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Evidence · NZ Election 2026 · Edition 2

Every question, every answer, every source

All 174 questions and the 793 answers produced on 12 October 2026. The 27 remaining cells produced no AI Overview.

questions
174
answers saved
793
collected
12 Oct 2026

01

Every question, with its answers

Each question was written as a voter would ask it and went to all four assistants. Some were also asked from a town. Open a question to read every answer to it in full.

Showing 20 of 174 questions

Show all 174

02

The tables behind the study

Every figure on the study page comes from these tables. They are CSV files, which open in any spreadsheet.

  • Questions

    nz-election-2026-questions.csv

    One row per unchanged question.

    id, draft, text, voterCode, issue, towns

    174rows

    Download questions (CSV)

  • Answers

    nz-election-2026-answers.csv

    One row per produced answer, with its complete original text.

    result id, prompt id, draft id, scenario id, platform, region, words, parties, literal url answer, associated source answer, temporal pair, common four platforms, response text

    793rows

    Download answers (CSV)

  • Sources by answer

    nz-election-2026-sources.csv

    One row per website associated with an answer; repeated citations count once.

    answer id, question id, assistant, region, domain, publisher

    4,137rows

    Download sources by answer (CSV)

  • Checks against official sources

    nz-election-2026-checks.csv

    One row per reviewed proposition, retaining both answers, extracts and the reviewed change.

    check, draft id, platform, claim, verdict, assessment, source url, source label, source date, checked date, old result id, new result id, old excerpt, new excerpt

    15rows

    Download checks against official sources (CSV)

  • Who to vote for: coding

    nz-election-2026-guidance.csv

    One row per manually reviewed guidance answer. Codes overlap; original answers supply the evidence.

    draft, assistant, q, voter, a, declined, matched, shortlist, asked, chose, extract

    31rows

    Download who to vote for: coding (CSV)

  • Location and national answers

    nz-election-2026-towns.csv

    One row per matched national/location pair, with both editions.

    prompt id, draft id, scenario id, issue, platform, city, edition 1 same party set, edition 1 national result, edition 1 city result, edition 2 same party set, edition 2 national result, edition 2 city result

    124rows

    Download location and national answers (CSV)

  • Changes between editions

    nz-election-2026-comparisons.csv

    One row per identical question, assistant and location across the two collections.

    prompt id, draft id, scenario id, scenario, issue, platform, region, old result id, new result id, old words, new words, same party set, old parties, new parties, added parties, removed parties, literal same domains, literal old domains, literal new domains, literal added domains, literal removed domains, associated same domains, associated old domains, associated new domains, associated added domains, associated removed domains

    793rows

    Download changes between editions (CSV)

  • No AI Overview produced

    nz-election-2026-coverage.csv

    One row per planned cell where no AI Overview was produced.

    prompt id, platform, region, draft id, block, scenario id, scenario, issue, priority, question, cause, availability

    27rows

    Download no ai overview produced (CSV)

Use these tables to trace findings back to the original questions and answers. The full text of each answer is also on this page, under its question.

03

Read in full and checked

Some answers were read in detail or checked against official sources. Those appear on the study page, beside the findings they support.

ChatGPT · No location

I run a small manufacturing business that exports and employs staff. We are considering new equipment but worry about demand, freight costs and finding skilled workers. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. How would party immigration policies affect hiring skilled staff from overseas?

For a small New Zealand manufacturing exporter, immigration policy matters mainly through how easy it is to recruit, retain and eventually settle skilled workers (for example engineers, machinists, welders, technicians, production supervisors, automation specialists, and other hard-to-fill roles). It is one factor among others you mentioned — demand, freight costs and equipment investment — but it can affect whether you can scale production.

The 2026 election positions are still campaign positions and could change; the practical effect would depend on the final policy enacted and how Immigration New Zealand implements it. Living in NZ

How the main approaches could affect a manufacturing employer

Policy approach Possible effect on hiring overseas skilled workers
More targeted skilled migration Easier to recruit workers where there is a demonstrated shortage, but more requirements may apply around wages, qualifications, accreditation and proving the role is genuinely skilled.
Higher migration limits / broader access Could increase the pool of overseas applicants and make recruitment easier for specialised roles.
Lower migration caps / tighter eligibility Could reduce the available overseas talent pool, potentially making some specialist hires harder or slower.
More focus on training New Zealanders May increase support for apprenticeships and domestic workforce development, but does not immediately solve shortages in specialised manufacturing roles.

Current direction of the immigration system

The current Skilled Migrant Category changes are designed to make some skilled pathways more targeted. They include new pathways for skilled work experience and trades/technician roles, with the stated aim of helping employers retain skilled workers and support economic growth. Immigration New Zealand Further details include occupation lists and pathways aimed at trades and technicians. Immigration New Zealand

For a manufacturer, that means roles such as qualified tradespeople and technicians may receive more attention than lower-skilled labour, while employers may need to demonstrate that roles meet skill and wage requirements. Immigration New Zealand

Party differences that may matter to your business

National

National has emphasised attracting skilled migrants while managing immigration settings around genuine skill needs. Its stated approach is to support immigration that fills labour shortages and economic needs. National Party

Potential manufacturing implication: A business with hard-to-fill technical roles may see a continuation of employer-assisted skilled migration settings, though with compliance requirements.

Labour

Labour’s published 2026 policy material focuses on economic and workforce measures, including skills and employment policies. Labour Party NZ Its immigration settings would need to be assessed alongside any specific migration announcements made during the campaign.

Potential manufacturing implication: A greater emphasis on domestic skills and training could help build a local pipeline over time, while overseas recruitment settings would determine short-term access to specialist workers.

New Zealand First

New Zealand First has proposed substantially reducing non-essential immigration and introducing a resident visa cap referendum proposal, alongside longer residence and citizenship timeframes. New Zealand First

Potential manufacturing implication: A tighter overall migration environment could make some overseas recruitment more constrained, particularly if roles do not fit priority skill categories.

ACT, Greens and other parties

Their effects would depend on the specific immigration and workforce policies they take into the election. It is worth comparing their detailed announcements on:

  • employer-assisted work visas
  • residence pathways
  • skills training funding
  • vocational education
  • compliance costs for employers

Questions that may help you compare policies for your situation

For your business, the most relevant policy questions are probably:

  1. If I need a CNC machinist, engineer, technician or production specialist, how quickly can I legally hire one from overseas?
  2. Will the role qualify for a work visa and a pathway that helps retain the worker?
  3. Will visa rules make it harder to compete with Australian or overseas employers for the same skills?
  4. Will there be more support to train local workers, and how quickly will that translate into available staff?
  5. Are wage thresholds and compliance requirements realistic for a small manufacturer?

A useful way to evaluate the parties is to separate short-term staffing needs (your next 12–24 months of production and equipment decisions) from long-term workforce development (training New Zealand workers over several years). The immigration policies can affect the first much faster than the second.

Ask anything

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Captured 12 October 2026 · shown as ChatGPT gave it, not a verified account

Gemini · No location

I run a small manufacturing business that exports and employs staff. We are considering new equipment but worry about demand, freight costs and finding skilled workers. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. How would party immigration policies affect hiring skilled staff from overseas?

Navigating the balance between expanding your manufacturing business, managing costs, and finding skilled talent is a core challenge, especially with the 2026 New Zealand general election debate heavily focused on immigration settings.

Political parties differ significantly on how they view migrant labor, which directly impacts how easily you might recruit specialized international talent to run new equipment.

Where the Main Parties Stand on Skilled Immigration

  • New Zealand First: NZ First has placed immigration reform at the forefront of its campaign, pushing for a strictly "shortage-led" skilled work visa regime. Their platform emphasizes putting local workers first, making it harder to hire from overseas for roles unless you can rigorously prove that domestic recruitment and upskilling efforts have completely failed. For a manufacturing business, this means tighter scrutiny, higher evidentiary burdens, and potentially steeper compliance costs to prove a "genuine, critical skill shortage".
  • ACT: ACT generally supports bringing in overseas labor to fill genuine skill shortages (including proposing dedicated sector pathways like rural work visas). However, their 2026 approach introduces friction through frequent reviews, proposing that skilled-visa categories (such as specific Green List roles tied to the Accredited Employer Work Visa) lapse annually unless ongoing market demand is re-proven. They also propose additional costs, such as an infrastructure surcharge on temporary work visas.
  • National: National traditionally favors a more market-driven approach to fill acute gaps (particularly focusing on fast-tracking specialist talent like medical professionals or high-value investors), though they emphasize balancing migration with local infrastructure. They generally lean toward keeping avenues open for critical business and export-enabling skills, contrasting with stricter restrictionist models.
  • Labour / Greens / Te Pāti Māori: These parties generally emphasize strengthening domestic workforce training, boosting regional upskilling initiatives, and protecting migrant workers from exploitation. While they recognize economic needs, their policies tend to look unfavorably on using immigration as a general, low-cost labor pipeline for industries, instead tying work rights more tightly to robust compliance, fair wages, and local training obligations.

What This Means for Your Manufacturing Business

  1. Stricter Compliance and Proving Shortages: If tighter, shortage-led frameworks (favored by NZ First or restricted through ACT's annual category reviews) are adopted, you will likely face more bureaucracy when using the Accredited Employer Work Visa (AEWV) system. You may need to demonstrate extensive advertising, engagement with local employment agencies, or proof that you are trying to train local staff before securing a migrant worker.
  2. Cost Pressures: Proposals from various parties include extra levies, infrastructure surcharges on temporary visas, or higher wage thresholds to ensure migrant workers aren't brought in to bypass competitive local wages. Combined with freight costs and capital expenditure for new equipment, compliance and visa costs will need to be factored into your ROI.
  3. Uncertainty in Workforce Planning: If visa categories are subject to frequent annual reviews or shifting Green Lists, long-term planning for specialized technicians to run proprietary machinery becomes riskier. A shift in government post-election could alter the criteria mid-stream for workers you hope to retain or transition to residency.

As you weigh your vote, consider whether your business model relies heavily on agile access to international technical specialists (where a more market-flexible policy suits you best) or if your priority aligns with parties pushing to incentivize domestic training pipelines and tighter controls on migrant numbers.

Would you like to explore how these parties' broader economic or tax policies might impact your export costs and equipment investment plans?

Ask Gemini

Gemini is AI and can make mistakes.

Captured 12 October 2026 · shown as Gemini gave it, not a verified account

Google AI Mode · No location

I run a small manufacturing business that exports and employs staff. We are considering new equipment but worry about demand, freight costs and finding skilled workers. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. How would party immigration policies affect hiring skilled staff from overseas?

For a small manufacturing business navigating demand uncertainty, freight overheads, and skills shortages, the major political parties offer distinct philosophies on how immigration settings should manage access to overseas talent.

As you weigh your options for the 2026 general election, how the primary political blocs generally approach skilled migration for the manufacturing and export sectors breaks down as follows:

  • National-led / Center-Right Approach: Focuses heavily on making it easier for globally competitive export and manufacturing businesses to attract high-skilled talent. Their framework generally supports employer-driven visa pathways (like the Accredited Employer Work Visa or Green Lists) aimed at reducing red tape for businesses facing verified domestic shortages. For a manufacturer, this approach typically prioritizes streamlined access to specialized technical or engineering skills, though it balances this with compliance and wage thresholds.
  • Labour / Center-Left Approach: Tends to place a stronger emphasis on domestic workforce upskilling and tying immigration tightly to regional and occupational skill shortages. While they recognize the need for critical specialist skills in sectors like manufacturing, their policies lean toward stricter labor market tests, ensuring employers prove local recruitment efforts have failed first, and utilizing explicit skills lists to prevent using migrant labor as a baseline substitute for training locals or lifting domestic productivity.
  • NZ First / Nationalist & Populist Approach: Proposes major structural overhauls—such as scrapping current employer accreditation frameworks in favor of a rigid, occupation- and region-specific "shortage-led" visa model. For a manufacturer, this means entry would strictly mirror narrow, government-defined skill deficits rather than general recruitment channels, putting a heavy evidentiary burden on proving a local cannot fill the role.
  • ACT / Libertarian & Free-Market Approach: Generally favors looser, more market-responsive immigration settings, arguing that if a business is viable and willing to pay market rates, getting bogged down in government-mandated "shortage lists" harms economic growth and export potential. They lean toward simplifying approvals and reducing bureaucratic hurdles for hiring productive staff.

Key Considerations for Your Business

  • Process vs. Prescription: Ask yourself whether you prefer a system where you prove your specific business need (employer-led accreditation) or one where the government dictates exact occupational shortages (shortage-led lists).
  • Compliance Costs: Some policies streamline approval times for high-value export sectors, while others increase employer-reporting requirements, verification steps, and wage thresholds.
  • Broader Economic Impact: Beyond direct hiring, consider how each party's broader macroeconomic stance impacts your local demand and domestic supply chains (including freight and infrastructure costs), which indirectly affect your capacity to expand and take on new staff.
Ask anything

Captured 12 October 2026 · shown as Google AI Mode gave it, not a verified account

AI Overviews · No location

I run a small manufacturing business that exports and employs staff. We are considering new equipment but worry about demand, freight costs and finding skilled workers. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. How would party immigration policies affect hiring skilled staff from overseas?

AI Overview

As a small manufacturing exporter preparing for the 2026 New Zealand general election , how political parties approach immigration will directly influence how easily, flexibly, and affordably you can bring in skilled overseas talent.

The major political parties have starkly divergent visions for the immigration system, divided primarily between those looking to tighten controls and those aiming to streamline pathways or enhance migrant rights.

Comparison of Party Immigration Policies

Political Party Core Impact on Hiring Skilled Staff Major Policy Proposals Affecting Business
National Party Maintains business-friendly predictability. Aims to keep settings stable and workable for employers, resisting populist cuts to skilled migration. • Continues the "Going for Growth" framework.
• Opposes the abolition of permanent residency.
• Focuses on filling critical skills shortages.
ACT Party Simplifies hiring but reduces long-term settlement perks. Pro-business in recruitment but demands stricter adherence to physical residency. • Abolishes the Permanent Resident Visa ; replaces it with a 5-year Resident Visa requiring 730 days of physical NZ presence to maintain travel rights.
• Reviews the skilled jobs list annually.
• Imposes a 5-year welfare bar on new immigrants.
NZ First Significantly restricts general access. Shifts the power balance away from employer accreditation toward rigid, state-controlled shortage tests. • Scraps the Accredited Employer Work Visa (AEWV).
• Replaces it with a "shortage-led" Skilled Work Visa tied to strict regional and occupational demand.
• Pushes a referendum to cap all resident visas at 20,000 annually.
Labour Party Moderates flow and prioritizes local integration. Supports targeted economic immigration but raises the bar for long-term residency. • Doubles the wait time for permanent residence from 2 years to 4 years to ensure migrants "put down roots".
• Pairs immigration tightly with infrastructure capacity.
• Reviews financial criteria for parent visas.
Green Party Prioritizes migrant rights and workforce flexibility. Focuses on unlinking workers from specific employers to prevent exploitation. • Decouples work visas from single employers , allowing overseas workers to move freely between jobs.
• Advocates for a clear 5-year residency pathway.
• Strongly opposes anti-migrant or restrictive rhetoric.

What this means for your Manufacturing Business

  • If you want hiring flexibility and speed: National and ACT favor models that minimize friction for businesses trying to fill genuine skills shortages. However, ACT’s policy to scrap indefinite permanent residency could make New Zealand less globally competitive or attractive to top-tier international talent who want long-term certainty.

  • If you rely on the Accredited Employer system: A vote for NZ First represents a major shift. Scrapping employer accreditation means you would have to prove a "demonstrated need" to the state for every individual hire, which could create significant administrative delays when you are trying to scale up operations or install new machinery.

  • If worker retention is your focus: Labour's extension of the permanent residency timeline to 4 years aims to build social cohesion but may require you to support temporary visa workers for longer periods before they achieve stability. Meanwhile, the Greens' proposal to decouple visas from specific employers gives workers more power, meaning a skilled migrant you bring over could more easily leave for a competitor.

If you would like to explore further, let me know:

  • What specific types of roles or technical skills you are struggling to find locally?

  • Whether your current focus is on fast, short-term recruitment or retaining workers long-term?

I can help clarify how specific visa pathways (like the Green List) might change under these configurations.

Ask anything

Captured 12 October 2026 · shown as AI Overviews gave it, not a verified account