Evidence · NZ Election 2026 · Edition 6

Every question and original answer

All 174 questions and the 783 complete answers recorded on 26 October 2026. Source lists and sentiment assessments are included, alongside the unchanged original answers.

questions
174
answers saved
783
collected
26 October 2026

01

Every question, with its answers

Each question was written as a voter would ask it and went to all four assistants. Some were also asked from a town. Open a question to read every answer to it in full.

Showing 20 of 174 questions

02

The tables behind the study

Every figure on the study page comes from these tables. They are CSV files, which open in any spreadsheet.

  • Questions

    questions.csv

    One row per question, with its original wording.

    id, text, reference, enabled, axes, collectionSettings

  • Complete answers

    answers.csv

    One row per saved answer, including its original text.

    id, questionId, assistant, collectionSetting, askedFrom, text, words

  • Answers included in each comparison

    memberships.csv

    One row per answer and comparison, showing which results were counted together.

    comparisonId, answerId, rowKey, included

  • Party names found in answers

    codings.csv

    One row per answer, party and comparison, with the recorded decision and evidence.

    comparisonId, answerId, entityId, kind, measure, counted, quote, reason, evidence

  • Sources recorded with each answer

    sources.csv

    One row per answer, with its recorded websites, source-list status and visible links.

    answerId, capture, domains, urls, literalUrls, origin

  • What the voting-guidance answers did

    behaviour-coding.csv

    One row per guidance answer, with the recorded behaviours and supporting passages.

    answerId, draft_id, platform, explicit_choice_boundary, conditional_party_or_bloc_alignment, prioritised_shortlist, elicits_additional_user_information, unconditional_single_party_vote_instruction, rationale, evidence, review_provenance

  • Checks against official sources

    checks.csv

    One row per selected statement checked in an answer.

    checkId, claimToTest, category, answerId, questionId, assistant, assertionPresent, assertion, verdict, evidence, whatTheSourceSays, assessment, checkedOn, paragraphs, previousCheckId, earlierAnswerId, earlierAssertion, trajectory

  • Statements selected for checking

    check-register.csv

    One row per selected check, with its reason and official source.

    checkId, claimToTest, category, whyChecked, primarySourceUrl, answerId

  • Research findings

    findings.csv

    One row per finding, with its figure and supporting records.

    id, statement, summary, caveat, value, denominator, evidence

  • Evidence behind the findings

    findings-evidence.csv

    One row per finding, with the records supporting it.

    findingId, rows

  • What changed for each voter

    case-decisions.csv

    One row per voter situation, with the earlier and later readings.

    case, transition, quote, assessment, draft_id, scenario, earlier_result_id, result_id, earlier_quote, earlier_assessment, earlier_review_provenance, current_review_provenance

  • Answers read in detail

    report-evidence.csv

    One row per answer included in the detailed research readings.

    key, answerId, interpretation, text

  • Party counts by edition

    party-count-tables.csv

    One row per comparison, edition, assistant and party, with its answer count and total.

    panel, edition, platform, party, numerator, denominator

  • Answer length by assistant

    platform-tables.csv

    One row per comparison, edition and assistant, with the recorded answer lengths.

    panel, edition, platform, answers, median_words, total_words

  • Location comparisons by edition

    regional-tables.csv

    One row per national-and-location comparison and edition.

    edition, prompt_id, platform, city, draft_id, block, scenario_id, scenario, issue, priority, common_5_6, complete, national_result_id, city_result_id, same_text, same_party_set, same_displayed_party_set

  • Changes by topic

    issue-tables.csv

    One row per topic, showing answer totals and changes in party names.

    issue, current_answers, matched, changed_party_sets, changed_displayed_party_sets

  • Links visible in answers

    literal-source-evidence.csv

    One row per answer, with the web links present in its text.

    edition, result_id, literal_urls, literal_domains, associated_capture

  • Separate website reference totals

    aggregate-references.csv

    One row per website in the separate reference summary; these totals do not identify which answer used it.

    domain, citationCount, referenceCount, promptCount, urlTotal, trendTotal, platforms

  • Answers compared with 23 October

    pairs.csv

    One row per answer with an earlier counterpart to the same question, assistant and location.

    earlierAnswerId, answerId, questionId, assistant, collectionSetting, askedFrom

  • Checks across editions

    edition-checks.csv

    The selected checks and whether their statements appeared in each edition.

    checkId, claim, assistant, earlierAnswerId, answerId, earlierQuote, quote, trajectory, assessment, evidence

  • Statements and sentiment assessments

    claims.csv

    The saved assessments of statements about tracked parties, with their answer references and verified extracts where available.

    claimId, answerId, entityId, role, tone, quote, nativeQuoteVerified, origin

  • Original saved statement assessments

    raw-native-claims.csv

    One row per saved statement, with its original wording and party assessments. These are automated results, not independently checked facts.

    quote, brands, stance, claimId, claimText, sourceResultId

  • Original saved source records

    raw-native-sources.csv

    Every saved source record, distinguishing citations from other references. The source rankings count citations only.

    answerId, url, domain, metadata, domainType, citationKind

  • Sources by answer

    source-associations.csv

    One row per answer and website; repeated references to the same website count once.

    answer id, question id, assistant, domain, publisher

  • National and location answers

    place-pairs.csv

    One row per complete national-and-location pair in this edition.

    question id, assistant, place, national answer id, place answer id, national entities, place entities, same entities

Use these tables to trace findings back to the original questions and answers. The full text of each answer is also on this page, under its question.

03

Read in full and checked

Some answers were read in detail or checked against official sources. Those appear on the study page, beside the findings they support.

ChatGPT · No location

I'm an eligible New Zealand voter living overseas and considering returning. I am comparing job opportunities, housing costs and New Zealand's international outlook. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. How do parties' housing policies affect people returning to New Zealand to rent or buy?

New Zealand’s 2026 election: how housing policies affect returning New Zealanders

If you're an eligible New Zealand voter living overseas and considering returning home, housing policy matters in two different ways: what it will cost you to rent when you arrive, and whether you can realistically buy a home once you're earning in New Zealand dollars again.

The key distinction between parties is how they believe New Zealand should make housing more affordable. Some prioritise building more homes and reducing planning restrictions; others put more emphasis on public and affordable housing, renters' protections, or helping people into homeownership.

For someone returning from overseas, I'd compare each party on five practical questions:

  • Renting on arrival: Will its policies improve rental supply, rents, tenancy security and the cost of setting up a home?
  • Buying a home: Will they change house prices, mortgage affordability, deposit requirements or the tax treatment of property?
  • Finding work: Will housing be available and affordable wherever the jobs are, particularly if you need flexibility when you first return?
  • Transition costs: Will you qualify for first-home assistance, public housing or other support, given that you've been living overseas?
  • Long-term outlook: Will the policy mix encourage enough homes to be built without undermining construction, infrastructure investment or economic growth?

One important caveat: a policy that improves housing affordability over five to ten years may do little to reduce your rent or deposit requirement in your first few months back.

1. Where the major parties differ

The following comparison reflects published 2026 election policies and reporting available as of 26 October 2026. The election is scheduled for 7 November 2026, so check final policy details before voting. NZ Housing Policy 2026Election Policy ComparisonPolicies for Party vote - NZ Election 2026Which Party Should I Vote For? Your Guide to the 2026 Election

Will National Party Finish 2nd in New Zealand's 2026 Election?

National Party

Supply, private investment and first-home access

National emphasises making it easier to build homes through planning reform and private-sector development. It has also proposed widening eligibility for the First Home Loan scheme, with a $300,000 income cap for the 5% deposit option. Its approach favours rental-property investment rather than rent caps. NZ Housing Policy 2026Election Policy Comparison

For you: Potentially attractive if you're returning to a well-paid job, want a lower-deposit pathway into ownership and expect more housing supply to improve your options. However, a low-deposit loan doesn't make the underlying house or mortgage cheaper, and increased supply takes time.

South Island Election Conference 2026

Labour Party

Public housing, renter protections and affordability

Labour has announced at least 6,000 additional social homes over four years, backed by $2.9 billion in capital funding, alongside a broader jobs and infrastructure plan. Its approach combines housing construction with stronger tenant protections. It has also proposed a capital gains tax on commercial and residential investment property, excluding family homes. NZ Housing Policy 2026Election Policy Comparison

For you: Worth examining if you expect to rent for a while, want more public and affordable housing options, or are concerned about housing costs relative to wages. The benefits of additional social housing are concentrated among eligible households, rather than automatically lowering every private-market rent.

Green Party NZ (@NZGreens) on X

Green Party

Renter security, public homes and housing quality

The Greens propose limiting annual rent increases to 2%, ending no-cause evictions, introducing an independently enforced rental warrant of fitness, and building 40,000 public homes over five years. NZ Housing Policy 2026Policies for Party vote - NZ Election 2026

For you: Particularly relevant if you expect to rent on arrival and value predictable rent increases, secure tenure and enforceable housing standards. The trade-off to assess is whether rent restrictions and compliance costs might discourage some private rental investment or reduce supply in the longer term.

New Zealand Legislative Election Winner 2026 Odds | Polymarket

ACT New Zealand

Less regulation and fewer demand-side interventions

ACT generally favours easing planning and regulatory constraints, private-sector construction and property rights. It opposes rent controls and has argued against demand-side subsidies that do not directly address housing shortages. NZ Housing Policy 2026Election Policy Comparison

For you: A relevant option if you prioritise private-sector development, economic liberalisation and fewer restrictions on landlords and property owners. The potential downside is less direct protection if your rent rises sharply or your tenancy ends.

New Zealand legislative election winner? Predictions & Od... 2026 | Polymarket

New Zealand First

Homeownership assistance and targeted housing measures

NZ First has explored Crown co-investment to help first-home buyers, potentially giving eligible buyers a route into ownership without having to fund the entire purchase themselves. The proposal was still being developed as of July 2026, so its final design and eligibility conditions matter. NZ First mulls potential policy providing Crown co-investment for first-home buyersNZ Housing Policy 2026

For you: Worth watching if buying is your main objective and a deposit is the obstacle. Don't assume a co-investment scheme will be available to you until the final policy and overseas-residency eligibility rules are clear.

Te Pāti Māori - Party for Party vote - NZ Election 2023 - Policy.nz

Te Pāti Māori

Public and affordable housing, renter protections and taxing speculation

Te Pāti Māori supports stronger renter protections, expanded public housing, action on vacant residential properties and changes to property taxation. Its proposals include a 2% annual tax on residential homes left empty for more than three months. NZ Housing Policy 2026Election Policy Comparison

For you: Relevant if you prioritise housing as a basic need, reducing speculative pressure and expanding non-market housing. The practical effects would depend on how the policies are designed and implemented.

For a wider comparison, Policy.nz's 2026 housing policy guide lets you compare individual proposals rather than relying on party labels. The Property Council's election policy comparison provides another perspective, particularly on construction, infrastructure and property investment.

2. What the policies mean for your return

If you plan to rent first

The most important distinction is between protection from rent increases and the availability of homes.

  • Greens: Their proposed 2% cap would offer more predictable rent increases if implemented as announced. Stronger eviction protections and rental standards could also improve security and quality.
  • Labour: Its public housing programme could help eligible people and ease pressure on some parts of the housing market over time. Check its final proposals for private-market renters.
  • National and ACT: Their supply-led approach aims to make homes more plentiful by enabling construction and investment. That could benefit renters if new supply outpaces demand, although the timing and location of new homes matter.
  • NZ First and Te Pāti Māori: Compare their specific measures on ownership assistance, vacant homes, public housing and tenancy conditions rather than assuming that a general affordability promise will lower your rent.

These are expected effects, not guaranteed outcomes. Rent caps can provide immediate protection to existing tenants but may have unintended effects on incentives to supply or maintain rental properties. Conversely, construction reforms can expand supply but rarely solve a tight rental market overnight. NZ Housing Policy 2026Policies for Party vote - NZ Election 2026

My practical suggestion: If you will need a rental immediately after returning, put more weight on current rental availability, tenancy security and your likely take-home pay than on promises of cheaper housing in several years.

If you plan to buy

Three issues deserve particular attention.

  1. Deposit access. National's proposed expansion of the First Home Loan income cap could be important if you have a solid income but limited deposit savings. Confirm the final income threshold and lender requirements.
  2. House prices and supply. Planning reform and construction can help expand supply, while policies that support purchasing power can increase demand. The net effect on prices depends on how quickly supply responds.
  3. Investment taxation. National's support for full landlord mortgage-interest deductibility differs from Labour's proposed capital gains tax on investment property and Te Pāti Māori's broader property-tax approach. These policies could affect investor behaviour, rental returns and the relative attractiveness of buying an owner-occupied home, but their effect on prices is uncertain. NZ Housing Policy 2026Election Policy Comparison

One caution for returning citizens: being a New Zealand citizen does not automatically mean you qualify for every first-home scheme. Your previous property ownership, income, deposit, lender criteria and the scheme's detailed eligibility rules can all matter. If you owned a home overseas, check that explicitly before counting on first-home assistance.

3. Don't separate housing from jobs and New Zealand's international outlook

Housing policy is only one part of the decision to return. If you're weighing New Zealand against another country, three wider questions could materially change your choice.

  • Job opportunities and wages: A lower rent is less valuable if the available jobs pay substantially less. Compare expected after-tax earnings with rent or mortgage payments, commuting costs and career progression.
  • Construction and infrastructure: Planning reform, transport investment, skilled-worker availability and infrastructure funding affect whether new housing is actually built where jobs are growing.
  • International investment and economic resilience: Parties differ on property taxation, overseas investment and the role of government. These choices can influence construction financing and economic confidence, but housing policies alone cannot guarantee stronger productivity, higher wages or better international relations. The Property Council's comparison is useful for examining the investment and infrastructure side of the debate. Election Policy ComparisonElection 2026: Political polarisation on energy and climate, except solar

I'd avoid assuming that the party with the strongest promise on house prices will necessarily offer the best overall environment for someone returning to work. A strong job market, reliable infrastructure and enough rental housing may be more important to you initially than a particular house-price forecast.

4. A practical way to decide how much weight to give housing

5. One important voting detail

Because you're overseas, check your eligibility and enrolment immediately. For the 2026 general election, overseas voting began on 21 October, and voting papers must be uploaded by 7 pm New Zealand time on Saturday, 7 November 2026. Enrolment closed at midnight on 25 October, so if you weren't already enrolled by the deadline, check the official guidance rather than assuming you can still register. 2026 New Zealand General Election | New Zealand Ministry of Foreign Affairs and TradeEnrol from overseas

Official resource: Vote NZ — overseas voting.

My overall view: If you're returning to rent, focus first on rental security, housing quality, local supply and job prospects. If you're returning to buy, focus on deposit access, mortgage affordability, construction supply and property-tax settings. If you're unsure which path you'll take, compare policies that expand housing options without relying on one specific outcome, and treat each party's promised benefits as uncertain until they're funded, legislated and implemented.

Ask anything

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Gemini · No location

I'm an eligible New Zealand voter living overseas and considering returning. I am comparing job opportunities, housing costs and New Zealand's international outlook. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. How do parties' housing policies affect people returning to New Zealand to rent or buy?

As an eligible New Zealand citizen living overseas, returning home means navigating a housing market heavily influenced by the distinct policy directions of the political parties contesting the 2026 general election.

Political approaches to housing broadly split into two philosophies: centre-right parties (National, ACT, New Zealand First) favoring supply-side deregulation, private landlord incentives, and homeownership pathways, versus centre-left and progressive parties (Labour, Greens, Te Pāti Māori) focusing on tax reform (like capital gains taxes), renter protections, and state/public housing investment.

How these platforms impact your options to rent or buy upon return depends on which bloc forms the government:


1. If You Plan to Rent

  • Centre-Right Approach (National, ACT, NZ First):
    • Impact: These parties generally maintain or favor policies that support private landlords (such as National retaining interest deductibility rules). The argument here is that protecting landlord incentives keeps rental supply stable.
    • For Renters: You will likely find a private rental market governed by standard tenancy laws, with fewer regulatory costs imposed on landlords, though potentially fewer mandated structural protections or price controls.
  • Centre-Left & Progressive Approach (Labour, Greens, Te Pāti Māori):
    • Impact: The Greens and Te Pāti Māori strongly advocate for structural renter interventions, including universal rent controls (tying increases to inflation/wage growth), banning no-cause evictions, mandatory long-term/permanent tenancies, and stricter rental warrants of fitness.
    • For Renters: If you are renting initially, these policies aim to offer you long-term stability and predictable rent costs. However, critics argue that aggressive regulations can cause some private landlords to exit the market, potentially tightening overall rental availability.

2. If You Plan to Buy

  • First-Home Buyer and Entry-Level Support:
    • National has targeted first-home buyers by proposing to expand access to low-deposit schemes (such as lifting income caps for the 5% deposit First Home Loan scheme). For a returning expat with a stable income looking to secure a home quickly with a smaller deposit, this lowers the upfront cash barrier, though critics note it can prop up high purchase prices.
  • Taxation and Property Speculation:
    • Labour is campaigning on a 28% capital gains tax (excluding the family home) starting mid-2027. Meanwhile, minor parties like The Opportunity Party (TOP) propose an annual land value tax, and Te Pāti Māori proposes land-banking and vacant house taxes.
    • Impact: If you are buying to live in your primary home, a capital gains tax typically exempts your main residence. However, these taxes aim to cool investor demand, which could reduce competition against property investors when you are trying to buy your first New Zealand home, potentially subduing runaway price growth.
    • Conversely, ACT opposes capital gains or wealth taxes, aiming to keep investment conditions favorable to stimulate private development and market fluidity.
  • Supply and New Builds:
    • Most parties agree that long-term affordability relies on building more houses, but they disagree on the mechanism. Right-leaning parties lean heavily into planning and consenting reforms (e.g., streamlining council regulations and infrastructure funding), while left-leaning parties emphasize direct government funding for state and social housing builds (such as Labour's targets for thousands of new Kāinga Ora and social housing places).

Summary Checklist for Your Return

  • As a Buyer: Look closely at policies regarding First Home Loans/deposit caps (if you need a low-deposit entry) versus tax structures (CGT vs. status quo) that dictate market competition with investors.
  • As a Renter: Weigh whether you prefer a market driven by private supply incentives (National/ACT) or one shaped by strict rent controls, warrant-of-fitness standards, and tenant security mandates (Greens/Labour/Te Pāti Māori).

As an overseas-based citizen, remember that you retain your voting rights as long as you have visited New Zealand within the last three years (for citizens; one year for permanent residents). How do you weigh these contrasting approaches against your personal timeline for moving back?

Ask Gemini

Gemini is AI and can make mistakes.

Captured 26 October 2026 · shown as Gemini gave it, not a verified account

Google AI Mode · No location

I'm an eligible New Zealand voter living overseas and considering returning. I am comparing job opportunities, housing costs and New Zealand's international outlook. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. How do parties' housing policies affect people returning to New Zealand to rent or buy?

For a New Zealand citizen overseas weighing a return ahead of the November 7, 2026 general election, the major political parties offer distinctly different approaches to the housing market. These policies directly shape what you will experience whether you plan to rent initially or buy a property upon arrival.

Analysis from economists and real estate sector commentators (such as an overview published on realestate.co.nz) highlights the primary platform differences among the key parties:

  • National Party
  • Buying: Focuses heavily on assisting first-home buyers by easing entry into the market. National proposes expanding access to lower-deposit thresholds (such as 5% deposit support) by significantly lifting the income caps on the First Home Loan scheme (raising individual/couple ceilings to make more buyers eligible). Having previously restored interest deductibility for landlords and shortened the bright-line test to two years during their term in government, their current platform emphasizes stability for existing property owners and incremental demand-side support for new buyers.
  • Renting: Relies predominantly on private market supply rather than aggressive market interventions or new tenant-side restrictions, aiming to keep rental pipelines steady through private residential investment.
  • Labour Party
  • Buying & Tax: Maintains its existing stance on property tax settings—having ruled out reintroducing interest deductibility changes—while focusing heavily on state-backed supply.
  • Renting & Public Supply: Emphasizes public infrastructure and state housing. Labour announced a funding commitment of at least 6,000 additional social housing places over four years, including a $2.9 billion injection for Kāinga Ora to drive state house construction. This approach is targeted at easing the bottom end of the rental market and reducing emergency housing reliance. [Realestate.co.nz]
  • Green Party
  • Buying & Tax: Proposes major structural interventions in the property market. According to property market analyses, the Greens intend to repeal interest deductibility for landlords and restore a longer (10-year) bright-line test to cool speculative investor demand.
  • Renting: Advocates for major tenant-focused regulations. Their platform includes capping annual rent increases (at 2% per year), outlawing no-cause evictions, and introducing a compulsory, independently enforced rental warrant of fitness. If implemented, these policies would structurally shift negotiating power and cost predictability toward renters.
  • ACT Party
  • Buying & Supply: Focuses on regulatory reform, cutting red tape around urban development, and boosting private sector building capacity to organically reduce house prices through expanded supply. They generally oppose new property taxes or heavy-handed demand-side subsidies, favoring free-market corrections. [Policy.nz]

Summary for Returnees

  • If you intend to buy: Parties like National offer expanded access and higher income caps for first-home buyer loan assistance, whereas the Greens seek to dampen investor competition via stricter tax rules. [Realestate.co.nz]
  • If you intend to rent: The Greens propose aggressive rental caps and tenant protections, while Labour focuses on scaling up state and social housing supply to manage market pressures. [Realestate.co.nz]

Note: Voter enrollment deadlines and voting periods for overseas and domestic citizens are managed viaVote NZ.

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Captured 26 October 2026 · shown as Google AI Mode gave it, not a verified account