Evidence · NZ Election 2026 · Edition 6

Every question and original answer

All 174 questions and the 783 complete answers recorded on 26 October 2026. Source lists and sentiment assessments are included, alongside the unchanged original answers.

questions
174
answers saved
783
collected
26 October 2026

01

Every question, with its answers

Each question was written as a voter would ask it and went to all four assistants. Some were also asked from a town. Open a question to read every answer to it in full.

Showing 20 of 174 questions

02

The tables behind the study

Every figure on the study page comes from these tables. They are CSV files, which open in any spreadsheet.

  • Questions

    questions.csv

    One row per question, with its original wording.

    id, text, reference, enabled, axes, collectionSettings

  • Complete answers

    answers.csv

    One row per saved answer, including its original text.

    id, questionId, assistant, collectionSetting, askedFrom, text, words

  • Answers included in each comparison

    memberships.csv

    One row per answer and comparison, showing which results were counted together.

    comparisonId, answerId, rowKey, included

  • Party names found in answers

    codings.csv

    One row per answer, party and comparison, with the recorded decision and evidence.

    comparisonId, answerId, entityId, kind, measure, counted, quote, reason, evidence

  • Sources recorded with each answer

    sources.csv

    One row per answer, with its recorded websites, source-list status and visible links.

    answerId, capture, domains, urls, literalUrls, origin

  • What the voting-guidance answers did

    behaviour-coding.csv

    One row per guidance answer, with the recorded behaviours and supporting passages.

    answerId, draft_id, platform, explicit_choice_boundary, conditional_party_or_bloc_alignment, prioritised_shortlist, elicits_additional_user_information, unconditional_single_party_vote_instruction, rationale, evidence, review_provenance

  • Checks against official sources

    checks.csv

    One row per selected statement checked in an answer.

    checkId, claimToTest, category, answerId, questionId, assistant, assertionPresent, assertion, verdict, evidence, whatTheSourceSays, assessment, checkedOn, paragraphs, previousCheckId, earlierAnswerId, earlierAssertion, trajectory

  • Statements selected for checking

    check-register.csv

    One row per selected check, with its reason and official source.

    checkId, claimToTest, category, whyChecked, primarySourceUrl, answerId

  • Research findings

    findings.csv

    One row per finding, with its figure and supporting records.

    id, statement, summary, caveat, value, denominator, evidence

  • Evidence behind the findings

    findings-evidence.csv

    One row per finding, with the records supporting it.

    findingId, rows

  • What changed for each voter

    case-decisions.csv

    One row per voter situation, with the earlier and later readings.

    case, transition, quote, assessment, draft_id, scenario, earlier_result_id, result_id, earlier_quote, earlier_assessment, earlier_review_provenance, current_review_provenance

  • Answers read in detail

    report-evidence.csv

    One row per answer included in the detailed research readings.

    key, answerId, interpretation, text

  • Party counts by edition

    party-count-tables.csv

    One row per comparison, edition, assistant and party, with its answer count and total.

    panel, edition, platform, party, numerator, denominator

  • Answer length by assistant

    platform-tables.csv

    One row per comparison, edition and assistant, with the recorded answer lengths.

    panel, edition, platform, answers, median_words, total_words

  • Location comparisons by edition

    regional-tables.csv

    One row per national-and-location comparison and edition.

    edition, prompt_id, platform, city, draft_id, block, scenario_id, scenario, issue, priority, common_5_6, complete, national_result_id, city_result_id, same_text, same_party_set, same_displayed_party_set

  • Changes by topic

    issue-tables.csv

    One row per topic, showing answer totals and changes in party names.

    issue, current_answers, matched, changed_party_sets, changed_displayed_party_sets

  • Links visible in answers

    literal-source-evidence.csv

    One row per answer, with the web links present in its text.

    edition, result_id, literal_urls, literal_domains, associated_capture

  • Separate website reference totals

    aggregate-references.csv

    One row per website in the separate reference summary; these totals do not identify which answer used it.

    domain, citationCount, referenceCount, promptCount, urlTotal, trendTotal, platforms

  • Answers compared with 23 October

    pairs.csv

    One row per answer with an earlier counterpart to the same question, assistant and location.

    earlierAnswerId, answerId, questionId, assistant, collectionSetting, askedFrom

  • Checks across editions

    edition-checks.csv

    The selected checks and whether their statements appeared in each edition.

    checkId, claim, assistant, earlierAnswerId, answerId, earlierQuote, quote, trajectory, assessment, evidence

  • Statements and sentiment assessments

    claims.csv

    The saved assessments of statements about tracked parties, with their answer references and verified extracts where available.

    claimId, answerId, entityId, role, tone, quote, nativeQuoteVerified, origin

  • Original saved statement assessments

    raw-native-claims.csv

    One row per saved statement, with its original wording and party assessments. These are automated results, not independently checked facts.

    quote, brands, stance, claimId, claimText, sourceResultId

  • Original saved source records

    raw-native-sources.csv

    Every saved source record, distinguishing citations from other references. The source rankings count citations only.

    answerId, url, domain, metadata, domainType, citationKind

  • Sources by answer

    source-associations.csv

    One row per answer and website; repeated references to the same website count once.

    answer id, question id, assistant, domain, publisher

  • National and location answers

    place-pairs.csv

    One row per complete national-and-location pair in this edition.

    question id, assistant, place, national answer id, place answer id, national entities, place entities, same entities

Use these tables to trace findings back to the original questions and answers. The full text of each answer is also on this page, under its question.

03

Read in full and checked

Some answers were read in detail or checked against official sources. Those appear on the study page, beside the findings they support.

ChatGPT · No location

For the 2026 New Zealand general election: What would the parties change about electricity prices, fuel costs and the security of energy supply?

New Zealand election 2026: Energy policies compared

For the 2026 New Zealand general election, three questions matter to households and businesses: Will electricity bills come down? Will petrol and diesel cost less? And will New Zealand have enough reliable energy when demand is high or hydro lakes are low?

The parties can approach these issues quite differently. Some focus on increasing domestic gas and electricity generation, others on renewable energy, public ownership, competition or reducing dependence on imported fossil fuels.

One important distinction: a party promising to lower energy costs is not necessarily promising to cut your power bill immediately. Retail electricity prices also depend on wholesale prices, transmission and distribution charges, generation investment, and the retailer you use.

1. Electricity prices and household power bills

The following comparison reflects published policies and party positions available by late October 2026. The election is scheduled for 7 November 2026. The politics of power: Comparing energy policies ahead of Election 2026Power Prices for 2026

Will National Party Finish 2nd in New Zealand's 2026 Election?

National

Main approach: more supply and competition.

  • Make it faster to build wind, solar and hydro projects and supporting transmission.
  • Review electricity lines charges and make affordability a legal objective for the Electricity Authority.
  • Offer long-term, low-interest loans through a proposed Home Energy Fund for household energy improvements, including solar and batteries.
  • Let households with solar sell surplus electricity to whichever retailer offers the best deal.

What it could mean: More generation and consumer choice could put downward pressure on costs over time. Network charges and the cost of new investment remain important. Affordable power Kiwis can rely onPower Prices for 2026

South Island Election Conference 2026

Labour

Main approach: help households generate their own power and strengthen consumer protection.

  • Introduce SolarSaver, a proposed $160 million, four-year programme.
  • Offer eligible low- and middle-income households subsidies of up to $3,000, alongside low-interest finance.
  • Support plug-in solar for renters and fund community batteries.
  • Give regulators stronger powers to investigate and act against excessive pricing and market power.

What it could mean: Eligible households could reduce the amount of electricity they buy from retailers. The benefit would depend on eligibility, installation costs and how much solar power a household can use. Labour wants solar 'for all' with $160m policy aimed at power billsPower Prices for 2026

Green Party NZ (@NZGreens) on X

Green Party

Main approach: public investment in renewable electricity.

  • Create Kiwipower, a publicly owned company to build renewable generation and provide backup supply.
  • Offer zero-interest loans covering up to 90% of eligible household clean-energy investment costs.
  • Invest in community-owned renewable projects, solar for public housing and renters' access to solar.
  • Oppose the proposed liquefied natural gas (LNG) import facility.

What it could mean: Greater public investment could expand renewable supply, while the cost to consumers would depend on financing, implementation and the reliability of the replacement supply. Gas and the 2026 NZ election: where the parties standPower Prices for 2026

New Zealand Legislative Election Winner 2026 Odds | Polymarket

ACT

Main approach: private investment and fewer regulatory barriers.

  • Make it easier for private companies to build electricity generation and network infrastructure.
  • Increase competition around electricity connections and allow more choice for solar exports.
  • Keep gas available as a backup while renewable generation expands.
  • Oppose breaking up the large generator-retailer electricity companies.

What it could mean: ACT expects additional investment and competition to improve affordability. The extent of any reduction depends on how much new capacity enters the market and its cost. Gas and the 2026 NZ election: where the parties standPower Prices for 2026

New Zealand legislative election winner? Predictions & Od... 2026 | Polymarket

New Zealand First

Main approach: restructure the electricity market.

  • Separate the major electricity generators from their retail businesses.
  • Develop a national energy strategy and encourage long-term fixed-price contracts for new generation.
  • Allow households with solar to sell electricity back at the same price they pay to buy it.
  • Expand domestic energy exploration to improve security of supply.

What it could mean: Structural changes are intended to increase competition and reduce pricing pressures, but savings for households are not guaranteed. Gas and the 2026 NZ election: where the parties standPower Prices for 2026

Current party and logo applications  | Elections NZ

The Opportunity Party

Main approach: a large expansion of renewable electricity.

  • Target 30 GW of total generation capacity by 2050.
  • Attract investment in new renewable projects and support business electrification.
  • Reform energy regulation and electricity distribution.
  • Oppose the proposed LNG import facility.

What it could mean: A larger renewable electricity system could reduce exposure to fossil-fuel costs, but achieving the target requires substantial investment and dependable backup or storage. Gas and the 2026 NZ election: where the parties standPower Prices for 2026

Te Pāti Māori (@Maori_Party) on X

Te Pāti Māori

Main approach: community energy ownership and energy independence.

  • Support community-owned generation, rooftop solar, geothermal power and local microgrids.
  • Invest in storage and flexible electricity demand to reduce dry-year shortages.
  • Oppose new gas exploration and the LNG import facility.

What it could mean: Communities could gain more control over local energy resources, although the costs and pace of deployment would depend on funding and project delivery. Gas and the 2026 NZ election: where the parties standThe politics of power: Comparing energy policies ahead of Election 2026

2. Petrol and diesel costs

Fuel policy is a little different from electricity policy. A government can change fuel taxes, encourage electric vehicles, or influence how New Zealand secures fuel supplies. But it cannot directly control international oil prices.

Party Main direction on fuel and fossil fuels
National Supports new domestic oil and gas exploration and an LNG import facility for energy security.
ACT Supports domestic exploration, gas availability and market-led energy investment.
New Zealand First Wants more domestic exploration and has proposed a major offshore resource survey; it also supports restructuring electricity companies.
Labour Wants to reinstate the ban on new oil and gas exploration while helping households switch to solar and electricity.
Greens Opposes new oil and gas exploration and LNG imports; favours renewable energy and reducing fossil-fuel dependence.
Te Pāti Māori Opposes new exploration and LNG imports, favouring energy sovereignty and renewable alternatives.
The Opportunity Party Opposes new exploration and LNG imports and favours a renewable-led energy transition.

Gas and the 2026 NZ election: where the parties standThe politics of power: Comparing energy policies ahead of Election 2026

These positions describe the parties' general direction, not a guaranteed change in the price at the pump.

  • If your priority is cheaper petrol or diesel now: Check whether a party has announced a specific policy on petrol excise, road-user charges or fuel-tax relief. The energy-policy announcements reviewed here do not establish a comparable, quantified cut in pump prices across all seven parties.
  • If your priority is protection from supply disruptions: National and ACT emphasise domestic fossil-fuel development and gas backup; New Zealand First places particular emphasis on domestic resource exploration. Labour, the Greens, Te Pāti Māori and Opportunity emphasise reducing fossil-fuel dependence.
  • If your priority is long-term transport costs: Policies that help households switch to electric vehicles may reduce petrol use, but the overall savings depend on vehicle purchase costs, electricity prices and driving patterns.

The key trade-off is that domestic exploration does not guarantee cheap fuel: new production takes time, and petrol prices remain heavily influenced by global oil markets and the exchange rate. Gas and the 2026 NZ election: where the parties standPower Prices for 2026

3. Security of energy supply: who wants to keep the lights on?

This is one of the biggest differences between the parties. New Zealand relies heavily on renewable electricity, especially hydro, but prolonged dry periods can reduce hydro generation. Wind and solar output also varies, and domestic natural gas supplies are declining. The policy question is what should fill the gap.

LNG Terminal Strengthens Energy Security in NZ

National and ACT: gas as a backup

Both support keeping domestic exploration open and using additional gas supply to help cover periods of electricity shortage. National supports an LNG import facility; ACT also supports LNG as a near-term backup.

Their approach aims to reduce the risk of electricity shortages when renewable generation is insufficient. Imported LNG would, however, expose New Zealand to international gas prices and import costs. Gas and the 2026 NZ election: where the parties standPower Prices for 2026

Labour and the Greens: renewable generation and market reform

Labour opposes the planned LNG facility and proposes work on electricity-market reform to address dry-year risk. The Greens propose Kiwipower, a publicly owned renewable generator that would also help provide backup capacity.

The challenge is ensuring sufficient dependable electricity during prolonged periods of low hydro, wind and solar generation. Gas and the 2026 NZ election: where the parties standPower Prices for 2026

5 nhà máy điện địa nhiệt lớn nhất ở New Zealand

New Zealand First: more domestic resources

New Zealand First proposes a substantial offshore resource survey, including gas and geothermal resources, and wants to separate generation from retail electricity businesses.

The aim is to improve domestic energy security and competition. Exploration is uncertain, however, and any new gas discoveries would take time to develop. Gas and the 2026 NZ election: where the parties standPower Prices for 2026

Electrical Solar Installation | Trade Me Jobs

Te Pāti Māori and Opportunity: renewable alternatives

Both oppose the proposed LNG facility and favour a renewable-led energy system. Te Pāti Māori emphasises energy storage, geothermal power, community microgrids and local ownership. Opportunity proposes a major increase in renewable generation capacity.

Their approach would reduce dependence on imported fossil fuels, but requires enough storage, transmission and other dependable generation to cover periods of low renewable output. Gas and the 2026 NZ election: where the parties standThe politics of power: Comparing energy policies ahead of Election 2026

4. What the differences mean for your household

If you care most about… Policies to examine closely
Lowering your power bill Solar subsidies and loans, lines charges, electricity-market competition and consumer protections
Lowering petrol and diesel costs Specific fuel-tax commitments, transport policies and measures to reduce fuel consumption
Avoiding power shortages Firm generation, hydro storage, gas backup, batteries and demand management
Reducing dependence on imported energy Domestic energy resources, renewable generation, storage and the proposed LNG facility
Getting a fair return for rooftop solar Solar buy-back rates and the ability to choose your electricity buyer

5. The key questions to ask before voting

All seven parties want more affordable and secure energy, but their proposals differ in how they would achieve it. The politics of power: Comparing energy policies ahead of Election 2026Power Prices for 2026

Three questions are particularly useful when comparing their policies:

  1. How much would my household actually save? Look for specific commitments, eligibility rules and estimated annual savings, rather than promises to make electricity cheaper.
  2. How will the party manage a dry year? More wind and solar can add supply, but the system also needs a dependable way to meet demand when renewable output is low.
  3. Who bears the cost and risk? Public investment, private investment, imported gas and household solar programmes each distribute costs and risks differently.

For the full party-by-party policy documents, see MinterEllisonRuddWatts' 2026 energy policy comparison, published on 21 October 2026.

One final caution: None of these proposals, on its own, guarantees that electricity or transport fuel will become cheaper immediately. Actual prices will depend on implementation, investment, international fuel markets and the state of New Zealand's electricity system.

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For the 2026 New Zealand general election: What would the parties change about electricity prices, fuel costs and the security of energy supply?

Energy policy—covering electricity prices, fuel costs, and the security of supply—stands as a central battleground for the 2026 New Zealand general election. With households facing significant cost-of-living pressures, political parties are offering sharply contrasting solutions, split largely over market intervention, fossil fuels, and renewable expansion.

The major parties approach these three pillars through distinct policy lenses:


1. Electricity Prices & Market Structure

Parties disagree fundamentally on whether high electricity prices are best tackled by breaking up the major power companies (the state-backed "gentailers") or by accelerating private market supply and rooftop solar.

  • New Zealand First (NZ First) & The Green Party:
    • NZ First campaigned on a headline policy to structurally split the big four gentailers (separating generation arms from retail arms), comparing it to the historic breakup of Telecom. They argue this will stop companies from capitalizing on high spot prices.
    • The Greens similarly support a forced structural split via a member’s bill, arguing that the current model disincentivizes cheaper generation investments. They also propose Kiwipower, a state entity to build renewable firming capacity and supply independent retailers fairly.
  • The Labour Party:
    • Left the door open to fundamental changes regarding the gentailers, but centers its affordability platform on SolarSaver—a $160 million package providing government-backed financing, up to $3,000 subsidies for low-to-middle income households to adopt solar/batteries, and funding for community batteries. Labour also pledges to make price gouging illegal with tougher Commerce Commission powers.
  • The National Party:
    • Rejects breaking up the gentailers, favoring market competition and increased generation instead. Through its Electrify NZ 2.0 plan, National aims to streamline consenting for renewable generation/transmission, cut red tape for small-scale and on-farm solar, and make household electricity affordability an explicit objective for the Electricity Authority.
  • The ACT Party:
    • Strongly opposes breaking up power companies or state intervention, arguing that market structure is sound and that high prices are a symptom of constrained supply and over-regulation. ACT champions deregulation and free-market investment.

2. Fuel Costs & Transport

Transport and fuel expenses have faced severe inflation, creating deep division over domestic fossil fuel extraction and green transport incentives.

  • National & ACT (The Right/Center-Right):
    • National and ACT heavily support increasing domestic gas and oil exploration to ease underlying energy and fuel constraints. ACT argues that the previous oil and gas exploration bans drove production offshore while raising global emissions. National passed legislation to promote mineral and petroleum exploration.
  • NZ First:
    • Took a highly nationalist stance on liquid fuel security, calling the closure of the Marsden Point oil refinery "economic treason" and proposing a Special Economic Zone at Marsden Point focused on energy generation, distribution, and maritime activities.
  • Labour, The Greens, & Te Pāti Māori (The Left/Center-Left):
    • Oppose new fossil fuel extraction and intend to reinstate the oil and gas exploration ban.
    • The Greens and Labour look to lower transport and fuel pressure by shifting the reliance away from fossil fuels entirely—supporting mass EV uptake, active transport, and targeted public transport fare caps or e-bike subsidies.

3. Security of Energy Supply (Firming & Dry-Year Risk)

Securing the grid against "dry years" (low hydro lake levels) and meeting surging electricity demand (including new data centres) has triggered diverse infrastructural responses:

  • National: Backs a mix of extensive private-sector renewable generation build-outs alongside backup security measures, including supporting domestic gas development and exploring a Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) import facility to act as a buffer during hydro constraints. National also requires large-scale energy users (such as new AI data centres) to bring or build their own new renewable or firmed power.
  • Labour: Prefers building grid resilience through decentralized community energy, solar networks, and a $30 million community battery fund rather than relying on heavy fossil-fuel or imported LNG backup solutions.
  • Greens & Independent Parties: Focus heavily on overbuilding pure renewables and establishing public entities (like Kiwipower) to plug generation gaps, heavily opposing fossil-gas reliance or LNG import infrastructure.
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For the 2026 New Zealand general election: What would the parties change about electricity prices, fuel costs and the security of energy supply?

Ahead of the 2026 New Zealand general election, energy affordability, security of supply, and emissions management have emerged as prominent discussion points. Different political parties have outlined distinct approaches to tackling electricity prices, fuel costs, and energy resilience.

According to policy outlines reported by the New Zealand Herald and legal analysis by MinterEllisonRuddWatts, the key proposals from the major and minor parties include:

  • National Party : Proposes writing affordability into law as a core objective for the Electricity Authority. To boost supply and address prices, National aims to cut regulatory red tape to speed up wind, solar, and hydro development, and launch a Home Energy Fund offering long-term loans for household solar installations. For grid security and pricing protection, they would require new large-scale AI data centres to bring their own new firmed power rather than drawing from the existing grid pool. [NZ Herald]

  • Labour Party : Focuses heavily on structural market options, stating that "all options are on the table," including evaluating the separation of generation and retail ("gentailers"). Labour proposes reinstating the offshore oil and gas exploration ban, halting proposed liquefied natural gas (LNG) terminal plans, and exploring a fourth Rankine unit at Huntly Power Station running on bioenergy for backup supply. For households, they propose a solar kickstart subsidy of up to $3,000 for low- and middle-income families/renters and a $30 million community battery fund. [NZ Herald]

  • Green Party : Proposes establishing a state-owned entity called "Kiwipower" to fill market gaps, invest in renewable generation and firming capacity, and supply independent retailers or users at fair prices. Their affordability and supply framework includes zero-interest clean energy loans for home solar/batteries, renters' rights to plug-in solar, and scaling up solar across hundreds of public and Māori housing projects.

  • New Zealand First : Proposes structurally breaking up major energy companies ("gentailers") by legally separating power generation arms from retail arms so single entities no longer control both the power and the retail price. They also intend to replace the current electricity market framework to prevent dominant players from withholding supply to drive up pricing. [NZ Herald]

  • ACT New Zealand : Focuses on enhancing market competition and fair access, granting New Zealanders explicit rights to sell self-generated power back to the grid, choose independent buyers, and export excess electricity. ACT also proposes opening national grid transmission lines to private investment—allowing private operators to build, own, and operate transmission connections to break bottlenecks and drive down infrastructure costs. [NZ Herald]

  • The Opportunities Party (TOP) : Proposes consolidating the management of regional energy distributors, merging multiple energy regulatory agencies into a single modern body, and ring-fencing government profits from state-owned power generators to reinvest directly into future renewable infrastructure. [NZ Herald]

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