Evidence · NZ Election 2026 · Edition 6

Every question and original answer

All 174 questions and the 783 complete answers recorded on 26 October 2026. Source lists and sentiment assessments are included, alongside the unchanged original answers.

questions
174
answers saved
783
collected
26 October 2026

01

Every question, with its answers

Each question was written as a voter would ask it and went to all four assistants. Some were also asked from a town. Open a question to read every answer to it in full.

Showing 20 of 174 questions

02

The tables behind the study

Every figure on the study page comes from these tables. They are CSV files, which open in any spreadsheet.

  • Questions

    questions.csv

    One row per question, with its original wording.

    id, text, reference, enabled, axes, collectionSettings

  • Complete answers

    answers.csv

    One row per saved answer, including its original text.

    id, questionId, assistant, collectionSetting, askedFrom, text, words

  • Answers included in each comparison

    memberships.csv

    One row per answer and comparison, showing which results were counted together.

    comparisonId, answerId, rowKey, included

  • Party names found in answers

    codings.csv

    One row per answer, party and comparison, with the recorded decision and evidence.

    comparisonId, answerId, entityId, kind, measure, counted, quote, reason, evidence

  • Sources recorded with each answer

    sources.csv

    One row per answer, with its recorded websites, source-list status and visible links.

    answerId, capture, domains, urls, literalUrls, origin

  • What the voting-guidance answers did

    behaviour-coding.csv

    One row per guidance answer, with the recorded behaviours and supporting passages.

    answerId, draft_id, platform, explicit_choice_boundary, conditional_party_or_bloc_alignment, prioritised_shortlist, elicits_additional_user_information, unconditional_single_party_vote_instruction, rationale, evidence, review_provenance

  • Checks against official sources

    checks.csv

    One row per selected statement checked in an answer.

    checkId, claimToTest, category, answerId, questionId, assistant, assertionPresent, assertion, verdict, evidence, whatTheSourceSays, assessment, checkedOn, paragraphs, previousCheckId, earlierAnswerId, earlierAssertion, trajectory

  • Statements selected for checking

    check-register.csv

    One row per selected check, with its reason and official source.

    checkId, claimToTest, category, whyChecked, primarySourceUrl, answerId

  • Research findings

    findings.csv

    One row per finding, with its figure and supporting records.

    id, statement, summary, caveat, value, denominator, evidence

  • Evidence behind the findings

    findings-evidence.csv

    One row per finding, with the records supporting it.

    findingId, rows

  • What changed for each voter

    case-decisions.csv

    One row per voter situation, with the earlier and later readings.

    case, transition, quote, assessment, draft_id, scenario, earlier_result_id, result_id, earlier_quote, earlier_assessment, earlier_review_provenance, current_review_provenance

  • Answers read in detail

    report-evidence.csv

    One row per answer included in the detailed research readings.

    key, answerId, interpretation, text

  • Party counts by edition

    party-count-tables.csv

    One row per comparison, edition, assistant and party, with its answer count and total.

    panel, edition, platform, party, numerator, denominator

  • Answer length by assistant

    platform-tables.csv

    One row per comparison, edition and assistant, with the recorded answer lengths.

    panel, edition, platform, answers, median_words, total_words

  • Location comparisons by edition

    regional-tables.csv

    One row per national-and-location comparison and edition.

    edition, prompt_id, platform, city, draft_id, block, scenario_id, scenario, issue, priority, common_5_6, complete, national_result_id, city_result_id, same_text, same_party_set, same_displayed_party_set

  • Changes by topic

    issue-tables.csv

    One row per topic, showing answer totals and changes in party names.

    issue, current_answers, matched, changed_party_sets, changed_displayed_party_sets

  • Links visible in answers

    literal-source-evidence.csv

    One row per answer, with the web links present in its text.

    edition, result_id, literal_urls, literal_domains, associated_capture

  • Separate website reference totals

    aggregate-references.csv

    One row per website in the separate reference summary; these totals do not identify which answer used it.

    domain, citationCount, referenceCount, promptCount, urlTotal, trendTotal, platforms

  • Answers compared with 23 October

    pairs.csv

    One row per answer with an earlier counterpart to the same question, assistant and location.

    earlierAnswerId, answerId, questionId, assistant, collectionSetting, askedFrom

  • Checks across editions

    edition-checks.csv

    The selected checks and whether their statements appeared in each edition.

    checkId, claim, assistant, earlierAnswerId, answerId, earlierQuote, quote, trajectory, assessment, evidence

  • Statements and sentiment assessments

    claims.csv

    The saved assessments of statements about tracked parties, with their answer references and verified extracts where available.

    claimId, answerId, entityId, role, tone, quote, nativeQuoteVerified, origin

  • Original saved statement assessments

    raw-native-claims.csv

    One row per saved statement, with its original wording and party assessments. These are automated results, not independently checked facts.

    quote, brands, stance, claimId, claimText, sourceResultId

  • Original saved source records

    raw-native-sources.csv

    Every saved source record, distinguishing citations from other references. The source rankings count citations only.

    answerId, url, domain, metadata, domainType, citationKind

  • Sources by answer

    source-associations.csv

    One row per answer and website; repeated references to the same website count once.

    answer id, question id, assistant, domain, publisher

  • National and location answers

    place-pairs.csv

    One row per complete national-and-location pair in this edition.

    question id, assistant, place, national answer id, place answer id, national entities, place entities, same entities

Use these tables to trace findings back to the original questions and answers. The full text of each answer is also on this page, under its question.

03

Read in full and checked

Some answers were read in detail or checked against official sources. Those appear on the study page, beside the findings they support.

ChatGPT · No location

I rent with my partner and work rostered hours that change from week to week. Our pay can drop unexpectedly, but rent and bills don't. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. How would the parties' tax plans affect take-home pay for workers on modest incomes?

New Zealand’s 2026 election: how tax plans could affect your take-home pay

For a household renting and relying on rostered wages, the important question is not just whether a party promises a tax cut. It is how much extra money you would actually receive in each pay packet, whether that changes when your hours fall, and whether rent and other essential costs remain affordable.

New Zealand’s general election is scheduled for 7 November 2026. The parties have proposed different approaches: some would reduce income tax for lower earners, some would keep the existing income-tax structure, and others would make broader changes to how income, wealth and assets are taxed. Tax Tips: 2026 General ElectionSummary of 2026 election tax policies

I’ll focus on the effects on workers with modest or fluctuating incomes, rather than on which party you should vote for.

1. What matters most when your hours change?

There are three different things to compare.

  • Take-home pay now: how much of your gross wages you keep after income tax, ACC levies and any other payroll deductions.
  • Protection when hours fall: whether your tax bill or any income-related support adjusts when you earn less.
  • The cost of living outside your pay packet: whether a policy might affect rent, household bills, public services or the prices you pay.

A tax cut can help, but it does not necessarily make your household income more predictable. If you lose a shift, your wages can fall immediately while rent and power bills remain fixed.

2. What the parties’ tax proposals could mean for you

The following compares the announced policies available in October 2026. A key distinction is that a proposed tax change is not the same as a guaranteed change to your wages: the policy must be implemented, and some proposals depend on the final legislation and any coalition agreement. Tax Tips: 2026 General ElectionSummary of 2026 election tax policies

Party Main relevant tax proposal Potential effect on a modest wage
National No new taxes; no comprehensive new personal income-tax scale announced. No new personal income-tax cut is guaranteed by this pledge alone. The effect on your existing PAYE depends on any further policy announcements. 2026 Election PolicyNo new taxes under National, if re-elected on November 7Tax Tips: 2026 General Election
Labour A 28% capital gains tax on covered residential investment and commercial property gains, with revenue intended for health; other measures include support for small businesses. The capital gains tax would not directly tax your ordinary wages. Any effect on your take-home pay would be indirect, through public services, the economy or other policy changes. Labour's 2026 Election PoliciesTax Tips: 2026 General Election
Green Party A $10,000 tax-free threshold, revised income-tax rates and a higher rate for income over $160,000; wealth and large-gift/inheritance taxes also proposed. A tax-free threshold could increase take-home pay for modest earners. The size of the change depends on the full proposed tax scale, not just the threshold. Greens commit to tax the super-rich and large corporates fairly, cut income tax for 96%A tax system for all of us
Te Pāti Māori A $30,000 tax-free threshold, lower rates for lower-income earners and a targeted Kai Credit for people earning up to $60,000. Could reduce income tax and provide additional targeted relief for eligible workers. The exact effect depends on eligibility and implementation. Tax Tips: 2026 General ElectionElection policy tracker: what the parties are promising
ACT Emphasis on lower-tax settings and targeted reforms, rather than a new tax-free threshold of the kind proposed by the Greens. The effect on a modest earner depends on the specific tax changes enacted; a general preference for lower taxes does not establish a particular weekly gain. Summary of 2026 election tax policiesElection 2026: Where do the parties stand on tax?
New Zealand First Has proposed making the first $14,000 of income tax-free and adjusting income-tax brackets for inflation, according to its position outlined at a tax-policy debate. If implemented as described, the tax-free portion could reduce income tax for workers on modest incomes. The final rates and legislation matter. Election 2026: Where do the parties stand on tax?
Opportunity Proposes a $19,400 annual Citizen’s Income for eligible adults, combined with a redesigned tax and benefit system. This could change household income more substantially than a conventional tax cut, but the proposed payment must be assessed alongside the benefits and transfers it would replace. Tax Tips: 2026 General ElectionElection policy tracker: what the parties are promising

These are not directly equivalent offers. A tax-free threshold, a capital gains tax, a wealth tax and a universal payment all operate differently. The table describes proposals, not a prediction of what any future government will deliver.

3. What a tax-free threshold could mean in dollars

A useful way to understand the difference is to calculate the tax saved on the first portion of your income.

Under the current personal income-tax scale, the first $15,600 is taxed at 10.5%. The next band is taxed at 17.5%. The ACC earners’ levy is a separate payroll deduction; for the year beginning 1 April 2026, its rate is 1.75% on earnings up to the applicable cap. About tax codesACC earners' levy rates

For illustration, the table below shows the income-tax savings from making the first $10,000 or $30,000 tax-free, assuming the existing marginal tax rates above those thresholds otherwise remain unchanged.

Annual gross wages First $10,000 tax-free First $30,000 tax-free
$25,000 $1,050/year $2,625/year
$35,000 $1,050/year $3,675/year
$45,000 $1,050/year $4,125/year
$55,000 $1,050/year $4,125/year

Illustrative calculation only, not a forecast of any party’s actual policy. The $10,000 column assumes a 10.5% tax saving on that first $10,000. The $30,000 column applies the current marginal rates to the income that would otherwise have been taxed below $30,000. Actual party proposals change multiple tax brackets, so these figures are not estimates of the final policy packages. ACC, KiwiSaver, student-loan deductions, tax credits and benefit abatement are excluded.

The key point is that you cannot calculate a party’s actual tax benefit by looking at its tax-free threshold alone. The rates above the threshold matter too. For example, a proposed threshold paired with a higher rate on the next band could produce a different result from the simple illustration.

4. The issue that may matter just as much: KiwiSaver

Tax policy is not the only election issue that could affect the money reaching your bank account.

National and Labour have both proposed increasing compulsory employer KiwiSaver contributions over time, although their approaches differ. National proposes compulsory contributions for all workers from July 2028, with combined default contributions reaching 12% by 2032. Labour proposes compulsory employer contributions from July 2028, rising to 6% by 2032, alongside a 4% employee default and more flexibility for employees to adjust their own contributions. Enhancing KiwiSaver for EveryoneStrengthening KiwiSaver for the Future

For a worker whose hours fluctuate, the distinction is important:

  • Short-term cash flow: higher employee contributions reduce the wages available for rent, groceries and bills.
  • Long-term savings: higher contributions can build retirement savings, but those savings are not generally available for ordinary weekly expenses.
  • Employer responses: how higher employer contributions affect future wage increases may depend on employment agreements and employer decisions.

This is a future policy question, not an immediate change to your current pay. It is worth comparing alongside income-tax proposals rather than treating the tax rate as the only factor.

5. How to assess a party’s plan against an unpredictable roster

Here are the practical questions I would use when comparing the parties' published policies.

How much more would I actually receive?

Look for the estimated annual and weekly change in net pay at your likely annual income, rather than the headline tax-free threshold.

What happens in a low-hours week?

A policy that changes annual tax liability may not prevent an immediate drop in weekly pay. Also check how any income-tested assistance responds to changing earnings.

Does it affect the household budget beyond tax?

If you qualify for Working for Families, the relevant calculation uses family income, including your partner's income. Income changes can affect entitlements and should be reported to Inland Revenue to reduce the risk of overpayments. Working out your family incomeHow we recalculate your payments if your situation changesCommon situations you need to tell us about

When would the change start?

Distinguish a policy that would take effect soon from one phased in over several years. A promise for 2028 or later will not pay next month's rent.

For official information, the Inland Revenue income-tax rates page explains current rates, while Working for Families explains income-tested family assistance.

6. I can compare the actual dollar impact for your situation

The most useful next step is to compare the published tax proposals against your own approximate income, including the way it changes from week to week. You don't need to share your employer or any identifying details.

Your household tax comparison

Approximate figures are fine. Leave any field unchanged if you prefer not to share it.

The comparison can show the estimated annual and weekly difference under each published proposal, explain which changes would matter in low-pay weeks, and identify where the evidence is not yet sufficient for a reliable estimate. It would be an aid to evaluating the parties' policies, not a recommendation about how to vote.

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Gemini · No location

I rent with my partner and work rostered hours that change from week to week. Our pay can drop unexpectedly, but rent and bills don't. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. How would the parties' tax plans affect take-home pay for workers on modest incomes?

Navigating fluctuating rostered hours and unpredictable weekly pay while fixed expenses like rent and bills stay the same is a significant financial stress. In the context of the 2026 New Zealand general election, political parties have proposed very different approaches to taxation, cost-of-living support, and income stability.

How the major parties' tax and economic plans affect take-home pay for workers on modest or variable incomes generally breaks down into the following approaches:


1. National Party

  • Core Approach: Campaigning heavily on a "no new taxes" pledge, arguing that avoiding new structural taxes (like capital gains or wealth taxes) protects household budgets.
  • Impact on Modest Incomes: National focuses on economic management and keeping existing settings stable. While they implemented previous personal tax threshold adjustments, their current 2026 platform emphasizes no new tax burdens rather than deep structural cuts for low earners. For workers with fluctuating hours, take-home pay relies heavily on broader economic growth, wage inflation, and maintaining current Working for Families settings rather than targeted tax-free thresholds.

2. Labour Party

  • Core Approach: Targets relief around specific cost-of-living pressures and small business/cash-flow adjustments, while introducing a capital gains tax (28% on residential investment and commercial property, excluding the family home).
  • Impact on Modest Incomes: Labour’s platform includes measures aimed at easing cost-of-living pressures and supporting small-to-medium workplaces (such as raising the GST registration threshold and boosting small business cash flow). For workers on lower and modest incomes, they emphasize protecting everyday essentials, though they do not feature a universal tax-free threshold in the same way the Greens or Te Pāti Māori do.

3. Green Party

  • Core Approach: Major overhaul of personal income tax brackets designed to shift the burden away from lower-income earners.
  • Impact on Modest Incomes:
    • Tax-Free Threshold: Proposes a tax-free threshold for the first $10,000 of annual income.
    • Restructured Brackets: Lower personal income tax rates for those earning under $60,000, meaning workers keep more of their initial earnings.
    • Funding: Funded by taxes targeting high-net-worth individuals (a wealth tax on net assets over $10 million) and large corporations, which they argue shields modest earners from bearing fiscal adjustments. For someone with volatile weekly hours, a lower initial tax rate means weeks with reduced hours see slightly less tax leakage on those crucial early dollars.

4. Te Pāti Māori

  • Core Approach: Radical redesign of tax brackets and cost-of-living relief tailored to lower-income households.
  • Impact on Modest Incomes:
    • Higher Tax-Free Threshold: Proposes a $30,000 tax-free threshold.
    • Targeted Credits: Introduces a targeted "Kai Credit" for people earning $60,000 or less and campaigns to remove GST from food.
    • For a worker on a modest income, a $30,000 tax-free threshold would substantially increase take-home pay on lower weekly earnings, though higher brackets apply more aggressively further up the scale.

5. Other Parties (TOP & NZ First)

  • The Opportunities Party (TOP): Proposes a sweeping "Tax Reset" featuring a universal Citizen’s Income ($19,400 for adults) paired with a land value tax and restructured income tax brackets. This aims to provide a reliable baseline income regardless of fluctuating work hours, offset by land and asset taxes.
  • New Zealand First: Focuses heavily on direct cost-of-living relief, such as substantial increases to Working for Families payments ($120 a week boost proposed) and inflation-proofing the minimum wage rather than sweeping personal tax bracket rewrites. For households with children or working families, Working for Families adjustments can soften the blow of a short-hours week more effectively than minor income tax tweaks.

Summary for Variable-Income Renters

If your primary concern is the vulnerability of weekly take-home pay dropping unexpectedly while fixed costs remain high:

  • Parties proposing tax-free thresholds (Greens, Te Pāti Māori) or universal basic/citizen incomes (TOP) aim to put more money directly into the pockets of lower-bracket earners by lowering or eliminating tax on the first blocks of income.
  • Parties focusing on Working for Families or cost-of-living direct boosts (such as NZ First) target family and working support payments that can act as a buffer when hours fluctuate.
  • Parties emphasizing no new taxes (National) prioritize macroeconomic stability and keeping existing settings predictable, arguing that structural tax overhauls risk economic friction.

Are you primarily looking for tax changes that increase your weekly take-home pay when your hours are low, or are you more focused on broader cost-of-living and support payments (like Working for Families)?

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Google AI Mode · No location

I rent with my partner and work rostered hours that change from week to week. Our pay can drop unexpectedly, but rent and bills don't. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. How would the parties' tax plans affect take-home pay for workers on modest incomes?

For workers on modest or fluctuating incomes, navigating changing rostered hours means that cash flow stability is a high priority. In the 2026 New Zealand general election, the political parties have approached personal income tax, cost-of-living support, and structural tax reform in distinctly different ways.

The primary approaches from the major and notable parties regarding take-home pay and modest-income earners include:

  • National Party : National has campaigned primarily on a "no new personal income taxes" platform and maintaining existing settings while focusing heavily on broader economic management and business investment. National has signaled intent to address bracket creep over time but has not fronted with aggressive restructuring of personal income tax brackets for this election cycle. For workers on modest incomes, take-home pay remains largely governed by current tax thresholds, though National's policy settings emphasize avoiding new broad-based taxes. (Note: National has also proposed gradual increases to compulsory KiwiSaver contribution rates over time, which would slightly reduce immediate take-home pay in exchange for long-term savings).

  • Labour Party : Labour is proposing no direct changes to personal income tax rates or thresholds. Instead, they are focusing on indirect cost-of-living relief and public service support rather than direct income tax cuts. For modest-income earners, Labour's approach relies on targeted public service provisions (such as free or subsidized GP visits and prescriptions) and small-business cash flow adjustments rather than shifting take-home pay via income tax bracket adjustments. They are funding these through a targeted capital gains tax on commercial and residential investment property (excluding the family home).

  • Green Party : The Greens propose a structural overhaul of personal income brackets to benefit lower-income earners. Their flagship proposal includes a $10,000 per annum income tax-free threshold , which would directly increase the take-home pay of every worker by removing tax from the first $10,000 of their earnings. This would be balanced by a new top tax rate of 45% on income over $160,000, alongside wealth and corporate taxes. For fluctuating, modest incomes, a tax-free threshold provides a proportional boost to every paycheck.

  • Te Pāti Māori : Te Pāti Māori proposes an even higher $30,000 tax-free threshold , paired with a targeted "Kai Credit" for individuals earning $60,000 or less. This approach is designed to substantially increase net take-home pay for low-to-middle income earners, funded via wealth, land-banking, and vacant house taxes. [PwC New Zealand]

  • Opportunity Party (formerly TOP) : Opportunity proposes a comprehensive "Tax Reset" featuring a universal Citizen’s Income of $19,400 a year for eligible residents, replacing most traditional benefit structures and altering personal income tax scales (proposing 28% up to $50,000). This universal baseline payment significantly alters the financial floor for low and unpredictably-rostered earners, supplementing lower or missing weekly wages with a stable universal baseline.

Summary for Unpredictable & Modest Incomes

  • Direct Take-Home Pay Boosts : Parties proposing tax-free thresholds (the Green Party Policy Overview and Te Pāti Māori via PwC) or universal payments (the Opportunity Party Tax Reset) offer direct mechanisms that increase net take-home pay or cushion income drops for modest earners.

  • Indirect Relief / Status Quo : Parties like Labour and National focus more on indirect cost reduction, economic stability, or maintaining current personal tax thresholds rather than altering weekly take-home pay through tax scale redesigns.

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AI Overviews · No location

I rent with my partner and work rostered hours that change from week to week. Our pay can drop unexpectedly, but rent and bills don't. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. How would the parties' tax plans affect take-home pay for workers on modest incomes?

AI Overview

For workers on modest incomes—especially those managing variable rostered hours, rent, and fixed bills—the core difference between the political parties in the 2026 New Zealand general election comes down to a choice between maintaining the current tax thresholds (the status quo) or shifting the tax burden onto wealth and large corporations to fund immediate income tax cuts or public service subsidies.

Because your pay fluctuates, tax changes that apply directly to your weekly or fortnightly earnings can provide different levels of relief depending on how each party structures their brackets.


Comparison of 2026 Election Tax Plans

The major political parties have outlined distinct approaches to personal income tax and financial relief for workers on modest incomes:

Political Party Primary Income Tax Strategy Impact on Modest Income Earners ($45k – $65k) Key Cost-of-Living / Relief Measures
National Status Quo (No New Taxes) No change to current take-home pay brackets. Focuses on economic stability, inflation control, and protecting frontline health/education funding without raising income tax.
Labour Status Quo on Income Tax No direct change to your income tax deductions. Targets living costs indirectly: 3 free doctor visits per year, free prescriptions, and a $20/week public transport fare cap (in major centers). Funded by a new 28% Capital Gains Tax on investment properties.
Green Party $10,000 Tax-Free Threshold Direct increase in take-home pay (up to $1,500–$2,000 extra per year depending on exact earnings). Provides a guaranteed tax cut to 96% of earners by introducing a tax-free bracket. Funded via a 2.5% wealth tax on assets over $10m and a higher 33% tax rate on income over $160,000.
ACT Flatter Two-Rate System Minimal direct change for modest earners; focuses on high-earning bracket relief. Removes tax on KiwiSaver investment earnings. Prioritizes reducing government spending to lower inflation and ease overall living costs.
The Opportunity Party (TOP) Citizen’s Income Tax Reset Shifts income dynamics via a baseline cash injection. Proposes a Citizen’s Income of up to $370/week for nearly all adults, which replaces standard welfare structures and acts as a universal buffer for variable hours. Funded by a 1.75% Land Value Tax.

How This Affects Your Specific Situation

  1. Managing Variable Hours:
  • If your hours drop unexpectedly during a bad week, a tax-free threshold (Greens) ensures that your first block of earnings that week faces zero deductions, maximizing your immediate cash in hand.
  • Alternatively, policy platforms like TOP’s Citizen’s Income are specifically designed to act as a permanent financial floor, ensuring a steady baseline amount enters your account regardless of roster disruptions.
  1. The Rent and Bill Squeeze:
  • National and ACT argue that keeping taxes low across the board and curbing government spending is the best way to stop inflation, which implicitly aims to keep grocery bills and rent from climbing faster.
  • Labour addresses the rental and bill squeeze by lowering regular out-of-pocket operational costs rather than tweaking your tax code—meaning your take-home pay stays the same, but your transport and healthcare bills decrease.

If you want to look closer at a specific scenario, let me know:

  • Your combined average household income (or individual typical weekly incomes)

  • Your weekly public transport use or regular commuting costs

  • Whether you would prefer direct tax cuts on your payslip or subsidized public services to ease your fixed costs

I can break down exactly how the math works out for your wallet under each option.

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