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Evidence · NZ Election 2026 · Edition 2

Every question, every answer, every source

All 174 questions and the 793 answers produced on 12 October 2026. The 27 remaining cells produced no AI Overview.

questions
174
answers saved
793
collected
12 Oct 2026

01

Every question, with its answers

Each question was written as a voter would ask it and went to all four assistants. Some were also asked from a town. Open a question to read every answer to it in full.

Showing 20 of 174 questions

Show all 174

02

The tables behind the study

Every figure on the study page comes from these tables. They are CSV files, which open in any spreadsheet.

  • Questions

    nz-election-2026-questions.csv

    One row per unchanged question.

    id, draft, text, voterCode, issue, towns

    174rows

    Download questions (CSV)

  • Answers

    nz-election-2026-answers.csv

    One row per produced answer, with its complete original text.

    result id, prompt id, draft id, scenario id, platform, region, words, parties, literal url answer, associated source answer, temporal pair, common four platforms, response text

    793rows

    Download answers (CSV)

  • Sources by answer

    nz-election-2026-sources.csv

    One row per website associated with an answer; repeated citations count once.

    answer id, question id, assistant, region, domain, publisher

    4,137rows

    Download sources by answer (CSV)

  • Checks against official sources

    nz-election-2026-checks.csv

    One row per reviewed proposition, retaining both answers, extracts and the reviewed change.

    check, draft id, platform, claim, verdict, assessment, source url, source label, source date, checked date, old result id, new result id, old excerpt, new excerpt

    15rows

    Download checks against official sources (CSV)

  • Who to vote for: coding

    nz-election-2026-guidance.csv

    One row per manually reviewed guidance answer. Codes overlap; original answers supply the evidence.

    draft, assistant, q, voter, a, declined, matched, shortlist, asked, chose, extract

    31rows

    Download who to vote for: coding (CSV)

  • Location and national answers

    nz-election-2026-towns.csv

    One row per matched national/location pair, with both editions.

    prompt id, draft id, scenario id, issue, platform, city, edition 1 same party set, edition 1 national result, edition 1 city result, edition 2 same party set, edition 2 national result, edition 2 city result

    124rows

    Download location and national answers (CSV)

  • Changes between editions

    nz-election-2026-comparisons.csv

    One row per identical question, assistant and location across the two collections.

    prompt id, draft id, scenario id, scenario, issue, platform, region, old result id, new result id, old words, new words, same party set, old parties, new parties, added parties, removed parties, literal same domains, literal old domains, literal new domains, literal added domains, literal removed domains, associated same domains, associated old domains, associated new domains, associated added domains, associated removed domains

    793rows

    Download changes between editions (CSV)

  • No AI Overview produced

    nz-election-2026-coverage.csv

    One row per planned cell where no AI Overview was produced.

    prompt id, platform, region, draft id, block, scenario id, scenario, issue, priority, question, cause, availability

    27rows

    Download no ai overview produced (CSV)

Use these tables to trace findings back to the original questions and answers. The full text of each answer is also on this page, under its question.

03

Read in full and checked

Some answers were read in detail or checked against official sources. Those appear on the study page, beside the findings they support.

ChatGPT · No location

My partner and I rent, have steady jobs and are trying to save a deposit for our first home. We worry that the target keeps moving. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. How do the parties' housing plans differ for first-home buyers rather than existing property owners?

For you and your partner, the key question in New Zealand’s 2026 general election is not simply which party promises cheaper housing. It is which policies would help renters become first-home buyers, how they would affect the deposit you need, and whether they would make homes more affordable relative to your incomes.

Those are different things. A party might make it easier to build more homes over time, help you borrow a deposit-sized amount, change the tax treatment of property investors, or support existing homeowners to retain or upgrade their properties. Each approach affects first-home buyers differently.

One important distinction as you compare parties: a lower deposit requirement can help you buy sooner, but it does not necessarily make the home itself cheaper. Likewise, a policy that supports house prices may benefit current owners while making it harder for you to enter the market.

The main differences between the parties

As of 11 October 2026, election policies are still being announced. The comparison below focuses on the approaches that matter to renters saving their first deposit, rather than treating every housing policy as if it helps buyers equally.

Sources: official party policy pages and the independent election guide Policy.nz. National is backing first home buyersRelease: Labour backs community housing to build more homesA home for everybodyPolicies for Party vote - NZ Election 2026

National — make it easier to get a deposit-sized loan

National proposes widening access to its First Home Loan scheme, raising the income cap to $300,000 for all applicants. The scheme allows eligible buyers to purchase with a 5% deposit. National is backing first home buyers

  • How it could help you: You may not have to save a 20% deposit before buying, if you qualify.
  • What to watch: A smaller deposit means borrowing more and potentially paying more interest. It doesn't itself lower house prices or guarantee mortgage approval.
  • Main emphasis: Access to homeownership through mortgage finance.

Labour — increase housing provision and public investment

Labour has announced a $950 million guarantee to help community housing providers finance more homes, alongside a commitment of $2.9 billion for Kāinga Ora housing over four years in its 2026 fiscal plan. Release: Labour backs community housing to build more homesLabour's Fiscal Plan 2026

  • How it could help you: More affordable and public housing could ease pressure on the rental market and expand housing options.
  • What to watch: The effect on your own rent, savings rate or ability to buy depends on delivery, location and timing. These measures are not the same as a direct deposit grant.
  • Main emphasis: Public and community housing supply and investment.

Green Party — renters' security and public housing

The Greens' published housing priorities include building public housing, ending homelessness, ending no-cause evictions and stabilising rent increases. A home for everybodyComplete Party Policy

  • How it could help you: Greater rental security and more predictable housing costs could make it easier to keep saving while renting.
  • What to watch: Rent protections do not automatically make a mortgage affordable, and the actual impact depends on the detailed rules and implementation.
  • Main emphasis: Housing as a secure home, with a substantial public and renter-protection role.

ACT — market-led building and fewer constraints

ACT's housing approach has emphasised reducing planning and regulatory barriers to building and allowing more housing supply through private development.

  • How it could help you: If reforms lead to more homes being built where people want to live, they could improve choice and moderate price pressure over time.
  • What to watch: More permissive rules don't guarantee that homes will be affordable to first-home buyers, or that construction will happen quickly enough.
  • Main emphasis: Market supply, development and regulatory reform.

Check ACT's latest election manifesto for the specific 2026 commitments; the description here is its broad policy approach, not a claim that every measure is newly announced.

New Zealand First — check the specific housing commitments

For your situation, the useful distinction is whether its 2026 proposals provide direct first-home-buyer assistance, change housing supply rules, or focus on other housing priorities.

  • How it could help you: A targeted deposit or ownership measure would have a more direct effect than a broad housing pledge.
  • What to watch: I couldn't verify a sufficiently specific current first-home-buyer commitment to attribute one confidently here.

Official policy: New Zealand First

The Opportunities Party (TOP) — change the incentives around land and housing

TOP has proposed a land-value tax as part of its approach to housing affordability. Its policy direction aims to change the economics of holding valuable land, rather than relying only on deposit assistance. Election 2026: ‘No steep decline in property prices - but it’s not going to be rosy’Policies for Party vote - NZ Election 2026

  • How it could help you: If tax changes reduced speculative demand or encouraged more productive land use, they could put downward pressure on housing costs.
  • What to watch: The size and timing of any price effect are uncertain. The tax design, transition arrangements and treatment of existing homeowners matter.
  • Main emphasis: Changing land and property incentives rather than simply making it easier to borrow.

Confirm the final 2026 policy details before relying on the proposed tax rate or exemptions.

What matters most for your deposit?

Here is how to compare the policy mechanisms against the problem you described.

Policy approach Potential benefit to you Key limitation
Lower deposit requirement You could buy sooner with less cash saved Larger mortgage and potentially higher repayments
More homes built More choice and potentially less price pressure Supply takes time; affordability depends on where homes are built
More public and affordable housing May reduce rental pressure and help you save Benefits to private renters may take time to flow through
Limits on rent increases Makes future housing costs more predictable Doesn't directly reduce the deposit required
Land or property tax reform Could change investor behaviour and housing prices Price effects and transition costs are uncertain

The question of whether the target keeps moving

Your concern gets at a particularly important issue: your savings target depends on house prices as well as your ability to save.

For example, on a hypothetical $700,000 home:

Illustrative deposit amounts — not a forecast of New Zealand house prices or a statement of current lending eligibility.

5% deposit

$35,000

10% deposit

$70,000

20% deposit

$140,000

If the home price rises by 5% to $735,000, a 20% deposit rises from $140,000 to $147,000 — an extra $7,000 to save. A lower-deposit scheme reduces the initial cash hurdle, but the purchase price and mortgage still matter.

This is why it is worth distinguishing policies that help you cross the deposit threshold from policies that aim to make the threshold itself lower.

How to check the parties before voting

I'd use three questions to evaluate each party's final manifesto:

  1. Can we buy sooner? Does the policy change deposit requirements, KiwiSaver access, eligibility or assistance available directly to first-home buyers?
  2. Can we save faster? Does it address rent, wages, housing costs or the stability of your rental situation?
  3. Will the home we want become more affordable? Does it address supply, land costs, investor incentives and infrastructure, and what evidence supports the expected effect?

You can compare the detailed housing policies by category in the independent Policy.nz 2026 election guide. Policies for Party vote - NZ Election 2026

One final caution: party announcements are not the same as enacted policy. Check whether a proposal is fully specified, funded, subject to eligibility limits, and likely to take effect during the period when you expect to buy.

The most useful way to assess these differences is to compare the effect on your household's likely purchase timeline, rather than assume that any one housing policy will necessarily bring prices down.

Ask anything

ChatGPT can make mistakes. Check important info.

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Gemini · No location

My partner and I rent, have steady jobs and are trying to save a deposit for our first home. We worry that the target keeps moving. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. How do the parties' housing plans differ for first-home buyers rather than existing property owners?

The feeling that the "target keeps moving" is a shared reality for many working renters trying to break into the New Zealand property market. Ahead of the 2026 general election, the political landscape presents starkly different philosophies on how to bridge the gap between steady wages and soaring house deposits.

The core divergence between the parties centers on a fundamental trade-off: Should policy focus on helping buyers accumulate capital to enter the market (often risking higher demand and price growth), or should it focus on suppressing house prices and reducing investor competition (which changes the broader economic environment)?

Here is how the major political parties’ approaches differ for first-home buyers versus existing property owners:

1. National and ACT (Focus on Supply, Demand Support, and Pro-Property Settings)

  • For First-Home Buyers: These parties generally focus on lowering barriers to entry. National has pushed policies like expanding access to lower-deposit options (such as 5% First Home Loans) to help buyers get a foot on the ladder sooner. Their overarching supply strategy relies heavily on planning and zoning reforms to free up land and encourage building, which they argue will moderate price growth over the long term.
  • For Existing Property Owners & Investors: These parties maintain a favorable environment for property investors and landlords (supporting interest deductibility and opposing broad capital gains taxes).
  • The Trade-Off for You: While lower deposit requirements or government-backed schemes can help you buy sooner, policies that favor investors can mean you find yourself directly competing against cashed-up landlords for entry-level housing stock.

2. Labour (Focus on Tax Shifts and Leveling the Playing Field)

  • For First-Home Buyers: Labour’s approach targets the structural advantage that property investors have historically held over owner-occupiers. Their marquee property policy features a Capital Gains Tax (CGT) on residential investment and commercial property (while explicitly exempting the family home).
  • For Existing Property Owners & Investors: Existing homeowners are protected by the family home exemption, but property speculators and landlords face a 28% tax on capital gains.
  • The Trade-Off for You: The intention behind taxing investment gains is to cool speculative demand, potentially reducing the intense competition you face at open homes. However, critics point out that changes to investor incentives can sometimes contract the rental supply, creating a tight rental market while you are still trying to save.

3. The Green Party and Te Pāti Māori (Focus on Wealth Taxation and State Provision)

  • For First-Home Buyers: These parties emphasize massive scaling of public, social, and affordable housing, alongside stringent renter protections. The goal is to decouple housing from pure speculation and shift the market toward human need.
  • For Existing Property Owners & Investors: They advocate for comprehensive wealth or land taxation structures that place heavier financial burdens on multi-property owners and large-scale asset holders, while shielding standard owner-occupier family homes from direct wealth-tax exposure.
  • The Trade-Off for You: While these policies aim to lower the speculative heat in the housing market and protect tenants' rights, they create a heavily regulated and heavily taxed environment for private property, which fundamentally reshapes the broader economy in which you are trying to build your personal wealth.

4. The Opportunity Party (TOP) (Focus on Structural Tax Reform)

  • For First-Home Buyers: TOP proposes structural shifts, such as an annual Land Value Tax on urban land paired with income tax reforms, explicitly designed to take steam out of land banking and lower general house prices (with estimates suggesting significant downward pressure on inflated values).
  • For Existing Property Owners & Investors: Unlike a traditional capital gains tax triggered only upon selling, a land tax applies annually to the underlying land value regardless of whether the property is sold, affecting both homeowners and investors (though often balanced out in their policy via simultaneous income tax cuts or citizen's incomes).
  • The Trade-Off for You: If successful in lowering overall market prices, saving a deposit becomes an objectively smaller target to hit. However, navigating a transition period where land and property values adjust involves significant economic uncertainty.

Summary Checklist for Your Vote

When weighing your options at the ballot box, it helps to ask yourself which mechanism you believe in:

  1. Assistance & Supply: Do you prefer policies that help you gather a deposit faster and build more houses, accepting that private investors will remain active market participants?
  2. Market Cooling: Do you prefer policies that target investors via capital gains or land taxes to actively deflate or suppress house price growth, making the "target" smaller over time?

Are you leaning more toward policies that focus on helping you accumulate a deposit faster, or those that aim to actively lower house prices by cooling investor demand?

Ask Gemini

Gemini is AI and can make mistakes.

Captured 12 October 2026 · shown as Gemini gave it, not a verified account

Google AI Mode · No location

My partner and I rent, have steady jobs and are trying to save a deposit for our first home. We worry that the target keeps moving. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. How do the parties' housing plans differ for first-home buyers rather than existing property owners?

Navigating the housing market as renters trying to save a first deposit is a major financial balancing act, and it is completely understandable to feel like the finish line keeps shifting. Ahead of the 2026 general election, the political landscape offers distinct philosophies on how to address housing affordability, balancing direct assistance for first-home buyers against the rules and tax incentives that affect existing property owners and landlords.

The main approaches diverge across the political spectrum:

  • National focuses heavily on expanding direct purchasing pathways for first-home buyers alongside supply-side deregulation. Their prominent first-home policy centers on lifting the income thresholds for the government-backed Kāinga Ora First Home Loan scheme (allowing buyers with lower 5% deposits to earn up to a flat $300,000 threshold, whether buying solo or as a couple). For existing property owners and investors, National has restored full mortgage interest deductibility for landlords and emphasizes accelerating housing supply through Resource Management Act (RMA) reform, fast-tracked consenting, and provisions like easing rules for granny flats.

  • ACT concentrates on deep regulatory reform and infrastructure funding to boost overall supply rather than targeting demand-side subsidies or new property taxes. Their framework proposes letting builders opt-out of traditional council building consents under certain conditions and incentivizing local councils by sharing GST revenue from new builds to fund local infrastructure. For existing owners and investors, ACT firmly opposes capital gains or broad property/wealth taxes. [www.mymortgage.co.nz]

  • NZ First has proposed a shared equity or co-investment model designed to assist first-home buyers. In this arrangement, the government would take a fractional ownership stake in the property alongside the buyer, shrinking the required private mortgage amount to ease bank serviceability tests. They also maintain a cautious stance on foreign residential property ownership. [www.mymortgage.co.nz]

  • Labour, the Greens, and Te Pāti Māori generally tilt toward systemic interventions aimed at cooling investor competition and shifting market dynamics toward affordability. Policy discussions from the broader progressive bloc include investigating capital gains or land/land-banking taxes (which target existing property speculation and multi-property owners while often carving out family homes), alongside renter protections and scaled-up public/social housing construction to relieve the wider rental market.

In short, the core dividing line is whether a party prefers to help first-home buyers leap the deposit/lending barrier through lower-deposit backing and market expansion (favouring supply-side deregulation that benefits developers and existing owners alike), or to reshape the broader tax and investment incentives to cool competition from existing property owners.

If you want to narrow this down further, let me know:

  • Are you primarily looking at first-home buyer grants/loans versus broader market price changes?
  • Which specific parties or policy areas would you like to compare side-by-side?
Ask anything

Captured 12 October 2026 · shown as Google AI Mode gave it, not a verified account

AI Overviews · No location

My partner and I rent, have steady jobs and are trying to save a deposit for our first home. We worry that the target keeps moving. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. How do the parties' housing plans differ for first-home buyers rather than existing property owners?

AI Overview

For first-home buyers trying to save a deposit in New Zealand, the 2026 general election presents a stark divide in how political parties balance support for new buyers versus existing property owners.

The political landscape splits into two core frameworks: demand-side financial assistance and supply deregulation (National/ACT) versus demand-side tax disincentives for investors and rental protections (Labour/Greens).

Key Policy Comparison for First-Home Buyers

Political Party Primary First-Home Buyer Focus Strategy for Existing Property Owners / Investors
National Party Expanding the 5% Deposit Scheme: Raises the combined income cap for the Kāinga Ora First Home Loan to $300,000. Pushing major RMA planning reforms to flood the market with supply. Maintaining Investor Incentives: Keeps full mortgage interest deductibility and a short 2-year bright-line test. Committed to no new property taxes.
Labour Party Airdropping Supply & Rental Stability: Focuses on massive state and community housing builds ($3B for 6,000 social houses) to lift baseline supply. Pledges to scrap investor tax breaks. Taxing Capital Gains: Proposes a flat 28% Capital Gains Tax (CGT) on residential investment property (excluding the family home) starting July 2027. Restores tenant protections against no-cause evictions.
Green Party Levelling the Playing Field: Massive public housing builds. Strict Renters' Rights Bill featuring a 2% annual cap on rent increases to let tenants save. Targeting Wealth and Speculation: Aims to extend the bright-line test to 10 years, remove interest deductibility for landlords, and impose a wealth tax on high-net-worth individuals.
ACT New Zealand Deregulation to Cut Costs: Focuses entirely on supply-side speed, removing building barriers, and cutting local council red tape to organically lower entry-level build prices. Pro-Investor Freedoms: Opposes all forms of rent caps, capital gains taxes, or landlord restrictions to keep private rental supply open.

How the Strategies Impact Your Moving Target

The National/ACT Approach: Lowering the Financial Barrier

If the National-led coalition retains power, their flagship policy directly addresses the deposit hurdle by doubling the First Home Loan income threshold to a flat $300,000. This allows moderate-to-high-earning couples who are locked out by current income caps to secure a house with just a 5% deposit instead of the standard 20%.

  • The Catch: Simultaneously, they protect the financial environment for existing property owners and corporate landlords by preserving full mortgage interest deductibility and limiting the bright-line capital gains window to 2 years. This means first-home buyers will continue to bid directly against tax-advantaged property investors at open homes.

The Labour/Greens Approach: Dampening Investor Demand

If a Labour/Greens coalition forms, their primary lever to stop the target from moving is to penalise property speculation. Labour's proposed 28% Capital Gains Tax and the Greens' push for a 10-year bright-line test aim to make residential property less attractive as an investment vehicle.

  • The Catch: By removing investors from the lower end of the market, the goal is to cool price growth so your deposit can catch up. However, this strategy relies on alternative tax levers rather than direct deposit grants, meaning you still need to accumulate a substantial deposit while navigating a heavily regulated rental market.

If you would like to explore how these frameworks affect your path forward, let me know:

  • Your approximate combined current savings and your target house price.

  • Your current combined annual income (to see if you fit under the proposed $300,000 threshold).

  • Whether you prefer buying an existing property or building a new home.

I can model how changes to deposit rules or investor taxes could impact your buying timeline.

Ask anything

Captured 12 October 2026 · shown as AI Overviews gave it, not a verified account