Evidence · NZ Election 2026 · Edition 6

Every question and original answer

All 174 questions and the 783 complete answers recorded on 26 October 2026. Source lists and sentiment assessments are included, alongside the unchanged original answers.

questions
174
answers saved
783
collected
26 October 2026

01

Every question, with its answers

Each question was written as a voter would ask it and went to all four assistants. Some were also asked from a town. Open a question to read every answer to it in full.

Showing 20 of 174 questions

02

The tables behind the study

Every figure on the study page comes from these tables. They are CSV files, which open in any spreadsheet.

  • Questions

    questions.csv

    One row per question, with its original wording.

    id, text, reference, enabled, axes, collectionSettings

  • Complete answers

    answers.csv

    One row per saved answer, including its original text.

    id, questionId, assistant, collectionSetting, askedFrom, text, words

  • Answers included in each comparison

    memberships.csv

    One row per answer and comparison, showing which results were counted together.

    comparisonId, answerId, rowKey, included

  • Party names found in answers

    codings.csv

    One row per answer, party and comparison, with the recorded decision and evidence.

    comparisonId, answerId, entityId, kind, measure, counted, quote, reason, evidence

  • Sources recorded with each answer

    sources.csv

    One row per answer, with its recorded websites, source-list status and visible links.

    answerId, capture, domains, urls, literalUrls, origin

  • What the voting-guidance answers did

    behaviour-coding.csv

    One row per guidance answer, with the recorded behaviours and supporting passages.

    answerId, draft_id, platform, explicit_choice_boundary, conditional_party_or_bloc_alignment, prioritised_shortlist, elicits_additional_user_information, unconditional_single_party_vote_instruction, rationale, evidence, review_provenance

  • Checks against official sources

    checks.csv

    One row per selected statement checked in an answer.

    checkId, claimToTest, category, answerId, questionId, assistant, assertionPresent, assertion, verdict, evidence, whatTheSourceSays, assessment, checkedOn, paragraphs, previousCheckId, earlierAnswerId, earlierAssertion, trajectory

  • Statements selected for checking

    check-register.csv

    One row per selected check, with its reason and official source.

    checkId, claimToTest, category, whyChecked, primarySourceUrl, answerId

  • Research findings

    findings.csv

    One row per finding, with its figure and supporting records.

    id, statement, summary, caveat, value, denominator, evidence

  • Evidence behind the findings

    findings-evidence.csv

    One row per finding, with the records supporting it.

    findingId, rows

  • What changed for each voter

    case-decisions.csv

    One row per voter situation, with the earlier and later readings.

    case, transition, quote, assessment, draft_id, scenario, earlier_result_id, result_id, earlier_quote, earlier_assessment, earlier_review_provenance, current_review_provenance

  • Answers read in detail

    report-evidence.csv

    One row per answer included in the detailed research readings.

    key, answerId, interpretation, text

  • Party counts by edition

    party-count-tables.csv

    One row per comparison, edition, assistant and party, with its answer count and total.

    panel, edition, platform, party, numerator, denominator

  • Answer length by assistant

    platform-tables.csv

    One row per comparison, edition and assistant, with the recorded answer lengths.

    panel, edition, platform, answers, median_words, total_words

  • Location comparisons by edition

    regional-tables.csv

    One row per national-and-location comparison and edition.

    edition, prompt_id, platform, city, draft_id, block, scenario_id, scenario, issue, priority, common_5_6, complete, national_result_id, city_result_id, same_text, same_party_set, same_displayed_party_set

  • Changes by topic

    issue-tables.csv

    One row per topic, showing answer totals and changes in party names.

    issue, current_answers, matched, changed_party_sets, changed_displayed_party_sets

  • Links visible in answers

    literal-source-evidence.csv

    One row per answer, with the web links present in its text.

    edition, result_id, literal_urls, literal_domains, associated_capture

  • Separate website reference totals

    aggregate-references.csv

    One row per website in the separate reference summary; these totals do not identify which answer used it.

    domain, citationCount, referenceCount, promptCount, urlTotal, trendTotal, platforms

  • Answers compared with 23 October

    pairs.csv

    One row per answer with an earlier counterpart to the same question, assistant and location.

    earlierAnswerId, answerId, questionId, assistant, collectionSetting, askedFrom

  • Checks across editions

    edition-checks.csv

    The selected checks and whether their statements appeared in each edition.

    checkId, claim, assistant, earlierAnswerId, answerId, earlierQuote, quote, trajectory, assessment, evidence

  • Statements and sentiment assessments

    claims.csv

    The saved assessments of statements about tracked parties, with their answer references and verified extracts where available.

    claimId, answerId, entityId, role, tone, quote, nativeQuoteVerified, origin

  • Original saved statement assessments

    raw-native-claims.csv

    One row per saved statement, with its original wording and party assessments. These are automated results, not independently checked facts.

    quote, brands, stance, claimId, claimText, sourceResultId

  • Original saved source records

    raw-native-sources.csv

    Every saved source record, distinguishing citations from other references. The source rankings count citations only.

    answerId, url, domain, metadata, domainType, citationKind

  • Sources by answer

    source-associations.csv

    One row per answer and website; repeated references to the same website count once.

    answer id, question id, assistant, domain, publisher

  • National and location answers

    place-pairs.csv

    One row per complete national-and-location pair in this edition.

    question id, assistant, place, national answer id, place answer id, national entities, place entities, same entities

Use these tables to trace findings back to the original questions and answers. The full text of each answer is also on this page, under its question.

03

Read in full and checked

Some answers were read in detail or checked against official sources. Those appear on the study page, beside the findings they support.

ChatGPT · No location

I'm an eligible New Zealand voter living overseas and considering returning. I am comparing job opportunities, housing costs and New Zealand's international outlook. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. What are parties proposing that could improve work opportunities for people returning to New Zealand?

New Zealand 2026 election: work opportunities for returning New Zealanders

If you're weighing up a return to New Zealand, the key question is not just which party promises more jobs. It's which policies might help you find work that matches your overseas experience, earn a competitive salary, afford a home, and build a career in an economy that trades internationally.

For your decision, I'd compare party proposals across five areas:

  • Job creation and investment: whether policies aim to expand hiring, attract international capital and grow industries.
  • Pay and career progression: skills shortages, productivity, training, tax and incentives for employers.
  • Recognition of overseas experience: professional registration, qualification recognition and pathways into skilled occupations.
  • Housing affordability: rents, home-building, infrastructure and the effect of housing costs on your take-home pay.
  • International outlook: trade agreements, immigration settings, foreign investment and exposure to global economic conditions.

One important distinction: policies that increase the number of jobs do not necessarily increase wages, and policies that benefit employers do not automatically translate into better opportunities for returning workers. I'll focus on the proposals and their possible practical effects rather than recommending a party.

1. What the major parties are proposing

The following comparison uses parties' published 2026 election policies and an independent election policy tracker available as of 26 October 2026. These are proposals, not guaranteed outcomes.

Will National Party Finish 2nd in New Zealand's 2026 Election?

New Zealand National Party

Focus: business growth, exports, take-home pay and attracting people home

National has a specific package to encourage young New Zealanders to return. It proposes lower student-loan repayment rates for people living in New Zealand, access to 5% first-home deposits, stronger KiwiSaver, extended paid parental leave and faster visa processing for overseas partners of New Zealand citizens. It also promotes export growth, new trade deals, infrastructure and easier commercial building consents. National’s plan to welcome more Kiwis home2026 Election Policy

Potential relevance to you: More take-home pay if you have an eligible student loan, a potentially easier path to buying a home, and a business-growth strategy intended to expand employment.

What to examine: Whether growth creates vacancies in your occupation and whether the lower repayment rates or deposit scheme would actually apply to you.

South Island Election Conference 2026

New Zealand Labour Party

Focus: public investment, skilled work, apprenticeships and household costs

Labour proposes a New Zealand Future Fund, an expanded Apprenticeship Boost programme, small-business support, investment in infrastructure and a graduate nurse job guarantee for eligible New Zealand-trained nurses. Its Start Work Now programme aims to get people into building homes, repairing hospitals and improving schools. It also proposes pay-equity changes for care workers and a weekly public-transport fare cap. Labour's 2026 Election PoliciesElection policy tracker: what the parties are promising

Potential relevance to you: Employment opportunities linked to construction, infrastructure, health, trades and public services, alongside efforts to lower commuting costs and support small businesses.

What to examine: How much of the planned employment is additional, how projects will be funded, and whether your skills fit the sectors receiving investment.

New Zealand Legislative Election Winner? Winner Odds | Lines.com

Green Party of Aotearoa New Zealand

Focus: clean energy, public investment, secure work and training

The Greens say their economic plan would support 64,000 new jobs through investment in public transport, renewable energy, food security, science, innovation and public services. They propose a jobs guarantee for 16–24-year-olds who have been out of work for six months, plus apprentice equipment grants and greater employer support for training. Good Jobs For All of UsGood Jobs For All of Us

Potential relevance to you: Possible opportunities in engineering, science, technology, renewable energy, construction, education and health, depending on where investment occurs.

What to examine: The delivery timetable, funding and geographical distribution of proposed jobs. The youth guarantee would not cover most older returning workers directly.

New Zealand Legislative Election Winner 2026 Odds | Polymarket

ACT New Zealand

Focus: lower regulation, business flexibility and lower government spending

ACT's 2026 proposals include making it easier for employers to end employment relationships, freezing the adult minimum wage for three years, establishing a lower training wage for under-20s and allowing landlords to offset rental losses against other taxable income. It also proposes changes to KiwiSaver taxation and government spending. Election policy tracker: what the parties are promising

Potential relevance to you: If your priority is an economy with fewer regulatory barriers for businesses, these proposals are relevant to assess.

What to examine: The trade-off between employer flexibility and job security, wage growth and training opportunities. Landlord tax changes could affect rental-market incentives, but do not guarantee lower rents.

New Zealand legislative election winner? Predictions & Od... 2026 | Polymarket

New Zealand First

Focus: domestic industry, regional investment, energy and wages

NZ First proposes a Future Fund of up to $100 billion for long-term infrastructure, a special economic zone at Marsden Point, more value-added dairy manufacturing and a $1 billion investment in subsurface energy-resource surveying. It also proposes lowering the company tax rate to 20% for qualifying smaller companies and replacing the Accredited Employer Work Visa with a shortage-led skilled work visa. Our PolicyOur Policy

Potential relevance to you: Possible job creation through regional infrastructure, energy, manufacturing and agricultural processing, alongside a policy emphasis on domestic ownership.

What to examine: How the proposed fund would be financed, which projects would proceed and whether they generate sustained, skilled employment rather than temporary construction work.

The Opportunity Party

Focus: innovation, productivity, research and technology exports

Opportunity proposes raising research and development spending to at least 2% of GDP, introducing tax credits for technology investment, doubling funding for proven business accelerators and turning polytechnics into regional innovation hubs. A particularly relevant proposal is forgiving student-loan interest for returning New Zealanders. It also proposes a 25% tax credit to help small businesses adopt digital tools. Breakthrough EconomyDigital Future

Potential relevance to you: If you work in technology, research, engineering, advanced manufacturing or a knowledge-intensive business, its policies directly target productivity and higher-value industries.

What to examine: How quickly the investment would translate into commercial jobs, how the returning-student-loan proposal would define eligibility, and how the spending would be funded.

For a broader cross-party comparison, the independent Policy.nz employment policy guide and The Conversation's 2026 policy tracker provide additional policy detail.

2. Which policies matter most for your return?

Looking across the proposals, three distinctions stand out.

Your priority Policies to compare Why it matters
Finding a skilled job Infrastructure investment, business R&D incentives, apprenticeships, sector-specific hiring The number of suitable vacancies matters more than headline job-creation totals.
Keeping more of your salary Income tax, student-loan repayments, KiwiSaver contributions, wages Compare actual take-home pay, not just advertised gross salaries.
Making housing affordable First-home deposits, housing supply, rental costs, transport A lower deposit requirement helps with entry to ownership, but doesn't necessarily make homes cheaper.
Building a long-term career Research funding, innovation, export growth, skills recognition Higher-productivity industries may offer opportunities to use overseas experience and specialist skills.
Working internationally Trade policy, foreign investment, technology exports, energy policy New Zealand's relatively small domestic market makes international demand important to many employers.

Housing: compare access with affordability

National's proposed expansion of 5% first-home deposits focuses on access to ownership. Labour's proposed Future Fund and social-housing investment, alongside the Greens' infrastructure and public-transport investment, represent different approaches to economic development and housing-related costs. National’s plan to welcome more Kiwis homeLabour's 2026 Election PoliciesGood Jobs For All of Us

For a returning worker, it is worth comparing both the cost of renting initially and the time it might take to save for a deposit. A policy that improves borrowing access will not necessarily reduce mortgage repayments, and the impact on rents will depend on supply and demand.

International outlook: look beyond trade slogans

  • National emphasises export growth, new trade deals and a target of doubling exports by 2034. 2026 Election Policy
  • Labour proposes a Future Fund to support domestic infrastructure and innovation, with the aim of developing New Zealand's economic capacity. Labour's 2026 Election Policies
  • The Greens emphasise investment in renewable energy, science, public transport and resilient local industries. Good Jobs For All of Us
  • Opportunity targets R&D investment, technology adoption and home-grown technology exports. Breakthrough EconomyDigital Future
  • NZ First emphasises domestic production, regional infrastructure, energy resources and value-added manufacturing. Our Policy

The important question is whether these strategies can help New Zealand businesses sell higher-value goods and services internationally, improve productivity and pay competitive salaries. Their outcomes will also depend on global demand, interest rates, business confidence and implementation by future governments.

3. What to check before deciding

Election policies are only one part of a return decision. I would also check:

  • Your profession: Which employers are recruiting, what salaries they offer and whether your overseas qualifications or professional registration will transfer.
  • Your student loans: Compare the actual eligibility and financial impact of National's repayment-rate proposal with Opportunity's proposed interest forgiveness. These are different policies.
  • Your housing budget: Calculate expected rent or mortgage payments against realistic local salary offers.
  • Your overseas connections: Consider whether you could work remotely for an overseas employer, serve international clients from New Zealand or move into a New Zealand business with export exposure.
  • Delivery and funding: Distinguish fully costed proposals from announcements that still need legislation, funding decisions or detailed implementation plans.

One further point: as an overseas voter, check your eligibility and voting arrangements directly with Vote NZ. Your ability to vote and your ability to access particular benefits or schemes are separate questions.

My suggested next step

The most useful comparison depends on your career, because the policies most likely to create opportunities for a returning engineer, nurse, technology specialist or finance professional may differ considerably.

I can help you narrow this down with either of these:

  • Compare parties for my profession
  • Compare take-home pay and housing costs
Ask anything

ChatGPT can make mistakes. Check important info.

Captured 26 October 2026 · shown as ChatGPT gave it, not a verified account

Gemini · No location

I'm an eligible New Zealand voter living overseas and considering returning. I am comparing job opportunities, housing costs and New Zealand's international outlook. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. What are parties proposing that could improve work opportunities for people returning to New Zealand?

For an eligible New Zealand voter living overseas and weighing a return, the economic backdrop for the 2026 New Zealand general election features sluggish wage growth, an unemployment rate hovering around 5.6%, and an ongoing focus on reversing the "brain drain".

Political parties have staked out distinct economic and workforce platforms aimed at stimulating business growth, driving innovation, and attracting or retaining skilled workers.


1. Business Investment and Job Creation Incentives

To expand the job market and create more high-value employment opportunities for returning professionals, parties are proposing various tax and capital structures:

  • The National-led Government / National Party: Focuses on business-led growth via schemes like Investment Boost (allowing businesses to immediately deduct a percentage of new asset and technology investments) alongside infrastructure spending to spur private-sector hiring and confidence.
  • The Labour Party: Emphasizes targeted capital injections for innovation, including redirecting funds into venture capital (such as the Elevate fund) to support early-stage New Zealand startups and tech companies. They are also pitching programs to help small businesses hire and train apprentices, alongside expanding training and regional industry support.
  • ACT New Zealand: Advocates for supply-side measures, such as tax deductions for productive software and digital investments, freezing the minimum wage for three years to align it with productivity, and adjusting employment laws to reduce friction and cost for business owners hiring staff.
  • New Zealand First: Proposes lowering the company tax rate from 28% to 20% for small and medium-sized enterprises (turnover under $30 million) and expanding Research & Development (R&D) tax credits to 25% to encourage high-tech sector employment.

2. Targeted Policies for Graduates and Young Professionals

If you are returning early in your career or carrying student debt from your time in New Zealand tertiary education, specific policies target graduate retention:

  • The Labour Party: Has introduced measures aimed directly at keeping or drawing younger workers back, such as a 10% cut to eligible student loan balances for those who stay in New Zealand for three years post-study, alongside shifts to compulsory KiwiSaver structures.

3. Immigration, Infrastructure, and the "Brain Drain"

While parties actively debate how to manage overall net migration relative to local infrastructure capacity (housing, transport, and health), major parties emphasize balancing local workforce upskilling with targeted pathways for critical sectors:

  • Parties across the spectrum agree on the need to address acute domestic skill shortages (particularly in health, engineering, and technical trades), though they differ on how tightly to restrict or open general migration caps.
  • National has pointed to improvements in economic confidence and a measurable uptick in Kiwis moving home from across the Tasman as key indicators of a shifting labor market, aiming to lean into private sector-led job expansion to keep talent onshore.

Ask Gemini

Gemini is AI and can make mistakes.

Captured 26 October 2026 · shown as Gemini gave it, not a verified account

Google AI Mode · No location

I'm an eligible New Zealand voter living overseas and considering returning. I am comparing job opportunities, housing costs and New Zealand's international outlook. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. What are parties proposing that could improve work opportunities for people returning to New Zealand?

As an eligible New Zealand voter living overseas and weighing a return for the 2026 general election, comparing how political parties plan to stimulate the economy, foster job growth, and ease the transition back is a central part of your decision.

Different parties approach job opportunities, housing, and economic outlook through distinct policy lenses:

1. Policies Aimed at Encouraging and Supporting Returning Kiwis

  • National has highlighted specific proposals designed to ease the transition for citizens returning home, such as prioritizing and expediting work and visitor visas for partners of New Zealand citizens so that Kiwis who met partners abroad can return together. They also propose lowering student loan repayment rates for domestic borrowers to increase take-home pay and widening access to 5% deposit requirements for first-home buyers, which addresses the major housing cost barrier upon re-entry.

  • Labour focuses heavily on workforce training, small-business support, and infrastructure investment to create local demand. Their proposals include expanding employer apprenticeship supports, introducing Māori-led trades training initiatives, and setting procurement targets to direct a percentage of government contracts toward local small businesses and start-ups.

2. Job Opportunities, Business Growth, and Red Tape

  • ACT centers its economic approach on boosting productivity by cutting regulatory compliance and labor market constraints. They emphasize measures such as restoring 90-day trial periods for all employers, simplifying employment and health/safety rules, and expanding innovation trials to help tech and startup companies scale up and create high-value skilled jobs locally.

  • Other parties offer alternative structural adjustments, such as broader tax reform (including debates over tax-free thresholds or capital gains taxes) and industry-specific training funds, aimed at shifting New Zealand's overall productivity and wage trajectory.

3. Comparing Housing Costs and International Outlook

  • Housing: Beyond National's 5% First Home Loan adjustments, parties hold contrasting views on property investment and taxation. For instance, Labour has proposed targeted capital gains frameworks on commercial and residential investment property (excluding the family home and farms) to level the playing field against rising housing costs, whereas National opposes a capital gains tax, marketing New Zealand's tax settings as a competitive advantage for returning professionals and investors.

  • International Outlook & Economy: Debates across the political spectrum also focus on how New Zealand engages in international trade, mineral/energy development, and innovation funding to ensure local industries remain competitive globally, which directly impacts the types of professional careers available to returning expatriates.

You can explore and compare individual party manifestos and toolkits directly through platforms like the Policy.nz 2026 Election Database or via specific announcements on party portals such as National's Policies and ACT's Manifesto.

Ask anything

Captured 26 October 2026 · shown as Google AI Mode gave it, not a verified account