D. Look beyond the percentage increase

A council can have a relatively modest percentage increase but still impose a substantial dollar cost on a household. Conversely, a higher percentage increase on a small charge may have a smaller effect.

For your family, the important measure is how many additional dollars you would have to find each week.


Bottom line

National's proposal could make ordinary council rates increases more predictable by introducing a 2%–4% target range, subject to the final legislation and exceptions. But water charges are excluded from that cap, and water infrastructure still has to be paid for.

Councils would retain important decisions about service levels, infrastructure investment and local charging arrangements within national rules.

The question to put to any party is therefore:

Will your policies reduce the combined amount our household has to pay for ordinary rates and water services, and by how much each year?

That is a more revealing test than asking whether a party will simply cap rates.

Before relying on any particular promise, check whether it applies to your entire bill, when it begins, and how it will be funded. Those details determine whether a policy offers meaningful relief to a household already stretched by mortgage repayments and everyday costs.

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Gemini · No location

We own a home with a mortgage, have school-age children and rely on two wages. After mortgage payments, rates, power and groceries, there is little buffer. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. What would national party policies change about local rates and water costs, and what remains a council decision?

When juggling a mortgage, supporting school-age children, and managing a household on a dual income with a tight buffer, household living costs and local rates are a significant consideration.

Under New Zealand's system of local government and central government policy framework (including the Local Water Done Well legislation), responsibilities and proposed policy impacts are divided between central government policy and local council decision-making.


1. What National Party Policies Aim to Change

The National Party's local government and infrastructure approach focuses on keeping rates affordable by shifting how councils operate and funding water infrastructure:

  • Focusing Councils on Core Services: National highlights a policy commitment to keeping rates affordable by refocusing local authorities strictly on delivering "core services" (such as infrastructure, roads, and water) and reining in spending on non-essential activities.
  • Water Infrastructure Delivery (Local Water Done Well): Rather than mandating centralized mega-entities, the framework allows councils to retain ownership of their water assets while setting up financially sustainable, dedicated water organizations (either standalone or CCOs/consumer trusts). These entities can borrow independently from local councils (off council balance sheets) to fund massive pipe and treatment upgrades.
  • Economic Regulation: The framework introduces independent oversight (via the Commerce Commission) to monitor water service delivery and expenditure, aiming to prevent inefficient spending from unfairly driving up household bills.
  • Direct Return from Tourism: National has proposed resetting the International Visitor Levy so that local councils see a direct financial return from the visitors they host, helping offset local infrastructure costs.

2. What Remains Strictly a Council Decision

Even with central government policy guardrails and funding frameworks, major day-to-day levers affecting your household budget remain entirely in the hands of your local elected councillors:

  • Setting Local Rates Increases: Central government does not set individual council rates. Your local council decides the total amount of revenue it needs to collect through rates each year to balance its budget, fund local projects, and maintain community assets.
  • Prioritizing Capital Works and Spending: Decisions on whether to upgrade local parks, build community facilities, or invest in specific local amenities versus sticking strictly to core maintenance are decided by your local council through its Long-Term Plan (LTP).
  • Water Pricing and Delivery Models: While the government framework requires water services to become financially sustainable, your specific local council (or the local water organization they choose to establish) decides the exact structure of water charges, whether volumetric water meters are installed, and how water delivery is managed in your area.
  • Operational Efficiency: Day-to-day management, staffing, procurement, and cost-control measures within the council administration are entirely managed at the local government level.

Are you more concerned about keeping overall council rates down, or ensuring local water infrastructure gets upgraded without hurting your household budget?

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Google AI Mode · No location

We own a home with a mortgage, have school-age children and rely on two wages. After mortgage payments, rates, power and groceries, there is little buffer. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. What would national party policies change about local rates and water costs, and what remains a council decision?

For a household operating on a tight two-wage budget with school-age children, keeping a tight rein on fixed household costs like local government rates and water bills is a critical consideration.

Under the National Party's local government and infrastructure framework (often framed around legislation targeting a rates cap and the "Local Water Done Well" approach), the division between central government policy changes and local council decision-making operates through specific structures.


What National’s Policies Change (Central Government Controls)

  • Annual Rates Increase Caps: National has introduced a policy to cap annual council rates increases within an initial target range of 2% to 4%. The intent is to put a regulatory brake on steep or unexpected rates hikes and force councils to "get back to basics" (prioritising core services like roads, rubbish collection, and community facilities). [National Party]
  • Exemptions to the Cap: The rates-capping framework allows for time-bound central exemptions where councils can legally exceed the 4% ceiling:
  • Exceptional circumstances: Such as recovering from major natural disasters or severe events beyond reasonable planning.
  • Prudent financial management exemption: If a council can transparently demonstrate a justified, unavoidable need for infrastructure investment while proving prudent financial management. [National Party]
  • Water Services Regulation & Delivery Models: National repealed the previous government’s "Three Waters" mandated mega-entities and replaced it with "Local Water Done Well". Under this policy, water assets remain council-owned, but councils are encouraged or required to move water delivery into dedicated financially separate entities (such as council-controlled organisations or joint multi-council water organisations).
  • Economic Oversight of Water: Water service quality continues to be regulated by Taumata Arowai , while economic regulation is overseen by the Commerce Commission to monitor pricing, efficiency, and long-term infrastructure funding without direct central tax-funding bailouts. [www.mcert.govt.nz]

What Remains a Local Council Decision

  • Setting the Baseline Rates and Budgets: Within the permitted target range (2%–4%), your local council still decides the exact mix of general rates, targeted rates (for specific local amenities or services), and uniform annual charges. They must consult their local community on how they allocate this budget before finalising it. [National Party]
  • Choosing Water Delivery Structures: Councils decide how to structure their local water services under the "Local Water Done Well" rules—whether to manage it via a single-council operation, partner with neighbouring councils in a joint council-controlled organisation (CCO), or adopt alternative approved delivery models suited to their balance sheet.
  • Water Pricing and Funding Mechanisms: How water infrastructure costs are recouped locally (such as through property-based targeted water rates or metered volumetric charging) remains a decision for local governance, subject to the economic efficiency requirements overseen by the Commerce Commission. [www.mcert.govt.nz]
  • "Back-to-Basics" Spending Priorities: Councils retain the autonomy to decide which local projects are scaled back, delayed, or cut to fit their spending within the central rates-capping envelope—determining trade-offs regarding local pools, parks, library funding, and regional development. [National Party]

You can read the detailed announcement directly on the National Party Newsroom or review the structural framework via the Local Government and Environment monitoring information.

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AI Overviews · No location

We own a home with a mortgage, have school-age children and rely on two wages. After mortgage payments, rates, power and groceries, there is little buffer. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. What would national party policies change about local rates and water costs, and what remains a council decision?

AI Overview

For a dual-income household balancing school-age children and a mortgage with minimal breathing room, local council charges can be a major stress point.

The National Party's policies shift how local costs are structured by capping general council rates at a maximum 4% annual increase and requiring councils to financially ring-fence water services. However, councils retain absolute control over how they allocate their remaining budgets and how they choose to structure the actual delivery and pricing of water.


What National Party Policies Change

  • Mandatory Rates Cap: National's headline policy enforces a strict general rates cap of 2% to 4% per capita annually to restrict councils to "must-do" infrastructure over discretionary projects.

  • Voluntary Water Grouping: Following the repeal of the previous "Three Waters" model, National's Local Water Done Well framework allows councils to voluntarily blend their water operations into regional Council-Controlled Organisations (CCOs).

  • Balance Sheet Separation: Water providers can borrow money independently through the Local Government Funding Agency, spreading long-term infrastructure upgrade debt away from the council's standard borrowing limits.

  • Financial Ring-Fencing: Councils are legally blocked from diverting water revenue into non-water municipal projects.

  • Water Charges Exemption: Water volumetric charges and targeted water rates are explicitly excluded from the 4% general rates cap and are regulated separately under economic and water quality watchdogs.


What Remains a Local Council Decision

  • Water Service Delivery Model: Councils choose how to fulfill their government-mandated Water Services Delivery Plans—whether keeping services entirely in-house or banding together with neighbors.

  • Water Tariffs and Volumetric Pricing: The explicit cost of water on your monthly or quarterly bill is decided by your local authority or its designated water CCO.

  • Budget Trade-offs Under the Cap: While general rates cannot rise more than 4%, councils still hold the power to decide which public services get cut or preserved (such as public pools, parks, libraries, or rubbish collection) to stay beneath that cap.

If you would like to explore how these parameters interact with your budget further, please let me know:

  • Your approximate region (to look up whether your local council is transitioning to a regional water corporate or keeping services in-house) Local Water Done Well plans to reduce costs | Beehive.govt.nz

  • Whether you currently pay volumetric water metering or a flat targeted rate Getting rates under control for ratepayers | National Party

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