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Evidence · NZ Election 2026 · Edition 2

Every question, every answer, every source

All 174 questions and the 793 answers produced on 12 October 2026. The 27 remaining cells produced no AI Overview.

questions
174
answers saved
793
collected
12 Oct 2026

01

Every question, with its answers

Each question was written as a voter would ask it and went to all four assistants. Some were also asked from a town. Open a question to read every answer to it in full.

Showing 20 of 174 questions

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02

The tables behind the study

Every figure on the study page comes from these tables. They are CSV files, which open in any spreadsheet.

  • Questions

    nz-election-2026-questions.csv

    One row per unchanged question.

    id, draft, text, voterCode, issue, towns

    174rows

    Download questions (CSV)

  • Answers

    nz-election-2026-answers.csv

    One row per produced answer, with its complete original text.

    result id, prompt id, draft id, scenario id, platform, region, words, parties, literal url answer, associated source answer, temporal pair, common four platforms, response text

    793rows

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  • Sources by answer

    nz-election-2026-sources.csv

    One row per website associated with an answer; repeated citations count once.

    answer id, question id, assistant, region, domain, publisher

    4,137rows

    Download sources by answer (CSV)

  • Checks against official sources

    nz-election-2026-checks.csv

    One row per reviewed proposition, retaining both answers, extracts and the reviewed change.

    check, draft id, platform, claim, verdict, assessment, source url, source label, source date, checked date, old result id, new result id, old excerpt, new excerpt

    15rows

    Download checks against official sources (CSV)

  • Who to vote for: coding

    nz-election-2026-guidance.csv

    One row per manually reviewed guidance answer. Codes overlap; original answers supply the evidence.

    draft, assistant, q, voter, a, declined, matched, shortlist, asked, chose, extract

    31rows

    Download who to vote for: coding (CSV)

  • Location and national answers

    nz-election-2026-towns.csv

    One row per matched national/location pair, with both editions.

    prompt id, draft id, scenario id, issue, platform, city, edition 1 same party set, edition 1 national result, edition 1 city result, edition 2 same party set, edition 2 national result, edition 2 city result

    124rows

    Download location and national answers (CSV)

  • Changes between editions

    nz-election-2026-comparisons.csv

    One row per identical question, assistant and location across the two collections.

    prompt id, draft id, scenario id, scenario, issue, platform, region, old result id, new result id, old words, new words, same party set, old parties, new parties, added parties, removed parties, literal same domains, literal old domains, literal new domains, literal added domains, literal removed domains, associated same domains, associated old domains, associated new domains, associated added domains, associated removed domains

    793rows

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  • No AI Overview produced

    nz-election-2026-coverage.csv

    One row per planned cell where no AI Overview was produced.

    prompt id, platform, region, draft id, block, scenario id, scenario, issue, priority, question, cause, availability

    27rows

    Download no ai overview produced (CSV)

Use these tables to trace findings back to the original questions and answers. The full text of each answer is also on this page, under its question.

03

Read in full and checked

Some answers were read in detail or checked against official sources. Those appear on the study page, beside the findings they support.

ChatGPT · No location

I rent with my partner and work rostered hours that change from week to week. Our pay can drop unexpectedly, but rent and bills don't. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. Which parties would change rules around guaranteed hours, casual work and sick leave, and what are the trade-offs?

For your situation, the key question is whether a party would make your income more predictable when your roster changes, or mainly change how your leave is calculated and paid.

In New Zealand's 2026 general election, there are three distinct issues to compare:

  • Guaranteed hours: whether your employer must provide and pay you for a minimum number of hours, even when there is less work available.
  • Casual work: whether employers can offer work on an as-needed basis, without promising you a regular amount of work.
  • Paid sick leave: whether you can afford to stay home when you're ill without losing income, particularly if your hours vary from week to week.

One important distinction: a party can support paid sick leave without guaranteeing you any hours of work. And a change to how leave accrues may affect your pay even if your roster stays exactly the same.

1. Which parties would change the rules?

The clearest documented dividing line is over the Employment Leave Act 2026, which has been enacted and is scheduled to replace the Holidays Act in August 2028. The Act changes how annual leave and sick leave are earned and calculated. Separately, the parties differ over job security and the ability of workers to challenge their employment status. Employment Leave Act 2026Policy scorecards for working people NZCTU

Labour

Proposes reversing several recent employment-law changes

Labour has said it would reverse the Employment Leave Act changes, and the NZ Council of Trade Unions (NZCTU) records Labour as supporting repeal before the Act takes effect. Labour also supports restoring Fair Pay Agreements and reversing the 2026 changes affecting contractor classification and personal grievances. Release: Luxon breaks promise on sick leavePolicy scorecards for working people NZCTU

Trade-off: reversing the leave legislation would retain the existing system, including its more generous sick-leave entitlement for part-time workers. The existing system has also been criticised for complexity and payroll compliance problems. Reversing other employment changes would give workers more avenues to challenge employers, but would restore obligations that employers would need to administer.

Green Party

Opposes the new leave rules and supports stronger worker protections

The Greens oppose the Employment Leave Act, arguing it disadvantages people with part-time or variable hours. They also support reversing the 2026 changes to employment protections and introducing default opt-out union membership. Employment Leave BillGovernment rams through law attacking workersPolicy scorecards for working people NZCTU

Trade-off: retaining the current leave system would protect existing entitlements for many variable-hours workers. Stronger employment protections and collective bargaining may also improve workers' ability to negotiate conditions, while employers would face more regulatory obligations.

National

Supports the new leave framework

National enacted the Employment Leave Act as part of the current government's reforms. Its stated rationale is to simplify leave calculations and make entitlements more proportional to hours worked. It has also supported the 2026 employment-law changes affecting contractor classification and personal grievances. Louise Upston Update - September 2025Policy scorecards for working people NZCTU

Trade-off: a more hours-based system may be easier for employers to administer and can make leave balances clearer. However, for someone whose working hours fluctuate, leave entitlements and payments may be lower than under the current rules.

ACT

Supports the new leave framework and employment-law changes

ACT sponsored the Employment Leave Act and the 2026 changes to employment relations. The new leave framework includes a different arrangement for casual workers, who will generally receive an upfront leave payment instead of accumulating the same leave entitlements in the usual way. Policy scorecards for working people NZCTULouise Upston Update - September 2025

Trade-off: the approach aims to simplify leave administration and make employment arrangements more flexible. For a casual worker, however, an upfront payment is not the same as having paid time off available when illness strikes.

New Zealand First

Supports retaining the new leave framework

The NZCTU's 2026 scorecard records NZ First as opposing repeal of the Employment Leave Act. It also records NZ First as opposing restoration of Fair Pay Agreements and the 2026 personal-grievance and contractor-classification rules. Policy scorecards for working people NZCTU

Trade-off: this means retaining the government's new leave framework rather than returning to the existing system. I could not verify a specific NZ First proposal to guarantee a minimum number of rostered hours or to expand sick leave for variable-hours workers.

Te Pāti Māori, the Opportunities Party (TOP), and the Alliance are also worth checking. The NZCTU records Te Pāti Māori as supporting repeal of the Employment Leave Act and stronger employment protections; it records the Alliance similarly on those issues. TOP opposes the Act's leave changes but has a more mixed position on other employment reforms. These are union scorecard assessments, not complete summaries of each party's manifesto. Policy scorecards for working people NZCTUPolicies for Party vote - NZ Election 2026

2. What the sick-leave changes mean for you

The most important detail is that the new law changes the way leave is earned, rather than simply changing the headline number of sick days.

Issue Current rules New rules from August 2028
Sick leave Eligible employees get 10 days a year, not pro-rated for part-time work Leave accrues in hours against standard hours worked
Variable hours Eligible employees can still qualify; payment depends on the day they would have worked and the applicable pay calculation The amount accrued and paid can differ where hours are additional or casual
Casual workers Can qualify for 10 days of sick leave if they meet the eligibility criteria Casual hours have a separate leave-payment arrangement
Predictable income Sick leave can replace pay for qualifying days off sick, but does not guarantee future shifts The new framework still does not guarantee a minimum number of future shifts

Sources: Employment New Zealand's current sick-leave guidance and the Employment Leave Act 2026. Managing sick leaveEmployment Leave Act 2026NZ Legislation Disclosures

The existing rules generally require six months of continuous employment, or six months meeting the alternative hours test, before you qualify for sick leave. Once eligible, you can accumulate up to 20 days. Casual employment does not automatically exclude you from entitlement. Managing sick leaveManaging sick leave

The government argues that the new system will simplify calculations and better reflect hours worked. Labour and the Greens argue that workers with variable hours, particularly part-time workers, could lose out. Those are competing policy positions; the actual effect on your pay will depend on your employment agreement, roster and the hours classified as standard, additional or casual. Louise Upston Update - September 2025Employment Leave BillRelease: Luxon breaks promise on sick leave

3. What about guaranteed hours and casual work?

This is where it is important not to confuse a party's position on leave with a promise of more reliable wages.

A casual employee generally has no guaranteed hours, no regular pattern of work and no ongoing expectation of employment. By contrast, a permanent employee may have guaranteed contractual hours even when the employer's demand for work falls. Managing sick leaveStaff types

For your circumstances, I would look for three specific commitments in each party's employment policy:

  • Minimum-hours guarantees: Would an employer have to pay you for a set number of hours every week, even when the roster is cut?
  • Cancellation protections: Would you receive compensation if a shift is cancelled at short notice?
  • Casual-to-permanent protections: Would workers who repeatedly work regular shifts have a clearer route to guaranteed hours or permanent status?

I could verify clear party differences on the Employment Leave Act and broader employment protections, but not a sufficiently clear, current commitment from every major party to a new minimum-hours guarantee or a specific reform of casual work. I would not treat opposition to the leave law as proof that a party promises guaranteed hours.

You can compare the parties' wider employment policies through Policy.nz's 2026 incomes and employment comparison. The NZCTU's 2026 policy scorecards also compare party positions on leave, job security, contractor status and collective bargaining. The NZCTU is a union organisation, so its assessments are useful alongside the parties' own policies rather than as a substitute for them. Policies for Party vote - NZ Election 2026Policy scorecards for working people NZCTU

4. How to weigh the trade-offs

If your priority is reliable weekly income

Focus on explicit minimum-hours guarantees, shift-cancellation rules and whether regular casual work can be converted to guaranteed hours. Sick-leave reform alone will not stop your pay falling when fewer shifts are offered.

If your priority is being paid when you're ill

Focus on whether a party would retain the existing 10-day entitlement or keep the Employment Leave Act's hours-based system. Also check the eligibility rules and how payments are calculated for irregular rosters.

If your priority is flexibility for employers and workers

Consider the case for simpler payroll calculations and upfront leave payments for casual work. Then weigh that against whether you would have enough paid leave available when you need to stop working.

If your priority is bargaining power

Compare positions on Fair Pay Agreements, union access and employment-law protections. These affect workers' ability to negotiate conditions collectively, although they do not automatically guarantee a particular number of hours.

5. One practical point before you vote

Because rent and bills are fixed even when your pay is not, it may help to check your current employment agreement before assessing which proposed changes would affect you most. In particular, look for whether your hours are explicitly guaranteed, whether your shifts can be cancelled, and whether your employer classifies you as permanent or casual.

The key question to keep in mind is: would you rather prioritise protecting leave entitlements you already have, securing a minimum amount of paid work, or preserving flexibility in how work is offered? Those are related but different policy choices, and the party positions are not identical across all three.

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Gemini · No location

I rent with my partner and work rostered hours that change from week to week. Our pay can drop unexpectedly, but rent and bills don't. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. Which parties would change rules around guaranteed hours, casual work and sick leave, and what are the trade-offs?

Navigating rostered hours, fluctuating income, and fixed living costs like rent is a major financial strain. In the context of the 2026 New Zealand general election, political parties have starkly different approaches to workplace legislation, minimum entitlements, leave, and casual work—particularly following the recent legislative changes via the Employment Leave Act.

Here is how the major political blocs approach rules around guaranteed hours, casual/irregular work, and sick leave, along with the associated trade-offs.

1. National, ACT, and New Zealand First (Centre-Right / Coalition Bloc)

  • Approach to Leave and Flexibility: This bloc passed the Employment Leave Act, which updates how annual and sick leave accrue (shifting structures toward hourly accruals for varying schedules and implementing leave compensation payments for additional or casual hours). Their general philosophy emphasizes labor market flexibility, making it easier for businesses to manage fluctuating workflows without facing prohibitive costs.
  • Casual and Roster Work Rules: They generally favor maintaining or expanding flexible contracting options (such as 90-day trial periods and streamlined rostering rules) to encourage business hiring and economic confidence.

Trade-offs:

  • Pros for Employers / Economic Growth: Gives businesses—especially in retail, hospitality, and healthcare—the predictability and cost-control they need to operate during economic downturns, which proponents argue protects overall job creation.
  • Cons for Workers with Variable Hours: As highlighted by worker advocacy groups and opposition parties, formulas that scale leave to strictly "standard" or baseline hours can result in lower overall leave accruals and unpredictable payouts for people whose rosters shift wildly from week to week. If your hours drop unexpectedly, your immediate cash flow drops, and under certain provisions, your calculated leave balances can shrink relative to a fixed-hour worker.

2. Labour, Green, and Te Pāti Māori (Centre-Left / Progressive Bloc)

  • Approach to Leave and Flexibility: This bloc strongly opposes the recent leave law changes. Parties like the Labour Party and the Greens campaign on rolling back or repealing legislation that they argue weakens worker protections. They advocate for strengthening baseline safety nets, ensuring workers have predictable minimums, and restoring collective bargaining frameworks (such as previous models aimed at industry-wide standard setting like Fair Pay Agreements).
  • Casual and Roster Work Rules: They generally support tightening rules around "zero-hour" or insecure contracts to ensure workers have greater security regarding minimum guaranteed hours, rather than bearing all the risk of fluctuating demand.

Trade-offs:

  • Pros for Workers with Variable Hours: Provides greater income stability, stronger minimum sick leave and holiday protections regardless of schedule shifts, and more predictability in take-home pay when work is sparse.
  • Cons for Employers / Economic Flexibility: Business groups argue that rigid mandates on guaranteed hours and heavy compliance costs restrict a business's ability to adapt to sudden drops in consumer demand. This can theoretically lead to slower hiring, reduced operating hours, or higher consumer prices as businesses pass on compliance costs.

Summary: Deciding Based on Your Situation

  • If your priority is protecting your household against sudden drops in income and securing more predictable hours and leave stability, centre-left parties offer policies tailored to restrict casualization and bolster minimum statutory safety nets.
  • If your priority is broad economic settings that prioritize business viability and operational flexibility—under the belief that keeping businesses solvent best protects overall job availability—centre-right parties align closer with that framework.

Are you leaning towards a specific party, or is there another key election issue—like cost of living or housing—that weighs heavily on your decision?

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Google AI Mode · No location

I rent with my partner and work rostered hours that change from week to week. Our pay can drop unexpectedly, but rent and bills don't. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. Which parties would change rules around guaranteed hours, casual work and sick leave, and what are the trade-offs?

Navigating irregular rostered hours, variable pay, and fixed living costs is a major stressor. In New Zealand's political landscape, the approach to employment law, guaranteed hours, casual work, and leave provisions divides neatly along traditional political lines.

1. Parties Favouring Expansion and Strengthening of Worker Protections

(E.g., The Labour Party, The Green Party, and Te Pāti Māori)

These parties generally argue that variable hours and insecure work place an unfair burden of risk onto employees. They look to reform rules to grant workers more predictability, better safety nets, and higher baseline protections.

  • Guaranteed Hours & Casual Work: These parties typically oppose exploitative "non-standard" work arrangements. They advocate for tightening constraints on availability clauses (where employers expect workers to be on-call without guaranteed compensation) and are historically supportive of moves like Fair Pay Agreements (which the current coalition repealed) to set sectoral floors on hours and conditions. They generally favour making it harder to misclassify or keep workers on perpetual casual arrangements if their work pattern is regular.

  • Sick Leave: They strongly oppose any pro-rating or scaling back of sick leave for part-time and irregular workers. They view sick leave as a universal health and well-being right and have opposed recent legislative adjustments that alter or look to scale back leave calculations for variable-hour employees.

  • The Trade-Offs:

  • For Workers: Greater income predictability, more security when illness strikes, and less stress meeting fixed costs like rent.

  • For Employers/Economy: Businesses—particularly small businesses, hospitality, and retail that rely on fluctuating customer demand—argue that rigid rules or mandatory baseline minimums increase labor costs. They contend this reduces hiring flexibility, forces businesses to cut overall staff numbers, or leads to higher consumer prices to absorb the compliance and wage overhead.

2. Parties Favouring Flexibility and Business Adaptability

(E.g., The National Party, ACT New Zealand, and New Zealand First)

These parties prioritize economic growth, business confidence, and flexibility, arguing that overly prescriptive labor laws make it harder for businesses to create jobs in uncertain economic climates.

  • Guaranteed Hours & Casual Work: These parties favor regulatory flexibility. They support the legal framework that allows casual and variable arrangements to exist so businesses can match staffing levels to actual demand (e.g., tourism or seasonal peaks). They argue that forcing rigid hours onto employers who experience volatile revenue can bankrupt small businesses or stop them from offering entry-level or student-friendly jobs in the first place.

  • Sick Leave & Holidays Act Reform: The current National-led coalition has pursued structural simplifications to the Holidays Act and related employment bills to reduce compliance burdens on businesses. They argue that current rules are overly complex for part-time and irregular hours, and adjustments aim to make calculations clearer and more manageable for employers.

  • The Trade-Offs:

  • For Employers/Economy: Lower compliance costs, easier adjustment of staffing levels to match economic cycles, and greater incentive for businesses to take a chance on hiring staff during uncertain times.

  • For Workers: Heightened income insecurity, vulnerability to unexpected drops in weekly pay packets when hours are cut, and less certainty in budgeting for fixed costs like rent and power.

If you'd like to narrow this down further, let me know:

  • Are you primarily dealing with part-time permanent or true casual agreements right now?
  • Would you like to explore how specific party tax policies or cost-of-living packages might offset your fluctuating weekly income?
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AI Overviews · No location

I rent with my partner and work rostered hours that change from week to week. Our pay can drop unexpectedly, but rent and bills don't. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. Which parties would change rules around guaranteed hours, casual work and sick leave, and what are the trade-offs?

AI Overview

For rostered workers with fluctuating pay, the rules around hours and leave directly impact financial stability. The recent passage of the Employment Leave Act 2026 (set to replace the Holidays Act in 2028) has drawn a sharp line between political blocks.

How different New Zealand political parties approach guaranteed hours, casual work, and sick leave ahead of the 2026 General Election , alongside the trade-offs of their platforms:

🏛️ The National-ACT-NZ First Coalition

The current government focuses on employer flexibility, simplifying payroll compliance, and reducing business costs to encourage hiring.

  • Guaranteed Hours & Casual Work: The coalition maintains the status quo where zero-hour contracts are illegal, but employers retain flexibility over rostering. Under the new 2026 framework, "casual hours" and "additional hours" (like picking up extra rostered shifts) do not accrue annual or sick leave. Instead, workers receive a mandatory 12.5% Leave Compensation Payment (LCP) on top of their pay each period.

  • Sick Leave: The coalition successfully changed sick leave to accrue by hours worked (0.0385 hours per standard hour) up to a 160-hour cap, available from day one. This links sick leave directly to regular, contractually agreed "standard hours".

👍 Pros for Workers 👎 Cons & Trade-offs
Immediate cash: Casual or extra hours come with an immediate 12.5% pay boost instead of waiting to accrue leave. Less security: Income remains highly unpredictable if rostered hours drop.
Day-one access: Sick leave begins accumulating immediately rather than requiring a 6-month wait. Reduced sick leave: Part-time or irregular rostered workers face reduced sick leave balances because extra or variable hours do not count toward accrual.

🟥 The Labour Party

Labour opposes the 2026 leave overhauls and advocates for stronger, standardized worker protections and predictable incomes.

  • Guaranteed Hours & Casual Work: Labour aims to shift the landscape back toward stronger employee protections. They oppose the 12.5% pay-as-you-go mechanism for extra hours, arguing it entrenches insecure work. They favor pushing employers to give workers more fixed, predictable contract hours rather than relying heavily on variable rosters.

  • Sick Leave: Labour has pledged to reverse or heavily amend the Employment Leave Act 2026. They oppose the pro-rating of sick leave based on hours, arguing that sick leave is a fundamental health entitlement that should not be diluted for those with irregular or variable shifts.

👍 Pros for Workers 👎 Cons & Trade-offs
Income stability: Policies favor regular, guaranteed hours, making it easier to budget for rent and fixed bills. Potential hiring freeze: Stricter rules can make businesses hesitant to hire new staff or offer extra shifts due to increased compliance costs.
Full sick leave protection: Irregular rostered hours would not penalize your sick leave balance. Less short-term cash: Reverting rules means losing the immediate 12.5% pay boost on casual/extra hours.

🟩 The Green Party

The Greens focus heavily on systemic inequality, casualization of the workforce, and guaranteeing basic livable standards.

  • Guaranteed Hours & Casual Work: The Greens strongly advocate for eliminating under-employment. They have criticized the 2026 leave changes for disproportionately harming lower-income and casual workers who depend on variable shifts.

  • Sick Leave: Alongside Labour, the Greens signed the PSA pledge to protect leave entitlements. They demand full sick leave entitlements regardless of how irregular or part-time a worker's schedule is, viewing the current hourly calculation as an unfair penalty on vulnerable workers.

👍 Pros for Workers 👎 Cons & Trade-offs
Strong safety net: Maximizes protections for renters and variable-hour workers against sudden drops in income. Economic pushback: Higher compliance costs on businesses could pass through to the economy, potentially raising the cost of living or limiting private-sector job growth.
Equitable sick leave: Protects full health entitlements for workers with fluctuating schedules.

To help look at how other policies might affect your weekly budget, let me know:

  • Would you like to know how these parties plan to address rent controls or tenancy rights?

  • Are you interested in their policies regarding working tax credits or minimum wage changes?

Ask anything

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