Evidence · NZ Election 2026 · Edition 8

Every question and original answer

Read the 174 questions and 789 answers recorded on 2 November 2026, with the cited websites and tables behind the findings.

questions
174
answers saved
789
collected
2 November 2026

01

Every question, with its answers

Each question was written as a voter would ask it and went to all four assistants. Some were also asked from a town. Open a question to read every answer to it in full.

Showing 20 of 174 questions

02

The tables behind the study

Every figure on the study page comes from these tables. They are CSV files, which open in any spreadsheet.

  • Questions

    questions.csv

    One row per question, with its original wording.

    id, text, reference, enabled, axes, collectionSettings

  • Complete answers

    answers.csv

    One row per saved answer, including its original text.

    id, questionId, assistant, text, collectionSetting, askedFrom, capturedOn, cellCompletedAt, parameters, scanId, textOrigin, timingOrigin

  • Answers included in each comparison

    memberships.csv

    One row per answer and comparison, showing which results were counted together.

    comparisonId, answerId, rowKey, included

  • Party names found in answers

    codings.csv

    One row per answer, party and comparison, with the recorded decision and evidence.

    comparisonId, answerId, entityId, kind, measure, counted, quote, reason, evidence

  • Statements and sentiment assessments

    claims.csv

    Saved sentiment assessments of statements about parties, with answer references and quotations from the original answers where available.

    claimId, answerId, entityId, role, tone, claimText, quote, nativeQuoteVerified, origin, quoteStart, quoteEnd

  • Original saved statement assessments

    raw-native-claims.csv

    One row per saved statement, with its original wording and party assessments. These are automated results, not independently checked facts.

    claimId, claimText, quote, stance, platform, region, promptId, brands, sources, drivers, sourceResultId

  • Original party assessments

    all-native-party-associations.csv

    All original party assessments, including subject statements and passing comparisons.

    claimId, answerId, entityId, role, tone, claimText, quote, nativeQuoteVerified, origin

  • Assessments excluded from the sentiment bars

    unanchored-subject-assessments.csv

    Original assessments without an exact supporting passage, retained for inspection.

    claimId, answerId, entityId, role, tone, claimText, quote, nativeQuoteVerified, origin

  • Sources recorded with each answer

    sources.csv

    One row per answer, listing its cited websites, visible links and whether source information was available.

    answerId, capture, domains, urls, literalUrls, origin

  • Original saved source records

    raw-native-sources.csv

    Every saved source record, distinguishing citations from other references. The source rankings count citations only.

    answerId, url, domain, metadata, domainType, citationKind

  • Answer review coverage

    report-evidence.csv

    One row per saved answer, with its recorded review coverage and evidence references.

    key, answerId, interpretation, text

  • Checks against official sources

    checks.csv

    One row per selected statement checked in an answer.

    checkId, claimToTest, category, answerId, questionId, assistant, assertionPresent, assertion, verdict, evidence, whatTheSourceSays, assessment, checkedOn, paragraphs, previousCheckId, earlierAnswerId, earlierAssertion, trajectory, propositionFamily, reviewer, review_scope, fullAnswer, answerSha256, collectionSetting, additionalSources

  • Statements selected for checking

    check-register.csv

    One row per selected check, with its reason and official source.

    checkId, claimToTest, category, whyChecked, primarySourceUrl, answerId

  • Research findings

    findings.csv

    One row per finding, with its figure and supporting records.

    id, value, denominator, statement, summary, evidence, evidenceLinks

  • What the voting-guidance answers did

    behaviour-coding.csv

    One row per guidance answer, with the recorded behaviours and supporting passages.

    edition, result_id, draft_id, platform, boundary, conditional, shortlist, elicitation, unconditional, evidence, rationale, reviewer, reviewed_on, review_scope, question_id, region, full_answer, answerId, questionId, assistant, collectionSetting, explicit_choice_boundary, conditional_party_or_bloc_alignment, prioritised_shortlist, elicits_additional_user_information, unconditional_single_party_vote_instruction, calibration_note

  • What changed for each voter

    case-decisions.csv

    One row per voter situation, with the earlier and later readings.

    case, headline, previous_summary, current_summary, what_changed, what_stayed, previous_excerpts, current_excerpts, previous_answer_id, previous_full_answer, current_answer_id, current_full_answer, question_id, draft_id, reviewer, reviewed_on, review_scope, scope_limit, previous_party_ids, current_party_ids, party_set_changed

  • Answers compared across editions

    pairs.csv

    One row per comparison of the same question, AI assistant and location in Editions 7 and 8.

    earlierAnswerId, answerId, questionId, assistant, collectionSetting, askedFrom

  • Checks across editions

    edition-checks.csv

    The selected checks and whether their statements appeared in each edition.

    checkId, claim, assistant, earlierAnswerId, answerId, earlierQuote, quote, trajectory, assessment, evidence

  • Party counts by edition

    party-count-tables.csv

    One row per comparison, edition, assistant and party, with its answer count and total.

    edition, panel, assistant, entityId, named, eligible, sharePct

  • Party counts by topic

    issue-tables.csv

    One row per topic and edition, counting all saved answers in that edition.

    edition, panel, assistant, issue, entityId, named, eligible, sharePct

  • Location comparisons by edition

    regional-tables.csv

    One row per national-and-location comparison and edition.

    edition, panel, assistant, collectionSetting, entityId, named, eligible, sharePct

  • Websites cited across editions

    source-reach-tables.csv

    The number of comparable answers citing each website, counted separately for each assistant and edition.

    edition, panel, assistant, domain, answersCiting, eligible, sharePct, publisherType

  • Answer length by assistant

    platform-tables.csv

    One row per comparison, edition and assistant, with the recorded answer lengths.

    edition, panel, assistant, answers, anyParliamentaryNamed, allSixParliamentaryNamed, someParliamentaryOmitted, omissionSharePct, allSevenNamed, noTrackedPartyNamed, meanDisplayedPartyCount, partyCounts

  • Changes between repeated answers

    pair-metrics.csv

    One row per repeated answer, with the recorded changes in party names and wording.

    assistant, pairs, changedDisplayedPartySet, changedTrackedPartySet, changedSharePct, movements

  • Location comparison totals

    location-summary.csv

    Counts for the nationwide and local answers available on each date.

    edition, collectionSetting, pairs, changedDisplayedPartySet, sharePct

  • Location comparisons across editions

    location-pairs.csv

    The nationwide and local answer comparisons recorded on each date.

    edition, questionId, assistant, collectionSetting, nationalAnswerId, localAnswerId, nationalParties, localParties, addedLocally, absentLocally, changedDisplayedPartySet

  • Party-name context checks

    party-identity-decisions.csv

    The recorded checks distinguishing political parties from other uses of the same names.

    answerId, entityId, counted, rationale, excerpts, review_basis, reviewer, reviewed_on, full_answer, questionId, draftId, assistant, collectionSetting, reviewedOn, answer_sha256

  • Sentiment counts by party

    tone-tables.csv

    Statement assessments by party and assistant, retaining the original sentiment categories.

    edition, panel, assistant, entityId, subjectAssessments, strong_positive, positive, neutral, hedged_mixed, negative, strong_negative

  • Sources by answer

    source-associations.csv

    One row per answer and website; repeated references to the same website count once.

    answer id, question id, assistant, domain, publisher

  • National and location answers

    place-pairs.csv

    One row per complete national-and-location pair in this edition.

    question id, assistant, place, national answer id, place answer id, national entities, place entities, same entities

Use these tables to trace findings back to the original questions and answers. The full text of each answer is also on this page, under its question.

03

Read in full and checked

Some answers were read in detail or checked against official sources. Those appear on the study page, beside the findings they support.

ChatGPT · No location

We own a home with a mortgage, have school-age children and rely on two wages. After mortgage payments, rates, power and groceries, there is little buffer. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. What would national party policies change about local rates and water costs, and what remains a council decision?

What National's policies could mean for your household budget

The key distinction is that National is proposing to put a limit on increases in ordinary council rates, but not on water charges. That means its policies could make one part of your council bill more predictable without necessarily making your total housing costs significantly cheaper.

For a household with a mortgage, school-age children and two incomes, that distinction is important. A lower increase in rates does not automatically mean lower water bills, and neither policy guarantees that your overall cost of living will fall.

As at 1 November 2026, here is what National's published policies and the current legislative framework mean.

1. Ordinary council rates: a proposed 2–4% annual range

National policy announced

National's flagship policy is its proposed rates-capping system.

The Local Government (Rates Capping) Amendment Bill passed its first reading in Parliament on 1 September 2026. It proposes an initial annual rates increase target range of 2–4%.

The intended timetable is:

Period What happens
2026/27 Existing council rates decisions
2027/28 Councils must have regard to the 2–4% range
2028/29 Councils must have regard to the range
From 1 July 2029 Councils must comply, unless exempted

National says the intention is to end repeated double-digit rates increases and give households more certainty. Keeping rates affordableRates Capping Bill passes first readingLocal Government (Rates Capping) Amendment Bill

What this could mean for you:

  • It could reduce the risk of large increases in ordinary rates.
  • It could make future household budgeting more predictable.
  • It does not mean your rates will only increase by 2%.
  • It does not guarantee that your individual rates bill will increase by no more than 4%.

There is an important technical distinction: the cap applies to a council's average rates revenue per rating unit, not the individual bill for every property.

Your individual bill can still increase by more than 4%, depending on property valuations, targeted rates and how the council allocates rates.

2. Water costs: not covered by the rates cap

Important household-budget qualification

This is probably the most important part of the policy to understand.

National's rates-capping legislation explicitly excludes:

  • Drinking water supply.
  • Wastewater and sewerage.
  • Stormwater services.

These are treated separately from ordinary council rates. Proposed rates cap: Technical questions and answers for Local Authorities - Our work - Ministry for Cities, Environment, Regions and TransportLocal Government (Rates Capping) Amendment Bill

National's wider water policy is based on the Local Water Done Well framework. This reforms how water infrastructure is organised, funded and regulated.

The framework includes:

  • Councils preparing water services delivery plans.
  • Councils being able to establish separate water organisations or other permitted delivery arrangements.
  • Greater access to borrowing and financing for necessary infrastructure.
  • Independent economic regulation by the Commerce Commission.
  • Greater transparency around water providers' prices, spending and infrastructure investment.

The Commerce Commission's new information-disclosure rules took effect on 27 February 2026. They require water providers to report information about prices, expenditure and infrastructure. Water services delivery system - Our work - Ministry for Cities, Environment, Regions and TransportEconomic regulatory rules for local water service providers

What this could mean for your household:

The reforms aim to improve efficiency, accountability and long-term infrastructure investment. However, they do not promise cheaper water.

In fact, there are reasons water charges could continue increasing:

  • Old pipes and wastewater systems need replacement.
  • Population growth creates additional infrastructure costs.
  • Environmental and drinking-water standards require investment.
  • Water providers need to recover the cost of maintaining and improving their networks.

The important point is that the proposed 2–4% rates cap will not protect you against increases in these water charges.

A council could therefore keep ordinary rates increases within the target range while water costs rise considerably faster.

3. What remains a council decision?

National's reforms would constrain some council financial decisions, but councils would retain considerable control over local services and spending.

Decision Who controls it?
Ordinary rates within the national framework Council, subject to the cap
Individual property rates allocation Council
Property differentials and rating categories Council, within legislation
Local water service arrangements Council, within national legislation
Water charges and pricing Relevant water service provider, subject to regulation
Road maintenance priorities Council
Libraries, parks and recreation spending Council
Local infrastructure priorities Council
Local service levels Council, within its legal obligations
Water quality and economic regulation National regulators

Proposed rates cap: Technical questions and answers for Local Authorities - Our work - Ministry for Cities, Environment, Regions and TransportWater services delivery system - Our work - Ministry for Cities, Environment, Regions and TransportLocal government system improvements - Our work - Ministry for Cities, Environment, Regions and TransportLocal Government (Rating) Act 2002

There is also a potential trade-off.

If a council cannot raise ordinary rates sufficiently to pay for everything it wants to do, it may have to:

  • Reduce or defer some projects.
  • Cut or change discretionary services.
  • Prioritise roads, pipes and essential infrastructure over other spending.
  • Seek an exemption from the rates cap where the circumstances justify it.

The proposed system allows exemptions, including for exceptional circumstances and certain financial-planning or major infrastructure needs.

In other words, the Government sets financial boundaries, but councils still make many of the choices about what happens in your community.

4. What could happen to an actual household bill?

Here is an illustrative example, not a forecast of your council's charges.

Suppose your current annual household costs are:

Expense Current annual cost
Ordinary council rates $4,000
Water and wastewater $2,000
Total $6,000

If ordinary rates increased by 3%, but water charges increased by 10%:

Expense New annual cost
Ordinary council rates $4,120
Water and wastewater $2,200
Total $6,320

Illustrative annual increase

+$320

Equivalent to approximately $26.67 per month

  • Ordinary rates: +$120
  • Water: +$200

This demonstrates why a rates cap alone might not deliver the household savings people expect.

5. What should you look at before voting in 2026?

I would pay particular attention to five questions when comparing National with other parties.

  1. Rates: Do they support a rates cap? What percentage, when would it start, and what exemptions would apply?

  2. Water charges: Do they have a specific policy to limit household water-cost increases, or are they relying on improved efficiency and competition?

  3. Infrastructure: Who pays for replacing ageing pipes, wastewater treatment plants and stormwater infrastructure? Existing ratepayers, developers, water customers or central government?

  4. Council services: If councils have less ability to raise rates, which services or infrastructure projects would be reduced or delayed?

  5. Household affordability: Are their policies designed to reduce actual household bills, or primarily to slow the rate at which those bills increase?

Useful primary sources to examine:

My overall assessment

For a family paying a mortgage and relying on two wages, I would distinguish between three outcomes:

Outcome What National's policy offers
More predictable ordinary rates Yes, this is the explicit intention
Guaranteed lower total council bills No
Protection against rising water charges No, water is excluded from the rates cap

National's rates policy could be helpful if your council has been imposing large ordinary rates increases. However, the water reforms do not guarantee lower water costs, and the effects will depend heavily on local infrastructure needs and the way water services are funded.

My main takeaway: Don't judge the policy solely by the headline 2–4% figure. For your household, the more useful measure is the combined annual cost of ordinary rates, drinking water, wastewater and stormwater.

Those are the costs that ultimately compete with your mortgage, groceries, power and children's expenses.

One useful next step would be to examine your own council's latest long-term plan and water charges, so you can see how exposed your household is to the parts of the bill that National's rates cap does not cover.

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Gemini · No location

We own a home with a mortgage, have school-age children and rely on two wages. After mortgage payments, rates, power and groceries, there is little buffer. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. What would national party policies change about local rates and water costs, and what remains a council decision?

When considering your vote with a tight household budget, understanding how central government policy intersects with local council decisions is key.

The National Party’s policy approach and the ongoing division of responsibilities between central and local government break down across local rates and water costs as follows:


1. What National Party Policies Focus On

  • Keeping Rates Affordable & Core Services: The National Party states a commitment to keeping local rates affordable, refocusing councils on delivering "core services" (such as infrastructure, roads, and water), and ensuring more money stays in household pockets.
  • Visitor Levy Changes: National has proposed resetting the International Visitor Levy so that local councils see a direct, growing financial return from the tourists they host. The intent is to help councils fund visitor-related infrastructure pressures without having to rely solely on local ratepayers.
  • Infrastructure Settings: Under recent legislation (such as the Local Government (Water Services) Act and National Policy Statements on Infrastructure), central government frameworks guide how long-term infrastructure and water delivery must be planned and managed to ensure financial sustainability.

2. What Remains Strictly a Council Decision

Regardless of which party leads central government, New Zealand local authorities (city and district councils) retain autonomous decision-making powers over several key areas:

  • Setting Rates Amounts: Central government does not set the dollar amount of your local rates. Your local council independently decides its total budget, how much revenue it needs to collect, and whether rates increase (often driven by inflation, interest rates on council debt, and local infrastructure maintenance costs).
  • Rating Valuations and Allocations: How rates are spread across individual properties (via capital value, land value, uniform annual general charges, or targeted rates) is decided entirely by your local council through its Long-Term Plan (LTP) and Annual Plan consultations.
  • Water Service Delivery & Pricing Models: Under the Local Government (Water Services) framework, councils retain ownership of water infrastructure but must ensure services are financially sustainable. Whether water is funded via general rates, targeted council water rates, or volumetric water meters remains a decision managed locally or through council-controlled water organizations, adhering to statutory requirements set by regulators like the Commerce Commission.
  • Discretionary Spending: Decisions on spending for local amenities—such as libraries, parks, community pools, and local promotions—are decided by elected local councillors, though central government policy can pressure them to prioritize "core" infrastructure over non-essential items.

Summary for Your Household

While central government policies can influence the broader economic environment (inflation and interest rates affecting council borrowing costs) or provide alternate funding tools (like visitor levies), your actual local rates bill and local water management decisions are ultimately determined by your local council, not Parliament.

Are you interested in looking at how other political parties approach local government funding, or would you like to explore what options your specific local council has control over?

Ask Gemini

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Google AI Mode · No location

We own a home with a mortgage, have school-age children and rely on two wages. After mortgage payments, rates, power and groceries, there is little buffer. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. What would national party policies change about local rates and water costs, and what remains a council decision?

For a household managing a tight budget with a mortgage and children, council rates and water service costs are significant pressures. Under the coalition government led by the National Party, distinct changes are being advanced regarding how local authorities can raise rates and manage water infrastructure, though distinct boundaries remain with local council decision-making.


What National's Policies Change (Central Government Controls)

  • Rates Capping Legislation: The Government introduced the Local Government (Rates Capping) Amendment Bill , which targets a restriction on annual council rate increases to an initial target range of 𝟐 −𝟒%. The explicit intent is to place a brake on steep rate hikes and force local authorities to prioritize core "back-to-basics" infrastructure rather than non-essential spending.

  • Capping Exemptions: The proposed capping framework allows for time-bound exemptions under tightly defined conditions:

  • Exceptional circumstances (such as major natural disaster recovery beyond reasonable planning).

  • Prudent financial management exemptions (where a council can transparently demonstrate a justified operational need and has consulted its community).

  • Local Water Done Well Framework: Replacing the previous government's Three Waters reform, National's Local Water Done Well policy returns water assets ownership and accountability to local communities via council-controlled organizations or regional aggregations (e.g., multi-council or single-council water entities).

  • Transition Toward Volumetric Charging for Water: The Local Water Done Well legislation sets up a long-term transition pathway (looking across a multi-year horizon up to five years) encouraging a shift away from traditional property-value-based water rates toward usage-based mechanisms like water metering and volumetric (pay-per-litre) charging. While not universally mandated out-of-the-gate, it alters how infrastructure costs are recovered. Note that water services are structurally excluded from the general

2 −4% rates capping percentage and are regulated/funded separately.


What Remains a Council Decision (Local Authority Discretion)

  • Core Operational Budgets and Prioritization: Within the permitted target range (or via consultation for a prudent exemption), individual local councils still decide the allocation of their day-to-day operational budgets—such as how much to spend on local parks, community facilities, swimming pools, and localized cultural events.

  • Setting the Exact Rate within the Cap: Councils retain the responsibility to design their rating systems (e.g., uniform annual general charges, differential rates for commercial vs. residential properties) and must consult their local communities on how the final rate footprint is distributed within legal limits.

  • Adopting Water Pricing Mechanisms: While central legislation sets the framework and timeline encouraging structural shifts toward efficiency and volumetric measurement, the pacing and specific choice to introduce household water meters or specific volumetric pricing structures remain operational and consultation decisions for the local council and its newly formed water delivery organization.

  • Local Service Levels: Deciding the standard of local amenities, rubbish collection frequencies, and prioritization of localized roading/pothole repairs happens at the council table, constrained by what they can fund sustainably under central caps.


If you'd like to narrow this down further, let me know:

  • Are you interested in how rates capping might affect your specific local council's upcoming Long-Term Plan?
  • Would you like to explore how a transition to volumetric water metering could alter costs for a typical household compared to property-value rates?
Ask anything

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AI Overviews · No location

We own a home with a mortgage, have school-age children and rely on two wages. After mortgage payments, rates, power and groceries, there is little buffer. I am considering my vote in the 2026 New Zealand general election. What would national party policies change about local rates and water costs, and what remains a council decision?

AI Overview

The National Party's policies for the 2026 general election place strict financial boundaries on local government while returning long-term planning and operational control to your local council.

For a two-income household balancing a tight budget, these changes directly impact your outgoings by splitting how regular general rates and water expenses are billed:

1. Local Council Rates: The 4% Government Cap

The National Government introduced the Local Government (Rates Capping) Amendment Bill , designed to stop double-digit rate hikes and protect household budgets.

  • What National's policy changes: The government is implementing a hard legal cap requiring councils to keep annual general rates increases within a target range of 2% to 4%. Councils must factor this into long-term planning starting July 2027, and it takes full effect on 1 July 2029.

  • The caveat: The cap applies strictly to general rates and does not include user fees, non-rate charges, or water services. Councils can apply for an exemption through an independent regulator only under exceptional circumstances—like natural disaster recovery—and must consult their community first.

  • What remains a council decision: Your local council still decides exactly how to allocate its budget under that 4% ceiling. National's mandate dictates that councils must focus spending on "the basics" (e.g., rubbish collection, local roads, parks, and pools) rather than non-essential projects.

2. Water Costs: "Local Water Done Well"

National completely repealed the previous Labour government's centralized "Three Waters" model and replaced it with their Local Water Done Well policy.

  • What National's policy changes: Water assets stay under local council ownership instead of being moved to mega-regional entities. However, to pay for fixing aging pipes without blowing council debt caps, the government has required councils to establish financially separate council-controlled water organizations (either individually or multi-council hubs, like Wellington's Tiaki Wai or Waikato's IAWAI).

  • The impact on your wallet: Because these new water entities are financially separate from the council, they borrow money independently to pay for multi-billion-dollar pipe repairs. This debt is paid back directly by consumers. To prevent price gouging, National is placing these water entities under the economic regulation of the Commerce Commission to ensure fair pricing.

  • What remains a council decision: Your local council retains full ownership of the assets and flexibility over how they structure their Water Services Delivery Plan. Crucially, the council or the new water entity determines your actual water bill. Because water costs are excluded from the 4% general rates cap, your water bills can still experience steep, double-digit annual increases if your local infrastructure requires heavy investment.

Summary of What Changes vs. What Stays Local

Expense Category What National's Policy Controls What Your Local Council Decides
General Rates Caps annual increases at 2% to 4% by 2029. Enforces a "back to basics" spending mandate. Sets the exact rate within the cap and chooses how to distribute funding across core local services.
Water & Wastewater Mandates financial separation from council books. Uses the Commerce Commission to regulate pricing fairness. Retains asset ownership, selects the regional delivery model, and sets the actual user charges or water rates based on local pipe infrastructure needs.
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