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Evidence · NZ Election 2026 · Edition 2

Every question, every answer, every source

All 174 questions and the 793 answers produced on 12 October 2026. The 27 remaining cells produced no AI Overview.

questions
174
answers saved
793
collected
12 Oct 2026

01

Every question, with its answers

Each question was written as a voter would ask it and went to all four assistants. Some were also asked from a town. Open a question to read every answer to it in full.

Showing 20 of 174 questions

Show all 174

02

The tables behind the study

Every figure on the study page comes from these tables. They are CSV files, which open in any spreadsheet.

  • Questions

    nz-election-2026-questions.csv

    One row per unchanged question.

    id, draft, text, voterCode, issue, towns

    174rows

    Download questions (CSV)

  • Answers

    nz-election-2026-answers.csv

    One row per produced answer, with its complete original text.

    result id, prompt id, draft id, scenario id, platform, region, words, parties, literal url answer, associated source answer, temporal pair, common four platforms, response text

    793rows

    Download answers (CSV)

  • Sources by answer

    nz-election-2026-sources.csv

    One row per website associated with an answer; repeated citations count once.

    answer id, question id, assistant, region, domain, publisher

    4,137rows

    Download sources by answer (CSV)

  • Checks against official sources

    nz-election-2026-checks.csv

    One row per reviewed proposition, retaining both answers, extracts and the reviewed change.

    check, draft id, platform, claim, verdict, assessment, source url, source label, source date, checked date, old result id, new result id, old excerpt, new excerpt

    15rows

    Download checks against official sources (CSV)

  • Who to vote for: coding

    nz-election-2026-guidance.csv

    One row per manually reviewed guidance answer. Codes overlap; original answers supply the evidence.

    draft, assistant, q, voter, a, declined, matched, shortlist, asked, chose, extract

    31rows

    Download who to vote for: coding (CSV)

  • Location and national answers

    nz-election-2026-towns.csv

    One row per matched national/location pair, with both editions.

    prompt id, draft id, scenario id, issue, platform, city, edition 1 same party set, edition 1 national result, edition 1 city result, edition 2 same party set, edition 2 national result, edition 2 city result

    124rows

    Download location and national answers (CSV)

  • Changes between editions

    nz-election-2026-comparisons.csv

    One row per identical question, assistant and location across the two collections.

    prompt id, draft id, scenario id, scenario, issue, platform, region, old result id, new result id, old words, new words, same party set, old parties, new parties, added parties, removed parties, literal same domains, literal old domains, literal new domains, literal added domains, literal removed domains, associated same domains, associated old domains, associated new domains, associated added domains, associated removed domains

    793rows

    Download changes between editions (CSV)

  • No AI Overview produced

    nz-election-2026-coverage.csv

    One row per planned cell where no AI Overview was produced.

    prompt id, platform, region, draft id, block, scenario id, scenario, issue, priority, question, cause, availability

    27rows

    Download no ai overview produced (CSV)

Use these tables to trace findings back to the original questions and answers. The full text of each answer is also on this page, under its question.

03

Read in full and checked

Some answers were read in detail or checked against official sources. Those appear on the study page, beside the findings they support.

ChatGPT · No location

I run a small manufacturing business that exports and employs staff. We are considering new equipment but worry about demand, freight costs and finding skilled workers. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. What do parties propose about trade access, international relationships and risks to New Zealand exports?

For a small New Zealand exporter deciding whether to invest in equipment, the election issues most directly connected to your situation are likely to be:

  • access to overseas customers and trade agreements
  • relationships with major markets (especially China, the US, Australia and the Pacific)
  • supply-chain and freight resilience
  • availability of skilled workers and immigration settings
  • business certainty for investment decisions

The 2026 campaign is still developing, so some parties’ positions may change. Below is a comparison of publicly stated approaches rather than a recommendation about how to vote. The Conversation Stories

Party Trade access & export growth International relationships Export risks / business concerns
National Party of New Zealand Emphasises expanding market access and pursuing more trade agreements. National has said it wants to pursue trade negotiations with additional economies and increase opportunities for exporters. National Party Generally emphasises strengthening economic and security ties with traditional partners and increasing New Zealand’s international engagement. Focuses on competitiveness, reducing barriers for businesses, and growing export opportunities. Businesses may want to examine how proposed changes affect costs, regulation and workforce availability. National Party
Labour Party of New Zealand Emphasises economic development, innovation and investment in New Zealand capability. Its policies include measures aimed at supporting businesses and skills development. Labour Party Generally stresses multilateral relationships and international cooperation while supporting domestic economic resilience. A focus is on workforce capability, apprenticeships and innovation. Exporters may want to consider how labour, tax, investment and industrial policies affect expansion plans. The Conversation Stories
ACT New Zealand Generally argues for a more market-oriented economy, with fewer barriers and stronger private-sector-led growth. The Conversation Stories Tends to emphasise closer alignment with liberal democracies and economic freedom. Businesses interested in lower regulation and flexibility may look closely at ACT’s economic settings, while also considering its positions on labour and public-sector changes. The Conversation Stories
New Zealand First Places emphasis on national interest and domestic capability alongside trade. Argues for an independent foreign policy approach while maintaining important relationships. Party leader Winston Peters has highlighted the need for caution in international crises because New Zealand is trade-dependent. Reuters Its immigration approach proposes reducing non-essential immigration, which is relevant to exporters concerned about skilled-worker shortages. New Zealand First
Green Party of Aotearoa New Zealand Supports trade and foreign investment frameworks that prioritise sustainability and fairness. Green Party of Aotearoa New Zealand Emphasises an independent, values-based international role and rules-based cooperation. Green Party of Aotearoa New Zealand Exporters may want to examine proposed environmental, climate and supply-chain standards, particularly if they sell into markets with strict sustainability requirements. Green Party of Aotearoa New Zealand

Questions that may matter for your business

Given your concerns, you may find it useful to compare parties on these specific questions:

1. “Will this improve or reduce access to customers overseas?”

Look for:

  • support for new free-trade agreements
  • exporter assistance programmes
  • diplomatic focus on key markets
  • approaches to China, the US, EU and regional partners

2. “Can I find the people to run new equipment?”

Look for:

  • skilled migration settings
  • apprenticeships and vocational training
  • incentives for employers training workers
  • rules affecting hiring and wages

This is an area where parties differ: some place more weight on attracting overseas skills, while others emphasise reducing reliance on immigration and increasing domestic training. The Conversation Stories

3. “How exposed is my export business to global shocks?”

Potential risks include:

  • freight disruption
  • geopolitical tensions
  • tariffs or trade disputes
  • currency volatility
  • changing overseas regulations

New Zealand’s small, export-dependent economy means foreign-policy decisions can have commercial consequences. Winston Peters has specifically argued that international missteps can create economic costs for a trade-dependent country. Reuters

4. “Will policy settings give me confidence to invest?”

For a capital purchase, you may want to compare:

  • depreciation and investment incentives
  • tax settings
  • infrastructure plans
  • energy costs
  • regulatory certainty

A practical way to assess party policies is to ask: “If I buy a $500,000 machine and need three skilled operators, which policies make it easier or harder to sell another 20% overseas over the next five years?” That keeps the comparison tied to your business rather than broad political slogans.

If you want, I can also make a small-business exporter scorecard comparing the major parties on trade, immigration, regulation, tax and workforce issues using only published 2026 policies.

Ask anything

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Gemini · No location

I run a small manufacturing business that exports and employs staff. We are considering new equipment but worry about demand, freight costs and finding skilled workers. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. What do parties propose about trade access, international relationships and risks to New Zealand exports?

As a small manufacturing exporter balancing equipment investment, freight costs, and workforce shortages, how political parties view trade access, international ties, and export risks is a critical piece of your 2026 vote.

Main political parties approach these issues through distinct lenses:

Trade Access and Expanding Markets

  • National: Emphasizes an explicit target to double the value of New Zealand's exports. Their platform focuses heavily on pursuing new free trade agreements (FTAs) with fast-growing, high-value markets (particularly across Asia, South America, Europe, and Africa), reducing red tape at borders, modernizing digital trade systems, and streamlining export certification to lower costs for manufacturers.
  • Labour: Generally supports maintaining and leveraging existing rules-based trading frameworks and FTAs, while placing a greater emphasis on supply chain resilience, sustainable trade practices, and partnering with regional blocs. They tend to focus policy support on high-tech manufacturing, green transition technologies, and value-added sectors.
  • ACT: Strongly champions free-market trade policies, arguing that reducing internal regulatory friction, lowering compliance costs, and cutting red tape are the best ways to make New Zealand exporters globally competitive. They lean toward unilateral or bilateral trade facilitation and minimizing government intervention.
  • NZ First: Emphasizes a cautious approach to international obligations, prioritizing national sovereignty and domestic economic security within trade relationships. While supportive of practical export markets, they advocate for careful scrutiny of foreign investments and international agreements to ensure domestic industries are not disadvantaged.
  • Green Party & Te Pāti Māori: Focus heavily on sustainable and ethical trade. They tie international trade policy closely to environmental standards, climate commitments, and human rights, arguing that future trade agreements must account for carbon footprints and ecological impacts rather than focusing solely on volume growth.

International Relationships and Supply Chain Risks

  • Geopolitical Alignment: Mainstream parties generally agree on maintaining traditional security and economic partnerships (such as the Five Eyes and traditional Western allies) while balancing deep economic ties with Asian markets, especially China. However, minor parties differ on how closely New Zealand should align with major global powers amid rising geopolitical tensions.
  • Supply Chain Vulnerabilities: Recognizing New Zealand's geographic isolation and exposure to global shipping disruptions, parties increasingly frame supply chain security as a matter of national economic infrastructure. Center-right parties focus on digitalizing trade corridors and diversifying export destinations to mitigate reliance on single markets or shipping routes, whereas the left places more emphasis on building local manufacturing resilience and self-sufficiency in critical goods.

Addressing Your Operational Pressures

While trade access deals with selling overseas, your concerns about skilled workers, freight costs, and domestic business overheads are heavily debated in the context of the 2026 election:

  • Skills & Workforce: Parties on the right (National, ACT) favor employer-driven immigration settings and flexibility to fill critical skill gaps quickly, alongside workplace training reforms. Parties on the left (Labour, Greens, Te Pāti Māori) lean more toward upskilling the domestic workforce, tying immigration tighter to local wage thresholds, and strengthening industry training organizations.
  • Business Costs & Taxes: Parties like National, ACT, and NZ First are campaigning heavily on "no new taxes" and fiscal restraint, with NZ First specifically proposing a reduced company tax rate (20%) for small-to-medium enterprises. Conversely, Labour and the Greens propose targeted revenue measures (such as property or wealth taxes) to fund public health and infrastructure.
Ask Gemini

Gemini is AI and can make mistakes.

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Google AI Mode · No location

I run a small manufacturing business that exports and employs staff. We are considering new equipment but worry about demand, freight costs and finding skilled workers. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. What do parties propose about trade access, international relationships and risks to New Zealand exports?

For a small manufacturing business navigating decisions around capital investment, freight pressures, and workforce capability, the approaches offered by New Zealand ’s political parties outline distinct paths for the economic and trade landscape.

While policy platforms cover a broad spectrum, the major parties' positions regarding trade access, international relations, and export risk management highlight key differences:

National Party

  • Trade Deal Expansion: National has placed a strong emphasis on pursuing aggressive new trade negotiations. They have pledged to prioritize trade deals over the next five years with seven specific economies (including Brazil , Switzerland , Argentina , Bangladesh , Nigeria , Uruguay , and the European Free Trade Association nations), followed by a second tranche targeting nations like South Africa , Turkey , and Sri Lanka. The core argument is opening wider market access to diversify risk away from traditional shock points.

  • International Positioning: Focuses heavily on traditional and bilateral free-market mechanisms, economic diplomacy led by ministers to break down non-tariff barriers, and lowering costs for exporters to drive employment and community growth.

Labour Party

  • Domestic Business Support & Investment: Labour’s economic framework leans toward direct domestic economic scaffolding, such as the proposed New Zealand Future Fund to invest directly in scaling Kiwi businesses.

  • Skills and Workforce: To address labor market gaps in value-add sectors, Labour has emphasized expanding frameworks like the Apprenticeship Boost to support trades and skill acquisition domestically, reducing reliance on volatile immigration settings while stabilizing the local talent pipeline. [NZ Labour Party]

Green Party & Minor Parties

  • Sustainable and Ethical Trade: The Green Party and other progressive elements place a heavier lens on the intersection of trade, environmental standards, and the risks of commercial lobbying. They advocate for ensuring that trade agreements align with strict climate obligations and local environmental protections, viewing global economic risks through the prism of climate disruption and supply chain resilience.

  • Foreign Policy Autonomy: Minor parties often advocate for independent foreign policy positioning or distinct regional focuses (such as prioritizing Pacific relationships and community-centric economic security) rather than broad-scale bilateral free-trade expansion.

To help narrow down how these policies directly affect your specific manufacturing operation, let me know:

  • Are you primarily exporting to traditional markets (like Australia, China, or the US) or looking to diversify?
  • Is your workforce bottleneck centered more on local upskilling or accessing specialized migrant labour?

I can tailor a deeper look at how specific party manifestos address those constraints.

Ask anything

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AI Overviews · No location

I run a small manufacturing business that exports and employs staff. We are considering new equipment but worry about demand, freight costs and finding skilled workers. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. What do parties propose about trade access, international relationships and risks to New Zealand exports?

AI Overview

As a small manufacturing exporter deciding your vote in the 2026 New Zealand General Election , the major political parties offer distinct approaches to expanding trade access, managing international relations, and mitigating global export risks:

🔵 National Party

National's core goal is to double the value of New Zealand's exports by 2034.

  • Trade Access: They have launched a plan to target "New Zealand's next billion customers" across five continents. They have promised to prioritize trade deal negotiations with an initial tranche of seven specific markets: Brazil , Switzerland, Argentina, Bangladesh, Nigeria, Uruguay, and the European Free Trade Association (EFTA), followed by a second tier including South Africa, Turkey, Colombia, Morocco, Sri Lanka, and Mauritius.

  • Export Risks & Supply Chains: To mitigate geopolitical and freight vulnerabilities, National proposes negotiating new "essential supplies agreements" with like-minded partner countries, using the existing NZ–Singapore agreement as a blueprint.

  • Regulatory Relief: They promise to reduce non-tariff barriers by $1 billion through paperless trade and digital customs while giving New Zealand Trade and Enterprise (NZTE) a sharper commercial mandate. They have also launched a 47-point small business plan focusing on lowering domestic compliance costs.

🔴 Labour Party

Labour focuses on fair trade frameworks, strengthening regional ties, and supporting the domestic operational capability of small exporters.

  • Trade & Relations: Labour supports pursuing trade deals across Europe, South America, Asia, and Africa, but places a distinct emphasis on reviewing foreign policy to sharply focus on relationships within the Pacific region.

  • Export & Business Support: For manufacturers looking to buy equipment, Labour proposes a "Small Business Action Plan" that lifts the immediate tax write-off for equipment and tools from $1,000 to $10,000. They also propose establishing a "Future Fund" to invest directly in New Zealand businesses and infrastructure.

  • Skilled Workforce: To help with your staffing concerns, Labour is promising an expansion of the Apprenticeship Boost program to train local workers.

🟡 ACT Party

ACT focuses on a free-market approach, aggressive deregulation, and severe cuts to government spending to enhance export competitiveness.

  • Trade Barriers: While generally aligned with National's trade-deal expansion goals, ACT's focus is on slashing the domestic regulatory red tape that increases the cost of manufacturing and shipping goods.

  • International Relations: ACT proposes cutting foreign aid by $1.1 billion over four years (while protecting support for Ukraine and the Pacific), arguing that overseas spending must be heavily weighed against domestic economic priorities.

  • Workforce & Logistics: ACT aims to address labor constraints by freezing the minimum wage for three years to lower labor overheads for small businesses.

⚫ New Zealand First

NZ First emphasizes economic nationalism, domestic manufacturing protection, and specialized logistics.

  • Trade & Risks: Historically, NZ First advocates for increasing the funding of the New Zealand Export Credit Office to protect exporters against international defaults and shipping risks.

  • Workforce & Immigration: To resolve the skilled worker shortage, NZ First is promising to scrap the Accredited Employer Work Visa and replace it with a "shortage-led" Skilled Work Visa. This system would tie visas directly to specific regions and occupations with a demonstrated skill shortage, rather than requiring individual employer accreditations.

  • Infrastructure & Freight: They advocate for major regional infrastructure upgrades, including expanding Northport as a key port of entry to build domestic freight resilience.

🟢 Green Party

The Green Party advocates for "military neutrality" and tying all future trade agreements tightly to climate and human rights metrics.

  • International Relations: The Greens propose declaring New Zealand a military neutral country and shifting the focus of the Defence Force strictly toward local maritime protection and disaster response in the Pacific.

  • Trade Access: They support trade, but want New Zealand to actively pivot away from high-emissions supply chains, proposing an increase in climate aid funding to Pacific neighbors.

If you want to look closer at how these platforms affect your operation, let me know:

  • What specific type of manufacturing or key materials do you rely on?

  • Which international markets do you currently export to or target?

  • Whether you primarily hire local apprentices or rely on migrant visas for skilled roles?

I can give you a more tailored breakdown of how each party's policies directly impact your business bottom line.

Ask anything

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