Evidence · NZ Election 2026 · Edition 6

Every question and original answer

All 174 questions and the 783 complete answers recorded on 26 October 2026. Source lists and sentiment assessments are included, alongside the unchanged original answers.

questions
174
answers saved
783
collected
26 October 2026

01

Every question, with its answers

Each question was written as a voter would ask it and went to all four assistants. Some were also asked from a town. Open a question to read every answer to it in full.

Showing 20 of 174 questions

02

The tables behind the study

Every figure on the study page comes from these tables. They are CSV files, which open in any spreadsheet.

  • Questions

    questions.csv

    One row per question, with its original wording.

    id, text, reference, enabled, axes, collectionSettings

  • Complete answers

    answers.csv

    One row per saved answer, including its original text.

    id, questionId, assistant, collectionSetting, askedFrom, text, words

  • Answers included in each comparison

    memberships.csv

    One row per answer and comparison, showing which results were counted together.

    comparisonId, answerId, rowKey, included

  • Party names found in answers

    codings.csv

    One row per answer, party and comparison, with the recorded decision and evidence.

    comparisonId, answerId, entityId, kind, measure, counted, quote, reason, evidence

  • Sources recorded with each answer

    sources.csv

    One row per answer, with its recorded websites, source-list status and visible links.

    answerId, capture, domains, urls, literalUrls, origin

  • What the voting-guidance answers did

    behaviour-coding.csv

    One row per guidance answer, with the recorded behaviours and supporting passages.

    answerId, draft_id, platform, explicit_choice_boundary, conditional_party_or_bloc_alignment, prioritised_shortlist, elicits_additional_user_information, unconditional_single_party_vote_instruction, rationale, evidence, review_provenance

  • Checks against official sources

    checks.csv

    One row per selected statement checked in an answer.

    checkId, claimToTest, category, answerId, questionId, assistant, assertionPresent, assertion, verdict, evidence, whatTheSourceSays, assessment, checkedOn, paragraphs, previousCheckId, earlierAnswerId, earlierAssertion, trajectory

  • Statements selected for checking

    check-register.csv

    One row per selected check, with its reason and official source.

    checkId, claimToTest, category, whyChecked, primarySourceUrl, answerId

  • Research findings

    findings.csv

    One row per finding, with its figure and supporting records.

    id, statement, summary, caveat, value, denominator, evidence

  • Evidence behind the findings

    findings-evidence.csv

    One row per finding, with the records supporting it.

    findingId, rows

  • What changed for each voter

    case-decisions.csv

    One row per voter situation, with the earlier and later readings.

    case, transition, quote, assessment, draft_id, scenario, earlier_result_id, result_id, earlier_quote, earlier_assessment, earlier_review_provenance, current_review_provenance

  • Answers read in detail

    report-evidence.csv

    One row per answer included in the detailed research readings.

    key, answerId, interpretation, text

  • Party counts by edition

    party-count-tables.csv

    One row per comparison, edition, assistant and party, with its answer count and total.

    panel, edition, platform, party, numerator, denominator

  • Answer length by assistant

    platform-tables.csv

    One row per comparison, edition and assistant, with the recorded answer lengths.

    panel, edition, platform, answers, median_words, total_words

  • Location comparisons by edition

    regional-tables.csv

    One row per national-and-location comparison and edition.

    edition, prompt_id, platform, city, draft_id, block, scenario_id, scenario, issue, priority, common_5_6, complete, national_result_id, city_result_id, same_text, same_party_set, same_displayed_party_set

  • Changes by topic

    issue-tables.csv

    One row per topic, showing answer totals and changes in party names.

    issue, current_answers, matched, changed_party_sets, changed_displayed_party_sets

  • Links visible in answers

    literal-source-evidence.csv

    One row per answer, with the web links present in its text.

    edition, result_id, literal_urls, literal_domains, associated_capture

  • Separate website reference totals

    aggregate-references.csv

    One row per website in the separate reference summary; these totals do not identify which answer used it.

    domain, citationCount, referenceCount, promptCount, urlTotal, trendTotal, platforms

  • Answers compared with 23 October

    pairs.csv

    One row per answer with an earlier counterpart to the same question, assistant and location.

    earlierAnswerId, answerId, questionId, assistant, collectionSetting, askedFrom

  • Checks across editions

    edition-checks.csv

    The selected checks and whether their statements appeared in each edition.

    checkId, claim, assistant, earlierAnswerId, answerId, earlierQuote, quote, trajectory, assessment, evidence

  • Statements and sentiment assessments

    claims.csv

    The saved assessments of statements about tracked parties, with their answer references and verified extracts where available.

    claimId, answerId, entityId, role, tone, quote, nativeQuoteVerified, origin

  • Original saved statement assessments

    raw-native-claims.csv

    One row per saved statement, with its original wording and party assessments. These are automated results, not independently checked facts.

    quote, brands, stance, claimId, claimText, sourceResultId

  • Original saved source records

    raw-native-sources.csv

    Every saved source record, distinguishing citations from other references. The source rankings count citations only.

    answerId, url, domain, metadata, domainType, citationKind

  • Sources by answer

    source-associations.csv

    One row per answer and website; repeated references to the same website count once.

    answer id, question id, assistant, domain, publisher

  • National and location answers

    place-pairs.csv

    One row per complete national-and-location pair in this edition.

    question id, assistant, place, national answer id, place answer id, national entities, place entities, same entities

Use these tables to trace findings back to the original questions and answers. The full text of each answer is also on this page, under its question.

03

Read in full and checked

Some answers were read in detail or checked against official sources. Those appear on the study page, beside the findings they support.

ChatGPT · No location

I run a café with a small team. Food and power costs are squeezing margins, customers are spending less, and we've experienced a break-in. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. What do parties propose about retail and small-business crime, prevention and policing?

New Zealand election 2026: what the parties propose on retail crime and small-business safety

For a café owner, the key question is not simply which party promises to be toughest on crime. It is which policies are likely to help prevent another break-in, protect your staff and customers, get Police to respond effectively, and reduce the financial impact of theft and vandalism.

As of 26 October 2026, the clearest dividing line between the parties is whether businesses and security staff should have stronger powers to intervene directly, or whether crime should be tackled primarily through Police, prevention and early intervention. Retail CrimeNZLS | 1. What are your party’s key objectives in the justice portfolio?

Your situation also has two distinct parts: protecting your café from crime, and keeping it financially viable as food and electricity costs rise and customers cut back. I'll focus on crime and prevention here, while flagging where the wider small-business agenda matters.

1. How the main parties compare

The most directly relevant source is Retail NZ's 2026 election policy tracker, updated shortly before this answer. It compares the parties specifically on retail crime. Retail Crime

Will National Party Finish 2nd in New Zealand's 2026 Election?

National

Stronger enforcement and deterrence

National backs longer trespass notices, on-the-spot fines and expanded citizens' arrest powers, including mechanical restraints. It has also funded additional frontline Police and pursued tougher sentencing and powers against repeat offenders. Retail CrimeRestoring law and order, making New Zealand safer
Potential benefit to your café: stronger consequences for repeat offenders and more ways to exclude persistent troublemakers.

New Zealand Legislative Election Winner 2026 Odds | Polymarket

ACT

Empowering businesses and trained security

ACT proposes specially licensed security operators with enhanced powers to remove people threatening safety, detain certain people until Police arrive, and issue exclusion notices covering multiple premises. It also supports stronger citizens' arrest powers and tougher consequences for repeat burglars. ACT New ZealandACT New Zealand
Potential benefit: particularly relevant if your café faces repeat offending or you share security with neighbouring businesses.

South Island Election Conference 2026

Labour

Police capacity, safety and broader prevention

Labour opposes expanding citizens' arrest powers on the grounds that untrained workers detaining offenders can put themselves and others at risk. It has supported anti-crime infrastructure such as fog cannons. Its 2026 retail-crime-specific commitments are less developed in the published tracker. Retail CrimeTrespass (Specified Retail Premises and Other Matters) Amendment Bill
Labour's wider small-business package includes faster payment of invoices, a tax write-off for qualifying new equipment up to $10,000, and a target for small businesses to receive 15% of government contracts. Election policy tracker: what the parties are promisingLabour's 2026 Election Policies
Potential benefit: a focus on safer prevention rather than expecting café staff to physically confront offenders, alongside broader business support.

Green Party NZ (@NZGreens) on X

Green Party

Prevention, rehabilitation and community safety

The Greens oppose expanded citizens' arrest, move-on and trespass powers. They argue these can increase confrontation and discriminatory enforcement, and advocate addressing the drivers of crime through community-led prevention, early intervention and rehabilitation. Retail CrimeManifesto 2026Trespass (Specified Retail Premises and Other Matters) Amendment Bill
Potential benefit: a longer-term focus on reducing offending and the risks of confrontations in your workplace, rather than adding enforcement powers for businesses.

New Zealand legislative election winner? Predictions & Od... 2026 | Polymarket

New Zealand First

Police, tougher sentences and organised crime

Its October 2026 law-and-order package promises more resources and tools for Police, a dedicated agency to dismantle organised criminal networks, and tougher mandatory sentences for serious offences. Its retail-crime work has also targeted criminal networks supplying stolen goods and illicit tobacco. NZFirst Law and Order Policy Announcement: Tougher Sentences, Degrees of Murder, Smashing Organised Crime, Life Means LifeRetail Crime
Potential benefit: most relevant if your concerns include organised theft, stolen-goods markets or a lack of effective enforcement.

Te Pāti Māori (@Maori_Party) on X

Te Pāti Māori

Community-led solutions and rehabilitation

Te Pāti Māori opposes the expanded citizens' arrest and trespass approach, favouring prevention, rehabilitation and community-led alternatives to incarceration. Retail Crime
Potential benefit: a stronger emphasis on preventing the circumstances that contribute to offending, although the retail-specific policy detail is limited.

A note on the legislation: these are not all simply future election promises. The Government's Trespass (Specified Retail Premises and Other Matters) Amendment Bill has progressed through select committee, with a majority recommending that it pass. It is designed to extend trespass protections to specified retail, food-service and licensed premises. Check the official bill status for the latest position. Trespass (Specified Retail Premises and Other Matters) Amendment Bill

2. What could the policies mean for your café?

Your concern Policies worth comparing
Another break-in Police resources, burglary investigations, repeat-offender sentencing and practical security-prevention support
Theft or threatening behaviour during service ACT's trained-security model versus National's stronger enforcement and the opposition parties' concerns about confrontation
Trouble returning after being trespassed National's approach to longer and multi-site trespass notices, alongside the safeguards and implementation rules
Staff feeling unsafe Police response and prevention measures, and whether your team would be expected to intervene physically
Thin margins Labour's small-business package and each party's broader tax, energy and operating-cost policies

These are possible mechanisms, not guarantees of results. Tougher penalties do not automatically mean fewer break-ins, and additional security powers do not necessarily improve Police response times. Retail CrimeCitizen’s ArrestPrevention Resources

3. What about prevention and the cost of running your café?

A policy that reduces the likelihood of another break-in could be worth more to you than a tougher sentence after the damage has occurred. There are three areas to compare.

  • Practical crime prevention: lighting, alarms, secure doors, CCTV and physical barriers where appropriate. Ask whether a party will fund or subsidise security improvements, not just recommend them.
  • Police capacity and response: look for specific commitments on frontline staffing, investigating burglaries, gathering usable CCTV evidence and addressing repeat offenders.
  • Business viability: assess energy costs, food costs, taxes, access to finance and whether customers have more disposable income to spend locally.

Labour has published a specific small-business programme, including equipment tax relief and faster payment of invoices. National's published approach has emphasised law-and-order enforcement. The Greens put greater weight on prevention and social conditions. ACT emphasises stronger enforcement powers for trained security staff, while NZ First has recently announced a stronger organised-crime agenda. Labour's 2026 Election PoliciesRestoring law and order, making New Zealand saferManifesto 2026ACT New ZealandNZFirst Law and Order Policy Announcement: Tougher Sentences, Degrees of Murder, Smashing Organised Crime, Life Means Life

One important distinction: a proposal is not the same as a funded, implemented policy. Before deciding, check whether each party has published a costed commitment, a delivery timetable and a plan that applies to a small café rather than only large retailers.

4. A practical checklist for deciding your vote

These are the questions I'd prioritise in your position:

Your voting priorities

0 of 5

Will the party commit to effective Police response and follow-up for business burglaries?

Does it offer practical support or funding for small-business security improvements?

Will its approach protect staff without expecting them to physically confront offenders?

Does it have a credible plan to deter repeat burglary and retail offending?

Will its tax, energy and small-business policies help keep my café viable?

Copy checklist

5. What you can do now, regardless of who wins

New Zealand Police already provides a Retail Crime Prevention checklist, practical security guidance and advice on preserving evidence. You can also review its low-cost crime-prevention advice for businesses. Prevention Resources

For a small café, I'd prioritise reviewing your locks and alarm, checking camera coverage and lighting, securing cash and equipment overnight, and agreeing with staff that personal safety comes before protecting stock or confronting an intruder.

My overall assessment is that National and ACT are the clearest options if your priority is stronger enforcement and expanded powers to deal with offenders; Labour offers a different balance around staff safety and small-business support; and the Greens put the strongest emphasis on prevention and rehabilitation. NZ First is worth examining if organised crime and tougher enforcement are central to your concerns. These differences are more useful to weigh against your priorities than campaign slogans alone.

For the full comparison, start with Retail NZ's election tracker and The Conversation's 2026 policy tracker. Both help distinguish announced policies from broad political positioning.

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ChatGPT can make mistakes. Check important info.

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Gemini · No location

I run a café with a small team. Food and power costs are squeezing margins, customers are spending less, and we've experienced a break-in. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. What do parties propose about retail and small-business crime, prevention and policing?

Navigating squeezed margins, rising power and food costs, and dealing with the aftermath of a break-in is a heavy load for any small business owner. For the 2026 New Zealand General Election, retail crime, commercial burglaries, and small business support are major focal points across the political spectrum.

The main political parties approach retail crime, prevention, and policing through different lenses:


National Party (Incumbent / Right-leaning)

  • Legislative and Enforcement Actions: National points to its recent legislative steps, including passing the Crimes Amendment Act 2026, which directly targets retail crime. This law created a new shoplifting infringement regime and updated citizen’s arrest and defence-of-property provisions (allowing reasonable force to be used to stop theft or recover property at any time of day, rather than old time-of-day restrictions).
  • Sentencing and Frontline Protection: National has introduced specific offences for assaulting frontline workers and first responders, alongside wider policies like tougher sentencing rules and removing "good character" discounts for certain repeat or serious offences.
  • Business Costs & Relief: To address financial squeezes, National's platform leans heavily on economic management, opposing new taxes, and promoting investment incentives (such as the Investment Boost asset write-off framework) to stimulate growth and ease cashflow.

Labour Party (Left-leaning / Opposition)

  • Focus on Prevention and Social Drivers: Labour frames community safety and retail crime around achieving "real public safety" by tackling the root causes of crime, such as poverty, economic stress, and lack of social support. They generally critique purely reactive or punitive measures as insufficient on their own.
  • Small Business Financial Support: To directly address the financial pressures squeezing cafés and retailers, Labour’s Small Business Action Plan includes cashflow-focused interventions:
    • Implementing 15-day payment terms for large businesses and the government to ensure small suppliers aren't squeezed by late invoice payments.
    • A $10,000 instant asset write-off for equipment from mid-2027.
    • Raising the compulsory GST registration threshold to $80,000 by 2028 to reduce compliance overhead.

ACT New Zealand (Right-leaning)

  • Tougher Penalties & Recidivists: ACT emphasizes strict law-and-order policies, proposing mandatory minimum sentences for repeat offenders (such as three years for three burglary convictions) to target the small pool of recidivist offenders responsible for a high volume of commercial break-ins.
  • Private Security & Commercial Protection: ACT has proposed initiatives to empower security professionals (such as Accredited Security Operators) with clearer, regulated powers to bridge the gap until Police arrive, aiming to help retail and town-centre environments manage everyday security risks.
  • Regulatory and Cost Relief: For small business viability, ACT advocates for regulatory reform, employment flexibility, and a minimum wage freeze to lower the operational costs of running a small hospitality team.

New Zealand First (Right-leaning / Coalition Partner)

  • Company Tax Cuts: NZ First is campaigning on a direct tax cut for small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs), proposing to lower the company tax rate from 28% to 20% for businesses with turnovers under $30 million to ease financial pressure.
  • Law and Order: NZ First strongly supports firmer policing, cracking down on gangs, and backing front-line enforcement to restore commercial and community confidence.

Green Party & Te Pāti Māori (Left-leaning)

  • Socio-Economic Prevention: Both parties emphasize that retail crime and community safety issues are deeply intertwined with poverty, housing instability, and inadequate mental health or social services. Their policies prioritise funding community-led justice initiatives, mental health support, and addressing the economic drivers of offending rather than focusing primarily on harsher prisons or increased penalties.
  • Local Business Environments: The Greens have also floated policies focusing on commercial tenancy protections and town-centre revitalisation to help local retail districts stay viable.

Summary for your Vote

When weighing your decision as a café owner:

  • If your priority is immediate legal tools, harsher penalties for shoplifters/burglars, and stronger self-defence/citizen's arrest protections, parties like National, ACT, and NZ First have enacted or proposed direct legislative changes in this space.
  • If your priority is easing cashflow, cutting compliance/GST thresholds, and tackling the broader cost pressures squeezing your margins alongside systemic crime prevention, parties like Labour, the Greens, or NZ First/National offer varying packages around tax relief, payment terms, and economic support.
Ask Gemini

Gemini is AI and can make mistakes.

Captured 26 October 2026 · shown as Gemini gave it, not a verified account

Google AI Mode · No location

I run a café with a small team. Food and power costs are squeezing margins, customers are spending less, and we've experienced a break-in. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. What do parties propose about retail and small-business crime, prevention and policing?

Current party positions and legislative actions for the 2026 general election regarding retail crime, small business security, and policing reflect a distinct split across the political spectrum:

National and Coalition Government Parties (National, ACT, NZ First)

  • National Party / Government Legislation: Passed the Crimes Act Amendment Bill , which expands and clarifies enhanced citizens' arrest and detention powers for retailers and security guards to stop and detain shoplifters. Implemented police "move-on" order powers allowing police to require disruptive individuals to stay away from specific retail areas for up to 24 hours, alongside stiffer penalties for assaulting first responders.

  • ACT New Zealand: Championed legislative expansions for citizens' arrest and proposed specialized licensing for trained security guards to use reasonable force and conduct consent-based safety searches. Also advocates for stricter mandatory sentencing minimums for repeat residential and commercial burglars.

  • New Zealand First: Focused heavily through the current term on disrupting transnational criminal syndicates and black-market networks fencing stolen retail goods and illicit tobacco, allocating increased funding and border/customs enforcement equipment. [Retail NZ]

Opposition Parties (Labour, Green Party, Te Pāti Māori)

  • New Zealand Labour Party: Opposes the expansion of citizen's arrest powers, arguing that encouraging untrained retail and hospitality staff to physically detain offenders places workers at severe risk of violence on the floor. Emphasizes supporting frontline police numbers and funding physical security infrastructure (such as fog cannons and alarms) rather than legislative changes that liability-shift security onto staff. [Retail NZ]

  • Green Party: Strongly opposes move-on orders and expanded citizens' arrest/trespass powers, contending they escalate physical conflict in stores and risk systemic profiling. Advocates instead for socioeconomic and community-led early intervention and prevention strategies to address the root drivers of crime. [Retail NZ]

  • Te Pāti Māori: Opposes punitive policing and detention expansions, arguing they disproportionately impact Māori and Pasifika communities, and advocates shifting state resources away from prisons toward community-led, systemic social prevention. [Retail NZ]

Ask anything

Captured 26 October 2026 · shown as Google AI Mode gave it, not a verified account

AI Overviews · No location

I run a café with a small team. Food and power costs are squeezing margins, customers are spending less, and we've experienced a break-in. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. What do parties propose about retail and small-business crime, prevention and policing?

AI Overview

Navigating the current economic squeeze while trying to secure your café after a break-in is an incredibly demanding position to be in.

Ahead of the 2026 New Zealand general election , major political parties have put forward distinct policies targeting retail crime, prevention, and policing to address exactly what your business is facing. The core debate centers on expanding the powers of business operators and security staff versus focusing on public law enforcement and social prevention.


🔵 National Party

As the lead partner in the coalition government, National's policies focus on immediate, punitive legislative changes and giving business owners more tools to deter offenders:

  • Expanded Citizen’s Arrest Powers: National passed amendments to the Crimes Act allowing business owners, staff, and the public to perform citizen's arrests at any time of day for any Crimes Act offence (removing previous time and dollar-value restrictions). The law explicitly permits the use of "reasonable force" and mechanical restraints to defend property, provided police are immediately called.

  • Instant Shoplifting Fines: They introduced a new on-the-spot infringement fee system. Shoplifting items up to $500 carries a fine up to $500, and items over $500 carry a fine up to $1,000.

  • Tougher Sentences for Aggravated Theft: National introduced a specific "aggravated theft" charge for low-value thefts carried out in an offensive, threatening, or disorderly manner, carrying a maximum of two years in prison.

  • Anti-Social Behaviour Powers: They passed "move-on" orders allowing police to order disruptive or intimidating individuals (aged 18+) out of a retail precinct for up to 24 hours.

🟡 ACT Party

ACT has campaigned heavily on empowering private security to act as a buffer for small businesses when police response times are delayed:

  • Accredited Security Operators: ACT proposes creating a new tier of highly trained, licensed security personnel. These operators would have expanded legal powers to demand identification, conduct consent-based safety searches, and physically detain non-compliant offenders for up to 30 minutes until police arrive.

  • Precinct-Wide Exclusion Notices: Under their plan, business associations or shopping strips could hire these accredited guards, who could issue conduct-based "exclusion notices" banning an offender from multiple participating businesses simultaneously for up to three years.

  • Three Strikes for Burglary: For break-ins like the one your café suffered, ACT proposes a strict "Three Strikes" rule for burglary, enforcing a mandatory minimum sentence of 3 years in prison on a third conviction.

🔴 Labour Party

Labour strongly opposes the coalition's legislative shift toward citizen's arrests and private security, arguing these measures place small-business workers in physical danger:

  • Public Policing vs. Private Enforcement: Labour has criticized the government's approach as a "dysfunctional" abandonment of retailers, stating that untrained café and retail workers should not be encouraged to physically engage or detain criminals. They propose that law enforcement should remain strictly in the hands of trained, fully funded police professionals.

  • Targeted Retail Infrastructure: Reflecting on their previous term, Labour emphasizes government-funded physical interventions—such as the roll-out of fog cannons, security enclosures, and anti-crime infrastructure—to protect storefronts rather than changing arrest laws.

🟢 Green Party & 🪙 Te Pāti Māori

Both parties strongly oppose the expansion of citizen’s arrest powers, trespass amendments, and move-on orders:

  • The Green Party argues that encouraging physical intervention escalates the risk of workplace violence for your team and warns that extended trespass powers lead to racial profiling. They propose shifting resources entirely into community-led prevention and early intervention.

  • Te Pāti Māori similarly pushes to redirect fiscal resources away from the prison system and toward rehabilitation and localized, community-driven safety solutions.


🏛️ Sector Response: What the Industry Says

If you are weighing these policies, it's worth noting that advocacy group Retail NZ has issued mixed feedback on the current laws. While they support giving police move-on powers to clean up storefronts, they have expressed serious concerns that the new citizen's arrest laws place staff in harm's way. They strongly advise café and retail staff to prioritize de-escalation over physical intervention. In their own 2026 Election Manifesto , Retail NZ is actively calling for the next government to expand dedicated police retail crime units and fund business safety networks (like Wellington's EyesOn program) nationwide.

To help narrow this down to your specific business needs, would you like to explore:

  • What parties propose regarding utility and food supply chain costs?
  • Government grants or tax offsets for installing physical security (cameras, alarms, bollards)?
  • Employment and minimum wage policy changes that could affect your team?
Ask anything

Captured 26 October 2026 · shown as AI Overviews gave it, not a verified account