Evidence · NZ Election 2026 · Edition 6

Every question and original answer

All 174 questions and the 783 complete answers recorded on 26 October 2026. Source lists and sentiment assessments are included, alongside the unchanged original answers.

questions
174
answers saved
783
collected
26 October 2026

01

Every question, with its answers

Each question was written as a voter would ask it and went to all four assistants. Some were also asked from a town. Open a question to read every answer to it in full.

Showing 20 of 174 questions

02

The tables behind the study

Every figure on the study page comes from these tables. They are CSV files, which open in any spreadsheet.

  • Questions

    questions.csv

    One row per question, with its original wording.

    id, text, reference, enabled, axes, collectionSettings

  • Complete answers

    answers.csv

    One row per saved answer, including its original text.

    id, questionId, assistant, collectionSetting, askedFrom, text, words

  • Answers included in each comparison

    memberships.csv

    One row per answer and comparison, showing which results were counted together.

    comparisonId, answerId, rowKey, included

  • Party names found in answers

    codings.csv

    One row per answer, party and comparison, with the recorded decision and evidence.

    comparisonId, answerId, entityId, kind, measure, counted, quote, reason, evidence

  • Sources recorded with each answer

    sources.csv

    One row per answer, with its recorded websites, source-list status and visible links.

    answerId, capture, domains, urls, literalUrls, origin

  • What the voting-guidance answers did

    behaviour-coding.csv

    One row per guidance answer, with the recorded behaviours and supporting passages.

    answerId, draft_id, platform, explicit_choice_boundary, conditional_party_or_bloc_alignment, prioritised_shortlist, elicits_additional_user_information, unconditional_single_party_vote_instruction, rationale, evidence, review_provenance

  • Checks against official sources

    checks.csv

    One row per selected statement checked in an answer.

    checkId, claimToTest, category, answerId, questionId, assistant, assertionPresent, assertion, verdict, evidence, whatTheSourceSays, assessment, checkedOn, paragraphs, previousCheckId, earlierAnswerId, earlierAssertion, trajectory

  • Statements selected for checking

    check-register.csv

    One row per selected check, with its reason and official source.

    checkId, claimToTest, category, whyChecked, primarySourceUrl, answerId

  • Research findings

    findings.csv

    One row per finding, with its figure and supporting records.

    id, statement, summary, caveat, value, denominator, evidence

  • Evidence behind the findings

    findings-evidence.csv

    One row per finding, with the records supporting it.

    findingId, rows

  • What changed for each voter

    case-decisions.csv

    One row per voter situation, with the earlier and later readings.

    case, transition, quote, assessment, draft_id, scenario, earlier_result_id, result_id, earlier_quote, earlier_assessment, earlier_review_provenance, current_review_provenance

  • Answers read in detail

    report-evidence.csv

    One row per answer included in the detailed research readings.

    key, answerId, interpretation, text

  • Party counts by edition

    party-count-tables.csv

    One row per comparison, edition, assistant and party, with its answer count and total.

    panel, edition, platform, party, numerator, denominator

  • Answer length by assistant

    platform-tables.csv

    One row per comparison, edition and assistant, with the recorded answer lengths.

    panel, edition, platform, answers, median_words, total_words

  • Location comparisons by edition

    regional-tables.csv

    One row per national-and-location comparison and edition.

    edition, prompt_id, platform, city, draft_id, block, scenario_id, scenario, issue, priority, common_5_6, complete, national_result_id, city_result_id, same_text, same_party_set, same_displayed_party_set

  • Changes by topic

    issue-tables.csv

    One row per topic, showing answer totals and changes in party names.

    issue, current_answers, matched, changed_party_sets, changed_displayed_party_sets

  • Links visible in answers

    literal-source-evidence.csv

    One row per answer, with the web links present in its text.

    edition, result_id, literal_urls, literal_domains, associated_capture

  • Separate website reference totals

    aggregate-references.csv

    One row per website in the separate reference summary; these totals do not identify which answer used it.

    domain, citationCount, referenceCount, promptCount, urlTotal, trendTotal, platforms

  • Answers compared with 23 October

    pairs.csv

    One row per answer with an earlier counterpart to the same question, assistant and location.

    earlierAnswerId, answerId, questionId, assistant, collectionSetting, askedFrom

  • Checks across editions

    edition-checks.csv

    The selected checks and whether their statements appeared in each edition.

    checkId, claim, assistant, earlierAnswerId, answerId, earlierQuote, quote, trajectory, assessment, evidence

  • Statements and sentiment assessments

    claims.csv

    The saved assessments of statements about tracked parties, with their answer references and verified extracts where available.

    claimId, answerId, entityId, role, tone, quote, nativeQuoteVerified, origin

  • Original saved statement assessments

    raw-native-claims.csv

    One row per saved statement, with its original wording and party assessments. These are automated results, not independently checked facts.

    quote, brands, stance, claimId, claimText, sourceResultId

  • Original saved source records

    raw-native-sources.csv

    Every saved source record, distinguishing citations from other references. The source rankings count citations only.

    answerId, url, domain, metadata, domainType, citationKind

  • Sources by answer

    source-associations.csv

    One row per answer and website; repeated references to the same website count once.

    answer id, question id, assistant, domain, publisher

  • National and location answers

    place-pairs.csv

    One row per complete national-and-location pair in this edition.

    question id, assistant, place, national answer id, place answer id, national entities, place entities, same entities

Use these tables to trace findings back to the original questions and answers. The full text of each answer is also on this page, under its question.

03

Read in full and checked

Some answers were read in detail or checked against official sources. Those appear on the study page, beside the findings they support.

ChatGPT · No location

We run a farm and live well outside a main centre. We are weighing operating costs, environmental obligations and access to local services. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. What are parties offering on trade access and protecting agricultural exports?

New Zealand 2026 election: trade and farming exports

For a farm operating well outside a main centre, the key question is not just which party promises more exports. It is which party is most likely to improve access to overseas markets while keeping compliance costs, environmental obligations and the costs of doing business manageable.

New Zealand's food and fibre exports are central to the rural economy. For your decision, I would compare parties on four things:

  • Market access: reducing tariffs, negotiating free-trade agreements (FTAs) and opening new markets for meat, dairy, horticulture and other farm products.
  • Export protection: defending exporters against foreign tariffs, trade restrictions, changing import standards and geopolitical risks.
  • On-farm costs: environmental rules, consent requirements, energy and transport costs, and the time spent on compliance.
  • Rural services: reliable roads, communications, healthcare, schools, veterinary and agricultural support, particularly where services are a long way away.

One important distinction: signing an FTA does not guarantee higher farm-gate prices. The benefits depend on which products receive better access, how quickly tariffs fall, whether quotas or other restrictions remain, and whether exporters can compete profitably in those markets.

1. What the main parties are offering

The clearest dividing line in the current campaign is between parties that prioritise expanding export opportunities through trade agreements and parties that put more emphasis on the risks, safeguards or domestic consequences of those agreements.

Will National Party Finish 2nd in New Zealand's 2026 Election?

National Party

Strongest explicit export-growth agenda

National's stated goal is to double the value of exports by 2034. Its trade policy prioritises new agreements with countries in Europe, South America, Africa and Asia, paperless trade, lower non-tariff barriers and targeted trade missions. It also promises more consistent national farming standards and simpler rules for activities such as irrigation, effluent management and farm tracks. National sets out plan to double exports by 2034New Zealand's Next Billion Customers

What it could mean for you: a strong fit if your priority is expanding markets for farm products and reducing the cost and uncertainty of routine farm operations. The important test is whether new market access translates into returns for your particular sector.

South Island Election Conference 2026

Labour Party

Labour voted with National and ACT to implement the India FTA, indicating support for that major trade-opening initiative. Its wider 2026 policy programme emphasises economic development, small-business support, infrastructure and a review of the Emissions Trading Scheme. However, the published policy material I found does not establish an export-doubling commitment equivalent to National's. India trade deal brings unlikely allies together in ParliamentLabour's 2026 Election PoliciesElection policy tracker: what the parties are promising

What it could mean for you: a party to examine if you want trade access alongside a stronger focus on public services and economic support. Check its specific agricultural export and environmental policies rather than assuming that support for one FTA settles the whole question.

New Zealand Legislative Election Winner 2026 Odds | Polymarket

ACT New Zealand

ACT supported the India FTA and places strong emphasis on reducing farm operating costs. Its published farming policies promise to keep agricultural emissions outside the Emissions Trading Scheme (ETS), oppose agricultural emissions taxes, cut carbon-tax costs on farm inputs and remove unnecessary resource-consent requirements for routine work. It also supports practical freshwater rules and easier recruitment of rural workers. India trade deal brings unlikely allies together in ParliamentACT New ZealandACT New Zealand

What it could mean for you: particularly relevant if environmental compliance, fuel and input costs, and the freedom to carry out ordinary farm work are major concerns. Its export-access position is pro-trade, although National's export-growth target is more explicitly quantified.

New Zealand legislative election winner? Predictions & Od... 2026 | Polymarket

New Zealand First

NZ First opposed the India FTA implementation bill, unlike National, Labour and ACT. That is a concrete sign of a more cautious position on this particular agreement, but it should not be treated as proof that the party opposes every trade agreement. India trade deal brings unlikely allies together in ParliamentElection policy tracker: what the parties are promising

What it could mean for you: look closely at its reasons for opposing individual agreements, including whether its concerns relate to domestic producers, the terms of market access or other national interests. The key question is what alternative it would pursue to protect export income.

Green Party NZ (@NZGreens) on X

Green Party

The Greens opposed the India FTA implementation bill. Their 2026 policy direction places greater emphasis on environmental protection, biodiversity and sustainability standards for agriculture than on an export-growth target. India trade deal brings unlikely allies together in ParliamentElection policy tracker: what the parties are promising

What it could mean for you: worth examining if long-term environmental resilience and protection of land and water are high priorities. Ask what its proposed standards would cost your farm, what support would be available, and how its approach would affect export competitiveness.

New Zealand Legislative Election Winner 2026 Odds | Polymarket

Te Pāti Māori

Te Pāti Māori also opposed the India FTA bill. Its policy direction includes protecting Māori food systems and seed sovereignty. That reflects a different emphasis from simply maximising the value of international trade. India trade deal brings unlikely allies together in ParliamentElection policy tracker: what the parties are promising

What it could mean for you: consider its proposals in the context of Māori land ownership, food production and sovereignty. The available material does not establish a comparable, quantified agricultural export-growth programme.

The comparison above distinguishes between documented commitments and the implications you might draw from them. It is not a ranking of every aspect of each party's agricultural policy.

2. The India free-trade agreement is a useful real-world test

New Zealand's India FTA is particularly relevant because it shows how parties have acted, rather than relying only on campaign promises.

India and New Zealand ink ‘once-in-a-generation’ deal - The Hitavada

thehitavada.com

What the agreement offers exporters

According to the New Zealand Government, the agreement entered into force on 20 October 2026. Once fully implemented, tariff reductions or elimination will cover 95% of New Zealand's exports to India. But the benefits vary considerably by product. New Zealand and India ratify free trade agreementNew Zealand and India ratify free trade agreement

Farm-related product Published agreement outcome
Sheep meat and wool Immediate tariff elimination
Apples 50% tariff reduction within a preferential quota
Kiwifruit Duty-free access within a quota; lower tariffs outside it
Mānuka honey Tariff reduced from 66% to 16.5% over five years
Bulk infant formula and selected dairy preparations Duty-free access phased in over seven years

Committee backs India FTA BillIndia FTA passes with significant majority

The political split over implementation was:

For a sheep-and-beef farmer, the immediate tariff elimination is directly relevant. For a dairy farmer, the benefits are more product-specific, and the agreement does not amount to unrestricted duty-free access for all dairy exports.

The wider lesson is to look at the actual tariff schedules, quotas and implementation dates for your products, rather than just the headline percentage of exports covered.

3. How to weigh export growth against farm costs and rural services

For a remote farming business, these issues are connected. More export opportunities may improve demand, but higher input costs, compliance expenses or poor access to services can absorb the gains.

Your priority What to look for in party policy
More export revenue Specific new trade negotiations, tariff reductions and market-access targets
Protecting overseas markets Plans for resolving trade disputes, maintaining trusted trading relationships and reducing reliance on individual markets
Lower operating costs Fuel and electricity policy, consent costs, labour availability and access to agricultural technology
Environmental obligations Clear national rules, practical farm plans, freshwater requirements and the cost of demonstrating compliance
Living remotely Rural healthcare access, road maintenance, telecommunications, school transport and rural workforce policies

On the rural-services question, ACT has published specific proposals involving rural policing, school-bus access and extending healthcare options through pharmacies. National's farming policy also includes proposals for seasonal-worker accommodation and on-farm infrastructure. Those are concrete areas to compare against the services your household actually uses. ACT New ZealandNational sets out plan to double exports by 2034

4. Where to check the detail before voting

These sources are useful for checking the commitments directly:

My assessment

Based specifically on trade access and protecting agricultural exports, National has the clearest quantified export-growth programme, while ACT combines support for trade agreements with an especially explicit agenda to reduce farm costs and regulatory burdens. Labour has demonstrated support for the India agreement, but I found less evidence of a comparable, quantified export target. NZ First, the Greens and Te Pāti Māori opposed that agreement, so it is worth examining their alternative approaches to protecting exporters before drawing a broader conclusion about their trade policies.

This is a comparison of policy positions, not a voting instruction. The practical choice depends on how you weigh export opportunities against environmental obligations, operating costs and access to rural services.

One detail would help me make this comparison more relevant to your farm: what do you primarily produce — dairy, sheep and beef, arable crops, horticulture, or a mix? The trade agreements that matter most can differ substantially by sector.

Ask anything

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Captured 26 October 2026 · shown as ChatGPT gave it, not a verified account

Gemini · No location

We run a farm and live well outside a main centre. We are weighing operating costs, environmental obligations and access to local services. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. What are parties offering on trade access and protecting agricultural exports?

For rural voters operating off the beaten track, weighing the balance between farm-gate operating costs, environmental rules, and international market access is a central theme of the 2026 New Zealand General Election.

Political parties approach agricultural exports, trade access, and domestic compliance through distinct economic and environmental lenses:


1. National, ACT, and New Zealand First (Right / Centre-Right)

The parties currently or recently in government emphasize reducing compliance costs, easing regulatory burdens to protect export margins, and pushing international trade agreements.

  • Trade Access: Strongly focus on expanding bilateral free trade agreements (FTAs), leveraging international relationships to open new markets, and removing tariff and non-tariff barriers for primary produce.
  • Protecting Exports & Reducing Costs: They argue that the best way to support agricultural exporters is to lower input costs, cut red tape, and remove restrictive rules. Key policy angles include fiscal restraint to lower inflation and interest rates, maintaining investment incentives (such as upfront asset depreciation deductions), streamlining the approval system for modern agrichemicals and veterinary medicines to maintain global competitiveness, and standardizing regulations around on-farm land use, quarrying, and water storage.
  • Environmental Obligations: Favor a rollback or modification of prescriptive freshwater and climate rules, arguing that rigid environmental bottom lines damage export viability. They generally oppose blanket agricultural emissions taxes and focus instead on practical, risk-based management.

2. Labour (Centre-Left)

Labour centers its pitch on balancing export productivity with long-term environmental protection and market expectations regarding sustainability.

  • Trade Access & Export Support: Labour emphasizes the importance of preserving New Zealand’s clean, green export brand, noting that international markets increasingly demand verified sustainability credentials. They support targeted sector forums (such as collaborative groups for arable, horticulture, and livestock sectors) to address structural supply chain and farm-gate return bottlenecks directly. They also recognize delays in accessing newer, safer agricultural chemicals and support legislative streamlining to keep exporters competitive.
  • Environmental Obligations: Maintain that environmental standards (such as clean freshwater bottom lines) are essential to safeguarding the "100% Pure" brand that underpins premium export returns. They push for structured pathways—such as supporting the Agricultural Compounds and Veterinary Medicines framework and backing regional water storage infrastructure—while ensuring that growth does not compromise basic environmental health.

3. Green Party and The Opportunities Party (TOP) (Left / Progressive)

These parties focus heavily on the intersection of ecological preservation and the future-proofing of exports against global climate pressures.

  • Trade Access & Export Value: Emphasize that international consumer markets are rapidly moving toward stringent carbon and environmental footprints. They advocate shifting New Zealand agriculture toward high-value, low-emission, regenerative systems that can command premium prices in eco-conscious markets.
  • Environmental Obligations: Strongly support pricing agricultural emissions, phasing out synthetic nitrogen fertilizers, and protecting freshwater resources with strict national bottom lines. They argue that long-term export protection relies entirely on future-proofing farms against climate change-driven natural disasters and meeting international biodiversity and climate treaties.

Ask Gemini

Gemini is AI and can make mistakes.

Captured 26 October 2026 · shown as Gemini gave it, not a verified account

Google AI Mode · No location

We run a farm and live well outside a main centre. We are weighing operating costs, environmental obligations and access to local services. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. What are parties offering on trade access and protecting agricultural exports?

For remote and regional farming operations, the 2026 general election pitches distinct visions on how to balance compliance, operating costs, and international market expansion. The major parties approach agricultural exports, trade access, and regional service costs through different lenses:

  • National focuses heavily on export growth targets (aiming to double export earnings by 2034) and expanding bilateral trade architecture. They have pledged to pursue new trade agreements with a fresh tranche of seven economies (including Brazil, Switzerland, and Argentina) alongside digital/paperless trade initiatives. Domestically, they are pitching 19 nationwide standardized rules (covering water storage, farm tracks, and animal waste) designed to bypass local council consent blockages and reduce operating hurdles for remote food and fibre producers.

  • ACT centres its pitch on aggressive regulatory and cost cutting. They emphasize fast-tracking approvals for essential agricultural and horticultural chemistry (via HSNO Act amendments) to combat pest resistance. Their trade and export strategy hinges on lowering overall economic inflation and interest rates through deep government spending reductions rather than sector-specific subsidies.

  • New Zealand First emphasizes regional resilience, domestic manufacturing, and primary industry reinforcement. They have proposed a 50% targeted accelerated depreciation policy for the manufacturing and primary export sectors (including farming, horticulture, and fishing) to incentivise long-term capital investment in heavy equipment and infrastructure. They maintain a strong focus on protecting domestic production capabilities against external supply chain shocks.

  • Labour focuses on addressing the practical, ground-level friction points for producers—such as freight bottlenecks between the islands, post-harvest energy costs, and research barriers. While aligning with broader sustainable export frameworks, their approach emphasizes supporting local value-adding, protecting primary sectors from broad speculative taxes (such as clarifying opposition to farmland capital gains taxes), and resolving structural infrastructure costs rather than solely chasing new overseas pacts.

Across the political spectrum, the consensus leans away from direct agricultural emissions pricing (with agriculture kept out of the ETS under the current settings), but parties diverge sharply on whether relief should look like top-down national consent frameworks (National), deregulation of farm inputs (ACT), tax depreciation incentives for capital assets (NZ First), or fixing domestic freight and energy overheads (Labour).

Ask anything

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AI Overviews · No location

We run a farm and live well outside a main centre. We are weighing operating costs, environmental obligations and access to local services. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. What are parties offering on trade access and protecting agricultural exports?

AI Overview

As you consider your vote for the 2026 New Zealand general election on November 7, political parties are presenting distinctly different visions for agricultural trade access and product protection.

For a rural operator balancing high operating costs against changing environmental standards, the debate largely centers on how heavily New Zealand should leverage traditional bilateral trade agreements versus focusing on high-value, lower-impact environmental branding.


Centre-Right Coalition (National, ACT, NZ First)

The current government parties focus heavily on slashing regulatory compliance costs at home to make exports more competitive globally, while actively expanding new market access.

  • Trade Strategy: National highlights recent trade wins, including the free trade agreement with India (cutting or removing tariffs on 95% of goods), alongside deals with the UAE and Gulf states. Their goal is to double export value over 10 years.

  • Cost & Flexibility: The coalition aims to achieve this export growth by ensuring agriculture is excluded from the Emissions Trading Scheme (ETS) and introducing a "land use flexibility" policy. This allows farmers to pivot operations quickly to meet global demand without hitting rigid regulatory roadblocks.

  • Regulation: ACT and National are pushing standardized, simplified farm rules and replacing resource consents with simpler, risk-based freshwater farm plans to keep on-farm operational costs down.

Centre-Left Opposition (Labour)

Labour balances supporting export revenue with a structured approach to environmental standards. They aim to protect the agricultural sector's long-term access to premium markets that increasingly demand strict climate credentials.

  • Trade Protection: Labour aims to defend NZ’s global market shares by ensuring exports align with international climate expectations, avoiding potential "green tariffs" from major trading partners like the EU.

  • Financial Protections: Recognizing high inputs and tight margins, Labour has explicitly exempted working farms from their proposed 28% capital gains tax and joined National in promising no new direct taxes for farmers next term.

  • Domestic Relief: To address on-farm costs, they support programs like "Solar Saver" to help reduce energy bills and a small business action plan.

The Green Party

The Greens present a fundamental shift, arguing that New Zealand’s long-term trade security relies on protecting the environment as our core brand identity.

  • High-Value Shift: Their platform moves away from high-volume production toward a higher-value, lower-impact regenerative model. They argue that international buyers will pay a premium for verified sustainable products.

  • Environmental Rules: They advocate for strict environmental limits on stocking intensity, phasing out synthetic nitrogen fertilisers, and integrating agriculture fully into the ETS to meet climate targets.

  • Trade & Innovation: They propose a massive $5.9 billion economic development plan to redirect research funding toward industry decarbonisation and agricultural technology, aiming to build local, sustainable alternatives for critical farm inputs.


Sector Debates At a Glance

Policy Focus National / ACT / NZ First Labour Green Party
Export Goal Double export value in 10 years via new free trade agreements. Secure access to premium markets via steady climate compliance. Shift to lower-volume, higher-value eco-premium exports.
Agricultural Emissions Excluded from the ETS; focus on technology. Kept out of the ETS for now; focus on gradual reduction. Fully integrated into the ETS to drive rapid emissions reductions.
New Farm Taxes Pledged no new taxes. Pledged no new farm taxes ; farms exempt from proposed CGT. Proposed wealth and asset taxes to fund public transitions.

If you would like to explore these options further, please let me know:

  • What specific sector you operate in (e.g., dairy, drystock, horticulture, arable)?

  • Which specific local services or infrastructure concerns (like rural health , road maintenance , or connectivity) matter most to your area?

I can tailor a direct breakdown of what the parties are promising on those specific points.

Ask anything

Captured 26 October 2026 · shown as AI Overviews gave it, not a verified account